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AEK Larnaca vs Pafos Result & Analysis

Date: 04/01/2023
Time: 17:00
Final 1-0
AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
Vs
40%
30%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pafos
Pafos
Cyprus: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The match between AEK Larnaca and Pafos is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win. AEK Larnaca’s recent form shows a three-game winning streak, while Pafos is just off a win, so the contest is finely balanced. The model assigns a 40% chance of a home victory, a 30% chance of a draw and a 30% chance of an away win. The expected total goals is 2.4, with the most likely total being two goals at 28%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.4% probability. AEK Larnaca averages 2.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded at home against similar opposition, whereas Pafos scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33 on the road. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls (98.4%), Over 21.5 fouls (95.9%), Over 23.5 fouls (90.9%), Over 25.5 fouls (82.8%), Over 2.5 cards (88.4%), Over 3.5 cards (74.9%), Under 3.5 (78.8%) and Under 11.5 corners (75.5%).

Results analysis

AEK Larnaca continued their three-game winning streak, extending it with a 1-0 victory over Pafos. The pre-match favourite was a home win, assigned a 40% probability, and the model’s call proved correct. The match finished 1-0, confirming the favoured outcome. The model also predicted an under 3.5 total with a 78.8% chance, and that selection hit. No other picks were listed. The final score matched the actual result, and the model’s predictions were largely accurate, underscoring its reliability in this fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca win✓ Hit
39.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pafos win✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-433D40W11D21W10W10W20W10W21W20WH·DYN27/10H·KAR30/10A·REN03/11A·AKR07/11H·AEL13/11H·APO26/11A·ENO02/12A·DOX09/12H·OMO16/12A·NEA21/12
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.640.932.000.861.291.00
vs Stronger (8)1.121.501.502.000.751.00
vs Similar (11)1.821.002.400.401.331.50
vs Weaker (9)1.890.332.000.401.750.25
Clean sheet %39% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PafosPafos

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W30W20W31W10W22D11D12L10W52WA·DOX14/10H·OMO22/10A·NEA29/10A·AEL06/11H·ANO10/11A·ARI28/11H·OLY03/12H·APO09/12A·KAR19/12H·AKR23/12
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.250.622.380.622.120.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.501.001.670.671.331.33
vs Weaker (10)2.700.402.800.602.600.20
Clean sheet %56% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.5%
Under 1.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.9%
Under 2.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.9%
No
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0 ✓
10.8%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
AEK Larnaca goals ↓
Pafos goals →
01234
011%8.9%5.5%2.0%0.5%
111%14%7.0%2.5%0.7%
27.7%8.3%4.5%1.6%0.4%
33.3%3.6%1.9%0.7%0.2%
41.1%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AEK Larnaca goals (down), columns = Pafos goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aris
2.06
Apoel Nicosia
1.97
AEK Larnaca
1.83
Apollon Limassol
1.77
Pafos
1.75
Anorthosis
1.57
Nea Salamis
1.45
Omonia Nicosia
1.36
AEL
1.26
Karmiotissa
1.20
Doxa
0.97
Enosis
0.93
Akritas
0.85
Olympiakos
0.70
AEK Larnaca is 0.08 points better than Pafos in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 1.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.67
AEK Larnaca
1.53
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Apollon Limassol
1.34
Anorthosis
1.30
Nea Salamis
1.27
Omonia Nicosia
1.19
Enosis
1.00
Akritas
0.93
Karmiotissa
0.90
AEL
0.90
Doxa
0.80
Olympiakos
0.75
AEK Larnaca is 0.14 goals worse than Pafos in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.72
Aris
0.78
Pafos
0.83
AEL
1.03
AEK Larnaca
1.03
Apollon Limassol
1.06
Anorthosis
1.07
Omonia Nicosia
1.17
Enosis
1.30
Karmiotissa
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.38
Doxa
1.40
Olympiakos
1.55
Akritas
1.82
AEK Larnaca is 0.19 goals worse than Pafos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 0.83).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Omonia Nicosia
56%
AEK Larnaca
55%
Anorthosis
55%
Akritas
55%
Olympiakos
52%
Enosis
52%
Karmiotissa
50%
Apoel Nicosia
49%
Doxa
46%
AEL
45%
Pafos
45%
Aris
44%
Nea Salamis
40%
AEK Larnaca is 10.4 percentage points better than Pafos in terms of average possession (55% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

For 4.3 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

1509612656822455232334815311144975612A·NEAH·OMOA·DOXA·ENOH·APOH·AELA·AKRA·RENH·DYNH·FEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

1204222241133242221148464626643512A·NEAH·OMOA·DOXA·ENOH·APOH·AELA·AKRA·RENH·DYNH·FEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 14.5 · Total 29.7

⚠️ Fouls

37016181317161311101914131517141291716181934302921332831213337A·NEAH·OMOA·DOXA·ENOH·APOH·AELA·AKRA·RENH·DYNH·FEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PafosPafos

For 5.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

12093156453126108A·KARH·APOA·ARIH·ANO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

80335332116852A·KARH·APOA·ARIH·ANO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 17.2 · Total 28.8

⚠️ Fouls

3801721131272291438252923A·KARH·APOA·ARIH·ANO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (28)9.48.810.03.13.22.929.632.127.4
vs Stronger (8)9.910.89.05.25.84.829.833.526.0
vs Similar (11)6.26.07.01.83.20.731.531.5-
vs Weaker (9)11.29.011.82.71.24.528.628.028.8
% over line47%50%44%50%50%50%87%100%75%
% under line53%50%56%50%50%50%13%0%25%
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PafosPafos

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (16)9.07.011.01.31.21.428.824.033.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (6)8.06.010.02.22.71.727.025.029.0
vs Weaker (10)10.08.012.00.80.41.230.523.038.0
% over line50%0%100%19%12%25%100%100%100%
% under line50%100%0%81%88%75%0%0%0%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Akritas
12.2
Anorthosis
10.4
Karmiotissa
10.3
Aris
10.2
Enosis
9.6
Nea Salamis
9.5
AEK Larnaca
9.4
Doxa
9.1
Pafos
9.0
AEL
9.0
Omonia Nicosia
8.9
Apollon Limassol
8.8
Apoel Nicosia
8.2
Olympiakos
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Nea Salamis
5.9
Pafos
5.2
Apoel Nicosia
5.2
Anorthosis
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.1
Olympiakos
5.0
Karmiotissa
4.9
AEL
4.8
Aris
4.7
Akritas
4.5
Omonia Nicosia
4.3
Doxa
4.2
Apollon Limassol
3.9
Enosis
3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Nea Salamis
30.2
Apoel Nicosia
30.0
AEK Larnaca
29.6
AEL
29.4
Pafos
28.8
Doxa
28.6
Olympiakos
28.2
Karmiotissa
28.1
Aris
27.3
Anorthosis
26.1
Enosis
25.6
Apollon Limassol
24.6
Omonia Nicosia
23.5
Akritas
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.5%
Under 9.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.9%
Under 3.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
95.9%
Under 21.5
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W01L10W00D00D10W00D11D20WH·DYN27/10H·KAR30/10A·REN03/11A·AKR07/11H·AEL13/11H·APO26/11A·ENO02/12A·DOX09/12H·OMO16/12A·NEA21/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.790.431.000.430.570.43
vs Stronger (8)0.500.750.751.000.250.50
vs Similar (11)0.820.551.200.400.500.67
vs Weaker (9)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PafosPafos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W20W10W00D00D02L10W22DA·DOX14/10H·OMO22/10A·NEA29/10A·AEL06/11H·ANO10/11A·ARI28/11H·OLY03/12H·APO09/12A·KAR19/12H·AKR23/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.940.250.880.501.000.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.500.330.330.670.670.00
vs Weaker (10)1.200.201.200.401.200.00
Clean sheet %88% (+57pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D20W10W11D10W10W10W10W10W00DH·DYN27/10H·KAR30/10A·REN03/11A·AKR07/11H·AEL13/11H·APO26/11A·ENO02/12A·DOX09/12H·OMO16/12A·NEA21/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.860.501.000.430.710.57
vs Stronger (8)0.620.750.751.000.500.50
vs Similar (11)1.000.451.200.000.830.83
vs Weaker (9)0.890.331.000.400.750.25
Clean sheet %61% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PafosPafos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W10W11D00D22D11D10W00D30WA·DOX14/10H·OMO22/10A·NEA29/10A·AEL06/11H·ANO10/11A·ARI28/11H·OLY03/12H·APO09/12A·KAR19/12H·AKR23/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.310.381.500.121.120.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.000.671.330.000.671.33
vs Weaker (10)1.500.201.600.201.400.20
Clean sheet %69% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls98.4%--------
Over 21.5 fouls95.9%--------
Over 23.5 fouls90.9%--------
Over 2.5 cards88.4%--------
Over 25.5 fouls82.8%--------
Under 3.578.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.5%--------
Over 3.5 cards74.9%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

AEK Larnaca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ádám Gyurcsó33%
Rafael Lopes17%
Ivan Tričkovski12%
Victor Olatunji12%
Omri Altman11%
Ángel García11%
Oier10%
Mikel González0%
Roberto Rosales0%
Marin Jakoliš0%
Kypros Christoforou0%
Nikos Englezou0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Nemanja Nikolics0%
Kenan Pirić0%
Imad Faraj0%
Hrvoje Miličević0%
Rafail Mamas0%
Ismael Casas0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ángel García44%
Pere Pons33%
Roberto Rosales30%
Imad Faraj20%
Rafail Mamas20%
Hrvoje Miličević18%
Kenan Pirić17%
Ivan Tričkovski12%
Kypros Christoforou12%
Victor Olatunji12%
Omri Altman11%
Oier10%
Nenad Tomović8%
Mikel González0%
Marin Jakoliš0%
Ádám Gyurcsó0%
Nikos Englezou0%
Rafael Lopes0%
Gus Ledes0%
Nemanja Nikolics0%
Ismael Casas0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imad Faraj20%
Nikos Englezou14%
Roberto Rosales10%
Gus Ledes8%
Kenan Pirić8%
Mikel González0%
Ivan Tričkovski0%
Marin Jakoliš0%
Ádám Gyurcsó0%
Kypros Christoforou0%
Omri Altman0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Ángel García0%
Rafael Lopes0%
Oier0%
Pere Pons0%
Nemanja Nikolics0%
Victor Olatunji0%
Hrvoje Miličević0%
Rafail Mamas0%
Ismael Casas0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ádám Gyurcsó17%
Ivan Tričkovski12%
Victor Olatunji12%
Omri Altman11%
Gus Ledes8%
Mikel González0%
Roberto Rosales0%
Marin Jakoliš0%
Kypros Christoforou0%
Nikos Englezou0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Ángel García0%
Rafael Lopes0%
Oier0%
Pere Pons0%
Nemanja Nikolics0%
Kenan Pirić0%
Imad Faraj0%
Hrvoje Miličević0%
Rafail Mamas0%
Ismael Casas0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Pafos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Correia35%
Alexandre Brito33%
David Luiz25%
Anderson Silva24%
Jajá23%
Domingos Quina14%
Bruno13%
Ivan Šunjić9%
Mislav Oršić8%
Vlad Dragomir8%
Mons Bassouamina7%
Derrick Luckassen5%
Pêpê4%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Jay Gorter0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Šunjić36%
Alexandre Brito33%
Ken Sema21%
David Luiz20%
Jay Gorter20%
Bruno Langa20%
Jajá18%
Bruno17%
Axel Guessand17%
Domingos Quina14%
Lelê14%
Derrick Luckassen14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Vlad Dragomir12%
Pêpê12%
Nikolas Ioannou11%
David Goldar9%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Landry Dimata0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mislav Oršić33%
Wilmer Odefalk20%
Landry Dimata17%
David Luiz15%
Ken Sema11%
Jajá9%
Pêpê8%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Domingos Quina5%
Ivan Šunjić5%
Bruno4%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lelê14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Anderson Silva12%
João Correia12%
David Luiz10%
Jajá9%
Domingos Quina5%
Bruno4%
Ivan Šunjić0%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Pêpê0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AEK Larnaca's squad is €13m less valuable than Pafos's (€16m vs €28m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AEK Larnaca's attack is €7m less valuable than Pafos's (€7m vs €14m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AEK Larnaca's midfield is €5m less valuable than Pafos's (€2m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OLY (8)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AEK Larnaca and Pafos have a similar defence value (both €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
AL wins
0
Draws
1
PAF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos · H/A from AL
DateH/AGameScore
18/09/22APafos Vs AL1-0

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/12/22ANea Salamis Vs AL0-2
16/12/22HAL Vs Omonia Nicosia2-1
09/12/22ADoxa Vs AL0-1
02/12/22AEnosis Vs AL0-2
26/11/22HAL Vs Apollon Limassol1-0
13/11/22HAL Vs AEL1-0
07/11/22AAkritas Vs AL1-2
03/11/22ARennes Vs AL1-1
30/10/22HAL Vs Karmiotissa4-0
27/10/22HAL Vs Dynamo Kyiv3-3

PafosPafos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/12/22HPAF Vs Akritas5-2
19/12/22AKarmiotissa Vs PAF0-1
09/12/22HPAF Vs Apoel Nicosia1-2
03/12/22HPAF Vs Olympiakos1-1
28/11/22AAris Vs PAF2-2
10/11/22HPAF Vs Anorthosis1-0
06/11/22AAEL Vs PAF1-3
29/10/22ANea Salamis Vs PAF0-2
22/10/22HPAF Vs Omonia Nicosia3-0
14/10/22ADoxa Vs PAF0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
Cyprus: 1. Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.93
HomeDWWWW2.14
AwayDWWWW1.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %57%64%50%
AVG goals2.572.862.29
Over 1.5 %71%71%71%
Over 2.5 %50%64%36%
Over 3.5 %21%29%14%
Scored1.642.001.29
Conceded0.930.861.00
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet39%50%29%
Corners9.418.7510.00
Cards5.065.624.56
Pafos
Pafos
Cyprus: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWW2.31
HomeWWDLW2.38
AwayWWWDW2.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %69%75%62%
AVG goals2.883.002.75
Over 1.5 %81%75%88%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %31%25%38%
Scored2.252.382.12
Conceded0.620.620.62
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet56%62%50%
Corners9.007.0011.00
Cards5.255.005.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArisAris3674
58%
2.1
6528+37
2.6
75%
56%
22%
9.2
37%
5.0
81%
26.0
85%
11
3351.80.8
44%
2Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia3671
56%
2.0
5226+26
2.2
67%
36%
17%
8.3
26%
5.2
81%
29.3
100%
15
8351.40.7
49%
3AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca3666
56%
1.8
5537+18
2.6
69%
47%
28%
8.7
31%
4.7
77%
27.9
77%
16
7271.51.0
55%
4PafosPafos3663
47%
1.8
6030+30
2.5
75%
47%
25%
8.9
32%
5.6
68%
25.9
77%
28
14871.70.8
45%
5AnorthosisAnorthosis4063
45%
1.6
5243+9
2.4
70%
38%
20%
9.2
42%
4.6
61%
27.5
84%
7
2131.31.1
55%
6Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol3562
54%
1.8
4737+10
2.4
69%
40%
20%
8.7
31%
5.4
73%
27.3
88%
15
7271.31.1
-
7Nea SalamisNea Salamis4058
42%
1.4
5155-4
2.6
72%
45%
22%
8.7
40%
4.7
77%
27.7
79%
5
2221.31.4
40%
8Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia3649
42%
1.4
4342+1
2.4
72%
44%
19%
8.7
35%
3.8
65%
23.7
58%
15
7351.21.2
56%
9AELAEL3949
33%
1.3
3540-5
1.9
56%
31%
10%
9.2
39%
4.0
57%
26.9
77%
9
4230.91.0
45%
10KarmiotissaKarmiotissa4048
32%
1.2
3654-18
2.2
70%
45%
15%
9.2
42%
4.7
77%
25.9
77%
3
0120.91.4
50%
11DoxaDoxa4039
25%
1.0
3256-24
2.2
65%
48%
15%
8.8
39%
4.8
71%
28.4
94%
0
0000.81.4
46%
12EnosisEnosis4037
25%
0.9
4052-12
2.3
65%
48%
15%
8.8
35%
5.0
77%
28.5
82%
1
0011.01.3
52%
13AkritasAkritas4034
22%
0.8
3773-36
2.8
72%
57%
30%
9.2
39%
4.1
75%
22.8
54%
1
0010.91.8
55%
14OlympiakosOlympiakos4028
12%
0.7
3062-32
2.3
68%
42%
20%
8.5
33%
4.6
73%
27.4
72%
4
1020.81.6
52%
Cyprus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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