Admira Wacker’s defensive record at home shows a tight match ahead, with an average of 0.64 goals conceded per game. First Vienna, however, has been conceding 1.5 goals on the road, suggesting a higher chance of a low-scoring affair. The model projects a 43% chance of a home win, 33% for a draw, and 24% for an away win, making a home victory the most likely outcome. The expected total goals is 2.0, and the single most probable scoreline is 0-0 with a 14.7% probability.
Admira Wacker has scored 1.43 goals per home match against similar opposition, while First Vienna averages 1.07 goals per away match versus comparable teams. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 90%, Under 3.5 at 85.6%, Over 19.5 fouls at 81.4%, Over 3.5 cards at 77.8%, and Over 8.5 corners at 71.0%. The home side’s win probability is 43%, the draw 33%, and the away win 24%. These figures outline a tight, defensively dominated contest with a strong chance of a 0-0 result.
Results analysis
Admira Wacker finished 0-3 against First Vienna (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 43% home win, 33% draw and 24% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (86%), Over 19.5 fouls (81%), Over 8.5 corners (71%). Missed: Over 2.5 cards (90%), Over 3.5 cards (78%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Admira Wacker win✗ Miss
43.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
First Vienna win✓ Hit
24.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Admira Wacker
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.90
1.33
0.60
1.67
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.57
0.93
1.43
0.64
1.71
1.21
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.37
2.00
1.33
1.07
1.40
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
1.54
1.46
2.00
1.43
1.07
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.9%
Under 1.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
32.5%
Under 2.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.4%
Under 3.5
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.2%
No
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
14.7%
1-0
14.7%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.5%
Admira Wacker goals ↓
First Vienna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
9.7%
4.5%
1.2%
0.3%
1
15%
14%
5.4%
1.5%
0.3%
2
9.5%
7.8%
3.2%
0.9%
0.2%
3
3.8%
3.1%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.1%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Admira Wacker goals (down), columns = First Vienna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Grazer AK
2.30
Ried
1.97
First Vienna
1.70
Leoben
1.70
Floridsdorfer AC
1.63
FC Liefering
1.57
Admira Wacker
1.57
SV Horn
1.37
SKN ST. Polten
1.33
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.30
SV Lafnitz
1.23
SV Kapfenberg
1.17
Stripfing
1.17
Dornbirn
1.10
Sturm Graz II
0.77
SKU Amstetten
0.53
Admira Wacker is 0.13 points worse than First Vienna in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.70).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ried
2.23
Grazer AK
1.90
First Vienna
1.73
FC Liefering
1.70
SV Lafnitz
1.60
Leoben
1.57
SKN ST. Polten
1.53
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
SV Kapfenberg
1.40
Admira Wacker
1.40
Stripfing
1.33
SV Horn
1.33
Sturm Graz II
1.30
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.27
Dornbirn
1.07
SKU Amstetten
1.00
Admira Wacker is 0.33 goals worse than First Vienna in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.73).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ried
0.73
Grazer AK
0.90
Admira Wacker
1.03
Leoben
1.03
Floridsdorfer AC
1.10
First Vienna
1.30
FC Liefering
1.33
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.50
SV Horn
1.60
Dornbirn
1.70
SKN ST. Polten
1.73
SV Kapfenberg
1.80
SV Lafnitz
1.90
Stripfing
1.93
SKU Amstetten
2.03
Sturm Graz II
2.23
Admira Wacker is 0.27 goals better than First Vienna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.30).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ried
56%
SKN ST. Polten
55%
Floridsdorfer AC
54%
Leoben
51%
FC Liefering
51%
First Vienna
50%
Admira Wacker
50%
SV Horn
49%
SV Lafnitz
48%
SKU Amstetten
48%
Grazer AK
48%
SV Kapfenberg
45%
Dornbirn
43%
Admira Wacker is 0.2 percentage points worse than First Vienna in terms of average possession (50% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Admira Wacker
For 4.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 9.9 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
First Vienna
For 4.4 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 13.6 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Admira Wacker
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.4
10.7
3.7
3.8
3.5
25.2
25.6
24.8
vs Stronger (4)
10.5
9.5
11.5
5.0
5.5
4.5
26.5
28.0
25.0
vs Similar (46)
10.0
9.4
10.6
3.5
3.7
3.4
25.1
25.3
24.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
44%
78%
48%
48%
48%
78%
83%
74%
% under line
39%
56%
22%
52%
52%
52%
22%
17%
26%
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.4
10.9
11.8
3.1
3.1
3.1
26.5
27.8
25.2
vs Stronger (3)
17.7
17.5
18.0
4.7
5.0
4.0
23.3
23.5
23.0
vs Similar (47)
10.7
9.9
11.4
3.0
2.9
3.0
26.8
28.4
25.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
75%
80%
71%
44%
48%
40%
82%
88%
76%
% under line
25%
20%
29%
56%
52%
60%
18%
12%
24%
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
First Vienna
11.4
Dornbirn
11.0
Floridsdorfer AC
10.7
SKU Amstetten
10.4
SV Lafnitz
10.4
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
Admira Wacker
10.0
SKN ST. Polten
9.9
Ried
9.8
SV Horn
9.5
Grazer AK
9.4
Leoben
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.0
SV Lafnitz
5.1
SV Horn
5.1
Dornbirn
5.1
Admira Wacker
5.0
First Vienna
4.8
Floridsdorfer AC
4.8
SKN ST. Polten
4.7
FC Liefering
4.7
Grazer AK
4.6
Ried
4.6
SKU Amstetten
4.2
Leoben
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Floridsdorfer AC
26.8
FC Liefering
26.5
First Vienna
26.5
Dornbirn
26.1
SV Horn
25.7
Grazer AK
25.4
SV Kapfenberg
25.2
Admira Wacker
24.7
SV Lafnitz
24.6
Ried
24.4
SKU Amstetten
24.1
SKN ST. Polten
22.7
Leoben
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.0%
Under 9.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
77.8%
Under 3.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
67.8%
Under 21.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Admira Wacker
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.47
0.33
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.46
0.50
0.36
0.79
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
1.07
0.47
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.68
1.07
0.50
0.50
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Admira Wacker
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.43
0.87
0.27
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.93
0.46
0.93
0.29
0.93
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
0.93
0.87
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.75
0.79
0.93
0.93
0.57
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
FL (17)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
Admira Wacker and First Vienna have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
Admira Wacker and First Vienna have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (8)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
Admira Wacker's midfield is €1m less valuable than First Vienna's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (13)
€6m
RIE (9)
€3m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
SSP (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
Admira Wacker and First Vienna have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Grazer AK
Ried
Leoben
Floridsdorfer AC
FC Liefering
SV Horn
SKN ST. Polten
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
SV Lafnitz
SV Kapfenberg
Stripfing
Dornbirn
Sturm Graz II
SKU Amstetten