This opponent (Ethnikos Achna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ethnikos Achna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.83
2.43
1.93
1.62
1.75
vs Stronger (7)
2.00
2.71
2.00
3.00
2.00
2.50
vs Similar (20)
2.00
1.40
2.70
1.60
1.30
1.20
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
2.67
1.00
2.00
2.50
3.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.6%
Under 1.5
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.1%
Under 2.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.0%
Under 3.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
73.5%
No
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
3-2
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
2-3
4.2%
AEL goals ↓
Ethnikos Achna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.9%
2.9%
3.2%
1.9%
0.8%
1
3.6%
8.5%
6.8%
4.0%
1.8%
2
4.7%
8.2%
7.2%
4.2%
1.8%
3
3.3%
5.8%
5.1%
3.0%
1.3%
4
1.7%
3.0%
2.7%
1.6%
0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AEL goals (down), columns = Ethnikos Achna goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Pafos
2.28
Aris
2.08
AEK Larnaca
1.89
Omonia Nicosia
1.89
Anorthosis
1.58
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.28
AEL
1.18
Ethnikos Achna
1.18
Enosis
1.06
Omonia Aradippou
1.06
Karmiotissa
1.03
Nea Salamis
0.79
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.42
AEL and Ethnikos Achna are level in average points per game (both 1.18).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
1.92
Pafos
1.86
Aris
1.83
Apoel Nicosia
1.64
AEK Larnaca
1.61
Anorthosis
1.52
Ethnikos Achna
1.33
AEL
1.15
Apollon Limassol
1.03
Omonia Aradippou
0.97
Enosis
0.94
Nea Salamis
0.94
Karmiotissa
0.91
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.70
AEL is 0.18 goals worse than Ethnikos Achna in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.33).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Pafos
0.58
AEK Larnaca
0.83
Aris
0.86
Apoel Nicosia
1.00
Apollon Limassol
1.08
Omonia Nicosia
1.11
Anorthosis
1.27
Enosis
1.45
AEL
1.61
Ethnikos Achna
1.61
Karmiotissa
1.73
Omonia Aradippou
1.76
Nea Salamis
1.88
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.97
AEL and Ethnikos Achna are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.61).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Apoel Nicosia
58%
Ethnikos Achna
58%
Pafos
56%
AEK Larnaca
53%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Anorthosis
50%
Omonia Nicosia
49%
Omonia Aradippou
46%
Nea Salamis
46%
Aris
46%
Omonia 29is Maiou
45%
AEL
44%
Enosis
40%
Karmiotissa
39%
AEL is 13.5 percentage points worse than Ethnikos Achna in terms of average possession (44% vs 58%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
AEL
For 5.5 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 14.3 · Total 25.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ethnikos Achna
For 4.1 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.4
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.3 · Total 24.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AEL
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.2
9.9
3.5
3.5
3.5
26.7
26.3
27.1
vs Stronger (12)
9.6
9.2
10.0
4.4
3.8
5.0
25.7
25.8
25.6
vs Similar (32)
10.1
10.5
9.7
3.2
3.5
3.1
27.4
26.5
28.3
vs Weaker (6)
10.5
10.5
10.5
3.0
3.0
3.0
25.5
26.5
24.5
% over line
60%
56%
65%
52%
50%
54%
83%
83%
82%
% under line
40%
44%
35%
48%
50%
46%
17%
17%
18%
This opponent (Ethnikos Achna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ethnikos Achna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.3
8.3
3.2
4.0
2.4
26.1
28.1
24.1
vs Stronger (13)
10.7
10.4
11.0
4.2
6.2
3.0
22.9
24.0
21.8
vs Similar (33)
7.2
7.4
7.0
2.7
3.1
2.2
27.7
30.1
25.2
vs Weaker (4)
7.0
7.0
7.0
3.8
6.0
1.5
27.7
29.0
25.0
% over line
35%
31%
40%
48%
54%
42%
74%
88%
60%
% under line
65%
69%
60%
52%
46%
58%
26%
12%
40%
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia Nicosia
10.3
Omonia 29is Maiou
10.0
Nea Salamis
9.8
AEL
9.8
Apollon Limassol
9.7
Aris
9.5
Apoel Nicosia
9.4
AEK Larnaca
9.4
Karmiotissa
9.4
Enosis
8.9
Anorthosis
8.9
Ethnikos Achna
8.3
Pafos
8.2
Omonia Aradippou
6.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Omonia Aradippou
10.0
Omonia 29is Maiou
7.0
Apoel Nicosia
5.5
Aris
5.5
Anorthosis
5.3
Apollon Limassol
5.2
Pafos
5.2
Ethnikos Achna
5.1
Enosis
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.0
Karmiotissa
4.8
Nea Salamis
4.7
AEL
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.9
Anorthosis
29.2
Enosis
28.6
Omonia 29is Maiou
28.0
Omonia Aradippou
27.0
AEL
26.8
Karmiotissa
26.7
Ethnikos Achna
26.1
Aris
25.7
Pafos
25.7
AEK Larnaca
25.4
Apollon Limassol
25.3
Nea Salamis
24.9
Omonia Nicosia
24.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.9%
Under 9.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.4%
Under 3.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.3%
Under 21.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AEL
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.87
0.88
0.62
0.86
1.14
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.43
0.25
0.75
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (20)
1.15
0.80
1.20
0.70
1.10
0.90
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Achna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ethnikos Achna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
0.93
0.86
0.81
0.75
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.00
0.00
1.33
1.25
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.70
1.20
0.70
0.50
0.70
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AEL over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AEL
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.87
1.00
1.00
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.29
1.00
1.50
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.95
0.75
1.10
1.00
0.80
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
0.50
0.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Achna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ethnikos Achna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.03
1.50
1.07
0.81
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
1.29
1.71
2.00
1.67
0.75
1.75
vs Similar (20)
1.15
0.70
1.50
0.90
0.80
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.67
0.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AEL over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
BTTS Yes
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
AEL
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Toku33%
Andreas Makris0%
Daniil Lesovoy0%
Victor Braga0%
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis0%
Facundo Constantini0%
Themistoklis Themistokleous0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Facundo Constantini33%
Andreas Makris0%
Daniil Lesovoy0%
Victor Braga0%
Emmanuel Toku0%
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis0%
Themistoklis Themistokleous0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andreas Makris0%
Daniil Lesovoy0%
Victor Braga0%
Emmanuel Toku0%
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis0%
Facundo Constantini0%
Themistoklis Themistokleous0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniil Lesovoy33%
Andreas Makris0%
Victor Braga0%
Emmanuel Toku0%
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis0%
Facundo Constantini0%
Themistoklis Themistokleous0%
Ethnikos Achna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
JuliÃĄn Bonetto67%
Nicolas Andereggen33%
Petros Ioannou0%
Marios Pechlivanis0%
Pablo Gonzalez Juarez0%
Daniel Tetour0%
Emmanuel Lomotey0%
Jalil Saadi0%
Breno Almeida0%
Lucas Flores0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marios Pechlivanis33%
JuliÃĄn Bonetto33%
Pablo Gonzalez Juarez33%
Nicolas Andereggen0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Daniel Tetour0%
Emmanuel Lomotey0%
Jalil Saadi0%
Breno Almeida0%
Lucas Flores0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicolas Andereggen33%
Marios Pechlivanis33%
Petros Ioannou0%
JuliÃĄn Bonetto0%
Pablo Gonzalez Juarez0%
Daniel Tetour0%
Emmanuel Lomotey0%
Jalil Saadi0%
Breno Almeida0%
Lucas Flores0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nicolas Andereggen0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Marios Pechlivanis0%
JuliÃĄn Bonetto0%
Pablo Gonzalez Juarez0%
Daniel Tetour0%
Emmanuel Lomotey0%
Jalil Saadi0%
Breno Almeida0%
Lucas Flores0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OA (18)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
AEL's squad is €8m more valuable than Ethnikos Achna's (€9m vs €0m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AEL's attack is €4m more valuable than Ethnikos Achna's (€4m vs €0m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
AEL's midfield is €2m more valuable than Ethnikos Achna's (€2m vs €0m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
AEL's defence is €3m more valuable than Ethnikos Achna's (€3m vs €0m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Pafos
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
Anorthosis
Apollon Limassol
Enosis
Omonia Aradippou
Karmiotissa
Nea Salamis
Omonia 29is Maiou