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AEK Larnaca vs Pafos Prediction & Stats

Date: 13/09/2026
Time: 16:00
AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
Vs
42%
28%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pafos
Pafos
Cyprus: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

AEK Larnaca are tipped to win, the model’s pick, with a 44 % chance of a home victory, a 28 % chance of a draw and a 28 % chance of a Pafos win. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, and the single most likely score is 1-1, with a 13.2 % probability. AEK’s home form shows they average 1.0 goal scored and 0.86 conceded against similar opponents, while Pafos, on the road, averages 1.25 goals scored and 2.0 conceded versus similar sides. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.3 %), Under 6.5 (97.9 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.8 %), Under 5.5 (94.2 %), Home under 3.5 goals (93.0 %), Over 19.5 fouls (90.7 %), Over 2.5 cards (89.3 %) and Away under 2.5 goals (88.3 %). AEK are on a two-game winning run, having beaten Beitar Jerusalem 3-2, while Pafos are coming off a draw, 1-1 with Dinamo Tirana.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca win
41.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pafos win
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D20W01L10W11D22D43W32W31WH·OMO14/04A·PAF18/04H·ARI25/04A·APO03/05H·APO06/05A·OMO10/05H·PAF16/05A·ARI22/05A·BEI30/07H·APO29/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.871.810.691.361.07
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (19)1.531.051.560.781.501.30
vs Weaker (9)2.000.562.330.501.330.67
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PafosPafos

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W22D20W02L40W01L33D11D22D30WH·ARI10/05A·AEK16/05H·APO22/05A·HNK23/07H·HNK30/07A·RED06/08H·RED13/08A·DIN20/08H·DIN27/08A·KAR30/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.232.201.071.271.40
vs Stronger (4)1.751.503.502.000.001.00
vs Similar (16)1.501.501.671.111.292.00
vs Weaker (10)2.100.702.750.501.670.83
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.3%
Under 1.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.9%
Under 2.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.7%
Under 3.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.7%
No
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.6%
AEK Larnaca goals ↓
Pafos goals →
01234
07.6%6.8%5.0%2.1%0.6%
18.4%13%7.5%3.1%1.0%
27.2%9.0%5.6%2.3%0.7%
33.6%4.5%2.8%1.2%0.4%
41.4%1.7%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AEK Larnaca goals (down), columns = Pafos goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Nea Salamis
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Olympiakos
1.21
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.10
Karmiotissa
1.00
AEK Larnaca is 0.19 points better than Pafos in terms of average points per game (1.92 vs 1.72).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Nea Salamis
1.14
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Karmiotissa
0.94
AEK Larnaca is 0.11 goals worse than Pafos in terms of goals scored per game (1.72 vs 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Aris
1.25
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
Olympiakos
1.33
AEL
1.39
Nea Salamis
1.52
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.68
Karmiotissa
1.85
AEK Larnaca is 0.14 goals better than Pafos in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.06).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
AEK Larnaca is 5.7 percentage points worse than Pafos in terms of average possession (49% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

For 4.2 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

1701551876621543110366461661512177119107A·OMOH·APOA·APOA·PAFA·APOH·APOH·CRYA·CRYH·OLYH·APO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

9052541513112453114217964268153A·OMOH·APOA·APOA·PAFA·APOH·APOH·CRYA·CRYH·OLYH·APO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 24.0

⚠️ Fouls

350111019169119158101315721711111961221352024182828183018A·OMOH·APOA·APOA·PAFA·APOH·APOH·CRYA·CRYH·OLYH·APO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PafosPafos

For 4.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

160521313784342665228124741315761271016H·DINA·DINA·REDA·HNKH·OMOA·APOH·AEKA·OMOH·APOA·AKR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.0

🟨 Cards

1106524413223244331361111655567492H·DINA·DINA·REDH·HNKA·HNKH·OMOA·APOH·AEKA·OMOH·APO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 12.7 · Total 26.5

⚠️ Fouls

50028221214111318912121591320111081210650262427242433212016H·DINA·DINA·REDH·OMOA·APOH·AEKA·OMOH·APOA·AKRH·KRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.48.510.22.32.12.424.223.125.3
vs Stronger (4)9.59.59.54.87.02.524.824.525.0
vs Similar (30)9.37.410.32.71.63.624.623.425.3
vs Weaker (16)9.79.7-0.91.80.021.721.7-
% over line48%40%55%32%29%35%62%60%64%
% under line52%60%45%68%71%65%38%40%36%
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PafosPafos

