This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Aradippou
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.60
1.14
1.43
0.56
1.75
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
2.44
0.40
1.80
0.25
3.25
vs Similar (21)
1.05
1.24
1.56
1.22
0.67
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.4%
Under 1.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.4%
Under 2.5
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.3%
Under 3.5
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.4%
No
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
13.5%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
AEK Larnaca goals ↓
Omonia Aradippou goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.7%
5.4%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
1
13%
12%
4.2%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
9.4%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
7.0%
5.3%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
4
3.0%
2.3%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AEK Larnaca goals (down), columns = Omonia Aradippou goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Akritas
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.00
Enosis
0.15
AEK Larnaca is 0.64 points better than Omonia Aradippou in terms of average points per game (1.92 vs 1.27).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Akritas
0.94
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Enosis
0.33
AEK Larnaca is 0.78 goals better than Omonia Aradippou in terms of goals scored per game (1.72 vs 0.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Aris
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.33
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
AEL
1.39
Ethnikos Achna
1.61
Akritas
1.76
Enosis
2.42
AEK Larnaca is 0.36 goals better than Omonia Aradippou in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.27).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Ethnikos Achna
48%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Akritas
44%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
Enosis
41%
AEK Larnaca is 6.8 percentage points better than Omonia Aradippou in terms of average possession (49% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AEK Larnaca
For 4.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.0 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Omonia Aradippou
For 5.0 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 12.8 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AEK Larnaca
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.3
9.8
1.3
0.8
1.8
25.5
19.0
29.4
vs Stronger (4)
9.0
8.0
10.0
4.5
4.5
4.5
26.5
21.0
32.0
vs Similar (31)
9.3
8.5
9.8
1.5
0.7
2.4
25.2
18.0
28.8
vs Weaker (15)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
62%
33%
80%
20%
8%
33%
62%
33%
80%
% under line
38%
67%
20%
80%
92%
67%
38%
67%
20%
This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Aradippou
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
6.0
8.8
0.8
0.4
1.2
26.4
27.0
26.3
vs Stronger (13)
8.5
-
8.5
0.5
0.0
1.4
28.5
-
28.5
vs Similar (36)
8.4
6.0
9.0
1.0
0.6
1.2
25.6
27.0
25.2
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
29%
0%
33%
12%
4%
19%
86%
100%
83%
% under line
71%
100%
67%
88%
96%
81%
14%
0%
17%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia Nicosia
11.0
AEL
9.9
AEK Larnaca
9.6
Apoel Nicosia
9.4
Aris
9.4
Apollon Limassol
9.3
Anorthosis
9.1
Akritas
9.0
Enosis
8.9
Pafos
8.7
Olympiakos
8.5
Omonia Aradippou
8.4
Ethnikos Achna
8.4
Krasava Ypsonas
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Omonia Aradippou
6.0
Aris
5.5
Anorthosis
5.3
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
Apollon Limassol
5.1
Pafos
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.0
Enosis
4.9
Ethnikos Achna
4.8
Omonia Nicosia
4.7
Olympiakos
4.6
AEL
4.6
Akritas
4.3
Krasava Ypsonas
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Krasava Ypsonas
31.0
Apoel Nicosia
29.2
Anorthosis
28.8
Enosis
28.4
Olympiakos
27.4
AEL
26.8
Ethnikos Achna
26.7
Omonia Aradippou
26.4
Aris
26.4
AEK Larnaca
26.1
Pafos
26.0
Apollon Limassol
25.5
Omonia Nicosia
24.9
Akritas
23.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.4%
Under 9.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.6%
Under 3.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
81.8%
Under 21.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AEK Larnaca
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.87
0.67
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.78
0.92
0.83
0.27
0.73
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Aradippou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.50
0.50
0.29
0.31
0.69
vs Stronger (9)
0.11
0.67
0.00
0.40
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.43
0.78
0.22
0.33
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AEK Larnaca
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.43
1.07
0.47
0.67
0.40
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.25
2.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.52
0.92
0.58
0.55
0.45
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Aradippou
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.10
0.64
1.14
0.25
1.06
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
1.78
0.40
1.40
0.00
2.25
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.81
0.78
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AEK Larnaca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Karol Angielski50%
Marcus Rohdén27%
Riad Bajić21%
Enric Saborit17%
Robert Mudražija12%
Enzo Cabrera12%
Jorge Miramón12%
Đorđe Ivanović11%
Waldo Rubio Marín10%
Hrvoje Miličević5%
Charalampos Kyriakou0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Ángel García0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Jeremie Gnali0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Álex Cardero0%
Mathías González0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mathías González40%
Enric Saborit33%
Petros Ioannou25%
Valentin Roberge23%
Pere Pons22%
Hrvoje Miličević21%
Godswill Ekpolo20%
Giorgos Naoum20%
Jorge Miramón19%
Marcus Rohdén18%
Ángel García18%
Jeremie Gnali17%
Álex Cardero17%
Enzo Cabrera12%
Gus Ledes11%
Waldo Rubio Marín10%
Riad Bajić5%
Đorđe Ivanović5%
Robert Mudražija0%
Charalampos Kyriakou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Karol Angielski0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcus Rohdén27%
Jeremie Gnali17%
Jairo Izquierdo14%
Gus Ledes11%
Ángel García9%
Charalampos Kyriakou8%
Godswill Ekpolo7%
Jorge Miramón6%
Hrvoje Miličević5%
Robert Mudražija0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Enzo Cabrera0%
Riad Bajić0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Karol Angielski0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Đorđe Ivanović0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Waldo Rubio Marín0%
Pere Pons0%
Enric Saborit0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Álex Cardero0%
Mathías González0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Karol Angielski25%
Riad Bajić16%
Đorđe Ivanović11%
Hrvoje Miličević11%
Waldo Rubio Marín10%
Giorgos Naoum10%
Marcus Rohdén9%
Enric Saborit8%
Robert Mudražija0%
Charalampos Kyriakou0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Enzo Cabrera0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Ángel García0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Jorge Miramón0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Jeremie Gnali0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Álex Cardero0%
Mathías González0%
Omonia Aradippou
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sebastián Lomónaco33%
Giorgos Pontikos33%
Stavros Georgiou29%
Jasin Assehnoun20%
Christos Kallis17%
Jorginho12%
Niko Havelka0%
Panagiotis Zachariou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Rasmus Thelander0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Paris Polikarpou0%
Jaly Mouaddib0%
Jeremy Van Mullem0%
Danny0%
Lautaro Cano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sebastian Ring50%
Ryan Edwards50%
Jasin Assehnoun40%
Niko Havelka29%
Stavros Georgiou29%
Rasmus Thelander25%
Jaly Mouaddib25%
Jeremy Van Mullem25%
Panagiotis Zachariou20%
Paris Polikarpou14%
Jorginho12%
Minas Antoniou11%
Giorgos Pontikos11%
Sebastián Lomónaco0%
Christos Kallis0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Danny0%
Lautaro Cano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stavros Georgiou29%
Jaly Mouaddib25%
Sebastian Ring17%
Jorginho12%
Jeremy Van Mullem12%
Danny12%
Sebastián Lomónaco0%
Niko Havelka0%
Christos Kallis0%
Panagiotis Zachariou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Rasmus Thelander0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Jasin Assehnoun0%
Paris Polikarpou0%
Giorgos Pontikos0%
Lautaro Cano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sebastián Lomónaco33%
Jaly Mouaddib25%
Stavros Georgiou14%
Giorgos Pontikos11%
Jorginho0%
Niko Havelka0%
Christos Kallis0%
Panagiotis Zachariou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Rasmus Thelander0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Ivan Kostić0%
Jasin Assehnoun0%
Paris Polikarpou0%
Jeremy Van Mullem0%
Danny0%
Lautaro Cano0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
AEK Larnaca's squad is €11m more valuable than Omonia Aradippou's (€16m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AEK Larnaca's attack is €6m more valuable than Omonia Aradippou's (€7m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
AEK Larnaca's midfield is €1m more valuable than Omonia Aradippou's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
AEK Larnaca's defence is €4m more valuable than Omonia Aradippou's (€7m vs €2m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Omonia Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
Anorthosis
AEL
Krasava Ypsonas
Olympiakos
Akritas
Ethnikos Achna
Enosis