This opponent (Omonia Nicosia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Nicosia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.30
2.20
1.60
1.20
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.50
2.00
3.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (5)
1.60
1.40
1.67
1.67
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.33
4.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
63.1%
Under 1.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.7%
Under 2.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.9%
Under 3.5
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.1%
No
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.7%
0-1
12.6%
1-0 â
10.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
AEL goals ↓
Omonia Nicosia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
13%
7.8%
2.9%
0.8%
1
11%
15%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
2
5.8%
6.5%
3.6%
1.4%
0.4%
3
1.9%
2.1%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AEL goals (down), columns = Omonia Nicosia goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Aris
2.06
Apoel Nicosia
1.97
AEK Larnaca
1.83
Apollon Limassol
1.77
Pafos
1.75
Anorthosis
1.57
Nea Salamis
1.45
Omonia Nicosia
1.36
AEL
1.26
Karmiotissa
1.20
Doxa
0.97
Enosis
0.93
Akritas
0.85
Olympiakos
0.70
AEL is 0.10 points worse than Omonia Nicosia in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.36).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.67
AEK Larnaca
1.53
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Apollon Limassol
1.34
Anorthosis
1.30
Nea Salamis
1.27
Omonia Nicosia
1.19
Enosis
1.00
Akritas
0.93
Karmiotissa
0.90
AEL
0.90
Doxa
0.80
Olympiakos
0.75
AEL is 0.30 goals worse than Omonia Nicosia in terms of goals scored per game (0.90 vs 1.19).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.72
Aris
0.78
Pafos
0.83
AEL
1.03
AEK Larnaca
1.03
Apollon Limassol
1.06
Anorthosis
1.07
Omonia Nicosia
1.17
Enosis
1.30
Karmiotissa
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.38
Doxa
1.40
Olympiakos
1.55
Akritas
1.82
AEL is 0.14 goals better than Omonia Nicosia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.17).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Omonia Nicosia
56%
AEK Larnaca
55%
Anorthosis
55%
Akritas
55%
Olympiakos
52%
Enosis
52%
Karmiotissa
50%
Apoel Nicosia
49%
Doxa
46%
AEL
45%
Pafos
45%
Aris
44%
Nea Salamis
40%
AEL is 11.5 percentage points worse than Omonia Nicosia in terms of average possession (45% vs 56%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
AEL
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Omonia Nicosia
For 2.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 7.7
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.7 · Against 13.0 · Total 20.7
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AEL
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Omonia Nicosia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Nicosia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (10)
7.7
8.0
7.0
1.4
2.0
0.8
20.7
16.5
29.0
vs Stronger (2)
8.0
9.0
7.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
22.5
16.0
29.0
vs Similar (5)
7.0
7.0
-
1.2
2.0
0.0
17.0
17.0
-
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
0%
30%
40%
20%
33%
0%
100%
% under line
100%
100%
100%
70%
60%
80%
67%
100%
0%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Larnaca
10.6
Apollon Limassol
10.2
Aris
10.0
Apoel Nicosia
9.5
Omonia Nicosia
7.7
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Apollon Limassol
5.0
Aris
5.0
Omonia Nicosia
4.7
AEK Larnaca
4.6
Apoel Nicosia
4.0
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
AEK Larnaca
29.4
Omonia Nicosia
20.7
Apollon Limassol
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AEL
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.50
0.33
0.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Nicosia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Nicosia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.30
1.20
0.20
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
2.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AEL over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AEL
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Nicosia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Nicosia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.40
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (5)
0.60
1.20
0.67
1.33
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AEL over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEL over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
AEL · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zakaria Sawo44%
Luther Singh40%
Morgan Ferrier33%
Christoforos Frantzis33%
Andreas Makris27%
SÃĐrgio ConceiçÃĢo27%
Andreas Panayiotou Filiotis20%
Fernando Forestieri17%
LÃĐo Natel12%
Nemanja GlavÄiÄ9%
Guillermo Ochoa0%
JÚlius SzÅke0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Vasilios Papafotis0%
Luka Bogdan0%
Ivan MilosavljeviÄ0%
DuÅĄan StevanoviÄ0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Emmanuel Imanishimwe0%
Stephane Keller0%
Panagiotis Kyriakou0%
Thapelo Maseko0%
François RÃĐgis Mughe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morgan Ferrier67%
JÚlius SzÅke62%
DuÅĄan StevanoviÄ33%
Emmanuel Imanishimwe29%
Stephane Keller25%
Luther Singh20%
Andreas Panayiotou Filiotis20%
SÃĐrgio ConceiçÃĢo18%
Thapelo Maseko14%
Guillermo Ochoa12%
LÃĐo Natel12%
Zakaria Sawo11%
Ivan MilosavljeviÄ9%
Nemanja GlavÄiÄ9%
Bassel Jradi0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Andreas Makris0%
Vasilios Papafotis0%
Fernando Forestieri0%
Luka Bogdan0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Christoforos Frantzis0%
Panagiotis Kyriakou0%
François RÃĐgis Mughe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
SÃĐrgio ConceiçÃĢo27%
LÃĐo Natel25%
Stephane Keller25%
Luther Singh20%
François RÃĐgis Mughe17%
Thapelo Maseko14%
Ivan MilosavljeviÄ9%
Nemanja GlavÄiÄ9%
Guillermo Ochoa0%
JÚlius SzÅke0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Andreas Makris0%
Vasilios Papafotis0%
Fernando Forestieri0%
Morgan Ferrier0%
Luka Bogdan0%
DuÅĄan StevanoviÄ0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Christoforos Frantzis0%
Emmanuel Imanishimwe0%
Zakaria Sawo0%
Andreas Panayiotou Filiotis0%
Panagiotis Kyriakou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christoforos Frantzis33%
Luther Singh20%
François RÃĐgis Mughe17%
LÃĐo Natel12%
Luka Bogdan12%
Zakaria Sawo11%
Andreas Makris9%
Guillermo Ochoa0%
JÚlius SzÅke0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Vasilios Papafotis0%
Fernando Forestieri0%
Morgan Ferrier0%
Ivan MilosavljeviÄ0%
DuÅĄan StevanoviÄ0%
Nemanja GlavÄiÄ0%
SÃĐrgio ConceiçÃĢo0%
Danil Paroutis0%
Emmanuel Imanishimwe0%
Stephane Keller0%
Andreas Panayiotou Filiotis0%
Panagiotis Kyriakou0%
Thapelo Maseko0%
Omonia Nicosia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Karim Ansarifard20%
Nikolas Panagiotou20%
Bruno17%
Fabiano0%
Hector Yuste0%
Fotis Papoulis0%
Nemanja MiletiÄ0%
Roman Bezus0%
Jan Lecjaks0%
Charalampos Charalampous0%
Andronikos Kakoullis0%
Francis Uzoho0%
Paris Psaltis0%
Brandon Barker0%
Adam Matthews0%
Moreto Cassama0%
Mix Diskerud0%
ÃdÃĄm Lang0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Fotios Kitsos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
ÃdÃĄm Lang60%
Roman Bezus50%
Andronikos Kakoullis50%
Moreto Cassama40%
Nikolas Panagiotou20%
Mix Diskerud20%
Fotis Papoulis17%
Charalampos Charalampous17%
Fabiano0%
Hector Yuste0%
Karim Ansarifard0%
Nemanja MiletiÄ0%
Jan Lecjaks0%
Francis Uzoho0%
Paris Psaltis0%
Brandon Barker0%
Adam Matthews0%
Bruno0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Fotios Kitsos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andronikos Kakoullis25%
Bruno17%
Fabiano0%
Hector Yuste0%
Fotis Papoulis0%
Karim Ansarifard0%
Nemanja MiletiÄ0%
Roman Bezus0%
Jan Lecjaks0%
Charalampos Charalampous0%
Francis Uzoho0%
Nikolas Panagiotou0%
Paris Psaltis0%
Brandon Barker0%
Adam Matthews0%
Moreto Cassama0%
Mix Diskerud0%
ÃdÃĄm Lang0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Fotios Kitsos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fabiano0%
Hector Yuste0%
Fotis Papoulis0%
Karim Ansarifard0%
Nemanja MiletiÄ0%
Roman Bezus0%
Jan Lecjaks0%
Charalampos Charalampous0%
Andronikos Kakoullis0%
Francis Uzoho0%
Nikolas Panagiotou0%
Paris Psaltis0%
Brandon Barker0%
Adam Matthews0%
Moreto Cassama0%
Bruno0%
Mix Diskerud0%
ÃdÃĄm Lang0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Fotios Kitsos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AEL's squad is €6m less valuable than Omonia Nicosia's (€9m vs €15m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AEL's attack is €3m less valuable than Omonia Nicosia's (€4m vs €7m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AEL's midfield is €2m less valuable than Omonia Nicosia's (€2m vs €3m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OLY (8)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
AEL's defence is €1m less valuable than Omonia Nicosia's (€3m vs €5m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →