This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.20
1.87
0.87
1.93
1.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.96
1.19
2.00
0.83
1.93
1.50
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
1.50
4.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.1%
Under 1.5
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.3%
Under 2.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.0%
Under 3.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.5%
No
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
1-3
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
2-1
5.9%
0-1
5.3%
0-3
4.9%
AC Horsens goals ↓
Lyngby goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
5.3%
6.7%
4.9%
2.7%
1
3.0%
9.4%
9.3%
6.8%
3.7%
2
2.7%
5.9%
6.5%
4.7%
2.6%
3
1.3%
2.7%
3.0%
2.2%
1.2%
4
0.4%
1.0%
1.0%
0.8%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Horsens goals (down), columns = Lyngby goals (across).
đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lyngby
1.88
AC Horsens
1.69
Esbjerg
1.62
Hillerød
1.56
Aalborg
1.44
Hvidovre
1.44
Aarhus Fremad
1.38
Hobro
1.31
HB Koge
1.25
Kolding IF
1.19
B 93
1.16
Middelfart
0.47
AC Horsens is 0.19 points worse than Lyngby in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.88).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lyngby
2.16
Aarhus Fremad
1.62
Aalborg
1.56
Esbjerg
1.41
B 93
1.38
Hvidovre
1.34
Hillerød
1.31
AC Horsens
1.31
HB Koge
1.31
Hobro
1.25
Kolding IF
1.16
Middelfart
1.00
AC Horsens is 0.84 goals worse than Lyngby in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 2.16).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
AC Horsens
0.84
Lyngby
1.12
Aarhus Fremad
1.16
Hvidovre
1.22
Kolding IF
1.25
Hobro
1.34
Hillerød
1.34
Esbjerg
1.34
Aalborg
1.47
HB Koge
1.50
B 93
1.81
Middelfart
2.41
AC Horsens is 0.28 goals better than Lyngby in terms of goals conceded per game (0.84 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AC Horsens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.67
0.53
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.48
0.64
0.57
0.54
0.38
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
0.87
0.33
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.69
0.92
0.33
0.71
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AC Horsens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.77
0.60
1.20
0.40
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.41
0.85
0.57
1.29
0.23
0.38
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lyngby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.57
1.00
0.53
1.13
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.15
0.50
1.08
0.50
1.21
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Horsens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Horsens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Horsens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś— Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AC Horsens · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan60%
Adrian Justinussen33%
Ivan Miličević17%
Kristian Kirkegaard17%
Yamirou Ouorou17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej DelaÄŤ0%
Ole Kolskogen0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Jimi Tauriainen0%
Alagie Saine0%
Julius Madsen0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Abdul Moro0%
Mikkel Kupijbida0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ole Kolskogen33%
Alagie Saine33%
Adam Herdonsson33%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan20%
Mikkel Kupijbida20%
Kristian Kirkegaard17%
Jimi Tauriainen17%
Julius Madsen17%
Abdul Moro17%
Yamirou Ouorou17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej DelaÄŤ0%
Ivan Miličević0%
Adrian Justinussen0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jimi Tauriainen33%
Kristian Kirkegaard17%
Julius Madsen17%
Yamirou Ouorou17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej DelaÄŤ0%
Ivan Miličević0%
Adrian Justinussen0%
Ole Kolskogen0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan0%
Alagie Saine0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Abdul Moro0%
Mikkel Kupijbida0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan40%
Adrian Justinussen17%
Julius Madsen17%
Victor Pálsson0%
Matej DelaÄŤ0%
Ivan Miličević0%
Ole Kolskogen0%
Kristian Kirkegaard0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Jimi Tauriainen0%
Alagie Saine0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Julius Körkkö0%
Abdul Moro0%
Yamirou Ouorou0%
Mikkel Kupijbida0%
Lyngby · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson33%
Frederik Gytkjær17%
Simon Colyn17%
Casper Winther17%
Gustav Fraulo17%
Renzo Tytens17%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Oskar Buur0%
Lauge Sandgrav0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Cornelius Allen0%
Diego Kochen0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cornelius Allen40%
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson33%
Casper Winther33%
Munashe Garananga33%
Renzo Tytens33%
Frederik Gytkjær17%
Simon Colyn17%
Lauge Sandgrav17%
Gustav Fraulo17%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard17%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Oskar Buur0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Diego Kochen0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simon Colyn17%
Oskar Buur17%
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson17%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Frederik Gytkjær0%
Casper Winther0%
Lauge Sandgrav0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Cornelius Allen0%
Renzo Tytens0%
Diego Kochen0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Simon Colyn50%
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson50%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Frederik Gytkjær0%
Oskar Buur0%
Casper Winther0%
Lauge Sandgrav0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Cornelius Allen0%
Renzo Tytens0%
Diego Kochen0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
đź’° 14. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
AC Horsens's squad is €3m less valuable than Lyngby's (€10m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
AC Horsens and Lyngby have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (8)
€5m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
AC Horsens's midfield is €3m less valuable than Lyngby's (€2m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC Horsens and Lyngby have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Denmark: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Esbjerg
Hillerød
Hvidovre
Aalborg
Aarhus Fremad
Hobro
HB Koge
Kolding IF
B 93
Middelfart