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AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 4-0
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
Vs
64%
26%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Iraklis 1908
Iraklis 1908
Greece: Super League 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

AEK Athens FC is strongly favored to win against Iraklis 1908, based on their home form. The model predicts a 64% chance of a home win, with a 26% chance of a draw and a 10% chance of an away win. AEK's recent unbeaten streak at home, where they have scored an average of 2.3 goals and conceded just 0.8, suggests they will take advantage of Iraklis' weaker away form. The expected total goals is 2.1, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-0, with a probability of 18.2%. The model's selection is Home win, with suggested picks including Over 21.5 fouls (93.3%) and Over 3.5 cards (78.9%). Home win percentage is 64%, draw percentage is 26%, and away win percentage is 10%.

Results analysis

The model’s prediction proved spot on as AEK Athens FC secured a 4-0 home win over Iraklis 1908, extending their unbeaten run in the last five matches. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 64 % probability and was correct. The most likely scoreline of 1-0 fell short, but the 4-0 result still matched the model’s overall expectation. Every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.8 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.8 %, Under 6.5 at 99.4 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 98.5 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.2 %, Under 5.5 at 97.8 %, and Home +2 handicap at 97.7 %. The model’s selections dominated the match, confirming its accuracy.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens FC win✓ Hit
64.1%
Avg Implied 78.7% · @ 1.18
Edge
-14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Dafabet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Draw✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied 14.6% · @ 6.39
Edge
+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
6.97
Dafabet
6.80
Superbet
6.70
Bet365
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Iraklis 1908 win✗ Miss
10.2%
Avg Implied 6.7% · @ 13.95
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
16.00
Marathonbet
15.75
888Sport
15.00
BetVictor
15.00
Betfair
15.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W03L31W30W00D21W11D11D00DH·KIF22/03A·OLY05/04A·RAY09/04H·RAY16/04H·PAO19/04A·PAN03/05H·PAN10/05A·PAO13/05H·OLY17/05A·LEV18/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.930.732.190.751.640.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.500.582.330.830.670.33
vs Weaker (18)2.220.832.100.702.381.00
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W21W20W10W10W20W00D31W01L13LH·ANA17/01A·PAS24/01H·AST14/02A·NIK22/02A·ANA28/02A·AST08/03H·NIK14/03H·ANA22/03A·KAL28/03H·VOL17/08← Super League 2Super League 1 →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.901.670.671.401.13
vs Stronger (1)0.006.00--0.006.00
vs Similar (20)1.300.801.400.801.200.80
vs Weaker (9)2.220.562.200.402.250.75
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.0%
@ 1.14-18.0%
Under 1.5
36.0%
@ 5.19+18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
888Sport
1.14
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
Superbet
5.20
Pinnacle
5.17
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.1%
@ 1.49-26.3%
Under 2.5
63.9%
@ 2.48+26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
BetVictor
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.59
Betano
2.57
Superbet
2.52
10Bet
2.50
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
16.9%
@ 2.26-24.7%
Under 3.5
83.1%
@ 1.60+24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.32
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.31
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Under
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
33.0%
@ 2.14-10.2%
No
67.0%
@ 1.63+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
BetVictor
2.15
No
William Hil
1.67
888Sport
1.67
Betano
1.65
Betfair
1.65
Bet365
1.62

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
18.2%@ 7.27+12.1%
2-0
15.7%@ 5.79+8.0%
0-0
12.8%@ 15.78+9.9%
1-1
10.7%@ 11.65+6.9%
3-0
8.5%@ 6.68+1.8%
2-1
8.0%@ 8.70+2.8%
0-1
5.0%@ 29.58+3.5%
3-1
4.3%@ 10.10-0.1%
AEK Athens FC goals ↓
Iraklis 1908 goals →
01234
013%5.0%1.5%0.3%0.0%
118%11%2.5%0.4%0.1%
216%8.0%2.0%0.3%0.0%
38.5%4.3%1.1%0.2%0.0%
43.5%1.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AEK Athens FC goals (down), columns = Iraklis 1908 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
Iraklis 1908
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Kalamata
1.03
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
AEK Athens FC is 1.07 points better than Iraklis 1908 in terms of average points per game (2.29 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Iraklis 1908
1.17
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Kalamata
0.99
AEK Athens FC is 0.60 goals better than Iraklis 1908 in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Iraklis 1908
1.48
Levadiakos
1.50
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI
1.72
Kalamata
1.75
AEK Athens FC is 0.87 goals better than Iraklis 1908 in terms of goals conceded per game (0.62 vs 1.48).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC

For 5.4 · Against 3.1 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

13021435881726382813535371399910988A·LEVH·OLYA·PAOH·PANA·PANH·PAOH·RAYA·RAYA·OLYH·KIF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

