This opponent (Panetolikos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panetolikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.67
1.00
1.43
0.75
1.88
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
2.33
1.00
1.75
0.20
2.80
vs Similar (18)
1.06
1.56
1.00
1.62
1.10
1.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.1%
Under 1.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.9%
@ 1.81-0.2%
Under 2.5
48.1%
@ 1.97+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.8%
Under 3.5
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-0
11.4%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
1-2 ✓
4.5%
AEK Athens FC goals ↓
Panetolikos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
4.5%
2.4%
0.7%
0.1%
1
11%
11%
4.5%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.8%
4.2%
1.2%
0.3%
3
7.2%
6.2%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
4
3.4%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AEK Athens FC goals (down), columns = Panetolikos goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.31
PAOK
1.78
Aris Thessalonikis
1.72
Panathinaikos
1.69
AEK Athens FC
1.56
Ionikos
1.36
OFI Crete
1.33
PAS Giannina
1.28
Asteras Tripolis
1.24
Volos NFC
1.21
Panetolikos
1.12
Atromitos
1.00
Lamia
0.79
Apollon
0.67
AEK Athens FC is 0.43 points better than Panetolikos in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.72
PAOK
1.61
AEK Athens FC
1.56
Panathinaikos
1.44
Volos NFC
1.42
Ionikos
1.33
OFI Crete
1.21
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Asteras Tripolis
1.00
Atromitos
1.00
Panetolikos
0.97
PAS Giannina
0.94
Lamia
0.73
Apollon
0.48
AEK Athens FC is 0.59 goals better than Panetolikos in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.72
Panathinaikos
0.72
Aris Thessalonikis
0.78
PAOK
0.92
Asteras Tripolis
1.12
AEK Athens FC
1.17
PAS Giannina
1.17
Ionikos
1.27
Lamia
1.33
OFI Crete
1.36
Volos NFC
1.45
Panetolikos
1.45
Atromitos
1.58
Apollon
1.73
AEK Athens FC is 0.29 goals better than Panetolikos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.45).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AEK Athens FC
For 6.8 · Against 5.2 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.1 · Against 15.0 · Total 33.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panetolikos
For 2.6 · Against 5.4 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 17.3 · Total 31.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AEK Athens FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.0
8.5
5.4
5.1
5.7
34.2
31.9
36.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
9.1
8.9
9.3
5.7
5.0
6.6
31.2
29.9
32.7
vs Weaker (35)
8.6
9.0
8.2
5.3
5.2
5.3
35.5
32.9
37.7
% over line
44%
46%
42%
74%
67%
81%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
56%
54%
58%
26%
33%
19%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panetolikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.6
8.2
5.0
5.4
4.5
36.5
35.2
37.7
vs Stronger (16)
8.8
9.4
8.2
4.9
5.1
4.8
34.4
34.9
33.9
vs Similar (30)
8.4
8.6
8.3
5.0
5.6
4.6
36.6
35.1
37.8
vs Weaker (4)
6.5
6.3
7.0
4.8
5.7
2.0
44.2
36.7
67.0
% over line
38%
44%
32%
74%
80%
68%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
62%
56%
68%
26%
20%
32%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
PAOK
8.9
AEK Athens FC
8.7
PAS Giannina
8.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.5
Volos NFC
8.5
Aris Thessalonikis
8.5
Apollon
8.4
Panetolikos
8.4
Panathinaikos
8.3
Lamia
8.2
OFI Crete
8.2
Atromitos
7.9
Ionikos
7.4
Asteras Tripolis
7.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panathinaikos
6.0
Volos NFC
5.6
PAOK
5.4
AEK Athens FC
5.4
Aris Thessalonikis
5.3
PAS Giannina
5.3
Apollon
5.0
Ionikos
5.0
Panetolikos
5.0
Asteras Tripolis
4.9
Atromitos
4.9
OFI Crete
4.9
Lamia
4.7
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apollon
36.9
Panetolikos
36.5
Lamia
36.4
Aris Thessalonikis
36.0
OFI Crete
35.6
PAS Giannina
35.0
Volos NFC
34.6
AEK Athens FC
34.2
Panathinaikos
34.1
Atromitos
33.8
Ionikos
33.2
Asteras Tripolis
32.7
PAOK
31.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
30.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.2%
Under 9.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
69.8%
Under 3.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.8%
Under 21.5
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AEK Athens FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
0.79
0.79
0.88
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.30
0.90
0.40
1.40
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (20)
1.10
0.35
1.00
0.44
1.18
0.27
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panetolikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.90
0.43
0.71
0.31
1.06
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
1.11
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.20
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.94
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.10
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AEK Athens FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.86
0.43
0.56
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.60
1.00
0.80
0.80
0.40
1.20
vs Weaker (20)
0.75
0.50
0.89
0.22
0.64
0.73
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panetolikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.77
0.57
0.71
0.44
0.81
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.22
0.50
0.75
0.20
1.60
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.61
0.50
0.88
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AEK Athens FC · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Barnabás Varga67%
Luka Jović33%
Răzvan Marin33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Lazaros Rota0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Zini0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Răzvan Marin33%
Aboubakary Koita33%
Stavros Pilios33%
Lazaros Rota33%
Zini33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Luka Jović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lovro Majer33%
Răzvan Marin33%
Lazaros Rota33%
Filipe Relvas33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Luka Jović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Zini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Răzvan Marin67%
Luka Jović33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Lazaros Rota0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Zini0%
Panetolikos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Manuel García25%
Béni Nkololo25%
Farley Rosa21%
Jorge Aguirre17%
Alexandru Mățan15%
Youssouph Badji13%
Kosta Aleksić12%
Sotiris Kontouris10%
Konrad Michalak9%
Lenny Lobato6%
Diego Esteban6%
Lampros Smyrlis5%
Charis Mavrias4%
Andreas Bouchalakis3%
Miguel Luís0%
Lucas Cháves0%
Christian Manrique0%
Christos Sielis0%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Lazar Kojić0%
Unai García0%
Gustav Granath0%
Yevhenii Kucherenko0%
Giannis Satsias0%
Nikola Stajić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Jeyson Chura0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Vangelis Nikolaou0%
Adriano Bregou0%
Georgios Agapakis0%
David Galiatsos0%
Deivid Hoxha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgios Agapakis38%
Miguel Luís29%
Lazar Kojić29%
Charis Mavrias25%
Christos Sielis25%
Béni Nkololo25%
Christian Manrique24%
Andreas Bouchalakis20%
Youssouph Badji20%
Jeyson Chura20%
Kosta Aleksić18%
Jorge Aguirre17%
David Galiatsos17%
Unai García15%
Giannis Satsias15%
Farley Rosa14%
Lenny Lobato12%
Diego Esteban12%
Nikola Stajić11%
Yevhenii Kucherenko10%
Sotiris Kontouris10%
Adriano Bregou9%
Juan Manuel García8%
Lucas Cháves7%
Alexandru Mățan6%
Gustav Granath6%
Vangelis Nikolaou6%
Lampros Smyrlis5%
Konrad Michalak4%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Deivid Hoxha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Youssouph Badji20%
Farley Rosa14%
Konrad Michalak13%
Alexandru Mățan9%
Béni Nkololo8%
Giannis Satsias8%
Lucas Cháves7%
Lenny Lobato6%
Lampros Smyrlis5%
Jorge Aguirre4%
Christos Sielis4%
Christian Manrique3%
Andreas Bouchalakis3%
Kosta Aleksić3%
Diego Esteban3%
Miguel Luís0%
Juan Manuel García0%
Charis Mavrias0%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Lazar Kojić0%
Unai García0%
Gustav Granath0%
Yevhenii Kucherenko0%
Nikola Stajić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Jeyson Chura0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Vangelis Nikolaou0%
Adriano Bregou0%
Georgios Agapakis0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
David Galiatsos0%
Deivid Hoxha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Béni Nkololo25%
Farley Rosa14%
Youssouph Badji13%
Juan Manuel García8%
Jorge Aguirre8%
Lenny Lobato6%
Alexandru Mățan6%
Konrad Michalak4%
Miguel Luís0%
Andreas Bouchalakis0%
Lucas Cháves0%
Christian Manrique0%
Charis Mavrias0%
Christos Sielis0%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Kosta Aleksić0%
Lazar Kojić0%
Unai García0%
Gustav Granath0%
Yevhenii Kucherenko0%
Giannis Satsias0%
Nikola Stajić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Diego Esteban0%
Jeyson Chura0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Lampros Smyrlis0%
Vangelis Nikolaou0%
Adriano Bregou0%
Georgios Agapakis0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
David Galiatsos0%
Deivid Hoxha0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
VN (25)
€10m
PG (36)
€4m
AEK Athens FC's squad is €72m more valuable than Panetolikos's (€85m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
AT (11)
€5m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PG (12)
€1m
AEK Athens FC's attack is €36m more valuable than Panetolikos's (€44m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
PG (7)
€1m
AEK Athens FC's midfield is €13m more valuable than Panetolikos's (€16m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
PAN (11)
€3m
PG (17)
€2m
AEK Athens FC's defence is €22m more valuable than Panetolikos's (€26m vs €3m).
Greece: Super League 1 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
PAS Giannina
Ionikos
Asteras Tripolis
Volos NFC
Atromitos
Lamia