Afan Lido vs Pontardawe Town Result & Analysis

Afan Lido are coming off a win, having thrashed Llantwit Major 5-0. However, their recent form is a mixed bag, with two wins and two losses in their last five matches. Pontardawe Town, on the other hand, are reeling from a 2-3 defeat to Pontypridd Town, with three losses and two wins in their last five matches.

The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.8 goals and a most likely total of 3 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 8.9%. Afan Lido have been scoring at a rate of 1.89 goals per match at home, while conceding 1.56 goals. Pontardawe Town have been scoring 1.7 goals per match away from home, while conceding 2.3 goals.

The model's selection is a home win, with a probability of 45%. The draw is 23% likely, while an away win is 32% likely. The home win percentage is 45%, the draw percentage is 23%, and the away win percentage is 32%. The model's picks are Over 1.5 (89.8%), Over 2.5 (72.6%), and BTTS Yes (72.3%).

Afan Lido’s win extends their recent run, ending a streak of two defeats with a 1-0 victory over Pontardawe Town. The model’s favourite, a home win, was correct and the final score matched the predicted outcome. The pre-match probability for a home win was 45 %. The model’s selections performed largely well: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.9 %, Under 7.5 hit at 96.1 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.1 %, Under 6.5 hit at 91.2 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 90.4 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 88.4 %, and Home over 0.5 goals hit at 87.1 %. Only the Over 1.5 selection missed, coming in at 89.8 %. The match confirmed the model’s overall accuracy.