AC Oulu and SJK face a finely balanced clash, with the model favouring a home win. The probabilities are 41 % for AC Oulu, 27 % for a draw and 31 % for SJK. The average goal count sits at 2.9, but the most likely total is two goals, a 25 % chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.8 % probability. AC Oulu, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 1.23 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. SJK, on the road, averages 2.21 goals scored and 1.64 conceded versus similar opposition. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.1 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.8 % with a 5 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.7 % with a 6 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.3 % with a 3 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.4 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.2 % with a 7 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.5 % with a 2 % edge) and Under 5.5 (92.9 % with a 4 % edge). AC Oulu’s recent form shows a win after a mixed run, while SJK comes off two straight defeats.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, a home win for AC Oulu with a 42% probability, fell short as the match finished 0-0, a draw that extends both sides’ recent runs of draws. The model’s call was wrong. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 (99.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%), Under 6.5 (97.3%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.6%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.5%) and Under 5.5 (92.9%). The final score of 0-0 matched the model’s most likely outcome of a 1-1 draw, but the predicted 2-1 win for AC Oulu was not achieved.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
AC Oulu win✗ Miss
41.8%
Avg Implied 45.8% · @ 2.02
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.09
Dafabet
2.07
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
2.04
Draw✓ Hit
27.1%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.53
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.65
1xBet
3.62
Marathonbet
3.62
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.60
SJK win✗ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.31
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.63
Marathonbet
3.40
Dafabet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Superbet
3.35
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
AC Oulu
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.27
1.29
1.07
1.12
1.44
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (25)
1.24
1.32
1.33
1.17
1.15
1.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.43
1.53
1.20
2.07
1.67
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.75
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
2.05
1.59
1.40
1.50
2.58
1.67
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Oulu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.1%
@ 1.20+1.7%
Under 1.5
20.9%
@ 4.12-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Under
Unibet
4.50
Pinnacle
4.38
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.6%
@ 1.69-0.9%
Under 2.5
45.4%
@ 2.10+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.78
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.70
Under
Unibet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.3%
@ 2.66-2.6%
Under 3.5
67.7%
@ 1.43+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.82
Bet365
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Betfair
2.70
1xBet
2.68
Under
Unibet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.8%
@ 1.57-0.2%
No
41.2%
@ 2.25+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.60
Superbet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
No
Unibet
2.35
Betfair
2.30
Betano
2.27
10Bet
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%@ 6.48+6.0%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.81+3.4%
1-0
7.7%@ 8.33+2.4%
1-2
7.6%@ 10.38+3.4%
0-0 ✓
6.9%@ 11.82+3.1%
2-0
6.9%@ 10.06+2.5%
0-1
6.3%@ 11.03+2.3%
2-2
5.9%@ 11.20+2.0%
AC Oulu goals ↓
SJK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
6.3%
4.9%
2.2%
0.7%
1
7.7%
13%
7.6%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.9%
9.0%
5.9%
2.6%
0.9%
3
3.5%
4.7%
3.1%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.4%
1.8%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AC Oulu goals (down), columns = SJK goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
KuPS
1.95
Inter Turku
1.91
HJK Helsinki
1.68
Gnistan
1.64
AC Oulu
1.55
VPS
1.50
Lahti
1.45
Turku PS
1.41
Ilves
1.14
SJK
0.86
FF Jaro
0.68
Mariehamn
0.64
AC Oulu is 0.68 points better than SJK in terms of average points per game (1.55 vs 0.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
KuPS
1.73
HJK Helsinki
1.64
Gnistan
1.64
Ilves
1.55
VPS
1.32
Inter Turku
1.32
Turku PS
1.27
Lahti
1.18
SJK
1.14
AC Oulu
1.14
FF Jaro
0.82
Mariehamn
0.77
AC Oulu and SJK are level in goals scored per game (both 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Inter Turku
0.73
Lahti
0.86
VPS
1.00
KuPS
1.05
Turku PS
1.05
AC Oulu
1.14
HJK Helsinki
1.23
Gnistan
1.32
SJK
1.50
Ilves
1.68
Mariehamn
1.95
FF Jaro
2.00
AC Oulu is 0.36 goals better than SJK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Inter Turku
58%
KuPS
57%
Lahti
56%
