This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.07
1.53
0.67
1.20
1.47
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
2.25
1.00
2.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (13)
1.31
1.00
1.50
0.33
1.14
1.57
vs Weaker (13)
1.62
0.77
1.71
0.57
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Oulu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.3%
Under 1.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.0%
Under 2.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.8%
Under 3.5
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.6%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
1-0
5.6%
1-3 â
5.4%
AC Oulu goals ↓
HJK Helsinki goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
9.6%
9.1%
5.1%
2.2%
1
5.6%
13%
9.7%
5.4%
2.3%
2
3.6%
6.1%
5.2%
2.9%
1.2%
3
1.3%
2.2%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Oulu goals (down), columns = HJK Helsinki goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
KuPS
1.96
HJK Helsinki
1.96
VPS
1.90
SJK
1.54
Honka
1.45
AC Oulu
1.34
Inter Turku
1.29
Ilves
1.22
Haka
1.19
Lahti
1.07
Mariehamn
0.90
Kooteepee
0.74
Gnistan
0.50
AC Oulu is 0.62 points worse than HJK Helsinki in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.96).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
HJK Helsinki
1.85
KuPS
1.52
AC Oulu
1.48
VPS
1.48
SJK
1.32
Haka
1.30
Ilves
1.30
Inter Turku
1.25
Honka
1.10
Mariehamn
1.07
Lahti
0.96
Kooteepee
0.78
Gnistan
0.00
AC Oulu is 0.37 goals worse than HJK Helsinki in terms of goals scored per game (1.48 vs 1.85).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
KuPS
0.74
VPS
0.90
Honka
0.94
HJK Helsinki
0.96
Ilves
1.22
SJK
1.25
Mariehamn
1.38
Inter Turku
1.43
Gnistan
1.50
Lahti
1.52
Haka
1.56
Kooteepee
1.63
AC Oulu
1.79
AC Oulu is 0.83 goals worse than HJK Helsinki in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 0.96).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
HJK Helsinki
53%
SJK
52%
Honka
52%
KuPS
52%
VPS
50%
Ilves
50%
Inter Turku
50%
Gnistan
49%
Kooteepee
49%
Lahti
48%
Haka
48%
Mariehamn
47%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
AC Oulu
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
HJK Helsinki
For 2.9 · Against 5.8 · Total 8.7
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 21.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AC Oulu
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (49)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (42)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
9.4
8.3
2.5
2.5
2.4
22.9
22.9
22.8
vs Stronger (9)
8.3
8.2
8.4
4.0
5.0
3.2
21.0
22.8
19.2
vs Similar (21)
9.1
9.0
9.2
2.4
2.2
2.5
22.6
19.8
24.3
vs Weaker (20)
8.8
10.4
7.0
1.9
1.9
1.8
24.2
24.9
23.5
% over line
49%
53%
45%
30%
29%
31%
56%
67%
47%
% under line
51%
47%
55%
70%
71%
69%
44%
33%
53%
This opponent (AC Oulu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kooteepee
11.2
SJK
10.6
Haka
10.5
Mariehamn
10.1
VPS
10.1
Inter Turku
9.9
Ilves
9.8
Honka
9.7
HJK Helsinki
9.7
Lahti
9.6
KuPS
9.5
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kooteepee
5.0
Lahti
4.8
Mariehamn
4.7
Inter Turku
4.5
Haka
4.3
KuPS
4.3
SJK
4.1
VPS
3.9
Honka
3.9
HJK Helsinki
3.8
Ilves
3.7
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mariehamn
25.1
Ilves
24.9
Inter Turku
24.5
SJK
24.0
HJK Helsinki
23.7
Lahti
23.5
KuPS
23.1
Kooteepee
23.0
Haka
22.9
VPS
21.9
Honka
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.7%
Under 9.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.0%
Under 3.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.3%
Under 21.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AC Oulu
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.73
0.47
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.70
0.59
0.79
0.50
0.62
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.40
0.67
0.40
0.33
0.40
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.31
0.50
0.33
0.29
0.29
vs Weaker (13)
0.69
0.31
0.86
0.29
0.50
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Oulu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Oulu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Oulu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Oulu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AC Oulu
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.90
0.60
1.00
1.47
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (27)
1.11
0.89
0.64
0.93
1.62
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HJK Helsinki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
0.87
0.27
0.87
1.07
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.69
1.00
0.00
0.86
1.29
vs Weaker (13)
0.92
0.46
0.86
0.29
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Oulu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Oulu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Oulu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Oulu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
AC Oulu · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julius KÃķrkkÃķ40%
Kalifa Jatta25%
Iiro Mendolin17%
Elias Kallio17%
R. Karjalainen14%
Juha Pirinen0%
Miguel Santos0%
M. Ojala0%
M. PitkÃĪnen0%
Tuomas Kaukua0%
N. Jokelainen0%
L. Ghezali0%
S. Sipola0%
Otto Kemppainen0%
J. Lietsa0%
Santeri Silander0%
Julius Paananen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julius KÃķrkkÃķ40%
M. Ojala33%
Julius Paananen33%
Juha Pirinen29%
M. PitkÃĪnen25%
J. Lietsa25%
Otto Kemppainen20%
Iiro Mendolin17%
Miguel Santos0%
R. Karjalainen0%
Tuomas Kaukua0%
N. Jokelainen0%
L. Ghezali0%
S. Sipola0%
Santeri Silander0%
Kalifa Jatta0%
Elias Kallio0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
R. Karjalainen29%
Julius KÃķrkkÃķ20%
Iiro Mendolin17%
L. Ghezali14%
Juha Pirinen0%
Miguel Santos0%
M. Ojala0%
M. PitkÃĪnen0%
Tuomas Kaukua0%
N. Jokelainen0%
S. Sipola0%
Otto Kemppainen0%
J. Lietsa0%
Santeri Silander0%
Julius Paananen0%
Kalifa Jatta0%
Elias Kallio0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julius KÃķrkkÃķ60%
R. Karjalainen43%
Julius Paananen17%
Elias Kallio17%
Juha Pirinen0%
Miguel Santos0%
M. Ojala0%
M. PitkÃĪnen0%
Tuomas Kaukua0%
N. Jokelainen0%
L. Ghezali0%
S. Sipola0%
Otto Kemppainen0%
J. Lietsa0%
Santeri Silander0%
Iiro Mendolin0%
Kalifa Jatta0%
HJK Helsinki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bojan RaduloviÄ60%
Hassane BandÃĐ40%
Santeri Hostikka25%
PÃŦrparim Hetemaj20%
Pyry Soiri0%
Aapo Halme0%
Niki MÃĪenpÃĪÃĪ0%
Kristopher Da Graca0%
Joona Toivio0%
Jukka Raitala0%
Niko HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Jesse Ãst0%
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan0%
Miro Tenho0%
Lucas Lingman0%
Anthony Olusanya0%
Tuomas Ollila0%
Matti Peltola0%
Georgios Kanellopoulos0%
Topi Keskinen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucas Lingman33%
Topi Keskinen33%
Santeri Hostikka25%
Miro Tenho25%
Matti Peltola25%
PÃŦrparim Hetemaj20%
Pyry Soiri0%
Aapo Halme0%
Niki MÃĪenpÃĪÃĪ0%
Kristopher Da Graca0%
Joona Toivio0%
Jukka Raitala0%
Niko HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Jesse Ãst0%
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan0%
Anthony Olusanya0%
Tuomas Ollila0%
Hassane BandÃĐ0%
Georgios Kanellopoulos0%
Bojan RaduloviÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lucas Lingman33%
Matti Peltola25%
Hassane BandÃĐ20%
Pyry Soiri0%
Aapo Halme0%
Niki MÃĪenpÃĪÃĪ0%
PÃŦrparim Hetemaj0%
Santeri Hostikka0%
Kristopher Da Graca0%
Joona Toivio0%
Jukka Raitala0%
Niko HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Jesse Ãst0%
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan0%
Miro Tenho0%
Anthony Olusanya0%
Tuomas Ollila0%
Georgios Kanellopoulos0%
Bojan RaduloviÄ0%
Topi Keskinen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Santeri Hostikka25%
Bojan RaduloviÄ20%
Pyry Soiri0%
Aapo Halme0%
Niki MÃĪenpÃĪÃĪ0%
PÃŦrparim Hetemaj0%
Kristopher Da Graca0%
Joona Toivio0%
Jukka Raitala0%
Niko HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Jesse Ãst0%
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan0%
Miro Tenho0%
Lucas Lingman0%
Anthony Olusanya0%
Tuomas Ollila0%
Hassane BandÃĐ0%
Matti Peltola0%
Georgios Kanellopoulos0%
Topi Keskinen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (22)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
AC Oulu's squad is €4m less valuable than HJK Helsinki's (€4m vs €7m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
KOO (10)
€1m
HAK (7)
€0m
AC Oulu's attack is €1m less valuable than HJK Helsinki's (€1m vs €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (3)
€1m
HAK (5)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
AC Oulu and HJK Helsinki have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
HAK (9)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
AC Oulu's defence is €2m less valuable than HJK Helsinki's (€1m vs €3m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →