PythiaFootballBETA
Academico Viseu's recent form has been a concern, coming off a defeat with a last 5-game record of LDDWD, but they still hold a slight edge at home. The model predicts a low-scoring match, with an expected total of 2.1 goals and a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.5% chance. Academico Viseu's home form is impressive, scoring 1.29 goals and conceding 0.57 against similar opponents. Sporting CP B, however, struggles to score away from home, netting only 0.67 goals and conceding 2.0 against similar opponents. The model's selection is the home win, with a 41% chance, while the draw is a 32% possibility, and the away win a 27% chance. The model's selections also include Over 21.5 fouls (84.8%), Under 3.5 cards (83.3%), and Over 3.5 cards (85.4%). The home side has a 41% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and the away side has a 27% chance.
A surprise result in Portugal's Segunda Liga as Academico Viseu held off Sporting CP B to a 0-0 draw. The win extends their recent run of inconsistent form, having come off a defeat in their last outing against Santa Clara. Meanwhile, Sporting CP B's 2-game winning streak was brought to an end. The pre-match favourite, the home win, did not come through, with the model's selection also falling short. The model had predicted a home win with a 41% probability. The model's selection was wrong, however, as the actual result was a draw. The model's call on the total cards also went awry, missing the under 3.5 cards with an 83.3% probability, while incorrectly predicting an over 3.5 cards with 85.4% probability.
Academico Viseu| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.83 | 0.93 | 2.00 | 0.73 | 1.67 | 1.13 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 1.46 | 0.85 | 1.29 | 0.57 | 1.67 | 1.17 |
| vs Weaker (17) | 2.12 | 1.00 | 2.62 | 0.88 | 1.67 | 1.11 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
Sporting CP B| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.30 | 1.10 | 1.38 | 1.19 | 1.21 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (7) | 0.57 | 1.71 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| vs Weaker (23) | 1.52 | 0.91 | 1.67 | 1.08 | 1.36 | 0.73 |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
| Sporting CP B goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 13% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 13% | 15% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 8.7% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Academico ViseuSporting CP BAcademico Viseu| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.1 | 10.0 | 10.1 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 22.2 | 22.2 | 22.2 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (24) | 9.3 | 7.0 | 10.2 | 5.2 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 20.7 | 20.7 | 20.7 |
| vs Weaker (26) | 10.5 | 10.8 | 10.0 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 23.2 | 22.6 | 24.8 |
| % over line | 56% | 50% | 62% | 78% | 84% | 72% | 68% | 71% | 64% |
| % under line | 44% | 50% | 38% | 22% | 16% | 28% | 32% | 29% | 36% |
Sporting CP B| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (33) | 8.3 | 9.0 | 7.8 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 25.0 | 25.5 | 24.7 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 9.0 | - | 9.0 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 20.0 | - | 20.0 |
| vs Weaker (24) | 8.2 | 9.0 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 25.6 | 25.5 | 25.6 |
| % over line | 40% | 75% | 17% | 58% | 59% | 56% | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| % under line | 60% | 25% | 83% | 42% | 41% | 44% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 cards | 85.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 84.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 3.5 | 83.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/26 | A | 1-2 |
Academico Viseu| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 4-3 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 21/03/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 14/03/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 06/03/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 01/03/26 | H | 3-1 |
Sporting CP B| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 01/05/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 20/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 22/03/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 13/03/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 08/03/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 28/02/26 | H | 0-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Maritimo | 34 | 66 | 59% | 1.9 | 50 | 29 | +21 | 2.3 | 65% | 38% | 24% | 7.7 | 20% | 6.4 | 91% | 30.1 | 93% | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 52% |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 59 | 50% | 1.7 | 58 | 33 | +25 | 2.7 | 68% | 56% | 35% | 9.8 | 54% | 6.1 | 91% | 29.1 | 100% | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 49% |
| 3 |  Torreense | 34 | 59 | 53% | 1.7 | 46 | 33 | +13 | 2.3 | 59% | 44% | 21% | 10.2 | 38% | 5.4 | 82% | 23.1 | 62% | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 46% |
| 4 |  FC Porto B | 34 | 51 | 44% | 1.5 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 2.4 | 68% | 50% | 21% | 9.6 | 55% | 6.3 | 82% | 29.4 | 100% | 57 | 19 | 10 | 27 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 47% |
| 5 |  Vizela | 34 | 51 | 41% | 1.5 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 2.3 | 65% | 41% | 21% | 9.1 | 33% | 6.6 | 88% | 29.9 | 78% | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 54% |
| 6 |  União de Leiria | 34 | 50 | 38% | 1.5 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 2.9 | 74% | 59% | 44% | 10.2 | 69% | 5.9 | 82% | 30.6 | 100% | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 51% |
| 7 |  Leixoes | 34 | 50 | 44% | 1.5 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 3.0 | 82% | 59% | 35% | 8.7 | 27% | 6.1 | 91% | 30.1 | 91% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 50% |
| 8 |  Feirense | 34 | 46 | 35% | 1.4 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 2.3 | 62% | 44% | 18% | 9.3 | 29% | 7.0 | 94% | 29.1 | 86% | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 42% |
| 9 |  Chaves | 34 | 45 | 38% | 1.3 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 2.4 | 65% | 35% | 24% | 8.3 | 38% | 6.3 | 82% | 27.9 | 85% | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 55% |
| 10 |  Benfica B | 34 | 44 | 32% | 1.3 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 2.6 | 79% | 44% | 15% | 9.6 | 50% | 6.9 | 91% | 31.8 | 92% | 76 | 15 | 8 | 53 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 54% |
| 11 |  Felgueiras 1932 | 34 | 44 | 32% | 1.3 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 2.1 | 62% | 32% | 18% | 10.2 | 56% | 5.9 | 79% | 29.4 | 89% | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 54% |
| 12 |  Farense | 36 | 44 | 31% | 1.2 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 1.9 | 61% | 31% | 8% | 9.7 | 44% | 5.9 | 86% | 31.0 | 100% | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 49% |
| 13 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 34 | 43 | 32% | 1.3 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 2.8 | 76% | 59% | 32% | 10.4 | 54% | 5.9 | 85% | 30.1 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 48% |
| 14 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 42 | 38% | 1.2 | 41 | 34 | +7 | 2.2 | 53% | 44% | 18% | 8.3 | 40% | 6.0 | 70% | 25.0 | 80% | 76 | 37 | 18 | 21 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 54% |
| 15 |  Penafiel | 34 | 41 | 32% | 1.2 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 2.2 | 65% | 38% | 15% | 11.2 | 80% | 5.6 | 71% | 27.1 | 70% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 49% |
| 16 |  Portimonense | 34 | 40 | 32% | 1.2 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 2.6 | 68% | 41% | 24% | 10.6 | 78% | 5.7 | 88% | 32.9 | 100% | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 48% |
| 17 |  Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 39 | 26% | 1.1 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 2.4 | 68% | 50% | 24% | 9.5 | 46% | 6.3 | 82% | 29.5 | 85% | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 46% |
| 18 |  Oliveirense | 34 | 34 | 24% | 1.0 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 2.4 | 65% | 44% | 24% | 9.2 | 55% | 5.2 | 61% | 29.3 | 91% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 49% |
| 19 |  CF Os Belenenses | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | 4.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | - |