This opponent (Vizela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vizela
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.67
1.50
1.36
1.12
1.94
vs Stronger (7)
1.29
3.00
2.00
1.00
1.17
3.33
vs Similar (23)
1.30
1.26
1.46
1.38
1.10
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Academico Viseu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.0%
Under 1.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.9%
Under 2.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.2%
Under 3.5
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.9%
No
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.8%
0-0 ✓
12.3%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.7%
Academico Viseu goals ↓
Vizela goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
8.9%
4.7%
1.5%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
6.1%
1.9%
0.4%
2
9.0%
8.4%
3.9%
1.2%
0.3%
3
3.8%
3.6%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.2%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Academico Viseu goals (down), columns = Vizela goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Tondela
1.88
Alverca
1.85
Vizela
1.82
Benfica B
1.62
Torreense
1.59
União de Leiria
1.53
Chaves
1.50
CF Os Belenenses
1.50
Feirense
1.44
Felgueiras 1932
1.35
Academico Viseu
1.32
Penafiel
1.32
Maritimo
1.26
Leixoes
1.21
FC Porto B
1.03
Portimonense
1.00
Pacos Ferreira
1.00
Oliveirense
0.85
Mafra
0.79
Academico Viseu is 0.50 points worse than Vizela in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.82).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Alverca
1.71
Tondela
1.71
Benfica B
1.56
Vizela
1.47
Torreense
1.44
União de Leiria
1.44
Penafiel
1.32
Academico Viseu
1.26
Felgueiras 1932
1.26
Maritimo
1.24
Chaves
1.18
Portimonense
1.12
Leixoes
1.09
FC Porto B
1.06
Feirense
1.03
Pacos Ferreira
1.03
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Oliveirense
0.88
Mafra
0.85
Academico Viseu is 0.21 goals worse than Vizela in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vizela
0.88
Chaves
1.00
Alverca
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Tondela
1.03
União de Leiria
1.09
Benfica B
1.12
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.21
Torreense
1.24
Leixoes
1.24
Penafiel
1.38
FC Porto B
1.38
Maritimo
1.41
Pacos Ferreira
1.44
CF Os Belenenses
1.50
Portimonense
1.59
Mafra
1.59
Oliveirense
1.88
Academico Viseu is 0.32 goals worse than Vizela in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 0.88).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Vizela
62%
Felgueiras 1932
57%
Chaves
56%
União de Leiria
55%
Benfica B
53%
Oliveirense
51%
Maritimo
51%
FC Porto B
51%
Leixoes
51%
Mafra
50%
Torreense
50%
Feirense
50%
Academico Viseu
48%
Alverca
48%
Penafiel
47%
Tondela
47%
Portimonense
40%
Pacos Ferreira
39%
Academico Viseu is 13.4 percentage points worse than Vizela in terms of average possession (48% vs 62%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Academico Viseu
For 3.7 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 7.7 · Total 16.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vizela
For 5.2 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 6.4 · Against 7.5 · Total 13.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Academico Viseu
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.6
9.8
3.6
3.6
3.7
22.2
21.1
23.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
9.5
9.8
9.3
3.8
3.7
3.8
22.6
22.7
22.4
vs Weaker (12)
10.1
9.2
10.8
3.2
3.0
3.3
21.5
17.4
24.8
% over line
53%
50%
56%
50%
48%
52%
62%
62%
61%
% under line
47%
50%
44%
50%
52%
48%
38%
38%
39%
This opponent (Vizela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vizela
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.2
9.5
4.5
4.9
4.1
25.8
24.7
27.1
vs Stronger (14)
9.1
9.5
8.6
4.6
4.4
4.7
29.8
29.8
29.8
vs Similar (36)
10.2
10.6
9.8
4.5
5.1
3.9
24.4
22.6
26.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
56%
44%
70%
72%
68%
88%
86%
90%
% under line
50%
44%
56%
30%
28%
32%
12%
14%
10%
This opponent (Academico Viseu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oliveirense
11.3
Portimonense
11.1
Tondela
10.9
Feirense
10.8
Torreense
10.7
FC Porto B
10.5
Penafiel
10.3
Chaves
10.3
União de Leiria
10.2
Benfica B
10.2
Academico Viseu
10.0
Mafra
10.0
Pacos Ferreira
10.0
Vizela
9.9
Leixoes
9.8
Maritimo
9.7
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Felgueiras 1932
8.5
Alverca
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Felgueiras 1932
6.9
Maritimo
5.8
Chaves
5.7
Benfica B
5.6
Penafiel
5.5
Oliveirense
5.4
Leixoes
5.3
Portimonense
5.3
Pacos Ferreira
5.3
Vizela
5.1
União de Leiria
5.1
Torreense
5.1
Tondela
5.0
FC Porto B
4.8
Feirense
4.6
Academico Viseu
4.4
Mafra
4.4
CF Os Belenenses
4.1
Alverca
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Leixoes
27.9
Pacos Ferreira
27.6
Vizela
25.8
Chaves
25.7
Feirense
25.3
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Tondela
24.8
Oliveirense
24.5
Maritimo
24.5
Portimonense
24.4
União de Leiria
23.6
Penafiel
23.3
Torreense
23.2
FC Porto B
22.8
Mafra
22.7
Academico Viseu
22.5
Benfica B
22.5
Alverca
10.6
Felgueiras 1932
9.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.8%
Under 9.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
67.7%
Under 3.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
14.1%
Under 21.5
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Academico Viseu
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.50
0.69
0.23
0.71
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.50
0.80
0.20
0.64
0.71
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.50
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Vizela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vizela
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.50
0.57
0.44
0.81
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.57
1.00
0.00
0.33
1.83
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.43
0.46
0.62
0.50
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Academico Viseu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Academico Viseu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Academico Viseu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Academico Viseu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Academico Viseu
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.38
0.85
0.71
0.65
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.71
0.30
0.90
0.71
0.57
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Vizela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vizela
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.97
1.00
0.79
0.69
1.12
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.43
1.00
1.00
0.83
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.83
1.00
0.77
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Academico Viseu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Academico Viseu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Academico Viseu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Academico Viseu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 23.5 fouls
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 21.5 fouls
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 19.5 fouls
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Academico Viseu
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yuri Araújo43%
Marquinho17%
André Clóvis14%
Sori Mané0%
Alan Marinelli0%
Nigel Thomas0%
Paulinho Mota0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Henrique Gomes0%
Luís Silva0%
André Almeida0%
Diogo Almeida0%
Nils Mortimer0%
Soufiane Messeguem0%
Gauthier Ott0%
Nikolaos Michelis0%
Samba Koné0%
Kauã Oliveira0%
Simao Silva0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Henrique Gomes83%
Soufiane Messeguem43%
Samba Koné43%
Luís Silva33%
Nils Mortimer33%
Kauã Oliveira33%
André Clóvis29%
Alan Marinelli25%
André Almeida25%
Sori Mané0%
Nigel Thomas0%
Paulinho Mota0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Yuri Araújo0%
Diogo Almeida0%
Gauthier Ott0%
Nikolaos Michelis0%
Marquinho0%
Simao Silva0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sori Mané0%
Alan Marinelli0%
Nigel Thomas0%
Paulinho Mota0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Yuri Araújo0%
Henrique Gomes0%
Luís Silva0%
André Clóvis0%
André Almeida0%
Diogo Almeida0%
Nils Mortimer0%
Soufiane Messeguem0%
Gauthier Ott0%
Nikolaos Michelis0%
Samba Koné0%
Marquinho0%
Kauã Oliveira0%
Simao Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Clóvis43%
Yuri Araújo14%
Samba Koné14%
Sori Mané0%
Alan Marinelli0%
Nigel Thomas0%
Paulinho Mota0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Henrique Gomes0%
Luís Silva0%
André Almeida0%
Diogo Almeida0%
Nils Mortimer0%
Soufiane Messeguem0%
Gauthier Ott0%
Nikolaos Michelis0%
Marquinho0%
Kauã Oliveira0%
Simao Silva0%
Vizela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Heinz Mörschel40%
Orest Lebedenko25%
Uroš Milovanović25%
Prosper Obah17%
Sava Petrov0%
Angel Bastunov0%
Damien Loppy0%
André Schutte0%
Miguel Tavares0%
João Reis0%
Anthony Correia0%
Aleksandar Busnić0%
Jean-Pierre Rhyner0%
Yannick Semedo0%
Natanael Ntolla0%
Jota Gonçalves0%
Diogo Nascimento0%
Raúl García0%
Rodrigo Ramos0%
Vivaldo0%
Ítalo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anthony Correia60%
Vivaldo40%
João Reis33%
Prosper Obah33%
Diogo Nascimento29%
Rodrigo Ramos29%
Aleksandar Busnić25%
Jota Gonçalves25%
Uroš Milovanović25%
Jean-Pierre Rhyner20%
Yannick Semedo14%
Sava Petrov0%
Angel Bastunov0%
Damien Loppy0%
Heinz Mörschel0%
André Schutte0%
Miguel Tavares0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Natanael Ntolla0%
Raúl García0%
Ítalo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Orest Lebedenko50%
Natanael Ntolla25%
Uroš Milovanović25%
Damien Loppy17%
Diogo Nascimento14%
Sava Petrov0%
Angel Bastunov0%
Heinz Mörschel0%
André Schutte0%
Miguel Tavares0%
João Reis0%
Anthony Correia0%
Aleksandar Busnić0%
Jean-Pierre Rhyner0%
Yannick Semedo0%
Jota Gonçalves0%
Raúl García0%
Rodrigo Ramos0%
Vivaldo0%
Prosper Obah0%
Ítalo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Heinz Mörschel40%
João Reis33%
Prosper Obah33%
Uroš Milovanović25%
Vivaldo20%
Sava Petrov0%
Angel Bastunov0%
Damien Loppy0%
André Schutte0%
Miguel Tavares0%
Anthony Correia0%
Aleksandar Busnić0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Jean-Pierre Rhyner0%
Yannick Semedo0%
Natanael Ntolla0%
Jota Gonçalves0%
Diogo Nascimento0%
Raúl García0%
Rodrigo Ramos0%
Ítalo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (30)
€39m
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
Academico Viseu's squad is €5m more valuable than Vizela's (€16m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (8)
€15m
FPB (10)
€13m
BB (9)
€9m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
VIZ (13)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
OLI (1)
€0m
Academico Viseu's attack is €2m more valuable than Vizela's (€8m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
ALV (8)
€6m
MAR (6)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Academico Viseu and Vizela have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (14)
€18m
BB (10)
€13m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
Academico Viseu's defence is €2m more valuable than Vizela's (€6m vs €4m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
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Tondela
Alverca
Benfica B
Torreense
União de Leiria
Chaves
Feirense
Felgueiras 1932
Penafiel
Maritimo
Leixoes
Pacos Ferreira
FC Porto B
Portimonense
Oliveirense
Mafra
CF Os Belenenses