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AEK Larnaca vs Pafos Result & Analysis

Date: 05/10/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 2-4
AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
Vs
39%
30%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pafos
Pafos
Cyprus: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

AEK Larnaca and Pafos face a tightly contested clash, with the model favouring a home win. The probability of a win for AEK Larnaca is 39%, a draw 30%, and a win for Pafos 31%. The expected total of goals is 2.4, and the most likely total is 2, with a 28% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.4% probability. AEK Larnaca, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Pafos, on the road, averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. The model’s selection includes Under 3.5 with a 78.9% probability. The match remains uncertain, but the model’s pick points to a home victory as the most probable outcome.

Results analysis

The upset came as AEK Larnaca, riding a three-game winning streak, fell short of the pre-match favourite. The model had called a home win with a 39% probability, but the result was an away victory, 2-4. The favourite’s call was wrong. The model’s selection for Under 3.5 goals, at 78.9%, missed as the match saw six goals. AEK’s recent form had been strong, yet Pafos, coming off a win, capitalised on the opportunity. The final score of 2-4 confirmed the away side’s triumph, leaving the model’s predictions off the mark.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca win✗ Miss
38.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pafos win✓ Hit
30.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W12L12L04L20W11D01L32W40W40WH·LEG07/08A·LEG14/08A·BRA21/08H·BRA27/08H·AEL31/08A·ANO13/09A·OMO17/09H·ARI22/09A·KRA27/09H·AZ 02/10
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.972.270.871.001.07
vs Stronger (1)4.000.004.000.00--
vs Similar (22)1.271.182.001.200.671.17
vs Weaker (7)2.430.432.500.252.330.67
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PafosPafos

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W21W11D10W01L00D20W30W21W15LH·DYN12/08A·FK 19/08H·FK 26/08A·APO31/08H·APO13/09A·OLY17/09A·OMO21/09H·ENO24/09H·OLY27/09H·BAY30/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.831.560.751.140.93
vs Stronger (4)1.001.751.003.001.000.50
vs Similar (22)1.360.771.640.451.091.09
vs Weaker (4)1.750.251.670.332.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.7%
Under 2.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.1%
Under 3.5
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.9%
No
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.7%
AEK Larnaca goals ↓
Pafos goals →
01234
011%9.1%5.7%2.1%0.6%
111%14%7.2%2.6%0.7%
27.5%8.2%4.5%1.6%0.4%
33.2%3.5%1.9%0.7%0.2%
41.0%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AEK Larnaca goals (down), columns = Pafos goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Akritas
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.00
Enosis
0.15
AEK Larnaca is 0.19 points better than Pafos in terms of average points per game (1.92 vs 1.72).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Akritas
0.94
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Enosis
0.33
AEK Larnaca is 0.11 goals worse than Pafos in terms of goals scored per game (1.72 vs 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Aris
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.33
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
AEL
1.39
Ethnikos Achna
1.61
Akritas
1.76
Enosis
2.42
AEK Larnaca is 0.14 goals better than Pafos in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.06).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Ethnikos Achna
48%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Akritas
44%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
Enosis
41%
AEK Larnaca is 5.7 percentage points worse than Pafos in terms of average possession (49% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

For 5.0 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

11062435652558711710H·AZ H·BRAA·BRAA·APOA·APO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

1102412327415113323121363511626534H·AZ H·BRAA·BRAA·LEGH·LEGH·CELA·CELA·FK H·FK A·APO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.4 · Total 25.4

⚠️ Fouls

380138913111671220182122271938H·AZ H·BRAA·BRAA·APOA·APO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PafosPafos

For 4.3 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

17026933413444372446296896178798815H·BAYA·OLYH·FK A·FK H·APOH·APOH·OMOA·DJUH·DJUA·APO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

901433311453226321331762952936H·BAYA·OLYH·FK A·FK H·APOH·APOH·OMOA·DJUH·DJUA·APO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 12.5 · Total 28.1