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.88.910.82.72.72.825.125.224.9
vs Stronger (9)10.97.814.03.62.64.822.623.821.5
vs Similar (21)9.99.710.22.83.02.525.725.725.8
vs Weaker (20)8.89.08.52.42.52.226.425.727.5
% over line48%44%54%40%40%40%68%69%67%
% under line52%56%46%60%60%60%32%31%33%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
10.6
Nea Salamis
10.2
Omonia Nicosia
10.0
Krasava Ypsonas
9.9
Apoel Nicosia
9.8
Aris
9.7
Pafos
9.6
AEL
9.3
Karmiotissa
9.3
AEK Larnaca
9.2
Apollon Limassol
9.2
Anorthosis
8.7
Olympiakos
8.2
Omonia Aradippou
7.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aris
5.7
Anorthosis
5.3
Omonia 29is Maiou
5.3
Omonia Aradippou
5.2
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.1
Pafos
4.9
Apollon Limassol
4.9
AEL
4.8
Nea Salamis
4.7
Karmiotissa
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
Olympiakos
4.4
Krasava Ypsonas
3.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Anorthosis
29.5
Omonia Aradippou
28.9
Olympiakos
27.8
AEL
27.6
Apoel Nicosia
27.2
Karmiotissa
27.0
Aris
26.2
Pafos
26.1
AEK Larnaca
26.0
Omonia 29is Maiou
25.1
Nea Salamis
25.0
Omonia Nicosia
24.9
Krasava Ypsonas
24.3
Apollon Limassol
24.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.4%
Under 9.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
76.5%
Under 3.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
81.6%
Under 21.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
AEK Larnaca or Draw
69.6%
Avg Implied -
42%
28%
30%
covers AEK Larnaca + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca or Pafos
72.3%
Avg Implied -
42%
28%
30%
covers AEK Larnaca + Pafos
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Pafos
58.1%
Avg Implied -
42%
28%
30%
covers Draw + Pafos
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5
Over
77.7%
Under
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5
Over
44.3%
Under
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5
Over
19.2%
Under
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 3.5
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 0.5
Over
71.3%
Under
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5
Over
35.5%
Under
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5
Over
13.1%
Under
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to AEK Larnaca, so a minus line means AEK Larnaca give that many goals of a start and Pafos receive them. At -1, AEK Larnaca must win by two or more to land; a one-goal AEK Larnaca win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (AEK Larnaca)
AEK Larnaca -2
8.3%
Draw -2
12.9%
Pafos +2
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (AEK Larnaca)
AEK Larnaca -1
21.2%
Draw -1
20.7%
Pafos +1
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (AEK Larnaca)
AEK Larnaca +1
69.6%
Draw +1
17.0%
Pafos -1
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (AEK Larnaca)
AEK Larnaca +2
86.6%
Draw +2
8.9%
Pafos -2
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W00D10W10W11D10W11D20WH·OMO14/04A·PAF18/04H·ARI25/04A·APO03/05H·APO06/05A·OMO10/05H·PAF16/05A·ARI22/05A·BEI30/07H·APO29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.300.940.380.500.21
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (19)0.680.370.890.440.500.30
vs Weaker (9)1.000.111.170.170.670.00
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PafosPafos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D20W00D10W00D20W00D11D10WH·ARI10/05A·AEK16/05H·APO22/05A·HNK23/07H·HNK30/07A·RED06/08H·RED13/08A·DIN20/08H·DIN27/08A·KAR30/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.471.070.330.400.60
vs Stronger (4)0.750.251.500.500.000.00
vs Similar (16)0.620.690.780.330.431.14
vs Weaker (10)0.900.201.500.250.500.17
Clean sheet %63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.1%
Under 0.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.3%
Under 1.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.0%
Under 2.5
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.2%
Under
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.8%
Under
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.6%
Under
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.6%
Under
89.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W10W01L00D01L11D33D21W11DH·OMO14/04A·PAF18/04H·ARI25/04A·APO03/05H·APO06/05A·OMO10/05H·PAF16/05A·ARI22/05A·BEI30/07H·APO29/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.570.880.310.860.86
vs Stronger (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (19)0.840.680.670.331.001.00
vs Weaker (9)1.000.441.170.330.670.67
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PafosPafos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D00D02L30W01L13L11D11D20WH·ARI10/05A·AEK16/05H·APO22/05A·HNK23/07H·HNK30/07A·RED06/08H·RED13/08A·DIN20/08H·DIN27/08A·KAR30/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.771.130.730.870.80
vs Stronger (4)1.001.252.001.500.001.00
vs Similar (16)0.880.810.890.780.860.86
vs Weaker (10)1.200.501.250.251.170.67
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.4%
Under 0.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.9%
Under 1.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.8%
Under 2.5
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 2H
Over
55.2%
Under
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.6%
Under
80.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.9%
Under
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.0%
Under
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.3%-------
Under 6.597.8%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.3%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.0%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.2%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.1%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.5%-------
Under 5.593.9%-------
Home under 3.5 goals93.4%-------
Over 19.5 fouls90.7%-------
Away under 1.5 HT goals89.4%-------
Over 2.5 cards89.3%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals87.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals86.9%-------
Home +2 handicap86.6%-------
Under 4.585.5%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals85.2%-------
Away under 1.5 2H goals84.0%-------
Over 21.5 fouls81.6%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals81.2%-------
Home under 2.5 goals80.8%-------
Home under 1.5 2H goals80.4%-------
Away +2 handicap78.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals77.7%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals77.4%-------
Over 1.577.3%-------
Over 3.5 cards76.5%-------
Under 11.5 corners76.3%-------
Over 0.5 HT goals73.1%-------
Home or Away72.3%-------
Away over 0.5 goals71.3%-------
Under 3.570.3%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

AEK Larnaca · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Karol Angielski50%
Marcus Rohdén27%
Riad Bajić21%
Enric Saborit17%
Robert Mudražija12%
Enzo Cabrera12%
Jorge Miramón12%
Đorđe Ivanović11%
Waldo Rubio Marín10%
Hrvoje Miličević5%
Charalampos Kyriakou0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Ángel García0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Jeremie Gnali0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Álex Cardero0%
Mathías González0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mathías González40%
Enric Saborit33%
Petros Ioannou25%
Valentin Roberge23%
Pere Pons22%
Hrvoje Miličević21%
Godswill Ekpolo20%
Giorgos Naoum20%
Jorge Miramón19%
Marcus Rohdén18%
Ángel García18%
Jeremie Gnali17%
Álex Cardero17%
Enzo Cabrera12%
Gus Ledes11%
Waldo Rubio Marín10%
Riad Bajić5%
Đorđe Ivanović5%
Robert Mudražija0%
Charalampos Kyriakou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Karol Angielski0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcus Rohdén27%
Jeremie Gnali17%
Jairo Izquierdo14%
Gus Ledes11%
Ángel García9%
Charalampos Kyriakou8%
Godswill Ekpolo7%
Jorge Miramón6%
Hrvoje Miličević5%
Robert Mudražija0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Enzo Cabrera0%
Riad Bajić0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Karol Angielski0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Đorđe Ivanović0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Waldo Rubio Marín0%
Pere Pons0%
Enric Saborit0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Álex Cardero0%
Mathías González0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Karol Angielski25%
Riad Bajić16%
Đorđe Ivanović11%
Hrvoje Miličević11%
Waldo Rubio Marín10%
Giorgos Naoum10%
Marcus Rohdén9%
Enric Saborit8%
Robert Mudražija0%
Charalampos Kyriakou0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Enzo Cabrera0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Ángel García0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Jorge Miramón0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Jeremie Gnali0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Álex Cardero0%
Mathías González0%
Pafos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Correia35%
Alexandre Brito33%
David Luiz25%
Anderson Silva24%
Jajá23%
Domingos Quina14%
Bruno13%
Ivan Šunjić9%
Mislav Oršić8%
Vlad Dragomir8%
Mons Bassouamina7%
Derrick Luckassen5%
Pêpê4%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Jay Gorter0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Šunjić36%
Alexandre Brito33%
Ken Sema21%
David Luiz20%
Jay Gorter20%
Bruno Langa20%
Jajá18%
Bruno17%
Axel Guessand17%
Domingos Quina14%
Lelê14%
Derrick Luckassen14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Vlad Dragomir12%
Pêpê12%
Nikolas Ioannou11%
David Goldar9%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Landry Dimata0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mislav Oršić33%
Wilmer Odefalk20%
Landry Dimata17%
David Luiz15%
Ken Sema11%
Jajá9%
Pêpê8%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Domingos Quina5%
Ivan Šunjić5%
Bruno4%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lelê14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Anderson Silva12%
João Correia12%
David Luiz10%
Jajá9%
Domingos Quina5%
Bruno4%
Ivan Šunjić0%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Pêpê0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
AEK Larnaca's squad is €13m less valuable than Pafos's (€16m vs €28m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
KY (8)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AEK Larnaca's attack is €7m less valuable than Pafos's (€7m vs €14m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
AEK Larnaca's midfield is €5m less valuable than Pafos's (€2m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
AEK Larnaca and Pafos have a similar defence value (both €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AL wins
3
Draws
3
PAF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AEK Larnaca vs Pafos · H/A from AL
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HAL Vs Pafos2-2
18/04/26APafos Vs AL1-1
25/01/26APafos Vs AL1-2
05/10/25HAL Vs Pafos2-4
18/05/25APafos Vs AL2-0
13/04/25HAL Vs Pafos2-2
22/12/24APafos Vs AL0-1
01/09/24HAL Vs Pafos0-2

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HAL Vs Apoel Nicosia3-1
30/07/26ABeitar Jerusalem Vs AL2-3
22/05/26AAris Vs AL3-4
16/05/26HAL Vs Pafos2-2
10/05/26AOmonia Nicosia Vs AL1-1
06/05/26HAL Vs Apollon Limassol1-0
03/05/26AApoel Nicosia Vs AL1-0
25/04/26HAL Vs Aris2-0
18/04/26APafos Vs AL1-1
14/04/26HAL Vs Omonia Nicosia0-2

PafosPafos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AKarmiotissa Vs PAF0-3
27/08/26HPAF Vs Dinamo Tirana2-2
20/08/26ADinamo Tirana Vs PAF1-1
13/08/26HPAF Vs Red Bull Salzburg3-3
06/08/26ARed Bull Salzburg Vs PAF1-0
30/07/26HPAF Vs HNK Hajduk Split4-0
23/07/26AHNK Hajduk Split Vs PAF2-0
22/05/26HPAF Vs Apoel Nicosia2-0
16/05/26AAEK Larnaca Vs PAF2-2
10/05/26HPAF Vs Aris2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
Cyprus: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.84
HomeLWWDW2.04
AwayDLDWW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%60%44%
AVG goals2.582.762.40
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %44%48%40%
Over 3.5 %26%36%16%
Scored1.641.841.44
Conceded0.940.920.96
BTTS52%44%60%
Clean Sheet36%44%28%
Corners9.388.5010.18
Cards5.175.095.25
Pafos
Pafos
Cyprus: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDW1.54
HomeWWWDD1.92
AwayDLLDW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%56%28%
AVG goals2.883.162.60
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %50%56%44%
Over 3.5 %32%40%24%
Scored1.722.121.32
Conceded1.161.041.28
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet38%48%28%
Corners9.798.9410.85
Cards4.574.005.31

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PafosPafos13
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
28
14873.00.0
55%
2Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou13
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0023.00.0
-
3AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca13
100%
3.0
31+2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7273.01.0
49%
4AELAEL13
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4232.00.0
49%
5OlympiakosOlympiakos11
0%
1.0
33+0
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1023.03.0
54%
6Nea SalamisNea Salamis11
0%
1.0
33+0
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2223.03.0
-
7Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol11
0%
1.0
22+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
7272.02.0
53%
8ArisAris11
0%
1.0
22+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3352.02.0
52%
9Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1120.00.0
43%
10Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
7350.00.0
51%
11Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia10
0%
0.0
13-2
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
8351.03.0
54%
12AnorthosisAnorthosis10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2130.02.0
50%
13KarmiotissaKarmiotissa10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0120.03.0
-
14Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2010.03.0
47%
Cyprus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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