Aberystwyth Town vs Llantwit Major Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026

Time: 13:30

Final 5-1

Aberystwyth Town

36%

27%

37%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Llantwit Major

Wales: FAW Championship

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

In a finely balanced encounter, Llantwit Major's recent struggles away from home, having suffered three consecutive defeats, will be put to the test against Aberystwyth Town, who are coming off a defeat themselves. Despite this, the model predicts an away win for Llantwit Major, with a 37% probability of success.

The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, occurring with a 12.3% probability. Aberystwyth Town have a tendency to struggle at home, scoring an average of 1.27 goals and conceding 1.2 against stronger opponents. Llantwit Major, on the other hand, have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded away against weaker opponents.

The model's selection for the match is an Over 1.5 goals, with an 81.2% probability of occurrence. The home win probability is 36%, the draw probability is 27%, and the away win probability is 37%. The model also suggests an Over 1.5 goals selection and a clean sheet for Aberystwyth Town, both of which have a high probability of occurrence.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Away win, was wrong as Aberystwyth Town claimed a 5-1 victory, extending their recent win streak. The model had given the away side a 37 % chance, but the home team overturned expectations. The final score of 5-1 produced a home win, a result the model did not predict. The model’s selections performed largely well: Under 7.5 hit at 98.8 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.1 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.0 %, Under 6.5 hit at 96.7 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.3 %, and Away under 3.5 goals hit at 93.3 %. The only misses were Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.7 % and Home under 3.5 goals at 93.6 %.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aberystwyth Town win✓ Hit

36.2%

Avg Implied 65.8% · @ 1.37

Edge

-29.6%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

1.41

Superbet

1.41

William Hil

1.40

Betano

1.39

Pinnacle

1.39

Draw✗ Miss

26.6%

Avg Implied 20.2% · @ 4.48

Edge

+6.4%

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

4.75

Dafabet

4.60

Pinnacle

4.53

Superbet

4.50

Bet365

4.50

Llantwit Major win✗ Miss

37.3%

Avg Implied 14.1% · @ 6.43

Edge

+23.2%

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

7.00

1xBet

6.93

Marathonbet

6.65

William Hil

6.50

Dafabet

6.40

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Aberystwyth Town

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.2

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

2.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.23	1.50	1.27	1.53	1.20	1.47
vs Stronger (22)	1.55	1.45	1.64	1.64	1.45	1.27
vs Similar (6)	0.33	2.00	0.33	1.33	0.33	2.67
vs Weaker (2)	0.50	0.50	0.00	1.00	1.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	30% (+8pp vs league)

This opponent (Llantwit Major) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Llantwit Major

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.0

Avg scored

1.4

Avg conceded

2.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.37	1.60	1.29	1.47	1.46	1.77
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (23)	1.39	1.48	1.33	1.25	1.45	1.73
vs Weaker (7)	1.29	2.00	1.20	2.00	1.50	2.00
Clean sheet %	20% (-2pp vs league)

This opponent (Aberystwyth Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

81.2%

@ 1.14+2.2%

Under 1.5

18.8%

@ 4.30-2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.15

1xBet

1.14

Marathonbet

1.14

Under

1xBet

4.35

Marathonbet

4.35

Superbet

4.20

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

57.6%

@ 1.56-1.5%

Under 2.5

42.4%

@ 2.25+1.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.60

Superbet

1.56

1xBet

1.55

Marathonbet

1.55

Pinnacle

1.55

Under

Bet365

2.30

Pinnacle

2.29

1xBet

2.27

Marathonbet

2.27

Superbet

2.25

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

35.2%

@ 2.35-3.6%

Under 3.5

64.8%

@ 1.49+3.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.37

Superbet

2.37

Marathonbet

2.33

1xBet

2.33

Under

Pinnacle

1.51

Superbet

1.49

1xBet

1.48

Marathonbet

1.48

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

61.4%

@ 1.74+8.7%

38.6%

@ 1.95-8.7%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Superbet

1.77

1xBet

1.75

Marathonbet

1.75

William Hil

1.70

William Hil

2.00

Superbet

1.95

1xBet

1.93

Marathonbet

1.90

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

12.3%@ 8.38+7.3%

1-2

8.5%@ 18.00+6.1%

2-1

8.3%@ 7.62+2.8%

0-1

6.4%@ 18.00+4.1%

2-2

6.3%@ 16.00+3.7%

1-0

6.3%@ 7.50+0.7%

0-0

6.1%@ 14.00+3.1%

0-2

5.7%@ 38.00+4.6%

Aberystwyth Town goals ↓

	Llantwit Major goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	6.4%	5.7%	2.9%	1.1%
1	6.3%	12%	8.5%	4.3%	1.6%
2	5.5%	8.3%	6.3%	3.2%	1.2%
3	2.7%	4.1%	3.1%	1.6%	0.6%
4	1.0%	1.5%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aberystwyth Town goals (down), columns = Llantwit Major goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Swansea University

2.60

Pontypridd Town

2.60

Newtown AFC

2.60

Brickfield Rangers

2.50

Bala Town

2.40

Aberystwyth Town

2.40

Mold Alexandra

2.17

Bangor City 1876 FC

2.00

Caersws

2.00

Porthmadog

1.83

Treowen Stars

1.80

Carmarthen Town

1.67

Baglan Dragons

1.67

Ynyshir Albions

1.60

Guilsfield

1.50

Rhyl

1.40

Caerphilly Athletic

1.40

Trethomas Bluebirds

1.33

Llanuwchllyn

1.20

Newport City

1.20

Afan Lido

1.17

Caerau (Ely)

1.17

Cardiff Draconians

1.00

Holyhead Hotspur

0.80

Ruthin Town

0.67

Buckley Town

0.67

Denbigh Town

0.67

Pontardawe Town

0.60

llanelli AFC

0.33

Penrhyncoch

0.20

Llantwit Major

0.00

Gresford Athletic

0.00

Aberystwyth Town is 2.40 points better than Llantwit Major in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 0.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Swansea University

3.60

Pontypridd Town

3.20

Aberystwyth Town

3.20

Brickfield Rangers

2.83

Newtown AFC

2.80

Treowen Stars

2.60

Carmarthen Town

2.50

Bangor City 1876 FC

2.33

Caerau (Ely)

2.17

Bala Town

2.00

Trethomas Bluebirds

2.00

Mold Alexandra

2.00

Guilsfield

2.00

Caersws

2.00

Afan Lido

1.83

Porthmadog

1.83

Denbigh Town

1.83

Rhyl

1.80

Newport City

1.80

Holyhead Hotspur

1.40

Cardiff Draconians

1.25

Buckley Town

1.17

llanelli AFC

1.00

Llanuwchllyn

1.00

Pontardawe Town

1.00

Ruthin Town

1.00

Baglan Dragons

0.83

Ynyshir Albions

0.80

Penrhyncoch

0.60

Caerphilly Athletic

0.60

Llantwit Major

0.25

Gresford Athletic

0.00

Aberystwyth Town is 2.95 goals better than Llantwit Major in terms of goals scored per game (3.20 vs 0.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Newtown AFC

0.20

Ynyshir Albions

0.60

Brickfield Rangers

0.67

Bala Town

0.80

Baglan Dragons

0.83

Swansea University

1.00

Mold Alexandra

1.00

Aberystwyth Town

1.00

Newport City

1.00

Bangor City 1876 FC

1.33

Caerphilly Athletic

1.40

Caersws

1.40

Porthmadog

1.50

Guilsfield

1.50

Rhyl

1.60

Cardiff Draconians

1.75

Treowen Stars

1.80

Holyhead Hotspur

1.80

Pontardawe Town

1.80

Trethomas Bluebirds

1.83

Buckley Town

1.83

Pontypridd Town

2.00

Afan Lido

2.17

Ruthin Town

2.17

Carmarthen Town

2.33

Denbigh Town

2.33

Gresford Athletic

2.80

Caerau (Ely)

2.83

llanelli AFC

3.00

Llanuwchllyn

3.00

Penrhyncoch

3.20

Llantwit Major

3.50

Aberystwyth Town is 2.50 goals better than Llantwit Major in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 3.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Aberystwyth Town or Draw✓ Hit

62.7%

Avg Implied 86.0% · @ 1.07

Edge

-23.3%

36%

27%

37%

covers Aberystwyth Town + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.11

William Hil

1.08

Bet365

1.08

Superbet

1.08

Betfair

1.07

Aberystwyth Town or Llantwit Major✓ Hit

73.4%

Avg Implied 80.2% · @ 1.15

Edge

-6.8%

36%

27%

37%

covers Aberystwyth Town + Llantwit Major

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.20

Betfair

1.17

Betano

1.16

Superbet

1.15

Bet365

1.12

Draw or Llantwit Major✗ Miss

63.8%

Avg Implied 33.7% · @ 2.73

Edge

+30.1%

36%

27%

37%

covers Draw + Llantwit Major

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

3.10

Bet365

2.75

1xBet

2.70

William Hil

2.70

Marathonbet

2.70

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Aberystwyth Town over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

77.4%

@ 1.06-7.7%

Under

22.6%

@ 6.08+7.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.09

1xBet

1.04

Under

1xBet

7.00

Superbet

5.15

Aberystwyth Town over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

43.8%

@ 1.43-20.3%

Under

56.2%

@ 2.55+20.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.44

1xBet

1.42

Marathonbet

1.42

Under

1xBet

2.57

Marathonbet

2.57

Superbet

2.50

Aberystwyth Town over/under 2.5Actual: Over

Over

18.8%

@ 2.33-20.8%

Under

81.2%

@ 1.52+20.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.36

Superbet

2.35

1xBet

2.30

Marathonbet

2.30

Under

Pinnacle

1.55

Marathonbet

1.52

1xBet

1.52

Superbet

1.50

Aberystwyth Town over/under 3.5Actual: Over

Over

6.4%

@ 5.03-11.8%

Under

93.6%

@ 1.11+11.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.80

Superbet

4.25

Under

Superbet

1.14

1xBet

1.09

Llantwit Major over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

77.9%

@ 1.59+20.1%

Under

22.1%

@ 2.18-20.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.61

1xBet

1.59

Superbet

1.58

Under

Pinnacle

2.22

Superbet

2.20

1xBet

2.13

Llantwit Major over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

44.6%

@ 3.86+21.0%

Under

55.4%

@ 1.19-21.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.96

Marathonbet

3.96

Superbet

3.65

Under

Superbet

1.20

Marathonbet

1.19

1xBet

1.19

Llantwit Major over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

19.4%

@ 8.45+8.5%

Under

80.6%

@ 1.03-8.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

8.80

1xBet

8.10

Under

1xBet

1.03

Llantwit Major over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

6.7%

Under

93.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Aberystwyth Town, so a minus line means Aberystwyth Town give that many goals of a start and Llantwit Major receive them. At -1, Aberystwyth Town must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Aberystwyth Town win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Aberystwyth Town)Actual: Aberystwyth Town

Aberystwyth Town -2

6.8%

@ 3.34-19.3%

Draw -2

11.0%

@ 4.10-10.2%

Llantwit Major +2

82.2%

@ 1.65+29.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

3.34

Draw

Marathonbet

4.10

Away

Marathonbet

1.65

Handicap -1 (Aberystwyth Town)Actual: Aberystwyth Town

Aberystwyth Town -1

17.8%

@ 1.96-26.9%

Draw -1

18.4%

@ 3.55-6.2%

Llantwit Major +1

63.8%

@ 2.85+33.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

2.00

Betfair

1.91

Draw

Betfair

3.60

Marathonbet

3.50

Away

Betfair

3.00

Marathonbet

2.70

Handicap +1 (Aberystwyth Town)Actual: Aberystwyth Town

Aberystwyth Town +1

62.7%

Draw +1

18.7%

Llantwit Major -1

18.6%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

Handicap +2 (Aberystwyth Town)Actual: Aberystwyth Town

Aberystwyth Town +2

81.4%

Draw +2

11.4%

Llantwit Major -2

7.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aberystwyth Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.1