⚠️ Fouls

380119141517171791713141215111721137211120293426302626382032H·BAYA·OLYH·FK A·FK H·APOH·APOH·OMOA·DJUH·DJUA·APO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.77.39.81.31.01.627.024.728.8
vs Stronger (1)8.08.0-6.06.0-21.021.0-
vs Similar (33)8.87.09.81.81.22.328.026.528.8
vs Weaker (16)---0.00.00.0---
% over line43%0%75%20%12%28%71%67%75%
% under line57%100%25%80%88%72%29%33%25%
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PafosPafos

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.48.910.02.62.82.426.726.027.8
vs Stronger (4)10.07.013.04.03.54.527.227.027.5
vs Similar (32)9.39.29.42.82.43.126.224.728.1
vs Weaker (14)9.09.28.01.93.30.428.028.526.0
% over line28%27%30%32%32%32%88%80%100%
% under line72%73%70%68%68%68%12%20%0%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Omonia Nicosia
10.9
AEL
9.9
AEK Larnaca
9.7
Aris
9.4
Apoel Nicosia
9.4
Apollon Limassol
9.3
Anorthosis
9.1
Akritas
9.0
Enosis
8.9
Olympiakos
8.5
Pafos
8.5
Omonia Aradippou
8.4
Ethnikos Achna
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Omonia Aradippou
6.0
Aris
5.5
Anorthosis
5.3
Pafos
5.2
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
Apollon Limassol
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.1
Ethnikos Achna
5.0
Enosis
4.9
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
Olympiakos
4.6
AEL
4.6
Akritas
4.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.2
Anorthosis
29.0
Enosis
28.4
Olympiakos
27.4
AEL
26.8
Ethnikos Achna
26.8
Pafos
26.6
Omonia Aradippou
26.4
Aris
26.3
AEK Larnaca
26.1
Apollon Limassol
25.5
Omonia Nicosia
24.5
Akritas
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L11D01L10W10W00D21W20W10WH·LEG07/08A·LEG14/08A·BRA21/08H·BRA27/08H·AEL31/08A·ANO13/09A·OMO17/09H·ARI22/09A·KRA27/09H·AZ 02/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.531.130.530.470.53
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (22)0.640.681.000.700.330.67
vs Weaker (7)1.290.141.500.251.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PafosPafos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W00D10W00D00D00D10W10W14LH·DYN12/08A·FK 19/08H·FK 26/08A·APO31/08H·APO13/09A·OLY17/09A·OMO21/09H·ENO24/09H·OLY27/09H·BAY30/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.300.750.250.570.36
vs Stronger (4)0.501.000.502.000.500.00
vs Similar (22)0.730.230.820.000.640.45
vs Weaker (4)0.500.000.670.000.000.00
Clean sheet %83% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W01L03L10W01L01L11D20W30WH·LEG07/08A·LEG14/08A·BRA21/08H·BRA27/08H·AEL31/08A·ANO13/09A·OMO17/09H·ARI22/09A·KRA27/09H·AZ 02/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.431.130.330.530.53
vs Stronger (1)3.000.003.000.00--
vs Similar (22)0.640.501.000.500.330.50
vs Weaker (7)1.140.291.000.001.330.67
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PafosPafos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D11D00D01L00D20W20W11D01LH·DYN12/08A·FK 19/08H·FK 26/08A·APO31/08H·APO13/09A·OLY17/09A·OMO21/09H·ENO24/09H·OLY27/09H·BAY30/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.810.500.570.57
vs Stronger (4)0.500.750.501.000.500.50
vs Similar (22)0.640.550.820.450.450.64
vs Weaker (4)1.250.251.000.332.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

AEK Larnaca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Karol Angielski50%
Marcus Rohdén27%
Riad Bajić21%
Enric Saborit17%
Robert Mudražija12%
Enzo Cabrera12%
Jorge Miramón12%
Đorđe Ivanović11%
Waldo Rubio Marín10%
Hrvoje Miličević5%
Charalampos Kyriakou0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Ángel García0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Jeremie Gnali0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Álex Cardero0%
Mathías González0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mathías González40%
Enric Saborit33%
Petros Ioannou25%
Valentin Roberge23%
Pere Pons22%
Hrvoje Miličević21%
Godswill Ekpolo20%
Giorgos Naoum20%
Jorge Miramón19%
Marcus Rohdén18%
Ángel García18%
Jeremie Gnali17%
Álex Cardero17%
Enzo Cabrera12%
Gus Ledes11%
Waldo Rubio Marín10%
Riad Bajić5%
Đorđe Ivanović5%
Robert Mudražija0%
Charalampos Kyriakou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Karol Angielski0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcus Rohdén27%
Jeremie Gnali17%
Jairo Izquierdo14%
Gus Ledes11%
Ángel García9%
Charalampos Kyriakou8%
Godswill Ekpolo7%
Jorge Miramón6%
Hrvoje Miličević5%
Robert Mudražija0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Enzo Cabrera0%
Riad Bajić0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Karol Angielski0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Đorđe Ivanović0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Waldo Rubio Marín0%
Pere Pons0%
Enric Saborit0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Álex Cardero0%
Mathías González0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Karol Angielski25%
Riad Bajić16%
Đorđe Ivanović11%
Hrvoje Miličević11%
Waldo Rubio Marín10%
Giorgos Naoum10%
Marcus Rohdén9%
Enric Saborit8%
Robert Mudražija0%
Charalampos Kyriakou0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Enzo Cabrera0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Ángel García0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Jorge Miramón0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Jeremie Gnali0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Álex Cardero0%
Mathías González0%
Pafos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Correia35%
Alexandre Brito33%
David Luiz25%
Anderson Silva24%
Jajá23%
Domingos Quina14%
Bruno13%
Ivan Šunjić9%
Mislav Oršić8%
Vlad Dragomir8%
Mons Bassouamina7%
Derrick Luckassen5%
Pêpê4%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Jay Gorter0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Šunjić36%
Alexandre Brito33%
Ken Sema21%
David Luiz20%
Jay Gorter20%
Bruno Langa20%
Jajá18%
Bruno17%
Axel Guessand17%
Domingos Quina14%
Lelê14%
Derrick Luckassen14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Vlad Dragomir12%
Pêpê12%
Nikolas Ioannou11%
David Goldar9%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Landry Dimata0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mislav Oršić33%
Wilmer Odefalk20%
Landry Dimata17%
David Luiz15%
Ken Sema11%
Jajá9%
Pêpê8%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Domingos Quina5%
Ivan Šunjić5%
Bruno4%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lelê14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Anderson Silva12%
João Correia12%
David Luiz10%
Jajá9%
Domingos Quina5%
Bruno4%
Ivan Šunjić0%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Pêpê0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
AEK Larnaca's squad is €13m less valuable than Pafos's (€16m vs €28m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AEK Larnaca's attack is €7m less valuable than Pafos's (€7m vs €14m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
AEK Larnaca's midfield is €5m less valuable than Pafos's (€2m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
AEK Larnaca and Pafos have a similar defence value (both €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
AL wins
2
Draws
2
PAF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos · H/A from AL
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/25APafos Vs AL2-0
13/04/25HAL Vs Pafos2-2
22/12/24APafos Vs AL0-1
01/09/24HAL Vs Pafos0-2
06/04/24HAL Vs Pafos3-0
25/02/24APafos Vs AL0-1
22/01/24HAL Vs Pafos1-0
07/10/23APafos Vs AL0-0

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/25HAL Vs AZ Alkmaar4-0
27/09/25AKrasava Ypsonas Vs AL0-4
22/09/25HAL Vs Aris3-2
17/09/25AOmonia Nicosia Vs AL1-0
13/09/25AAnorthosis Vs AL1-1
31/08/25HAL Vs AEL2-0
27/08/25HAL Vs Brann0-4
21/08/25ABrann Vs AL2-1
14/08/25ALegia Warszawa Vs AL2-1
07/08/25HAL Vs Legia Warszawa4-1

PafosPafos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/25HPAF Vs Bayern München1-5
27/09/25HPAF Vs Olympiakos2-1
24/09/25HPAF Vs Enosis3-0
21/09/25AOmonia Aradippou Vs PAF0-2
17/09/25AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs PAF0-0
13/09/25HPAF Vs Apollon Limassol0-1
31/08/25AApoel Nicosia Vs PAF0-1
26/08/25HPAF Vs FK Crvena Zvezda1-1
19/08/25AFK Crvena Zvezda Vs PAF1-2
12/08/25HPAF Vs Dynamo Kyiv2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
Cyprus: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.82
HomeWLWWW2.32
AwayLLDLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%72%32%
AVG goals2.562.842.28
Over 1.5 %78%88%68%
Over 2.5 %44%52%36%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored1.642.001.28
Conceded0.920.841.00
BTTS44%36%52%
Clean Sheet38%52%24%
Corners8.717.339.75
Cards5.004.335.57
Pafos
Pafos
Cyprus: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL2.08
HomeDLWWL2.16
AwayWWWDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%68%60%
AVG goals2.262.322.20
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %38%40%36%
Over 3.5 %16%20%12%
Scored1.521.681.36
Conceded0.740.640.84
BTTS34%32%36%
Clean Sheet52%52%52%
Corners9.368.9310.00
Cards5.204.606.10

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia3687
75%
2.4
8824+64
3.1
89%
56%
33%
7.9
27%
4.7
73%
25.8
82%
15
7352.40.7
51%
2AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca3669
56%
1.9
6233+29
2.6
78%
42%
22%
9.7
55%
5.2
73%
25.4
64%
16
7271.70.9
49%
3Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol3667
56%
1.9
5241+11
2.6
72%
47%
25%
8.9
31%
5.1
69%
24.7
62%
15
7271.41.1
53%
4PafosPafos3662
50%
1.7
6638+28
2.9
86%
50%
28%
9.5
47%
4.3
59%
25.0
71%
28
14871.81.1
55%
5Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia3652
42%
1.4
5345+8
2.7
83%
50%
25%
10.7
68%
5.0
73%
26.2
82%
15
8351.51.2
54%
6ArisAris3651
39%
1.4
6145+16
2.9
83%
58%
33%
10.1
45%
5.2
73%
25.1
82%
11
3351.71.2
52%
7AnorthosisAnorthosis3345
33%
1.4
3540-5
2.3
67%
30%
21%
8.7
40%
4.9
80%
30.1
100%
7
2131.11.2
50%
8AELAEL3344
39%
1.3
4146-5
2.6
79%
55%
24%
7.0
33%
4.7
67%
30.6
100%
9
4231.21.4
49%
9Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou3342
36%
1.3
3142-11
2.2
64%
39%
18%
7.3
33%
4.7
67%
30.9
89%
5
1120.91.3
43%
10Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas3340
33%
1.2
3644-8
2.4
64%
42%
21%
9.9
44%
3.9
56%
24.3
67%
4
2011.11.3
47%
11OlympiakosOlympiakos3340
30%
1.2
3244-12
2.3
70%
42%
24%
6.8
12%
3.8
38%
29.4
88%
4
1021.01.3
54%
12AkritasAkritas3335
30%
1.1
3158-27
2.7
82%
55%
33%
9.4
50%
5.2
92%
25.2
67%
1
0010.91.8
44%
13Ethnikos AchnaEthnikos Achna3333
30%
1.0
3453-19
2.6
67%
55%
30%
8.9
44%
4.9
89%
28.8
78%
0
0001.01.6
48%
14EnosisEnosis335
3%
0.2
1180-69
2.8
82%
55%
27%
9.7
56%
4.3
44%
26.3
89%
1
0010.32.4
41%
Cyprus: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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