This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.20
0.62
1.06
0.79
1.36
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
1.54
0.43
1.43
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (17)
0.94
0.94
0.78
0.78
1.12
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.1%
Under 1.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.3%
@ 2.20-2.4%
Under 2.5
59.7%
@ 1.64+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.0%
Under 3.5
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.3%
No
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
13.2%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
Aberdeen goals ↓
ST Mirren goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.5%
3.8%
1.1%
0.2%
1
13%
14%
5.4%
1.6%
0.3%
2
10%
8.9%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
3
4.9%
4.2%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.8%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aberdeen goals (down), columns = ST Mirren goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.61
Partick
2.50
Rangers
2.42
Aberdeen
1.50
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Motherwell
1.32
Livingston
1.21
ST Mirren
1.21
ST Johnstone
1.13
Kilmarnock
1.05
Ross County
0.93
Dundee Utd
0.82
Queen's Park
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.00
Aberdeen is 0.29 points better than ST Mirren in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Partick
3.17
Celtic
3.00
Rangers
2.45
Heart Of Midlothian
1.66
Hibernian
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Aberdeen
1.47
Motherwell
1.39
ST Mirren
1.13
ST Johnstone
1.08
Dundee Utd
1.05
Ross County
1.00
Kilmarnock
0.97
Livingston
0.95
Ayr Utd
0.00
Aberdeen is 0.34 goals better than ST Mirren in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.13).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.89
Rangers
0.97
Partick
1.00
Motherwell
1.34
Heart Of Midlothian
1.50
Hibernian
1.55
ST Johnstone
1.55
Ross County
1.57
Livingston
1.58
Aberdeen
1.58
ST Mirren
1.61
Kilmarnock
1.63
Dundee Utd
1.84
Queen's Park
4.00
Ayr Utd
4.00
Aberdeen is 0.03 goals better than ST Mirren in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Aberdeen
For 5.3 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 13.6 · Total 26.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Mirren
For 5.6 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 0.8 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aberdeen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.8
10.3
4.2
3.9
4.4
26.8
26.3
27.2
vs Stronger (11)
11.8
10.5
12.7
2.8
3.8
2.3
25.1
26.2
24.3
vs Similar (16)
9.1
8.1
10.0
4.6
5.1
4.1
27.7
28.0
27.4
vs Weaker (23)
10.0
10.8
9.3
4.5
3.2
5.9
26.9
25.2
28.6
% over line
49%
50%
48%
52%
46%
58%
84%
83%
84%
% under line
51%
50%
52%
48%
54%
42%
16%
17%
16%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.4
11.2
3.3
3.6
2.9
22.9
22.6
23.2
vs Stronger (18)
11.3
10.7
12.0
3.7
4.2
3.1
21.9
22.0
21.9
vs Similar (32)
11.2
11.8
10.7
3.1
3.3
2.8
23.5
23.0
24.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
65%
68%
62%
38%
46%
29%
63%
60%
67%
% under line
35%
32%
38%
62%
54%
71%
37%
40%
33%
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.8
ST Mirren
11.1
Rangers
10.9
Dundee Utd
10.7
Motherwell
10.7
Ross County
10.4
Heart Of Midlothian
10.1
Aberdeen
10.0
ST Johnstone
10.0
Hibernian
9.9
Kilmarnock
9.8
Partick
9.6
Livingston
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Rangers
4.2
Hibernian
4.2
Aberdeen
4.2
Livingston
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
Heart Of Midlothian
3.9
Ross County
3.9
Dundee Utd
3.8
ST Johnstone
3.8
ST Mirren
3.3
Kilmarnock
3.3
Partick
3.2
Celtic
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
26.7
Aberdeen
26.6
Livingston
25.1
Hibernian
24.5
Heart Of Midlothian
24.2
Ross County
24.1
ST Johnstone
24.0
Kilmarnock
23.9
ST Mirren
23.0
Dundee Utd
22.9
Rangers
22.3
Celtic
21.8
Partick
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
60.9%
Under 9.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.4%
Under 3.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
72.6%
Under 21.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aberdeen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.53
0.53
0.67
0.33
0.40
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (10)
0.40
0.40
0.60
0.60
0.20
0.20
vs Weaker (14)
0.43
0.43
0.62
0.50
0.17
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.50
0.25
0.44
0.29
0.57
vs Stronger (13)
0.15
0.69
0.14
0.57
0.17
0.83
vs Similar (17)
0.35
0.35
0.33
0.33
0.38
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aberdeen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.87
0.33
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
1.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.70
0.80
0.40
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
0.71
0.50
0.75
0.25
0.67
0.83
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.70
0.38
0.62
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
0.85
0.29
0.86
0.17
0.83
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.59
0.44
0.44
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aberdeen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes35%
Bojan Miovski30%
Vicente Besuijen17%
Leighton Clarkson15%
Matthew Pollock13%
Matthew Kennedy10%
