AEK Athens FC vs PAOK Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with a 52% chance for PAOK, 26% for a draw and 22% for AEK Athens. The expected total goals hover at 2.8, but the most likely total is two goals, a 25% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.5% chance. AEK Athens, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded, while PAOK on the road against a similar side averages 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 98.2%, Over 21.5 fouls at 95.5%, Over 23.5 fouls at 90.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 84.5%, Over 25.5 fouls at 81.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 77.5%, Under 3.5 at 70.3%, and Over 1.5 at 77.2%. AEK Athens have been on a two-game winning streak, while PAOK are coming off a defeat. The predicted outcome aligns with the recent form, suggesting PAOK will edge out a narrow victory.

The Pythia model’s prediction proved accurate as PAOK secured a 0-1 away win, extending their recent run of victories. The pre-match favourite was the away win, assigned a 52% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The final score matched the actual result, confirming the model’s accuracy. The suggested picks performed largely as expected: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 98.2%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 95.5%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 90.2%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 84.5%, Over 25.5 fouls hit at 81.6%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 77.5%, Under 3.5 hit at 70.3%, while Over 1.5 missed at 77.2%. The model’s selections were largely correct, with only one miss.