This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.95
1.05
1.09
0.91
0.80
1.20
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.25
1.00
0.50
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (13)
0.77
1.23
1.00
1.29
0.50
1.17
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
38% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
63.8%
Under 1.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.6%
Under 2.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.5%
Under 3.5
83.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.6%
No
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
15.7%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
13.2%
2-0
12.0%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
AEK Larnaca goals ↓
Apollon Limassol goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
7.3%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
1
16%
13%
4.2%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
8.5%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
3
5.6%
4.0%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
4
2.0%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AEK Larnaca goals (down), columns = Apollon Limassol goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Aris
2.06
Apoel Nicosia
1.97
AEK Larnaca
1.83
Apollon Limassol
1.77
Pafos
1.75
Anorthosis
1.57
Nea Salamis
1.45
Omonia Nicosia
1.36
AEL
1.26
Karmiotissa
1.20
Doxa
0.97
Enosis
0.93
Akritas
0.85
Olympiakos
0.70
AEK Larnaca is 0.06 points better than Apollon Limassol in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 1.77).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.67
AEK Larnaca
1.53
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Apollon Limassol
1.34
Anorthosis
1.30
Nea Salamis
1.27
Omonia Nicosia
1.19
Enosis
1.00
Akritas
0.93
Karmiotissa
0.90
AEL
0.90
Doxa
0.80
Olympiakos
0.75
AEK Larnaca is 0.18 goals better than Apollon Limassol in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.34).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.72
Aris
0.78
Pafos
0.83
AEL
1.03
AEK Larnaca
1.03
Apollon Limassol
1.06
Anorthosis
1.07
Omonia Nicosia
1.17
Enosis
1.30
Karmiotissa
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.38
Doxa
1.40
Olympiakos
1.55
Akritas
1.82
AEK Larnaca is 0.03 goals better than Apollon Limassol in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Omonia Nicosia
56%
AEK Larnaca
55%
Anorthosis
55%
Akritas
55%
Olympiakos
52%
Enosis
52%
Karmiotissa
50%
Apoel Nicosia
49%
Doxa
46%
AEL
45%
Pafos
45%
Aris
44%
Nea Salamis
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AEK Larnaca
For 3.7 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 15.2 · Total 29.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Apollon Limassol
For 4.9 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 11.7 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AEK Larnaca
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (23)
9.4
10.5
8.3
2.7
2.9
2.5
29.7
32.4
27.0
vs Stronger (10)
9.7
10.8
8.6
5.2
5.8
4.6
29.8
33.5
26.0
vs Similar (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (6)
8.0
9.0
7.0
1.7
1.2
4.0
29.5
28.0
31.0
% over line
42%
67%
17%
43%
42%
45%
90%
100%
80%
% under line
58%
33%
83%
57%
58%
55%
10%
0%
20%
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (21)
9.6
10.2
9.0
2.1
2.3
2.0
22.3
23.0
21.8
vs Stronger (4)
10.5
8.0
13.0
1.8
2.0
1.5
17.5
20.0
15.0
vs Similar (13)
8.2
10.0
6.3
2.2
2.6
1.8
23.0
25.0
21.7
vs Weaker (4)
13.0
13.0
13.0
2.2
1.5
3.0
25.5
22.0
29.0
% over line
50%
60%
40%
29%
36%
20%
44%
50%
40%
% under line
50%
40%
60%
71%
64%
80%
56%
50%
60%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Karmiotissa
11.0
Akritas
10.7
Aris
10.2
Apoel Nicosia
9.8
Enosis
9.7
Apollon Limassol
9.6
Nea Salamis
9.5
AEK Larnaca
9.4
AEL
9.0
Anorthosis
9.0
Omonia Nicosia
8.9
Doxa
8.5
Pafos
8.0
Olympiakos
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Olympiakos
6.5
Nea Salamis
6.5
AEL
6.0
AEK Larnaca
5.2
Doxa
5.0
Anorthosis
5.0
Aris
4.8
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
Apollon Limassol
4.5
Karmiotissa
4.5
Apoel Nicosia
4.0
Akritas
4.0
Enosis
3.7
Pafos
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Doxa
34.0
Apoel Nicosia
32.5
Olympiakos
32.5
Nea Salamis
30.0
AEK Larnaca
29.7
AEL
28.0
Anorthosis
27.5
Karmiotissa
26.5
Aris
26.0
Akritas
26.0
Enosis
25.7
Pafos
23.0
Omonia Nicosia
22.5
Apollon Limassol
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.8%
Under 9.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.1%
Under 3.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.7%
Under 21.5
6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AEK Larnaca
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.78
0.48
1.08
0.42
0.45
0.55
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (7)
1.00
0.43
2.00
0.00
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
52% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.48
0.57
0.73
0.55
0.20
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.31
0.62
0.43
0.71
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.25
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
52% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AEK Larnaca
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.61
1.00
0.50
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
0.70
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.60
vs Similar (7)
0.86
0.57
1.50
0.00
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (6)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.40
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
52% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.48
0.48
0.36
0.36
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.46
0.62
0.57
0.57
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
76% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AEK Larnaca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ádám Gyurcsó33%
Rafael Lopes17%
Ivan Tričkovski12%
Victor Olatunji12%
Omri Altman11%
Ángel García11%
Oier10%
Mikel González0%
Roberto Rosales0%
Marin Jakoliš0%
Kypros Christoforou0%
Nikos Englezou0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Nemanja Nikolics0%
Kenan Pirić0%
Imad Faraj0%
Hrvoje Miličević0%
Rafail Mamas0%
Ismael Casas0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ángel García44%
Pere Pons33%
Roberto Rosales30%
Imad Faraj20%
Rafail Mamas20%
Hrvoje Miličević18%
Kenan Pirić17%
Ivan Tričkovski12%
Kypros Christoforou12%
Victor Olatunji12%
Omri Altman11%
Oier10%
Nenad Tomović8%
Mikel González0%
Marin Jakoliš0%
Ádám Gyurcsó0%
Nikos Englezou0%
Rafael Lopes0%
Gus Ledes0%
Nemanja Nikolics0%
Ismael Casas0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imad Faraj20%
Nikos Englezou14%
Roberto Rosales10%
Gus Ledes8%
Kenan Pirić8%
Mikel González0%
Ivan Tričkovski0%
Marin Jakoliš0%
Ádám Gyurcsó0%
Kypros Christoforou0%
Omri Altman0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Ángel García0%
Rafael Lopes0%
Oier0%
Pere Pons0%
Nemanja Nikolics0%
Victor Olatunji0%
Hrvoje Miličević0%
Rafail Mamas0%
Ismael Casas0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ádám Gyurcsó17%
Ivan Tričkovski12%
Victor Olatunji12%
Omri Altman11%
Gus Ledes8%
Mikel González0%
Roberto Rosales0%
Marin Jakoliš0%
Kypros Christoforou0%
Nikos Englezou0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Ángel García0%
Rafael Lopes0%
Oier0%
Pere Pons0%
Nemanja Nikolics0%
Kenan Pirić0%
Imad Faraj0%
Hrvoje Miličević0%
Rafail Mamas0%
Ismael Casas0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Apollon Limassol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Valentin Roberge50%
Ioannis Pittas17%
Patrick Joosten17%
Euclides Cabral17%
Vukašin Jovanović0%
Chambos Kyriakou0%
Danilo Spoljaric0%
Ezekiel Henty0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Israel Coll0%
Haitam Aleesami0%
Amine Khammas0%
Hervin Ongenda0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Aleksandar Jovanović0%
Nicolas Diguiny0%
Bagaliy Dabo0%
Ido Shahar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Haitam Aleesami50%
Vukašin Jovanović33%
Nicolas Diguiny25%
Bagaliy Dabo25%
Chambos Kyriakou20%
Aleksandar Jovanović20%
Ioannis Pittas17%
Israel Coll17%
Euclides Cabral17%
Valentin Roberge0%
Danilo Spoljaric0%
Ezekiel Henty0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Amine Khammas0%
Patrick Joosten0%
Hervin Ongenda0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Ido Shahar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Chambos Kyriakou20%
Ido Shahar20%
Ioannis Pittas17%
Patrick Joosten17%
Vukašin Jovanović0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Danilo Spoljaric0%
Ezekiel Henty0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Israel Coll0%
Haitam Aleesami0%
Amine Khammas0%
Hervin Ongenda0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Aleksandar Jovanović0%
Euclides Cabral0%
Nicolas Diguiny0%
Bagaliy Dabo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hervin Ongenda25%
Vukašin Jovanović0%
Chambos Kyriakou0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Danilo Spoljaric0%
Ezekiel Henty0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Ioannis Pittas0%
Israel Coll0%
Haitam Aleesami0%
Amine Khammas0%
Patrick Joosten0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Aleksandar Jovanović0%
Euclides Cabral0%
Nicolas Diguiny0%
Bagaliy Dabo0%
Ido Shahar0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AEK Larnaca and Apollon Limassol have a similar squad value (both €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AEK Larnaca and Apollon Limassol have a similar attack value (both €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AEK Larnaca and Apollon Limassol have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OLY (8)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AEK Larnaca and Apollon Limassol have a similar defence value (both €7m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
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Aris
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
Anorthosis
Nea Salamis
Omonia Nicosia
AEL
Karmiotissa
Doxa
Enosis
Akritas
Olympiakos