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AD Marco 09 vs Farense Result & Analysis

Date: 18/10/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 0-3
AD Marco 09
AD Marco 09
Vs
37%
28%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Farense
Farense
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AD Marco 09 win✗ Miss
37.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Farense win✓ Hit
34.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AD Marco 09AD Marco 09

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D00D00D00DA·LEÇ08/09H·O E22/09A·CIN31/08H·O E19/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.000.001.001.00
vs Stronger (3)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %75% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Farense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FarenseFarense

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W12L11D03L20W02L20W20W02L21WA·GUI11/05H·SAN17/05A·OLI11/08H·TOR17/08A·FC 24/08H·MAR31/08A·LEI13/09A·VID20/09H·CHA28/09A·LUS04/10← Segunda LigaTaça de Portugal →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.300.471.601.401.00
vs Stronger (9)1.331.781.001.601.752.00
vs Similar (18)0.721.170.221.671.220.67
vs Weaker (3)1.000.670.001.001.500.50
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (AD Marco 09) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.8%
Under 2.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.6%
Under 3.5
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.8%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
5.8%
AD Marco 09 goals ↓
Farense goals →
01234
07.6%7.4%5.8%2.6%0.9%
17.8%13%8.1%3.6%1.2%
26.3%8.5%5.7%2.5%0.9%
33.0%4.0%2.7%1.2%0.4%
41.0%1.4%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AD Marco 09 goals (down), columns = Farense goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Benfica
2.71
Sporting CP
2.43
Rebordosa
2.40
Anadia
2.33
Santa Clara
2.33
Alverca
2.33
Amarante
2.25
Oliveira Hospital
2.25
SC Braga
2.25
GIL Vicente
2.25
São João Ver
2.17
Tirsense
2.14
Leixoes
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Penafiel
2.00
Torreense
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Moncarapachense
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Varzim
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Operário
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
SC Covilha
2.00
Casa Pia
2.00
Moreirense
2.00
Chaves
2.00
União de Leiria
2.00
Farense
2.00
Cinfães
1.75
Brito
1.75
Lusitânia
1.75
Vila Real
1.75
O Elvas
1.60
FC Porto
1.50
Vilaverdense
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vianense
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Sintrense
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Louletano
1.50
Lagoa
1.50
Os Limianos
1.50
Paredes
1.50
Amora
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Mafra
1.50
Famalicao
1.50
Arouca
1.50
Academica
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Sanjoanense
1.33
Caldas
1.33
Rio Ave
1.33
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Atlético Malveira
1.02
Vila Meã
1.02
Portalegrense
1.02
Florgrade
1.02
Correlhã
1.02
Vitória de Sernache
1.02
Nazarenos
1.02
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.02
Valenciano
1.02
Castro Daire
1.02
Rebordelo
1.02
Espinho
1.02
Uniao Nogueirense
1.02
Naval 1893
1.02
Portimonense B
1.02
AD Fornos Algodres
1.02
Resende
1.02
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.02
Silves
1.02
Vidago
1.02
Vila Caíz
1.02
Charneca Caparica
1.02
Oriental Lisboa
1.02
Angrense
1.02
Ançã
1.02
Sourense
1.02
Celoricense
1.02
AD Portomosense
1.02
Alcochetense
1.02
Fayal
1.02
Gouveia
1.02
Samora Correir
1.02
Estrela Calheta
1.02
Ribeira Brava
1.02
Aparecida GO
1.02
Mirandela
1.02
SC Celoricense
1.02
Almodôvar
1.02
Mosteirense
1.02
Águias do Moradal
1.02
Urzelinense
1.02
Celeirós
1.02
Quarteirense
1.02
AR São Martinho
1.02
Carregal
1.02
Juventude Évora
1.02
Pontassolense
1.02
Fazendense
1.02
AD Marco 09
1.00
Fátima
1.00
Marinhense
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Leça
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Estoril
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Estrela
0.50
Trofense
0.00
Vizela
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Maritimo
0.00
Oliveirense
0.00
União Lamas
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Fafe
0.00
Monção
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Castrense
0.00
Bragança
0.00
Portel
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
Comércio Indústria
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Nacional
0.00
Salgueiros
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Tondela
0.00
Valpaços
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
AD Marco 09 is 1.00 points worse than Farense in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Benfica
3.29
Amarante
3.00
Vizela
3.00
Penafiel
3.00
Comércio Indústria
3.00
SC Covilha
3.00
Casa Pia
3.00
Arouca
3.00
Valpaços
3.00
Anadia
2.67
Alverca
2.67
Vilaverdense
2.50
FC Serpa
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Sanjoanense
2.33
Moncarapachense
2.33
Farense
2.33
Cinfães
2.25
Sporting CP
2.14
FC Porto
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Rebordosa
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
São João Ver
2.00
Leça
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Castrense
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
Portimonense
2.00
AVS
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.67
União Santarém
1.67
Varzim
1.67
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
SC Braga
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Rio Ave
1.50
Moreirense
1.33
Chaves
1.33
União de Leiria
1.33
Atlético Malveira
1.27
Vila Meã
1.27
Portalegrense
1.27
Florgrade
1.27
Correlhã
1.27
Vitória de Sernache
1.27
Nazarenos
1.27
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.27
Valenciano
1.27
Castro Daire
1.27
Rebordelo
1.27
Espinho
1.27
Uniao Nogueirense
1.27
Naval 1893
1.27
Portimonense B
1.27
AD Fornos Algodres
1.27
Resende
1.27
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.27
Silves
1.27
Vidago
1.27
Vila Caíz
1.27
Charneca Caparica
1.27
Oriental Lisboa
1.27
Angrense
1.27
Ançã
1.27
Sourense
1.27
Celoricense
1.27
AD Portomosense
1.27
Alcochetense
1.27
Fayal
1.27
Gouveia
1.27
Samora Correir
1.27
Estrela Calheta
1.27
Ribeira Brava
1.27
Aparecida GO
1.27
Mirandela
1.27
SC Celoricense
1.27
Almodôvar
1.27
Mosteirense
1.27
Águias do Moradal
1.27
Urzelinense
1.27
Celeirós
1.27
Quarteirense
1.27
AR São Martinho
1.27
Carregal
1.27
Juventude Évora
1.27
Pontassolense
1.27
Fazendense
1.27
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
GIL Vicente
1.25
O Elvas
1.20
Tirsense
1.14
Leixoes
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Sintrense
1.00
Maritimo
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Viana Alentejo
1.00
Fafe
1.00
Monção
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Bragança
1.00
Operário
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
Santa Clara
1.00
Nacional
1.00
Salgueiros
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Famalicao
1.00
Tondela
1.00
Academica
1.00
Brito
0.75
Vila Real
0.75
Caldas
0.67
Amora
0.50
Estrela
0.50
Trofense
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Portel
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Estoril
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
AD Marco 09 is 1.33 goals worse than Farense in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fátima
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Operário
0.00
Estoril
0.00
GIL Vicente
0.25
Benfica
0.29
Santa Clara
0.33
FC Serpa
0.50
Atlético CP
0.50
Brito
0.50
Alpendorada
0.50
Vila Real
0.50
Famalicao
0.50
Academica
0.50
Sporting CP
0.57
Varzim
0.67
Caldas
0.67
SC Braga
0.75
São João Ver
0.83
FC Porto
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Torreense
1.00
Machico
1.00
Anadia
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
Ferreira Zêzere
1.00
Louletano
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
União Santarém
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Portel
1.00
Guimaraes
1.00
Casa Pia
1.00
UD da Serra
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Arouca
1.00
Moreirense
1.00
Chaves
1.00
União de Leiria
1.00
O Elvas
1.20
Oliveira Hospital
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Sanjoanense
1.33
Moncarapachense
1.33
Alverca
1.33
Tirsense
1.43
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Penafiel
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Rio Ave
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
SC Covilha
1.67
Cinfães
1.75
Atlético Malveira
1.79
Vila Meã
1.79
Portalegrense
1.79
Florgrade
1.79
Correlhã
1.79
Vitória de Sernache
1.79
Nazarenos
1.79
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.79
Valenciano
1.79
Castro Daire
1.79
Rebordelo
1.79
Espinho
1.79
Uniao Nogueirense
1.79
Naval 1893
1.79
Portimonense B
1.79
AD Fornos Algodres
1.79
Resende
1.79
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.79
Silves
1.79
Vidago
1.79
Vila Caíz
1.79
Charneca Caparica
1.79
Oriental Lisboa
1.79
Angrense
1.79
Ançã
1.79
Sourense
1.79
Celoricense
1.79
AD Portomosense
1.79
Alcochetense
1.79
Fayal
1.79
Gouveia
1.79
Samora Correir
1.79
Estrela Calheta
1.79
Ribeira Brava
1.79
Aparecida GO
1.79
Mirandela
1.79
SC Celoricense
1.79
Almodôvar
1.79
Mosteirense
1.79
Águias do Moradal
1.79
Urzelinense
1.79
Celeirós
1.79
Quarteirense
1.79
AR São Martinho
1.79
Carregal
1.79
Juventude Évora
1.79
Pontassolense
1.79
Fazendense
1.79
Amarante
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Olímpico do Montijo
2.00
Académico do Fundão
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Eléctrico
2.00
Maritimo
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
União Lamas
2.00
Leça
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Viana Alentejo
2.00
Monção
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Bragança
2.00
Vinhais
2.00
Peniche
2.00
Nacional
2.00
Salgueiros
2.00
Tondela
2.00
Farense
2.00
Vilaverdense
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Amora
2.50
Lajense
2.67
Trofense
3.00
Paredes
3.00
Rabo Peixe
3.00
Vizela
4.00
Fafe
4.00
Castrense
4.00
Comércio Indústria
4.00
Estrela
4.00
Valpaços
5.00
AD Marco 09 is 1.00 goals better than Farense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Sporting CP
59%
Rio Ave
42%
Benfica
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AD Marco 09AD Marco 09

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FarenseFarense

For 4.5 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

19071013631641014443713345711919145810169A·LUSA·OLIH·SANA·GUIH·FAMA·GILH·BOAA·ESTH·CASA·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.3 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.7

🟨 Cards

11032834133453552254474511569877811A·LUSH·CHAA·LEIH·MARA·FC H·TORA·OLIH·SANA·GUIH·FAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 17.2 · Total 30.7

⚠️ Fouls

4101818131313207152219121681511221821131336263322412823333926A·LUSA·OLIH·SANA·GUIH·FAMA·GILH·BOAA·ESTH·CASA·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AD Marco 09AD Marco 09

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (3)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (0)---------
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Farense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FarenseFarense

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.311.05.15.74.628.229.227.2
vs Stronger (14)11.611.112.24.54.44.725.226.623.7
vs Similar (32)10.310.110.55.36.44.430.231.329.2
vs Weaker (4)9.38.010.05.25.05.324.323.025.0
% over line51%45%57%70%79%62%93%95%90%
% under line49%55%43%30%21%38%7%5%10%
This opponent (AD Marco 09) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Oliveirense
12.6
Torreense
12.2
Portimonense
11.5
Penafiel
11.4
Farense
10.8
Vilaverdense
10.8
União de Leiria
10.7
Feirense
10.6
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
Chaves
10.5
Nacional
10.4
Arouca
10.4
Famalicao
10.3
Rio Ave
10.2
Maritimo
10.0
Vizela
10.0
Tondela
10.0
Guimaraes
10.0
Estrela
9.7
Academico Viseu
9.7
Sporting CP
9.6
Benfica
9.6
Casa Pia
9.5
SC Braga
9.5
FC Porto
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Felgueiras 1932
9.3
Leixoes
9.2
Pacos Ferreira
9.0
GIL Vicente
8.9
AVS
8.8
Estoril
8.8
Mafra
8.5
Moreirense
8.3
Santa Clara
8.0
Alverca
7.8
Lusitânia Lourosa
7.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
Santa Clara
6.3
Felgueiras 1932
6.2
Pacos Ferreira
6.0
FC Porto
5.9
Casa Pia
5.8
Famalicao
5.7
Oliveirense
5.6
Arouca
5.6
Maritimo
5.6
Farense
5.5
Leixoes
5.5
Chaves
5.5
Vizela
5.5
Torreense
5.5
Guimaraes
5.5
AVS
5.5
União de Leiria
5.4
Sporting CP
5.4
SC Covilha
5.4
Portimonense
5.3
Benfica
5.3
Moreirense
5.2
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.2
Estrela
5.2
Tondela
5.1
Penafiel
5.1
Rio Ave
5.0
Feirense
4.9
Nacional
4.9
Alverca
4.9
Vilaverdense
4.8
GIL Vicente
4.8
SC Braga
4.7
Academico Viseu
4.7
Estoril
4.6
CF Os Belenenses
4.5
Mafra
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Lusitânia Lourosa
31.5
Famalicao
31.0
Estrela
30.2
Santa Clara
30.0
Moreirense
29.6
Vilaverdense
28.5
Estoril
28.5
Guimaraes
28.3
SC Covilha
28.2
Farense
28.1
Rio Ave
28.0
Arouca
27.7
Nacional
27.6
GIL Vicente
27.6
Casa Pia
27.5
AVS
27.4
Sporting CP
26.2
FC Porto
25.6
SC Braga
25.4
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Benfica
24.4
Leixoes
20.5
Tondela
20.5
Pacos Ferreira
18.0
Oliveirense
17.6
Portimonense
17.6
Vizela
17.4
Academico Viseu
16.8
União de Leiria
16.7
Feirense
16.7
Maritimo
15.4
Chaves
15.2
Mafra
14.9
Penafiel
14.5
Alverca
14.3
Torreense
13.9
Felgueiras 1932
12.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.8%
Under 9.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.9%
Under 3.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
78.6%
Under 21.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
AD Marco 09 or Draw✗ Miss
65.4%
Avg Implied -
37%
28%
35%
covers AD Marco 09 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AD Marco 09 or Farense✓ Hit
72.0%
Avg Implied -
37%
28%
35%
covers AD Marco 09 + Farense
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Farense✓ Hit
62.6%
Avg Implied -
37%
28%
35%
covers Draw + Farense
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
AD Marco 09 over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
75.4%
Under
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AD Marco 09 over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.9%
Under
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AD Marco 09 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.7%
Under
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AD Marco 09 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
Under
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Farense over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.9%
Under
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Farense over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
38.8%
Under
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Farense over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Farense over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to AD Marco 09, so a minus line means AD Marco 09 give that many goals of a start and Farense receive them. At -1, AD Marco 09 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal AD Marco 09 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (AD Marco 09)Actual: Farense
AD Marco 09 -2
6.6%
Draw -2
11.4%
Farense +2
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (AD Marco 09)Actual: Farense
AD Marco 09 -1
18.0%
Draw -1
19.4%
Farense +1
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (AD Marco 09)Actual: Farense
AD Marco 09 +1
65.4%
Draw +1
18.5%
Farense -1
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (AD Marco 09)Actual: Farense
AD Marco 09 +2
83.9%
Draw +2
10.4%
Farense -2
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AD Marco 09AD Marco 09

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D00DA·LEÇ08/09H·O E22/09A·CIN31/08H·O E19/09
Avg total
0.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Stronger (3)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %100% (+69pp vs league)
This opponent (Farense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FarenseFarense

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D01L01L20W01L00D00D00D21WA·GUI11/05H·SAN17/05A·OLI11/08H·TOR17/08A·FC 24/08H·MAR31/08A·LEI13/09A·VID20/09H·CHA28/09A·LUS04/10← Segunda LigaTaça de Portugal →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.370.270.330.600.40
vs Stronger (9)0.780.560.600.201.001.00
vs Similar (18)0.330.280.110.440.560.11
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (AD Marco 09) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AD Marco 09 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AD Marco 09 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AD Marco 09 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Farense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Farense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Farense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AD Marco 09AD Marco 09

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D00D00D00DA·LEÇ08/09H·O E22/09A·CIN31/08H·O E19/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.000.001.001.00
vs Stronger (3)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %75% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Farense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FarenseFarense

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L10W02L00D01L20W20W02L00DA·GUI11/05H·SAN17/05A·OLI11/08H·TOR17/08A·FC 24/08H·MAR31/08A·LEI13/09A·VID20/09H·CHA28/09A·LUS04/10← Segunda LigaTaça de Portugal →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.930.201.270.800.60
vs Stronger (9)0.561.220.401.400.751.00
vs Similar (18)0.390.890.111.220.670.56
vs Weaker (3)1.000.330.001.001.500.00
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (AD Marco 09) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AD Marco 09 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AD Marco 09 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AD Marco 09 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Farense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Farense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Farense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals95.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals94.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.594.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls88.8%--------
Under 4.585.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals84.7%-------✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap83.9%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals83.3%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap82.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls78.6%--------
Under 5.5 cards77.5%--------
Over 1.577.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.1%--------
Home over 0.5 goals75.4%-------✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals73.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.5%--------
Home or Away72.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Farense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Claudio Falcão25%
Anthony Carter25%
Marco Matias14%
Derick Poloni14%
André Candeias12%
Diego Dorregaray0%
Rúben Fernandes0%
Alex Pinto0%
Rui Costa0%
Nikola Gjorgjev0%
Franco Romero0%
Jaime Pinto0%
Darío Poveda0%
Bruno Almeida0%
Yannick Semedo0%
Brian Araújo0%
Toni Herrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Fran Delgado0%
Balla Sangaré0%
Miguel Menino0%
Dário Miranda0%
Alysson Silva0%
Rafinha0%
Lucas D'Agrella0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Claudio Falcão75%
Alysson Silva67%
Franco Romero60%
Alex Pinto50%
André Candeias38%
Fran Delgado33%
Miguel Menino29%
Anthony Carter25%
Yannick Semedo25%
Brian Araújo25%
Rafinha25%
Lucas D'Agrella17%
Marco Matias14%
Jaime Pinto14%
Balla Sangaré12%
Rúben Fernandes11%
Diego Dorregaray0%
Rui Costa0%
Derick Poloni0%
Nikola Gjorgjev0%
Darío Poveda0%
Bruno Almeida0%
Toni Herrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Dário Miranda0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Toni Herrero20%
Derick Poloni14%
Bruno Almeida12%
Diego Dorregaray0%
Marco Matias0%
Claudio Falcão0%
Rúben Fernandes0%
Alex Pinto0%
Anthony Carter0%
Rui Costa0%
Nikola Gjorgjev0%
Franco Romero0%
Jaime Pinto0%
Darío Poveda0%
Yannick Semedo0%
Brian Araújo0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Fran Delgado0%
Balla Sangaré0%
Miguel Menino0%
Dário Miranda0%
André Candeias0%
Alysson Silva0%
Rafinha0%
Lucas D'Agrella0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Claudio Falcão38%
Marco Matias14%
Balla Sangaré12%
Diego Dorregaray0%
Rúben Fernandes0%
Alex Pinto0%
Anthony Carter0%
Rui Costa0%
Derick Poloni0%
Nikola Gjorgjev0%
Franco Romero0%
Jaime Pinto0%
Darío Poveda0%
Bruno Almeida0%
Yannick Semedo0%
Brian Araújo0%
Toni Herrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Fran Delgado0%
Miguel Menino0%
Dário Miranda0%
André Candeias0%
Alysson Silva0%
Rafinha0%
Lucas D'Agrella0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
AMA (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
ACA (4)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AM0 wins
0
Draws
0
FAR wins

Head-to-head

AD Marco 09 vs Farense · H/A from AM0
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

AD Marco 09AD Marco 09

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/09/25HAM0 Vs O Elvas0-0
31/08/25ACinfães Vs AM00-0
22/09/24HAM0 Vs O Elvas0-0
08/09/24ALeça Vs AM02-2

FarenseFarense

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/25ALusitânia Lourosa Vs FAR1-2
28/09/25HFAR Vs Chaves0-2
20/09/25AVidago Vs FAR0-2
13/09/25ALeixoes Vs FAR0-2
31/08/25HFAR Vs Maritimo0-2
24/08/25AFC Porto B Vs FAR0-2
17/08/25HFAR Vs Torreense0-3
11/08/25AOliveirense Vs FAR1-1
17/05/25HFAR Vs Santa Clara1-2
11/05/25AGuimaraes Vs FAR1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AD Marco 09
AD Marco 09
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDD1.00
HomeDD1.00
AwayDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals1.000.002.00
Over 1.5 %25%0%50%
Over 2.5 %25%0%50%
Over 3.5 %25%0%50%
Scored0.500.001.00
Conceded0.500.001.00
BTTS25%0%50%
Clean Sheet75%100%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Farense
Farense
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.04
HomeWLLLL0.58
AwayDWWWW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%17%38%
AVG goals2.402.422.38
Over 1.5 %70%62%77%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %22%25%19%
Scored0.980.671.27
Conceded1.421.751.12
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet22%12%31%
Corners10.6610.3510.95
Cards5.545.915.17

🏆 17. League Table

Farense plays in Portugal - Segunda Liga
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MaritimoMaritimo3466
59%
1.9
5029+21
2.3
65%
38%
24%
7.7
20%
6.4
91%
30.1
93%
16
7361.50.9
52%
2Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu3459
50%
1.7
5833+25
2.7
68%
56%
35%
9.8
54%
6.1
91%
29.1
100%
16
8361.71.0
49%
3TorreenseTorreense3459
53%
1.7
4633+13
2.3
59%
44%
21%
10.2
38%
5.4
82%
23.1
62%
19
72101.41.0
46%
4FC Porto BFC Porto B3451
44%
1.5
4142-1
2.4
68%
50%
21%
9.6
55%
6.3
82%
29.4
100%
29
13791.21.2
47%
5VizelaVizela3451
41%
1.5
3940-1
2.3
65%
41%
21%
9.1
33%
6.6
88%
29.9
78%
12
5241.11.2
54%
6União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria3450
38%
1.5
5246+6
2.9
74%
59%
44%
10.2
69%
5.9
82%
30.6
100%
10
4241.51.4
51%
7LeixoesLeixoes3450
44%
1.5
4655-9
3.0
82%
59%
35%
8.7
27%
6.1
91%
30.1
91%
6
2131.41.6
50%
8FeirenseFeirense3446
35%
1.4
3740-3
2.3
62%
44%
18%
9.3
29%
7.0
94%
29.1
86%
4
1131.11.2
42%
9ChavesChaves3445
38%
1.3
4240+2
2.4
65%
35%
24%
8.3
38%
6.3
82%
27.9
85%
9
3241.21.2
55%
10Benfica BBenfica B3444
32%
1.3
4344-1
2.6
79%
44%
15%
9.6
50%
6.9
91%
31.8
92%
31
910131.31.3
54%
11Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 19323444
32%
1.3
3438-4
2.1
62%
32%
18%
10.2
56%
5.9
79%
29.4
89%
5
1121.01.1
54%
12FarenseFarense3644
31%
1.2
3237-5
1.9
61%
31%
8%
9.7
44%
5.9
86%
31.0
100%
8
3240.91.0
49%
13Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa3443
32%
1.3
4452-8
2.8
76%
59%
32%
10.4
54%
5.9
85%
30.1
100%
5
1131.31.5
48%
14Sporting CP BSporting CP B3442
38%
1.2
4134+7
2.2
53%
44%
18%
8.3
40%
6.0
70%
25.0
80%
17
5571.21.0
54%
15PenafielPenafiel3441
32%
1.2
3739-2
2.2
65%
38%
15%
11.2
80%
5.6
71%
27.1
70%
5
1031.11.1
49%
16PortimonensePortimonense3440
32%
1.2
3949-10
2.6
68%
41%
24%
10.6
78%
5.7
88%
32.9
100%
6
2131.11.4
48%
17Pacos FerreiraPacos Ferreira3439
26%
1.1
3448-14
2.4
68%
50%
24%
9.5
46%
6.3
82%
29.5
85%
2
1011.01.4
46%
18OliveirenseOliveirense3434
24%
1.0
3449-15
2.4
65%
44%
24%
9.2
55%
5.2
61%
29.3
91%
1
0011.01.4
49%
19CF Os BelenensesCF Os Belenenses21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →

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