The contest between Admira Wacker and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 31% for a home victory, 31% for a draw, and 38% for the visitors. The expected total of goals is 2.3, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 14.6% chance. Admira Wacker, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.07 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Schwarz-Weiſ Bregenz, on the road, averages 2.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded against comparable teams. The model’s suggested selections include Over 2.5 cards at 90.3%, Over 19.5 fouls at 89.9%, Under 3.5 at 80.6% (miss), Over 21.5 fouls at 80.3%, and Over 3.5 cards at 78.3%. The recent form shows Admira Wacker coming off a win, while Schwarz-Weiſ Bregenz returns from a defeat. The match is poised to deliver a close contest with the visitors slightly ahead.
Results analysis
Admira Wacker entered the match on a mixed run, coming off a win, while Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz were still recovering from a defeat. The model’s pre-match favourite was an away win, with a 38% probability, and the prediction proved correct as the final score was 1-3, confirming an away victory. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals, at 80.6%, missed, as four goals were scored. No other suggested picks were listed. The outcome matched the model’s expectation that the away side would prevail, with the final score reflecting a decisive performance by Schwarz-Weißen Bregenz.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Admira Wacker win✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz win✓ Hit
37.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Admira Wacker
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.27
1.07
1.00
1.13
1.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
-
-
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.14
1.29
1.07
1.00
1.23
1.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
0.93
1.29
1.00
1.86
0.86
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.20
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (9)
2.11
0.78
1.75
1.00
2.40
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
36% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.5%
Under 1.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.5%
Under 2.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.4%
Under 3.5
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.2%
No
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.9%
Admira Wacker goals ↓
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
11%
7.5%
3.0%
0.9%
1
9.7%
15%
8.0%
3.2%
1.0%
2
5.9%
7.1%
4.2%
1.7%
0.5%
3
2.1%
2.5%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Admira Wacker goals (down), columns = Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Grazer AK
2.30
Ried
1.97
First Vienna
1.70
Leoben
1.70
Floridsdorfer AC
1.63
FC Liefering
1.57
Admira Wacker
1.57
SV Horn
1.37
SKN ST. Polten
1.33
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.30
SV Lafnitz
1.23
SV Kapfenberg
1.17
Stripfing
1.17
Dornbirn
1.10
Sturm Graz II
0.77
SKU Amstetten
0.53
Admira Wacker is 0.27 points better than Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ried
2.23
Grazer AK
1.90
First Vienna
1.73
FC Liefering
1.70
SV Lafnitz
1.60
Leoben
1.57
SKN ST. Polten
1.53
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
SV Kapfenberg
1.40
Admira Wacker
1.40
Stripfing
1.33
SV Horn
1.33
Sturm Graz II
1.30
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.27
Dornbirn
1.07
SKU Amstetten
1.00
Admira Wacker is 0.13 goals better than Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.27).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ried
0.73
Grazer AK
0.90
Admira Wacker
1.03
Leoben
1.03
Floridsdorfer AC
1.10
First Vienna
1.30
FC Liefering
1.33
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.50
SV Horn
1.60
Dornbirn
1.70
SKN ST. Polten
1.73
SV Kapfenberg
1.80
SV Lafnitz
1.90
Stripfing
1.93
SKU Amstetten
2.03
Sturm Graz II
2.23
Admira Wacker is 0.47 goals better than Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ried
56%
SKN ST. Polten
55%
Floridsdorfer AC
54%
Leoben
51%
FC Liefering
51%
First Vienna
50%
Admira Wacker
50%
SV Horn
49%
SV Lafnitz
48%
SKU Amstetten
48%
Grazer AK
48%
SV Kapfenberg
45%
Dornbirn
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Admira Wacker
For 5.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.4 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Admira Wacker
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (44)
10.3
9.9
10.6
3.3
3.3
3.3
25.7
26.2
25.3
vs Stronger (3)
11.3
11.0
11.5
4.7
5.0
4.5
26.3
29.0
25.0
vs Similar (41)
10.2
9.8
10.5
3.2
3.2
3.1
25.7
26.0
25.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
70%
57%
81%
41%
36%
45%
77%
79%
75%
% under line
30%
43%
19%
59%
64%
55%
23%
21%
25%
This opponent (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (14)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
First Vienna
11.8
Dornbirn
11.0
Floridsdorfer AC
10.8
FC Liefering
10.4
Ried
10.3
Admira Wacker
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.2
SV Lafnitz
9.9
SKU Amstetten
9.9
SV Horn
9.5
SKN ST. Polten
9.5
Grazer AK
9.4
Leoben
7.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.0
SV Horn
5.1
SV Lafnitz
4.9
Floridsdorfer AC
4.8
Admira Wacker
4.8
Dornbirn
4.8
First Vienna
4.7
Ried
4.5
SKN ST. Polten
4.5
Grazer AK
4.5
FC Liefering
4.4
Leoben
4.3
SKU Amstetten
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Floridsdorfer AC
28.4
SV Horn
27.1
FC Liefering
26.9
Grazer AK
26.4
First Vienna
26.4
SV Kapfenberg
26.0
Dornbirn
25.9
Admira Wacker
25.7
SV Lafnitz
25.6
SKU Amstetten
25.4
Ried
24.6
Leoben
23.2
SKN ST. Polten
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.5%
Under 9.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
78.3%
Under 3.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
80.3%
Under 21.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Admira Wacker
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (28)
0.46
0.68
0.33
0.33
0.62
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.29
0.86
0.43
1.00
0.14
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.20
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (9)
1.22
0.33
1.25
0.50
1.20
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
71% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Admira Wacker
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
0.73
0.67
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.61
0.73
0.67
0.62
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.64
0.64
0.43
0.57
0.86
0.71
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.44
0.50
0.50
1.20
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Admira Wacker) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Admira Wacker over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Admira Wacker over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
FL (17)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
Admira Wacker and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
Admira Wacker and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (8)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
Admira Wacker and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GA (13)
€6m
RIE (9)
€3m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
SSP (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
Admira Wacker and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz have a similar defence value (both €2m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
AW wins
0
Draws
0
SB wins
Head-to-head
Admira Wacker vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz · H/A from AW
Austria: 2. Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →