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AEK Larnaca vs Pafos Result & Analysis

Date: 21/05/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 1-1
AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
Vs
42%
31%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pafos
Pafos
Cyprus: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

AEK Larnaca are tipped to win, with a 42% chance of triumph, 31% for a draw and 27% for a Pafos victory. The model expects 2.3 goals in total, most likely a 2-goal game, and the single scoreline that the algorithm deems most probable is 1-1, with a 14.4% chance. AEK, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded, while Pafos on the road averages 0.62 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The suggested picks are: Over 19.5 fouls 94.9%, Over 2.5 cards 89.4%, Over 21.5 fouls 88.8%, Under 11.5 corners 83.7%, Under 3.5 80.6%, Over 23.5 fouls 79.1%, Over 3.5 cards 76.7% and Under 10.5 corners 74.9%. AEK have been on a three-game winning streak, most recently beating Apoel Nicosia 3-1, while Pafos, fresh from a win over Karmiotissa 3-0, will look to maintain their momentum.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, AEK Larnaca, failed to deliver a win, as the match finished 1-1. The model had predicted a home win with a 42% probability, but its call was wrong. The final score of 1-1 matched the actual result of a draw. The model’s selection of Over 2.5 cards at 89.4% hit, while Over 3.5 cards at 76.7% also hit. The other picks - Over 19.5 fouls (94.9%), Over 21.5 fouls (88.8%), Under 11.5 corners (83.7%), Over 23.5 fouls (79.1%), Under 3.5 (80.6%), and Under 10.5 corners (74.9%) - all missed. AEK’s three-game winning streak continued, but the draw left the model’s favourite disappointed.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca win✗ Miss
41.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pafos win✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L04L04L22D04L20W01L11D12LH·WES09/03H·APO13/03A·WES16/03A·ARI20/03H·APO03/04A·PAF11/04H·OMO21/04A·APO30/04H·ARI06/05A·APO14/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.171.500.931.001.38
vs Stronger (3)0.332.330.002.000.502.50
vs Similar (17)1.061.291.600.900.291.86
vs Weaker (10)1.800.601.670.671.860.57
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PafosPafos

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D22D00D02L40W10W12L11D01LH·ARI24/02A·OLY07/03H·ARI12/03A·APO17/03A·OMO02/04H·AEK11/04A·APO21/04A·ARI01/05H·APO06/05H·OMO13/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.901.931.001.200.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.191.061.751.120.621.00
vs Weaker (14)2.000.712.140.861.860.57
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.4%
Under 1.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.5%
Under 2.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.4%
Under 3.5
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.6%
No
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.4%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.1%
AEK Larnaca goals ↓
Pafos goals →
01234
012%9.0%5.1%1.7%0.4%
112%14%6.5%2.1%0.5%
28.5%8.4%4.1%1.4%0.3%
33.6%3.6%1.8%0.6%0.1%
41.1%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AEK Larnaca goals (down), columns = Pafos goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aris
2.06
Apoel Nicosia
1.97
AEK Larnaca
1.83
Apollon Limassol
1.77
Pafos
1.75
Anorthosis
1.57
Nea Salamis
1.45
Omonia Nicosia
1.36
AEL
1.26
Karmiotissa
1.20
Doxa
0.97
Enosis
0.93
Akritas
0.85
Olympiakos
0.70
AEK Larnaca is 0.08 points better than Pafos in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 1.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.67
AEK Larnaca
1.53
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Apollon Limassol
1.34
Anorthosis
1.30
Nea Salamis
1.27
Omonia Nicosia
1.19
Enosis
1.00
Akritas
0.93
Karmiotissa
0.90
AEL
0.90
Doxa
0.80
Olympiakos
0.75
AEK Larnaca is 0.14 goals worse than Pafos in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.72
Aris
0.78
Pafos
0.83
AEL
1.03
AEK Larnaca
1.03
Apollon Limassol
1.06
Anorthosis
1.07
Omonia Nicosia
1.17
Enosis
1.30
Karmiotissa
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.38
Doxa
1.40
Olympiakos
1.55
Akritas
1.82
AEK Larnaca is 0.19 goals worse than Pafos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 0.83).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Omonia Nicosia
56%
AEK Larnaca
55%
Anorthosis
55%
Akritas
55%
Olympiakos
52%
Enosis
52%
Karmiotissa
50%
Apoel Nicosia
49%
Doxa
46%
AEL
45%
Pafos
45%
Aris
44%
Nea Salamis
40%
AEK Larnaca is 10.4 percentage points better than Pafos in terms of average possession (55% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

For 5.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 7.6

🚩 Corners

140442243117253532111214847298831314A·APOH·ARIA·APOH·OMOA·PAFH·APOA·ARIA·WESH·APOH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

903352114122222114523835344292A·APOH·ARIA·APOH·OMOA·PAFH·APOA·ARIA·WESH·APOH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.4 · Total 23.1

⚠️ Fouls

3201711121518141112415131089611121361428273223192317172520A·APOH·ARIA·APOH·OMOA·PAFH·APOA·ARIA·WESH·APOH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PafosPafos

For 5.4 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

15014113103142734766352531541359713978H·OMOH·APOA·ARIA·APOH·AEKA·OMOA·APOH·ARIA·OLYH·ARI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

100125325822111223322438710322556H·OMOH·APOA·ARIA·APOH·AEKA·OMOA·APOH·ARIA·OLYH·ARI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 13.5 · Total 24.8

⚠️ Fouls

360910161581614131549109164181719121419312427191925223626H·OMOH·APOA·ARIA·APOH·AEKA·OMOA·APOH·ARIA·OLYH·ARI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.78.88.63.63.83.528.629.827.5
vs Stronger (12)9.511.37.74.75.24.227.530.824.2
vs Similar (24)7.16.08.43.44.22.728.430.026.3
vs Weaker (14)10.312.39.43.11.94.329.927.331.0
% over line34%44%25%56%56%56%81%94%68%
% under line66%56%75%44%44%44%19%6%32%
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PafosPafos

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (34)8.88.09.73.13.23.125.924.527.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)9.08.69.63.94.92.924.624.424.8
vs Weaker (16)8.47.09.82.31.43.227.824.531.0
% over line30%9%56%38%35%41%80%82%78%
% under line70%91%44%62%65%59%20%18%22%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Akritas
9.2
AEL
9.2
Aris
9.2
Anorthosis
9.2
Karmiotissa
9.1
Enosis
8.8
Apollon Limassol
8.8
Pafos
8.8
Doxa
8.7
AEK Larnaca
8.7
Nea Salamis
8.7
Olympiakos
8.6
Omonia Nicosia
8.5
Apoel Nicosia
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Pafos
5.3
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
Apollon Limassol
5.0
Aris
5.0
Enosis
5.0
Olympiakos
4.8
Nea Salamis
4.8
Karmiotissa
4.8
AEK Larnaca
4.8
Anorthosis
4.7
Doxa
4.7
Akritas
4.1
Omonia Nicosia
4.0
AEL
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.4
Enosis
28.7
AEK Larnaca
28.6
Olympiakos
28.2
Doxa
28.1
Nea Salamis
27.8
Anorthosis
27.7
AEL
26.9
Karmiotissa
26.2
Aris
26.0
Pafos
25.9
Apollon Limassol
25.5
Omonia Nicosia
23.2
Akritas
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
36.4%
Under 9.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.7%
Under 3.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
88.8%
Under 21.5
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L01L01L12L02L20W00D01L11DH·WES09/03H·APO13/03A·WES16/03A·ARI20/03H·APO03/04A·PAF11/04H·OMO21/04A·APO30/04H·ARI06/05A·APO14/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.710.710.500.56
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (17)0.530.650.800.700.140.57
vs Weaker (10)0.900.400.670.331.000.43
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PafosPafos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D12L00D00D20W10W00D11D01LH·ARI24/02A·OLY07/03H·ARI12/03A·APO17/03A·OMO02/04H·AEK11/04A·APO21/04A·ARI01/05H·APO06/05H·OMO13/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.500.870.730.670.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.500.500.750.880.250.12
vs Weaker (14)1.070.501.000.571.140.43
Clean sheet %63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D03L03L10W02L00D01L10W01LH·WES09/03H·APO13/03A·WES16/03A·ARI20/03H·APO03/04A·PAF11/04H·OMO21/04A·APO30/04H·ARI06/05A·APO14/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.790.210.500.81
vs Stronger (3)0.331.000.000.000.501.50
vs Similar (17)0.530.650.800.200.141.29
vs Weaker (10)0.900.201.000.330.860.14
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PafosPafos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W00D02L20W00D12L00D00DH·ARI24/02A·OLY07/03H·ARI12/03A·APO17/03A·OMO02/04H·AEK11/04A·APO21/04A·ARI01/05H·APO06/05H·OMO13/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.401.070.270.530.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.561.000.250.380.88
vs Weaker (14)0.930.211.140.290.710.14
Clean sheet %73% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls94.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards89.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls88.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners83.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.580.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls79.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards76.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners74.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

AEK Larnaca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ádám Gyurcsó33%
Rafael Lopes17%
Ivan Tričkovski12%
Victor Olatunji12%
Omri Altman11%
Ángel García11%
Oier10%
Mikel González0%
Roberto Rosales0%
Marin Jakoliš0%
Kypros Christoforou0%
Nikos Englezou0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Nemanja Nikolics0%
Kenan Pirić0%
Imad Faraj0%
Hrvoje Miličević0%
Rafail Mamas0%
Ismael Casas0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ángel García44%
Pere Pons33%
Roberto Rosales30%
Imad Faraj20%
Rafail Mamas20%
Hrvoje Miličević18%
Kenan Pirić17%
Ivan Tričkovski12%
Kypros Christoforou12%
Victor Olatunji12%
Omri Altman11%
Oier10%
Nenad Tomović8%
Mikel González0%
Marin Jakoliš0%
Ádám Gyurcsó0%
Nikos Englezou0%
Rafael Lopes0%
Gus Ledes0%
Nemanja Nikolics0%
Ismael Casas0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imad Faraj20%
Nikos Englezou14%
Roberto Rosales10%
Gus Ledes8%
Kenan Pirić8%
Mikel González0%
Ivan Tričkovski0%
Marin Jakoliš0%
Ádám Gyurcsó0%
Kypros Christoforou0%
Omri Altman0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Ángel García0%
Rafael Lopes0%
Oier0%
Pere Pons0%
Nemanja Nikolics0%
Victor Olatunji0%
Hrvoje Miličević0%
Rafail Mamas0%
Ismael Casas0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ádám Gyurcsó17%
Ivan Tričkovski12%
Victor Olatunji12%
Omri Altman11%
Gus Ledes8%
Mikel González0%
Roberto Rosales0%
Marin Jakoliš0%
Kypros Christoforou0%
Nikos Englezou0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Ángel García0%
Rafael Lopes0%
Oier0%
Pere Pons0%
Nemanja Nikolics0%
Kenan Pirić0%
Imad Faraj0%
Hrvoje Miličević0%
Rafail Mamas0%
Ismael Casas0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Pafos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Correia35%
Alexandre Brito33%
David Luiz25%
Anderson Silva24%
Jajá23%
Domingos Quina14%
Bruno13%
Ivan Šunjić9%
Mislav Oršić8%
Vlad Dragomir8%
Mons Bassouamina7%
Derrick Luckassen5%
Pêpê4%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Jay Gorter0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Šunjić36%
Alexandre Brito33%
Ken Sema21%
David Luiz20%
Jay Gorter20%
Bruno Langa20%
Jajá18%
Bruno17%
Axel Guessand17%
Domingos Quina14%
Lelê14%
Derrick Luckassen14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Vlad Dragomir12%
Pêpê12%
Nikolas Ioannou11%
David Goldar9%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Landry Dimata0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mislav Oršić33%
Wilmer Odefalk20%
Landry Dimata17%
David Luiz15%
Ken Sema11%
Jajá9%
Pêpê8%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Domingos Quina5%
Ivan Šunjić5%
Bruno4%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lelê14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Anderson Silva12%
João Correia12%
David Luiz10%
Jajá9%
Domingos Quina5%
Bruno4%
Ivan Šunjić0%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Pêpê0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AEK Larnaca's squad is €13m less valuable than Pafos's (€16m vs €28m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AEK Larnaca's attack is €7m less valuable than Pafos's (€7m vs €14m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AEK Larnaca's midfield is €5m less valuable than Pafos's (€2m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OLY (8)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AEK Larnaca and Pafos have a similar defence value (both €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
AL wins
0
Draws
2
PAF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos · H/A from AL
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/23APafos Vs AL4-0
04/01/23HAL Vs Pafos1-0
18/09/22APafos Vs AL1-0

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/23AApoel Nicosia Vs AL2-1
06/05/23HAL Vs Aris1-1
30/04/23AApollon Limassol Vs AL1-0
21/04/23HAL Vs Omonia Nicosia2-0
11/04/23APafos Vs AL4-0
03/04/23HAL Vs Apoel Nicosia2-2
20/03/23AAris Vs AL4-0
16/03/23AWest Ham Vs AL4-0
13/03/23HAL Vs Apollon Limassol0-1
09/03/23HAL Vs West Ham0-2

PafosPafos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/23HPAF Vs Omonia Nicosia0-1
06/05/23HPAF Vs Apoel Nicosia1-1
01/05/23AAris Vs PAF2-1
21/04/23AApollon Limassol Vs PAF0-1
11/04/23HPAF Vs AEK Larnaca4-0
02/04/23AOmonia Nicosia Vs PAF2-0
17/03/23AApoel Nicosia Vs PAF0-0
12/03/23HPAF Vs Aris2-2
07/03/23AOlympiakos Vs PAF1-1
24/02/23HPAF Vs Aris1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
Cyprus: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.66
HomeLLDWD2.04
AwayLLLLL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%60%36%
AVG goals2.582.762.40
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.421.801.04
Conceded1.160.961.36
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners8.688.838.55
Cards4.765.224.35
Pafos
Pafos
Cyprus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.74
HomeDDWDL1.88
AwayDDLWL1.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %47%53%41%
AVG goals2.502.882.12
Over 1.5 %74%76%71%
Over 2.5 %47%59%35%
Over 3.5 %26%35%18%
Scored1.682.001.35
Conceded0.820.880.76
BTTS47%53%41%
Clean Sheet44%41%47%
Corners8.758.009.67
Cards5.355.005.78

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArisAris3674
58%
2.1
6528+37
2.6
75%
56%
22%
9.2
37%
5.0
81%
26.0
85%
11
3351.80.8
44%
2Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia3671
56%
2.0
5226+26
2.2
67%
36%
17%
8.3
26%
5.2
81%
29.3
100%
15
8351.40.7
49%
3AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca3666
56%
1.8
5537+18
2.6
69%
47%
28%
8.7
31%
4.7
77%
27.9
77%
16
7271.51.0
55%
4PafosPafos3663
47%
1.8
6030+30
2.5
75%
47%
25%
8.9
32%
5.6
68%
25.9
77%
28
14871.70.8
45%
5AnorthosisAnorthosis4063
45%
1.6
5243+9
2.4
70%
38%
20%
9.2
42%
4.6
61%
27.5
84%
7
2131.31.1
55%
6Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol3562
54%
1.8
4737+10
2.4
69%
40%
20%
8.7
31%
5.4
73%
27.3
88%
15
7271.31.1
-
7Nea SalamisNea Salamis4058
42%
1.4
5155-4
2.6
72%
45%
22%
8.7
40%
4.7
77%
27.7
79%
5
2221.31.4
40%
8Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia3649
42%
1.4
4342+1
2.4
72%
44%
19%
8.7
35%
3.8
65%
23.7
58%
15
7351.21.2
56%
9AELAEL3949
33%
1.3
3540-5
1.9
56%
31%
10%
9.2
39%
4.0
57%
26.9
77%
9
4230.91.0
45%
10KarmiotissaKarmiotissa4048
32%
1.2
3654-18
2.2
70%
45%
15%
9.2
42%
4.7
77%
25.9
77%
3
0120.91.4
50%
11DoxaDoxa4039
25%
1.0
3256-24
2.2
65%
48%
15%
8.8
39%
4.8
71%
28.4
94%
0
0000.81.4
46%
12EnosisEnosis4037
25%
0.9
4052-12
2.3
65%
48%
15%
8.8
35%
5.0
77%
28.5
82%
1
0011.01.3
52%
13AkritasAkritas4034
22%
0.8
3773-36
2.8
72%
57%
30%
9.2
39%
4.1
75%
22.8
54%
1
0010.91.8
55%
14OlympiakosOlympiakos4028
12%
0.7
3062-32
2.3
68%
42%
20%
8.5
33%
4.6
73%
27.4
72%
4
1020.81.6
52%
Cyprus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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