Avg scored

0.4

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.37	0.53	0.53	0.60	0.20	0.47
vs Stronger (22)	0.41	0.50	0.64	0.64	0.18	0.36
vs Similar (6)	0.33	0.67	0.33	0.33	0.33	1.00
vs Weaker (2)	0.00	0.50	0.00	1.00	0.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	53% (+31pp vs league)

This opponent (Llantwit Major) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Llantwit Major

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.5

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.60	0.70	0.53	0.76	0.69	0.62
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (23)	0.61	0.52	0.67	0.50	0.55	0.55
vs Weaker (7)	0.57	1.29	0.20	1.40	1.50	1.00
Clean sheet %	47% (+25pp vs league)

This opponent (Aberystwyth Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

68.1%

@ 1.25-4.9%

Under 0.5

31.9%

@ 3.38+4.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.26

1xBet

1.26

William Hil

1.25

Betfair

1.25

Superbet

1.24

Under

Betfair

3.60

William Hil

3.40

Superbet

3.35

1xBet

3.28

Marathonbet

3.28

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

31.9%

@ 2.24-8.9%

Under 1.5

68.1%

@ 1.54+8.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.28

Betfair

2.25

William Hil

2.25

Marathonbet

2.24

1xBet

2.24

Under

Superbet

1.57

William Hil

1.57

Betfair

1.57

Pinnacle

1.56

Marathonbet

1.53

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

13.3%

@ 4.96-5.2%

Under 2.5

86.7%

@ 1.12+5.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

5.50

William Hil

5.00

1xBet

4.80

Superbet

4.55

Under

1xBet

1.14

William Hil

1.12

Superbet

1.12

Betfair

1.11

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Aberystwyth Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

47.5%

@ 1.46-15.2%

Under

52.5%

@ 2.46+15.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.47

1xBet

1.46

Superbet

1.46

Under

Pinnacle

2.52

Superbet

2.45

1xBet

2.40

Aberystwyth Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over

Over

15.3%

@ 3.15-13.8%

Under

84.7%

@ 1.29+13.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.15

Under

1xBet

1.29

Aberystwyth Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

3.7%

@ 7.85-8.1%

Under

96.3%

@ 1.05+8.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.85

Under

1xBet

1.05

Llantwit Major over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

39.7%

@ 2.68+5.8%

Under

60.3%

@ 1.38-5.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.70

1xBet

2.66

Under

1xBet

1.38

Superbet

1.37

Llantwit Major over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

10.6%

@ 9.10+0.5%

Under

89.4%

@ 1.03-0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

9.10

Under

1xBet

1.03

Llantwit Major over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.9%

@ 11.00-6.5%

Under

98.1%

@ 1.01+6.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

11.00

Under

1xBet

1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aberystwyth Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.1

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.87	0.97	0.73	0.93	1.00	1.00
vs Stronger (22)	1.14	0.95	1.00	1.00	1.27	0.91
vs Similar (6)	0.00	1.33	0.00	1.00	0.00	1.67
vs Weaker (2)	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	43% (+21pp vs league)

This opponent (Llantwit Major) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Llantwit Major

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.5

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

1.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.77	0.90	0.76	0.71	0.77	1.15
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (23)	0.78	0.96	0.67	0.75	0.91	1.18
vs Weaker (7)	0.71	0.71	1.00	0.60	0.00	1.00
Clean sheet %	47% (+25pp vs league)

This opponent (Aberystwyth Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

76.9%

Under 0.5

23.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

42.7%

Under 1.5

57.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

20.3%

Under 2.5

79.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Aberystwyth Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

54.9%

Under

45.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Aberystwyth Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

20.9%

Under

79.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Aberystwyth Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over

Over

5.3%

Under

94.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Llantwit Major over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

47.6%

Under

52.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Llantwit Major over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

16.4%

Under

83.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Llantwit Major over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

3.0%

Under

97.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	98.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	98.1%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.5%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	97.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	96.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	96.3%	1.05	1xBet 1.05	-	-	-	-	+8.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	94.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals	93.6%	1.11	Superbet 1.14	1xBet 1.09	-	-	-	+11.8%	✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals	93.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	91.6%	1.06	1xBet 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.3%	✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals	89.4%	1.03	1xBet 1.03	-	-	-	-	-0.5%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	86.7%	1.12	1xBet 1.14	William Hil 1.12	Superbet 1.12	Betfair 1.11	-	+5.2%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	84.7%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+13.8%	✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals	83.6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	81.6%	1.17	Superbet 1.17	1xBet 1.17	Marathonbet 1.17	-	-	+4.4%	✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap	81.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	81.2%	1.14	Superbet 1.15	1xBet 1.14	Marathonbet 1.14	-	-	+2.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	80.6%	1.03	1xBet 1.03	-	-	-	-	-8.5%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	79.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals	79.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals	77.4%	1.06	Superbet 1.09	1xBet 1.04	-	-	-	-7.7%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	76.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home or Away	73.4%	1.15	William Hil 1.20	Betfair 1.17	Betano 1.16	Superbet 1.15	Bet365 1.12	-6.8%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BT (12)

€1m

NC (4)

€0m

AT (2)

€0m

RHY (1)

€0m

LA (2)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BT (4)

€0m

RHY (1)

€0m

AT (1)

€0m

NC (2)

€0m

LA (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BT (2)

€0m

LA (2)

€0m

RHY (0)

€0m

AT (0)

€0m

NC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BT (6)

€0m

NC (2)

€0m

AT (1)

€0m

LA (0)

€0m

RHY (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings

AT wins

Draws

LM wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aberystwyth Town vs Llantwit Major · H/A from AT

Date	H/A	Game	Score
04/04/26	H	AT Vs Llantwit Major	2-2
26/07/25	A	Llantwit Major Vs AT	1-2

Aberystwyth Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
08/08/26	H	AT Vs Treowen Stars	1-2
01/08/26	A	Afan Lido Vs AT	2-5
18/04/26	A	Ynyshir Albions Vs AT	0-0
11/04/26	A	Cwmbran Celtic Vs AT	3-1
04/04/26	H	AT Vs Llantwit Major	2-2
28/03/26	H	AT Vs Afan Lido	0-1
21/03/26	A	Cambrian & Clydach Vs AT	2-0
14/03/26	H	AT Vs Trethomas Bluebirds	3-0
07/03/26	A	Trefelin Vs AT	4-0
01/03/26	H	AT Vs Caerau (Ely)	0-4

Llantwit Major

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/08/26	H	LM Vs Baglan Dragons	0-1
07/08/26	A	Afan Lido Vs LM	5-0
01/08/26	H	LM Vs Swansea University	0-3
18/04/26	H	LM Vs Cambrian & Clydach	1-3
04/04/26	A	Aberystwyth Town Vs LM	2-2
28/03/26	H	LM Vs Caerau (Ely)	1-4
20/03/26	A	Afan Lido Vs LM	4-1
14/03/26	H	LM Vs Ammanford AFC	2-3
10/03/26	A	Cwmbran Celtic Vs LM	1-3
06/03/26	A	Pontypridd Town Vs LM	0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aberystwyth Town

Wales: FAW Championship

Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DLDWL	1.22
Home	LWLDL	1.15
Away	LLLDW	1.29

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	31%	42%
AVG goals	2.76	2.69	2.83
Over 1.5 %	70%	73%	67%
Over 2.5 %	58%	58%	58%
Over 3.5 %	32%	31%	33%
Scored	1.16	1.19	1.12
Conceded	1.60	1.50	1.71
BTTS	46%	50%	42%
Clean Sheet	22%	23%	21%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Llantwit Major

Wales: FAW Championship

Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DLLLL	1.20
Home	LLLLL	1.38
Away	WWLDL	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	38%	21%
AVG goals	2.74	2.58	2.92
Over 1.5 %	74%	69%	79%
Over 2.5 %	52%	50%	54%
Over 3.5 %	34%	31%	38%
Scored	1.26	1.23	1.29
Conceded	1.48	1.35	1.62
BTTS	56%	50%	62%
Clean Sheet	22%	27%	17%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Brickfield Rangers	6	15	83%	2.5	17	4	+13	3.5	100%	67%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.8	0.7	-
2	Swansea University	5	13	80%	2.6	18	5	+13	4.6	100%	100%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.6	1.0	-
3	Newtown AFC	5	13	80%	2.6	14	1	+13	3.0	80%	60%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.8	0.2	-
4	Pontypridd Town	5	13	80%	2.6	16	10	+6	5.2	100%	100%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.2	2.0	-
5	Mold Alexandra	6	13	67%	2.2	12	6	+6	3.0	67%	67%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.0	-
6	Aberystwyth Town	5	12	80%	2.4	16	5	+11	4.2	80%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.2	1.0	-
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	6	12	67%	2.0	14	8	+6	3.7	100%	100%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.3	1.3	-
8	Bala Town	5	12	80%	2.4	10	4	+6	2.8	80%	80%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	2.0	0.8	-
9	Porthmadog	6	11	50%	1.8	11	9	+2	3.3	83%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.5	-
10	Caersws	5	10	60%	2.0	10	7	+3	3.4	80%	60%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.4	-
11	Carmarthen Town	6	10	50%	1.7	15	14	+1	4.8	100%	100%	83%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.5	2.3	-
12	Baglan Dragons	6	10	50%	1.7	5	5	+0	1.7	33%	33%	17%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	0.8	-
13	Treowen Stars	5	9	60%	1.8	13	9	+4	4.4	100%	100%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.6	1.8	-
14	Guilsfield	6	9	33%	1.5	12	9	+3	3.5	100%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.5	-
15	Trethomas Bluebirds	6	8	33%	1.3	12	11	+1	3.8	83%	67%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.8	-
16	Ynyshir Albions	5	8	40%	1.6	4	3	+1	1.4	40%	20%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	0.6	-
17	Rhyl	5	7	40%	1.4	9	8	+1	3.4	80%	60%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.6	-
18	Afan Lido	6	7	33%	1.2	11	13	-2	4.0	67%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	2.2	-
19	Caerau (Ely)	6	7	33%	1.2	13	17	-4	5.0	100%	83%	83%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	2.8	-
20	Caerphilly Athletic	5	7	40%	1.4	3	7	-4	2.0	60%	60%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.6	1.4	-
21	Newport City	5	6	40%	1.2	9	5	+4	2.8	60%	60%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.0	-
22	Llanuwchllyn	5	6	40%	1.2	5	15	-10	4.0	100%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	3.0	-
23	Holyhead Hotspur	5	4	20%	0.8	7	9	-2	3.2	80%	80%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	1.8	-
24	Cardiff Draconians	4	4	25%	1.0	5	7	-2	3.0	50%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.8	-
25	Denbigh Town	6	4	17%	0.7	11	14	-3	4.2	100%	100%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	2.3	-
26	Buckley Town	6	4	17%	0.7	7	11	-4	3.0	83%	50%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.8	-
27	Ruthin Town	6	4	17%	0.7	6	13	-7	3.2	100%	83%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	2.2	-
28	Pontardawe Town	5	3	20%	0.6	5	9	-4	2.8	60%	60%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.8	-
29	llanelli AFC	6	2	0%	0.3	6	18	-12	4.0	100%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	3.0	-
30	Penrhyncoch	5	1	0%	0.2	3	16	-13	3.8	100%	80%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.6	3.2	-
31	Llantwit Major	4	0	0%	0.0	1	14	-13	3.8	75%	75%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.2	3.5	-
32	Gresford Athletic	5	0	0%	0.0	0	14	-14	2.8	80%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.0	2.8	-

Wales: FAW Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

← all matches

Aberystwyth Town vs Llantwit Major Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Aberystwyth Town

Llantwit Major

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aberystwyth Town

Llantwit Major

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aberystwyth Town

Llantwit Major

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Aberystwyth Town

Llantwit Major

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature