This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.50
1.50
0.44
1.29
0.57
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
0.67
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.82
1.33
0.67
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
1.75
0.25
1.75
0.25
1.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
56.8%
Under 1.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.6%
@ 2.40-10.5%
Under 2.5
71.4%
@ 1.54+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
11.9%
Under 3.5
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
36.2%
No
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.8%
1-0 ✓
16.5%
1-1
14.0%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
AEK Athens FC goals ↓
Panathinaikos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
17%
9.9%
4.0%
1.0%
0.2%
1
16%
14%
4.6%
1.1%
0.2%
2
10%
7.3%
2.6%
0.6%
0.1%
3
3.9%
2.8%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
4
1.1%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AEK Athens FC goals (down), columns = Panathinaikos goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.34
Panathinaikos
2.16
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.08
PAOK
1.82
Aris Thessalonikis
1.45
OFI Crete
1.24
OFI
1.24
Atromitos
1.22
Volos NFC
1.08
PAS Giannina
1.00
Asteras Tripolis
0.97
Panetolikos
0.92
Ionikos
0.86
Lamia
0.83
Levadiakos
0.83
AEK Athens FC is 0.18 points better than Panathinaikos in terms of average points per game (2.34 vs 2.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
AEK Athens FC
1.97
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.95
Aris Thessalonikis
1.55
PAOK
1.53
Panathinaikos
1.32
OFI Crete
1.12
OFI
1.12
Atromitos
1.11
PAS Giannina
0.97
Panetolikos
0.94
Volos NFC
0.92
Levadiakos
0.81
Ionikos
0.78
Asteras Tripolis
0.72
Lamia
0.69
AEK Athens FC is 0.66 goals better than Panathinaikos in terms of goals scored per game (1.97 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Panathinaikos
0.45
AEK Athens FC
0.45
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.68
PAOK
0.87
Asteras Tripolis
1.06
Aris Thessalonikis
1.11
Atromitos
1.11
OFI Crete
1.24
OFI
1.24
Levadiakos
1.42
PAS Giannina
1.47
Ionikos
1.53
Panetolikos
1.67
Lamia
1.69
Volos NFC
1.76
AEK Athens FC and Panathinaikos are level in goals conceded per game (both 0.45).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AEK Athens FC
For 5.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.8 · Against 12.1 · Total 28.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panathinaikos
For 6.6 · Against 3.0 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 15.1 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AEK Athens FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.4
10.3
3.3
3.4
3.3
30.7
28.1
33.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
10.6
10.5
10.7
3.5
3.6
3.5
30.8
28.5
33.0
vs Weaker (35)
11.0
11.9
10.1
3.2
3.3
3.2
30.7
27.8
33.6
% over line
65%
65%
65%
46%
38%
54%
91%
82%
100%
% under line
35%
35%
35%
54%
62%
46%
9%
18%
0%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.2
8.5
3.6
3.3
4.0
32.1
32.8
31.4
vs Stronger (4)
9.0
9.0
9.0
4.0
2.7
8.0
31.0
30.5
32.0
vs Similar (16)
8.3
9.0
7.7
5.0
4.4
5.7
31.3
32.7
29.6
vs Weaker (30)
9.2
9.5
9.0
2.9
2.6
3.1
32.7
33.4
32.2
% over line
33%
38%
29%
52%
46%
58%
97%
100%
94%
% under line
67%
62%
71%
48%
54%
42%
3%
0%
6%
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Athens FC
9.9
PAOK
9.3
Olympiakos Piraeus
9.1
PAS Giannina
9.0
Volos NFC
9.0
OFI Crete
8.8
Panetolikos
8.7
Panathinaikos
8.7
Aris Thessalonikis
8.6
Levadiakos
8.5
Lamia
8.4
Ionikos
8.3
Atromitos
7.9
Asteras Tripolis
7.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panathinaikos
5.9
Aris Thessalonikis
5.6
PAOK
5.3
AEK Athens FC
5.3
Levadiakos
5.2
Ionikos
4.9
OFI Crete
4.8
Volos NFC
4.8
Panetolikos
4.4
Atromitos
4.3
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.3
Asteras Tripolis
4.2
PAS Giannina
4.1
Lamia
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Panetolikos
35.2
Lamia
34.8
Ionikos
32.8
Volos NFC
32.8
Aris Thessalonikis
32.7
PAS Giannina
32.1
Panathinaikos
32.0
Atromitos
31.6
OFI Crete
31.5
AEK Athens FC
31.2
Asteras Tripolis
30.8
PAOK
30.2
Levadiakos
30.0
Olympiakos Piraeus
27.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.1%
Under 9.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.7%
Under 3.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
94.3%
Under 21.5
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AEK Athens FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.47
0.93
0.27
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.91
0.60
0.40
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (19)
0.95
0.21
1.10
0.20
0.78
0.22
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.20
0.62
0.12
0.71
0.29
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.55
0.83
0.33
0.00
0.80
vs Weaker (16)
0.81
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.12
0.00
Clean sheet %
83% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AEK Athens FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.40
0.87
0.40
0.87
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.18
0.27
0.40
0.60
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (19)
1.26
0.47
1.10
0.30
1.44
0.67
Clean sheet %
73% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.30
0.88
0.31
0.57
0.29
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.27
0.50
0.33
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (16)
0.94
0.25
1.25
0.25
0.62
0.25
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5
71.4%
1.54
-
-
-
-
-
+10.5%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AEK Athens FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Levi García42%
Tom van Weert31%
Mijat Gaćinović27%
Steven Zuber25%
Orbelín Pineda25%
Nordin Amrabat23%
Sergio Araujo21%
Gerasimos Mitoglou12%
Harold Moukoudi7%
Paolo Fernandes7%
Petros Mantalos7%
Damian Szymański7%
Domagoj Vida3%
Djibril Sidibé0%
Konstantinos Galanopoulos0%
Cican Stanković0%
Ehsan Haji Safi0%
Milad Mohammadi0%
Niclas Eliasson0%
Giorgos Athanasiadis0%
Georgios Tzavellas0%
Jens Jønsson0%
Lazaros Rota0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgios Tzavellas38%
Damian Szymański30%
Nordin Amrabat23%
Sergio Araujo21%
Harold Moukoudi19%
Petros Mantalos17%
Mijat Gaćinović17%
Domagoj Vida16%
Lazaros Rota16%
Orbelín Pineda14%
Niclas Eliasson12%
Steven Zuber11%
Ehsan Haji Safi10%
Jens Jønsson9%
Djibril Sidibé8%
Paolo Fernandes7%
Giorgos Athanasiadis3%
Levi García3%
Konstantinos Galanopoulos0%
Cican Stanković0%
Milad Mohammadi0%
Tom van Weert0%
Gerasimos Mitoglou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Petros Mantalos20%
Niclas Eliasson19%
Sergio Araujo17%
Levi García16%
Nordin Amrabat13%
Domagoj Vida10%
Djibril Sidibé8%
Milad Mohammadi8%
Paolo Fernandes7%
Ehsan Haji Safi7%
Mijat Gaćinović7%
Orbelín Pineda6%
Harold Moukoudi4%
Steven Zuber4%
Damian Szymański3%
Lazaros Rota3%
Jens Jønsson3%
Konstantinos Galanopoulos0%
Cican Stanković0%
Tom van Weert0%
Giorgos Athanasiadis0%
Georgios Tzavellas0%
Gerasimos Mitoglou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Levi García55%
Sergio Araujo41%
Mijat Gaćinović30%
Steven Zuber25%
Tom van Weert15%
Djibril Sidibé8%
Paolo Fernandes7%
Orbelín Pineda6%
Damian Szymański3%
Domagoj Vida3%
Lazaros Rota3%
Konstantinos Galanopoulos0%
Petros Mantalos0%
Cican Stanković0%
Ehsan Haji Safi0%
Milad Mohammadi0%
Nordin Amrabat0%
Niclas Eliasson0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Giorgos Athanasiadis0%
Georgios Tzavellas0%
Jens Jønsson0%
Gerasimos Mitoglou0%
Panathinaikos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aitor Cantalapiedra56%
Andraž Šporar34%
Daniel Mancini18%
Fotis Ioannidis17%
Sebastián Palacios15%
László Kleinheisler13%
Benjamin Verbič8%
Facundo Sánchez7%
Bernard6%
Hörður Magnússon4%
Dimitrios Kourbelis3%
Adam Gnezda Čerin3%
Enis Çokaj0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
Zvonimir Šarlija0%
Achilleas Poungouras0%
Giannis Kotsiras0%
Alberto Brignoli0%
Tymoteusz Puchacz0%
Juankar0%
Cristian Ganea0%
Rubén Pérez0%
Giorgos Vagiannidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dimitrios Kourbelis30%
Zvonimir Šarlija29%
Rubén Pérez23%
Bart Schenkeveld22%
Hörður Magnússon21%
Daniel Mancini18%
Juankar15%
Facundo Sánchez14%
Bernard13%
Alberto Brignoli12%
Adam Gnezda Čerin12%
Andraž Šporar9%
Benjamin Verbič8%
Tymoteusz Puchacz8%
László Kleinheisler7%
Sebastián Palacios6%
Fotis Ioannidis6%
Giannis Kotsiras4%
Enis Çokaj0%
Achilleas Poungouras0%
Aitor Cantalapiedra0%
Cristian Ganea0%
Giorgos Vagiannidis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aitor Cantalapiedra22%
Bernard13%
Andraž Šporar12%
Zvonimir Šarlija10%
Daniel Mancini6%
Rubén Pérez6%
Fotis Ioannidis6%
Benjamin Verbič4%
Dimitrios Kourbelis3%
Sebastián Palacios3%
Alberto Brignoli3%
Adam Gnezda Čerin3%
Hörður Magnússon0%
Enis Çokaj0%
Facundo Sánchez0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
László Kleinheisler0%
Achilleas Poungouras0%
Giannis Kotsiras0%
Tymoteusz Puchacz0%
Juankar0%
Cristian Ganea0%
Giorgos Vagiannidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aitor Cantalapiedra33%
Andraž Šporar31%
Fotis Ioannidis19%
Daniel Mancini18%
László Kleinheisler13%
Sebastián Palacios9%
Benjamin Verbič8%
Tymoteusz Puchacz8%
Dimitrios Kourbelis7%
Zvonimir Šarlija5%
Bernard3%
Hörður Magnússon0%
Enis Çokaj0%
Facundo Sánchez0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
Achilleas Poungouras0%
Giannis Kotsiras0%
Alberto Brignoli0%
Juankar0%
Cristian Ganea0%
Rubén Pérez0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Giorgos Vagiannidis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
VN (25)
€10m
PG (36)
€4m
AEK Athens FC's squad is €25m less valuable than Panathinaikos's (€85m vs €109m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PG (12)
€1m
AEK Athens FC's attack is €2m less valuable than Panathinaikos's (€44m vs €46m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
PG (7)
€1m
AEK Athens FC's midfield is €10m less valuable than Panathinaikos's (€16m vs €26m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
PAN (11)
€3m
PG (17)
€2m
AEK Athens FC's defence is €12m less valuable than Panathinaikos's (€26m vs €38m).
Greece: Super League 1 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
Atromitos
OFI
Volos NFC
PAS Giannina
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Ionikos
Levadiakos
Lamia