Graeme Shinnie8%
Ross McCrorie6%
Connor Barron6%
Anthony Stewart5%
Ryan Duncan4%
Marley Watkins4%
Jonny Hayes3%
Liam Scales3%
Ylber Ramadani3%
Callum Roberts0%
Hayden Coulson0%
Kelle Roos0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Jay Gorter0%
Joe Lewis0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Christian Ramirez0%
Patrik Myslovič0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Dilan Markanday0%
Shayden Morris0%
Dante Polvara0%
Alfie Bavidge0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jay Gorter25%
Marley Watkins23%
Graeme Shinnie23%
Ylber Ramadani22%
Liam Scales19%
Hayden Coulson18%
Jonny Hayes17%
Jack Mackenzie17%
Bojan Miovski16%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes16%
Jayden Richardson16%
Ross McCrorie15%
Leighton Clarkson15%
Matthew Pollock13%
Angus MacDonald13%
Connor Barron12%
Matthew Kennedy10%
Ryan Duncan9%
Anthony Stewart5%
Callum Roberts0%
Kelle Roos0%
Joe Lewis0%
Christian Ramirez0%
Patrik Myslovič0%
Dilan Markanday0%
Shayden Morris0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Dante Polvara0%
Alfie Bavidge0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leighton Clarkson21%
Jonny Hayes17%
Connor Barron12%
Christian Ramirez11%
Ylber Ramadani8%
Matthew Pollock7%
Liam Scales6%
Jack Mackenzie6%
Vicente Besuijen6%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes5%
Anthony Stewart5%
Matthew Kennedy5%
Marley Watkins4%
Hayden Coulson4%
Bojan Miovski3%
Ross McCrorie0%
Callum Roberts0%
Kelle Roos0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Jay Gorter0%
Joe Lewis0%
Graeme Shinnie0%
Patrik Myslovič0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Dilan Markanday0%
Shayden Morris0%
Ryan Duncan0%
Dante Polvara0%
Alfie Bavidge0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bojan Miovski22%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes16%
Graeme Shinnie8%
Matthew Pollock7%
Angus MacDonald7%
Connor Barron6%
Vicente Besuijen6%
Anthony Stewart5%
Matthew Kennedy5%
Liam Scales3%
Ross McCrorie3%
Leighton Clarkson3%
Jonny Hayes0%
Ylber Ramadani0%
Callum Roberts0%
Hayden Coulson0%
Kelle Roos0%
Marley Watkins0%
Jay Gorter0%
Joe Lewis0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Christian Ramirez0%
Patrik Myslovič0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Dilan Markanday0%
Shayden Morris0%
Ryan Duncan0%
Dante Polvara0%
Alfie Bavidge0%
ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mark O'Hara23%
Curtis Main16%
Jonah Ayunga16%
Alex Greive14%
Ryan Strain11%
Tony Watt10%
Richard Tait8%
Declan Gallagher7%
Alexander Gogić7%
Keanu Baccus6%
Greg Kiltie6%
Joe Shaughnessy5%
Eamonn Brophy0%
Scott Tanser0%
Trevor Carson0%
Charles Dunne0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Richard Taylor0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Jay Henderson0%
Thierry Small0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Kieran Offord0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Keanu Baccus27%
Charles Dunne27%
Jonah Ayunga26%
Declan Gallagher26%
Marcus Fraser21%
Mark O'Hara20%
Alexander Gogić20%
Ethan Erhahon15%
Thierry Small14%
Curtis Main14%
Scott Tanser13%
Greg Kiltie11%
Ryan Strain11%
Kieran Offord11%
Richard Taylor9%
Richard Tait8%
Alex Greive7%
Ryan Flynn5%
Joe Shaughnessy5%
Trevor Carson3%
Eamonn Brophy0%
Tony Watt0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Jay Henderson0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eamonn Brophy17%
Ryan Strain14%
Jonah Ayunga11%
Joe Shaughnessy9%
Thierry Small7%
Keanu Baccus6%
Mark O'Hara6%
Curtis Main5%
Ethan Erhahon5%
Ryan Flynn5%
Alexander Gogić3%
Greg Kiltie3%
Scott Tanser0%
Tony Watt0%
Trevor Carson0%
Charles Dunne0%
Richard Tait0%
Declan Gallagher0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Richard Taylor0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Jay Henderson0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Kieran Offord0%
Alex Greive0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonah Ayunga32%
Curtis Main30%
Mark O'Hara11%
Tony Watt10%
Ryan Strain8%
Eamonn Brophy8%
Thierry Small7%
Greg Kiltie6%
Alex Greive4%
Alexander Gogić3%
Keanu Baccus3%
Joe Shaughnessy0%
Scott Tanser0%
Trevor Carson0%
Charles Dunne0%
Richard Tait0%
Declan Gallagher0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Richard Taylor0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Jay Henderson0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Kieran Offord0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Aberdeen's squad is €7m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€15m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Aberdeen's attack is €2m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€4m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
Aberdeen's midfield is €1m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€4m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
Aberdeen's defence is €3m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€7m vs €3m).
Scotland: Premiership 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
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Celtic
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
Hibernian
Motherwell
Livingston
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
Ross County
Dundee Utd
Partick
Queen's Park
Ayr Utd