HJK Helsinki
55%
SJK
50%
Turku PS
50%
Ilves
49%
VPS
48%
AC Oulu
48%
FF Jaro
47%
Mariehamn
45%
Gnistan
44%
AC Oulu is 2.1 percentage points worse than SJK in terms of average possession (48% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AC Oulu
For 5.0 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 13.1 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SJK
For 5.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 7.8 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AC Oulu
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
11.5
8.9
1.4
1.4
1.4
22.7
25.0
20.8
vs Stronger (9)
10.0
12.0
8.7
1.9
2.0
1.8
21.8
25.5
19.3
vs Similar (41)
10.1
11.3
9.0
1.3
1.3
1.3
23.0
24.8
21.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
75%
30%
24%
26%
22%
56%
88%
30%
% under line
50%
25%
70%
76%
74%
78%
44%
12%
70%
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.1
10.2
1.7
1.3
2.0
19.2
17.8
20.3
vs Stronger (12)
10.8
12.5
9.0
1.3
1.3
1.4
20.0
18.0
22.0
vs Similar (35)
10.1
9.4
10.5
1.9
1.5
2.3
19.1
17.7
20.0
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
52%
56%
50%
26%
16%
36%
38%
22%
50%
% under line
48%
44%
50%
74%
84%
64%
62%
78%
50%
This opponent (AC Oulu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
11.5
Inter Turku
10.6
Mariehamn
10.3
SJK
10.1
Ilves
10.1
AC Oulu
10.1
FF Jaro
10.1
HJK Helsinki
9.9
VPS
9.8
KuPS
9.8
Lahti
9.8
Turku PS
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lahti
4.5
Turku PS
4.3
Gnistan
4.0
AC Oulu
3.9
SJK
3.9
Mariehamn
3.9
Ilves
3.8
Inter Turku
3.8
VPS
3.6
FF Jaro
3.3
KuPS
3.2
HJK Helsinki
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SJK
23.8
Ilves
23.2
Inter Turku
23.2
Lahti
23.1
AC Oulu
22.7
Gnistan
22.5
VPS
22.4
KuPS
22.0
Mariehamn
21.9
Turku PS
21.8
HJK Helsinki
20.5
FF Jaro
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.6%
@ 1.68-8.5%
Under 9.5
53.4%
@ 2.06+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Under
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.14
Marathonbet
2.09
1xBet
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.0%
Under 3.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
45.6%
Under 21.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
AC Oulu or Draw✓ Hit
68.9%
Avg Implied 72.0% · @ 1.30
Edge
-3.1%
42%
27%
31%
covers AC Oulu + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.30
AC Oulu or SJK✗ Miss
72.9%
Avg Implied 74.5% · @ 1.25
Edge
-1.5%
42%
27%
31%
covers AC Oulu + SJK
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Draw or SJK✓ Hit
58.2%
Avg Implied 53.6% · @ 1.74
Edge
+4.6%
42%
27%
31%
covers Draw + SJK
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
SBO
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
AC Oulu over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.8%
@ 1.17-0.9%
Under
21.2%
@ 4.57+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.50
Superbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
AC Oulu over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.9%
@ 1.85-4.3%
Under
54.1%
@ 1.87+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Betano
1.87
BetVictor
1.87
Under
Betfair
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Unibet
1.88
AC Oulu over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.4%
@ 3.67-4.8%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.24+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.95
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.74
10Bet
3.70
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
AC Oulu over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 7.93-4.5%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.05+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.90
Superbet
7.70
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
SJK over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
73.1%
@ 1.31+2.4%
Under
26.9%
@ 3.17-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.30
Unibet
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
SJK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.8%
@ 2.56+1.3%
Under
62.2%
@ 1.47-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.76
Marathonbet
2.66
1xBet
2.66
Betfair
2.63
BetVictor
2.60
Under
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
SJK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.6%
@ 5.86-1.2%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.10+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.35
1xBet
6.35
BetVictor
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.10
SJK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 13.75-2.5%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.02+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to AC Oulu, so a minus line means AC Oulu give that many goals of a start and SJK receive them. At -1, AC Oulu must win by two or more to land; a one-goal AC Oulu win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (AC Oulu)Actual: SJK
AC Oulu -2
8.6%
@ 7.13-3.9%
Draw -2
12.9%
@ 5.61-3.0%
SJK +2
78.5%
@ 1.24+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Marathonbet
6.75
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.60
Superbet
5.55
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.40
Away
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Handicap -1 (AC Oulu)Actual: SJK
AC Oulu -1
21.5%
@ 3.52-3.9%
Draw -1
20.3%
@ 3.78-3.3%
SJK +1
58.2%
@ 1.75+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.65
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Unibet
3.70
Away
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
Superbet
1.74
Unibet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Handicap +1 (AC Oulu)Actual: AC Oulu
AC Oulu +1
68.9%
@ 1.32+0.8%
Draw +1
17.0%
@ 4.92-1.2%
SJK -1
14.1%
@ 6.53+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Draw
Superbet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Unibet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Away
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Unibet
6.25
Handicap +2 (AC Oulu)Actual: AC Oulu
AC Oulu +2
85.9%
@ 1.09+0.6%
Draw +2
9.2%
@ 10.00-0.1%
SJK -2
4.9%
@ 17.00-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.09
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AC Oulu
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.50
0.36
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.40
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (25)
0.48
0.68
0.50
0.33
0.46
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.53
0.67
1.13
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (22)
1.00
0.77
0.50
0.80
1.42
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Oulu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
69.2%
@ 1.31-1.8%
Under 0.5
30.8%
@ 3.21+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.7%
@ 2.45-6.2%
Under 1.5
68.3%
@ 1.50+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.59
Betano
2.52
Marathonbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Under
Unibet
1.54
Superbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.51
Betfair
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 5.69-5.1%
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.11+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
5.80
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.60
Under
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AC Oulu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.0%
@ 1.76-5.8%
Under
53.0%
@ 1.97+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.74
Under
Unibet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.01
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
AC Oulu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.5%
@ 4.87-6.6%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.14+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
4.95
Betano
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
AC Oulu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 12.50-5.4%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
SJK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.5%
@ 2.15-0.6%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.63+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.27
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Under
Unibet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.62
SJK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.8%
@ 7.12-3.2%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.07+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.70
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
SJK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 20.83-3.2%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AC Oulu
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.79
0.71
0.62
0.56
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.60
0.50
0.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.64
0.83
0.83
0.69
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.73
1.00
0.53
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.50
1.00
0.25
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.05
0.82
0.90
0.70
1.17
0.92
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Oulu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
77.1%
@ 1.18-1.5%
Under 0.5
22.9%
@ 4.31+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Under
Betano
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.3%
@ 1.88-8.2%
Under 1.5
58.7%
@ 1.84+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Under
Betano
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Unibet
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.8%
@ 3.75-6.9%
Under 2.5
82.2%
@ 1.23+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Under
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AC Oulu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.3%
@ 1.53-7.5%
Under
46.7%
@ 2.37+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.53
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Under
Betano
2.40
10Bet
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Superbet
2.35
AC Oulu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.9%
@ 3.47-8.7%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.26+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.56
Superbet
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Betano
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
AC Oulu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 8.95-6.5%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.03+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.60
Superbet
9.40
10Bet
9.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
SJK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.2%
@ 1.81+0.9%
Under
47.8%
@ 1.90-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.75
Under
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
SJK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.0%
@ 5.01-4.5%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.14+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.65
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
SJK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 13.08-3.9%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.02+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.2%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.9%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
BetVictor
1.02
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.2%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.11
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.5%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.0%
1.14
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.9%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.4%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.10
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.7%
1.15
Pinnacle
1.18
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.2%
1.23
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.21
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
82.1%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
79.6%
1.24
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.1%
1.20
Pinnacle
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
+1.7%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
78.8%
1.17
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
-0.9%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
78.5%
1.24
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.1%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
-1.5%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
76.2%
1.42
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
+11.5%
-
Away over 0.5 goals
73.1%
1.31
Pinnacle
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
+2.4%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.9%
1.25
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
-1.5%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 23.5 fouls
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AC Oulu
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julius Körkkö40%
Kalifa Jatta25%
Iiro Mendolin17%
Elias Kallio17%
R. Karjalainen14%
Juha Pirinen0%
Miguel Santos0%
M. Ojala0%
M. Pitkänen0%
Tuomas Kaukua0%
N. Jokelainen0%
L. Ghezali0%
S. Sipola0%
Otto Kemppainen0%
J. Lietsa0%
Santeri Silander0%
Julius Paananen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julius Körkkö40%
M. Ojala33%
Julius Paananen33%
Juha Pirinen29%
M. Pitkänen25%
J. Lietsa25%
Otto Kemppainen20%
Iiro Mendolin17%
Miguel Santos0%
R. Karjalainen0%
Tuomas Kaukua0%
N. Jokelainen0%
L. Ghezali0%
S. Sipola0%
Santeri Silander0%
Kalifa Jatta0%
Elias Kallio0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
R. Karjalainen29%
Julius Körkkö20%
Iiro Mendolin17%
L. Ghezali14%
Juha Pirinen0%
Miguel Santos0%
M. Ojala0%
M. Pitkänen0%
Tuomas Kaukua0%
N. Jokelainen0%
S. Sipola0%
Otto Kemppainen0%
J. Lietsa0%
Santeri Silander0%
Julius Paananen0%
Kalifa Jatta0%
Elias Kallio0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julius Körkkö60%
R. Karjalainen43%
Julius Paananen17%
Elias Kallio17%
Juha Pirinen0%
Miguel Santos0%
M. Ojala0%
M. Pitkänen0%
Tuomas Kaukua0%
N. Jokelainen0%
L. Ghezali0%
S. Sipola0%
Otto Kemppainen0%
J. Lietsa0%
Santeri Silander0%
Iiro Mendolin0%
Kalifa Jatta0%
SJK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
E. Mastokangas25%
K. Paananen20%
O. Tessilimi20%
J. Streng0%
Rangel0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
R. Paunio0%
J. Moisio0%
M. Arsalo0%
O. Väistö0%
A. Boström0%
A. Wilson0%
S. Yussif0%
Caio Araújo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Yussif50%
O. Tessilimi40%
A. Boström33%
Rangel25%
K. Paananen20%
M. Arsalo17%
J. Streng0%
E. Mastokangas0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
R. Paunio0%
J. Moisio0%
O. Väistö0%
A. Wilson0%
Caio Araújo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Streng20%
Rangel0%
E. Mastokangas0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
R. Paunio0%
J. Moisio0%
M. Arsalo0%
K. Paananen0%
O. Väistö0%
A. Boström0%
O. Tessilimi0%
A. Wilson0%
S. Yussif0%
Caio Araújo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Wilson33%
Rangel25%
J. Streng20%
K. Paananen20%
E. Mastokangas0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
R. Paunio0%
J. Moisio0%
M. Arsalo0%
O. Väistö0%
A. Boström0%
O. Tessilimi0%
S. Yussif0%
Caio Araújo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (22)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
AC Oulu and SJK have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
AC Oulu and SJK have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (3)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
AC Oulu and SJK have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
AC Oulu and SJK have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
KuPS
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
VPS
Lahti
Turku PS
Ilves
FF Jaro
Mariehamn