80331342621323312114116468454352H·OLYA·PAOH·PANA·PANH·PAOH·RAYA·RAYA·OLYH·KIFH·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.0 · Against 13.6 · Total 29.6

⚠️ Fouls

37017816151111111619132512151715151612151725312227323732302832A·LEVH·OLYA·PAOH·PANA·PANH·PAOH·RAYA·RAYA·OLYH·KIF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.88.29.54.94.65.129.229.529.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)8.58.09.05.55.55.628.830.927.0
vs Weaker (33)9.08.39.84.54.24.829.528.830.2
% over line40%36%43%80%76%84%96%95%96%
% under line60%64%57%20%24%16%4%5%4%
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)3.0-3.00.10.00.237.0-37.0
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (27)3.0-3.00.20.00.437.0-37.0
vs Weaker (22)---0.00.00.0---
% over line0%-0%2%0%4%100%-100%
% under line100%-100%98%100%96%0%-0%
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Kifisia
9.5
Asteras Tripolis
9.4
Aris Thessalonikis
9.3
OFI
9.0
PAOK
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.8
Atromitos
8.7
Panetolikos
8.7
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.6
Volos NFC
8.6
Levadiakos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.4
Kalamata
7.0
Iraklis 1908
3.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.6
OFI
5.6
Volos NFC
5.6
AEK Athens FC
5.6
Asteras Tripolis
5.5
Levadiakos
5.5
Panetolikos
5.4
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Iraklis 1908
5.0
Atromitos
4.8
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
Kalamata
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Iraklis 1908
37.0
Kifisia
32.2
Atromitos
30.3
Levadiakos
30.3
Volos NFC
30.3
AEK Athens FC
29.6
OFI
28.5
Panathinaikos
28.3
Aris Thessalonikis
28.3
Asteras Tripolis
27.6
Panetolikos
27.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.4
PAOK
24.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
33.0%
@ 2.15-10.0%
Under 9.5
67.0%
@ 1.62+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.23
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Under
Superbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.63
Unibet
1.63
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.59
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
79.5%
@ 1.35+11.0%
Under 3.5
20.5%
@ 2.92-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.38
Betano
1.32
Under
Betano
3.20
Superbet
2.65
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.6%
Under 21.5
6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
AEK Athens FC or Draw✓ Hit
89.8%
Avg Implied 92.1% · @ 1.03
Edge
-2.3%
64%
26%
10%
covers AEK Athens FC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.03
1xBet
1.03
William Hil
1.03
AEK Athens FC or Iraklis 1908✓ Hit
74.3%
Avg Implied 86.4% · @ 1.10
Edge
-12.1%
64%
26%
10%
covers AEK Athens FC + Iraklis 1908
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
888Sport
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Draw or Iraklis 1908✗ Miss
35.9%
Avg Implied 21.5% · @ 4.41
Edge
+14.4%
64%
26%
10%
covers Draw + Iraklis 1908
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.60
888Sport
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Betano
4.55
Betfair
4.50

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.4%
@ 1.04-10.3%
Under
19.6%
@ 10.22+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Under
1xBet
12.00
888Sport
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
9.30
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
48.5%
@ 1.27-24.5%
Under
51.5%
@ 3.44+24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.61
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
888Sport
3.50
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
22.5%
@ 1.88-26.9%
Under
77.5%
@ 1.83+26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
Betfair
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
888Sport
1.83
AEK Athens FC over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
8.3%
@ 3.22-20.5%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.31+20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.34
BetVictor
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Under
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Iraklis 1908 over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
39.8%
@ 2.04-5.8%
Under
60.2%
@ 1.71+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.13
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.07
BetVictor
2.05
Superbet
2.05
Under
Betano
1.75
888Sport
1.73
Pinnacle
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Iraklis 1908 over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
9.2%
@ 6.36-5.5%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.10+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.30
Bet365
7.00
BetVictor
6.50
888Sport
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Iraklis 1908 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 22.19-2.9%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Iraklis 1908 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.2%
@ 80.00-99.8%
Under
99.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
80.00
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to AEK Athens FC, so a minus line means AEK Athens FC give that many goals of a start and Iraklis 1908 receive them. At -1, AEK Athens FC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal AEK Athens FC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (AEK Athens FC)Actual: AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC -2
16.3%
@ 2.43-20.6%
Draw -2
20.5%
@ 3.82-3.0%
Iraklis 1908 +2
63.2%
@ 2.26+23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Unibet
2.43
Superbet
2.42
Marathonbet
2.36
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Away
10Bet
2.35
Bet365
2.30
Superbet
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.21
Handicap -1 (AEK Athens FC)Actual: AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC -1
36.8%
@ 1.55-21.1%
Draw -1
27.4%
@ 4.07+5.3%
Iraklis 1908 +1
35.9%
@ 4.46+15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Unibet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
10Bet
1.50
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.80
Away
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
4.30
Superbet
4.30
Handicap +1 (AEK Athens FC)Actual: AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC +1
89.8%
@ 1.04-1.1%
Draw +1
7.8%
@ 15.00+1.5%
Iraklis 1908 -1
2.3%
@ 34.00-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
34.00
Handicap +2 (AEK Athens FC)Actual: AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC +2
97.7%
Draw +2
2.0%
Iraklis 1908 -2
0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W02L20W10W00D00D00D01L00DH·KIF22/03A·OLY05/04A·RAY09/04H·RAY16/04H·PAO19/04A·PAN03/05H·PAN10/05A·PAO13/05H·OLY17/05A·LEV18/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.400.690.380.640.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.250.250.330.330.170.17
vs Weaker (18)0.940.500.900.401.000.62
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W00D00D10W00D11D00D12LH·ANA17/01A·PAS24/01H·AST14/02A·NIK22/02A·ANA28/02A·AST08/03H·NIK14/03H·ANA22/03A·KAL28/03H·VOL17/08← Super League 2Super League 1 →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.470.800.470.530.47
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (20)0.650.450.800.600.500.30
vs Weaker (9)0.780.110.800.200.750.00
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.0%
@ 1.24-8.8%
Under 0.5
34.0%
@ 3.69+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
3.85
10Bet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.70
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
30.4%
@ 2.18-12.4%
Under 1.5
69.6%
@ 1.63+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Under
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.66
Unibet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.4%
@ 4.82-8.9%
Under 2.5
89.6%
@ 1.15+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Betfair
4.80
Betano
4.80
Under
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.14

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
55.7%
@ 1.35-12.9%
Under
44.3%
@ 2.95+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Under
10Bet
3.10
Unibet
3.00
Superbet
2.95
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.80
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
13.7%
@ 2.69-20.9%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.42+20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.84
Pinnacle
2.82
Betano
2.80
1xBet
2.65
Superbet
2.62
Under
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.43
Unibet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 6.19-11.6%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.09+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.60
Betano
6.30
Superbet
6.10
10Bet
5.75
Under
10Bet
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Iraklis 1908 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
28.6%
@ 3.73+3.7%
Under
71.4%
@ 1.24-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.09
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.80
Superbet
3.65
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Iraklis 1908 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 15.75+0.2%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.01-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Iraklis 1908 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 80.00-98.8%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
80.00
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L11D20W00D21W11D10W00DH·KIF22/03A·OLY05/04A·RAY09/04H·RAY16/04H·PAO19/04A·PAN03/05H·PAN10/05A·PAO13/05H·OLY17/05A·LEV18/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.331.500.381.000.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.250.332.000.500.500.17
vs Weaker (18)1.280.331.200.301.380.38
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W10W10W10W00D20W01L01LH·ANA17/01A·PAS24/01H·AST14/02A·NIK22/02A·ANA28/02A·AST08/03H·NIK14/03H·ANA22/03A·KAL28/03H·VOL17/08← Super League 2Super League 1 →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.430.870.200.870.67
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (20)0.650.350.600.200.700.50
vs Weaker (9)1.440.441.400.201.500.75
Clean sheet %63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.6%
Under 0.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
45.0%
Under 1.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.9%
Under 2.5
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
61.6%
Under
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
26.6%
Under
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
41.5%
Under
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.8%
Under
89.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.8%1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
--+3.8%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals99.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.4%1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+5.9%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals98.5%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-+2.9%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.597.8%1.07
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
+10.9%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap97.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls97.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.6%1.09
10Bet
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
-+11.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals94.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals93.8%1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
---0.2%✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls93.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.593.4%1.23
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
+17.7%✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards91.0%1.13
Betano
1.13
----+8.5%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals90.8%1.10
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Superbet
1.10
+5.5%✓ Hit
Home or Draw89.8%1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.03
1xBet
1.03
William Hil
1.03
-2.3%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap89.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----1.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals89.6%1.15
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.14
+8.9%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls86.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners86.0%1.20
Unibet
1.22
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
--+10.7%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals80.4%1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-10.3%✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards79.5%1.35
Superbet
1.38
Betano
1.32
---+11.0%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals79.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners77.8%1.36
Superbet
1.42
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
+10.8%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals77.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls76.8%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away74.3%1.10
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
888Sport
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
-12.1%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals73.4%-------✗ Miss
Away under 0.5 HT goals71.4%1.24
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
-3.7%✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

AEK Athens FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Barnabás Varga67%
Luka Jović33%
Răzvan Marin33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Lazaros Rota0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Zini0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Răzvan Marin33%
Aboubakary Koita33%
Stavros Pilios33%
Lazaros Rota33%
Zini33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Luka Jović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lovro Majer33%
Răzvan Marin33%
Lazaros Rota33%
Filipe Relvas33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Luka Jović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Zini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Răzvan Marin67%
Luka Jović33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Lazaros Rota0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Zini0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
AEK Athens FC's squad is €76m more valuable than Iraklis 1908's (€85m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
AEK Athens FC's attack is €41m more valuable than Iraklis 1908's (€44m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
AEK Athens FC's midfield is €13m more valuable than Iraklis 1908's (€16m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
AEK Athens FC's defence is €22m more valuable than Iraklis 1908's (€26m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
AAF wins
3
Draws
0
I1 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AEK Athens FC vs Iraklis 1908 · H/A from AAF
DateH/AGameScore
13/02/17AIraklis 1908 Vs AAF2-2
26/09/16HAAF Vs Iraklis 19080-0
20/02/16AIraklis 1908 Vs AAF1-1
24/10/15HAAF Vs Iraklis 19085-1

AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/08/26ALevski Sofia Vs AAF0-0
17/05/26HAAF Vs Olympiakos Piraeus1-1
13/05/26APAOK Vs AAF1-1
10/05/26HAAF Vs Panathinaikos2-1
03/05/26APanathinaikos Vs AAF0-0
19/04/26HAAF Vs PAOK3-0
16/04/26HAAF Vs Rayo Vallecano3-1
09/04/26ARayo Vallecano Vs AAF3-0
05/04/26AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs AAF0-1
22/03/26HAAF Vs Kifisia3-0

Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/26HI1 Vs Volos NFC1-3
28/03/26AKalamata Vs I11-0
22/03/26HI1 Vs Anagennisi Karditsas3-1
14/03/26HI1 Vs Niki Volos0-0
08/03/26AAsteras Tripolis II Vs I10-2
28/02/26AAnagennisi Karditsas Vs I10-1
22/02/26ANiki Volos Vs I10-1
14/02/26HI1 Vs Asteras Tripolis II2-0
24/01/26APAS Giannina Vs I11-2
17/01/26HI1 Vs Anagennisi Karditsas1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
Greece: Super League 1
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDD2.20
HomeWWWWD2.40
AwayWLDDD2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%76%56%
AVG goals2.462.642.28
Over 1.5 %66%76%56%
Over 2.5 %44%48%40%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.742.001.48
Conceded0.720.640.80
BTTS38%40%36%
Clean Sheet52%48%56%
Corners8.848.189.48
Cards5.525.275.77
Iraklis 1908
Iraklis 1908
Greece: Super League 1
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLL2.22
HomeWWDWL2.20
AwayWWWWL2.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%64%68%
AVG goals2.682.762.60
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %58%68%48%
Over 3.5 %30%40%20%
Scored1.842.001.68
Conceded0.840.760.92
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet48%52%44%
Corners3.00-3.00
Cards5.00-5.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PAOKPAOK26
100%
3.0
61+5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
6.0
0%
2.0
0%
35.5
100%
82
3028243.00.5
60%
2PanetolikosPanetolikos26
100%
3.0
51+4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
5.5
0%
8.0
100%
35.0
100%
13
7232.50.5
46%
3Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis26
100%
3.0
53+2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
7.5
50%
7.0
100%
38.5
100%
41
227122.51.5
51%
4Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus26
100%
3.0
20+2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
13.0
50%
8.0
100%
26.0
100%
175
8447441.00.0
60%
5AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC24
50%
2.0
51+4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
5.0
0%
4.5
50%
35.0
100%
85
4416262.50.5
57%
6PanathinaikosPanathinaikos13
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
10.0
100%
7.0
100%
37.0
100%
109
4626382.00.0
53%
7OFIOFI23
50%
1.5
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
5.5
0%
5.5
100%
36.5
100%
18
6381.51.0
45%
8KifisiaKifisia11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
3.0
0%
8.0
100%
34.0
100%
10
4241.01.0
48%
9Volos NFCVolos NFC21
0%
0.5
13-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
5.5
0%
6.0
100%
37.5
100%
10
4250.51.5
46%
10Iraklis 1908Iraklis 190821
0%
0.5
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
5.5
0%
4.5
50%
38.5
100%
9
2340.52.5
-
11AtromitosAtromitos20
0%
0.0
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
13.0
50%
6.0
50%
32.5
100%
12
3260.51.5
53%
12KalamataKalamata20
0%
0.0
25-3
3.5
100%
50%
50%
9.0
50%
7.5
100%
37.5
100%
11
4251.02.5
-
13Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.0
0%
6.0
100%
28.5
100%
13
5260.52.0
45%
14LevadiakosLevadiakos20
0%
0.0
06-6
3.0
100%
50%
50%
7.0
50%
7.0
100%
35.5
100%
16
5550.03.0
56%
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →

← all matches