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Afan Lido vs Ynyshir Albions Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2026
Time: 13:30
Final 0-0
Afan Lido
Afan Lido
Vs
49%
26%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ynyshir Albions
Ynyshir Albions
Wales: FAW Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Afan Lido are tipped to win, with a 49% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 25% chance of Ynyshir Albions taking the win. The model expects 2.9 goals on average, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 24%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 12.4% probability. Afan Lido, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 2.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Ynyshir Albions, on the road, average 1.86 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9% with a 7% edge), Under 6.5 (97.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.0% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.9% with a 5% edge), Under 5.5 (92.9% with a 3% edge), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (90.8% with a 1% edge). Afan Lido are coming off a defeat, while Ynyshir Albions return from a win.

Results analysis

Afan Lido’s home form, still rattling off a draw, had the team poised for a win, yet the match ended 0-0, a draw that stunned the pre-match favourite. The model had tipped a home victory with a 49% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score was a goalless stalemate, the actual result a draw. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 (99.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%), Under 6.5 (97.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.0%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.9%), Under 5.5 (92.9%), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (90.8%). The model’s selections all proved accurate, even as the predicted winner fell short.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Afan Lido win✗ Miss
49.3%
Avg Implied 36.9% · @ 2.46
Edge
+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.50
Dafabet
2.50
Superbet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.46
1xBet
2.46
Draw✓ Hit
26.1%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.51
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
Betano
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Ynyshir Albions win✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied 37.4% · @ 2.42
Edge
-12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.49
Superbet
2.47
Betano
2.42
Marathonbet
2.40
1xBet
2.40

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Afan LidoAfan Lido

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W10W10W41W14L25L50W13L10W25LH·LLA20/03A·TRE23/03A·ABE28/03H·CWM03/04A·CAR18/04H·ABE01/08H·LLA07/08A·CAR14/08H·PON21/08A·TRE28/08
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.931.711.530.692.46
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (19)1.471.742.101.000.782.56
vs Weaker (10)0.902.201.142.290.332.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ynyshir Albions) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W00D14L22D02L00D10W11D12L10WH·NEW14/03A·CAR21/03A·CAR24/03H·TRE28/03A·CAE04/04H·ABE18/04H·CAR01/08A·CAE07/08A·CAE22/08A·NEW28/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.801.001.501.002.06
vs Stronger (6)0.671.831.002.000.501.75
vs Similar (17)1.241.760.891.331.622.25
vs Weaker (7)0.711.861.331.670.252.00
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Afan Lido) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.2%
@ 1.15+0.4%
Under 1.5
20.8%
@ 4.27-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Under
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.7%
@ 1.59-2.9%
Under 2.5
45.3%
@ 2.16+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Under
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.19
Superbet
2.15
10Bet
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.4%
@ 2.46-4.5%
Under 3.5
67.6%
@ 1.44+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.47
1xBet
2.46
Marathonbet
2.46
Under
Superbet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.3%
@ 1.50-3.8%
No
42.7%
@ 2.36+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
No
1xBet
2.39
Superbet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.34

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%@ 6.69+6.2%
2-1
9.6%@ 9.00+5.0%
1-0
8.6%@ 10.00+4.4%
2-0
8.3%@ 13.25+5.2%
0-0 ✓
6.8%@ 13.00+3.6%
1-2
6.5%@ 8.75+1.7%
2-2
5.6%@ 10.50+1.6%
3-1
5.5%@ 15.50+2.8%
Afan Lido goals ↓
Ynyshir Albions goals →
01234
06.8%5.4%3.8%1.5%0.4%
18.6%12%6.5%2.5%0.7%
28.3%9.6%5.6%2.1%0.6%
34.8%5.5%3.2%1.2%0.4%
42.0%2.4%1.4%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Afan Lido goals (down), columns = Ynyshir Albions goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swansea University
2.60
Pontypridd Town
2.60
Newtown AFC
2.60
Brickfield Rangers
2.50
Bala Town
2.40
Aberystwyth Town
2.40
Mold Alexandra
2.17
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Porthmadog
1.83
Treowen Stars
1.80
Carmarthen Town
1.67
Baglan Dragons
1.67
Ynyshir Albions
1.60
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.40
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.33
Llanuwchllyn
1.20
Newport City
1.20
Afan Lido
1.17
Caerau (Ely)
1.17
Cardiff Draconians
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.80
Ruthin Town
0.67
Buckley Town
0.67
Denbigh Town
0.67
Pontardawe Town
0.60
llanelli AFC
0.33
Penrhyncoch
0.20
Llantwit Major
0.00
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Afan Lido is 0.43 points worse than Ynyshir Albions in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swansea University
3.60
Pontypridd Town
3.20
Aberystwyth Town
3.20
Brickfield Rangers
2.83
Newtown AFC
2.80
Treowen Stars
2.60
Carmarthen Town
2.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.33
Caerau (Ely)
2.17
Bala Town
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Guilsfield
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Afan Lido
1.83
Porthmadog
1.83
Denbigh Town
1.83
Rhyl
1.80
Newport City
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.40
Cardiff Draconians
1.25
Buckley Town
1.17
llanelli AFC
1.00
Llanuwchllyn
1.00
Pontardawe Town
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Ynyshir Albions
0.80
Penrhyncoch
0.60
Caerphilly Athletic
0.60
Llantwit Major
0.25
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Afan Lido is 1.03 goals better than Ynyshir Albions in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 0.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newtown AFC
0.20
Ynyshir Albions
0.60
Brickfield Rangers
0.67
Bala Town
0.80
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Swansea University
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Newport City
1.00
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.33
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Caersws
1.40
Porthmadog
1.50
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.60
Cardiff Draconians
1.75
Treowen Stars
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.80
Pontardawe Town
1.80
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.83
Buckley Town
1.83
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Afan Lido
2.17
Ruthin Town
2.17
Carmarthen Town
2.33
Denbigh Town
2.33
Gresford Athletic
2.80
Caerau (Ely)
2.83
llanelli AFC
3.00
Llanuwchllyn
3.00
Penrhyncoch
3.20
Llantwit Major
3.50
Afan Lido is 1.57 goals worse than Ynyshir Albions in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 0.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Afan Lido or Draw✓ Hit
75.4%
Avg Implied 62.5% · @ 1.46
Edge
+12.9%
49%
26%
25%
covers Afan Lido + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Afan Lido or Ynyshir Albions✗ Miss
73.9%
Avg Implied 74.3% · @ 1.23
Edge
-0.4%
49%
26%
25%
covers Afan Lido + Ynyshir Albions
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw or Ynyshir Albions✓ Hit
50.7%
Avg Implied 63.2% · @ 1.45
Edge
-12.5%
49%
26%
25%
covers Draw + Ynyshir Albions
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Afan Lido over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
82.0%
@ 1.20+5.9%
Under
18.0%
@ 3.81-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
1xBet
3.98
Superbet
3.65
Afan Lido over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
51.1%
@ 2.06+6.5%
Under
48.9%
@ 1.67-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Under
Superbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Afan Lido over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.7%
@ 4.15+2.8%
Under
75.3%
@ 1.16-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Afan Lido over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.5%
Under
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ynyshir Albions over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.5%
@ 1.20-7.9%
Under
31.5%
@ 3.88+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Under
1xBet
4.10
Superbet
3.65
Ynyshir Albions over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.1%
@ 2.03-13.2%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.68+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Under
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.68
Ynyshir Albions over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 4.05-11.3%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.17+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Ynyshir Albions over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Afan Lido, so a minus line means Afan Lido give that many goals of a start and Ynyshir Albions receive them. At -1, Afan Lido must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Afan Lido win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Afan Lido)Actual: Ynyshir Albions
Afan Lido -2
12.0%
Draw -2
15.4%
Ynyshir Albions +2
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Afan Lido)Actual: Ynyshir Albions
Afan Lido -1
27.4%
@ 4.85+9.0%
Draw -1
22.0%
@ 4.30+1.3%
Ynyshir Albions +1
50.7%
@ 1.46-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.95
10Bet
4.75
Draw
Marathonbet
4.40
10Bet
4.20
Away
10Bet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.42
Handicap +1 (Afan Lido)Actual: Afan Lido
Afan Lido +1
75.4%
@ 1.44+14.6%
Draw +1
14.4%
@ 4.33-5.8%
Ynyshir Albions -1
10.1%
@ 4.62-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Draw
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Away
Marathonbet
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Handicap +2 (Afan Lido)Actual: Afan Lido
Afan Lido +2
89.9%
Draw +2
7.0%
Ynyshir Albions -2
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Afan LidoAfan Lido

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D20W11D11D10W11D00D13LH·LLA20/03A·TRE23/03A·ABE28/03H·CWM03/04A·CAR18/04H·ABE01/08H·LLA07/08A·CAR14/08H·PON21/08A·TRE28/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.770.530.590.311.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.470.680.500.300.441.11
vs Weaker (10)0.400.900.571.000.000.67
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ynyshir Albions) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L21W01L00D00D00D01L00DH·NEW14/03A·CAR21/03A·CAR24/03H·TRE28/03A·CAE04/04H·ABE18/04H·CAR01/08A·CAE07/08A·CAE22/08A·NEW28/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.970.640.640.251.25
vs Stronger (6)0.330.831.001.000.000.75
vs Similar (17)0.531.000.560.440.501.62
vs Weaker (7)0.291.000.671.000.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Afan Lido) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.9%
@ 1.26-3.5%
Under 0.5
31.1%
@ 3.31+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.60
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
Superbet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.2%
@ 2.30-7.1%
Under 1.5
67.8%
@ 1.49+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.40
1xBet
2.34
Marathonbet
2.34
Superbet
2.32
Betano
2.22
Under
Superbet
1.51
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.3%
@ 5.15-6.4%
Under 2.5
88.7%
@ 1.11+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.10
Superbet
4.85
Under
1xBet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Afan Lido over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
51.6%
@ 1.90+3.0%
Under
48.4%
@ 1.80-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Under
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Afan Lido over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.8%
@ 5.10-4.2%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.12+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.10
Under
1xBet
1.12
Afan Lido over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 11.00-5.3%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.01+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Ynyshir Albions over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.3%
@ 1.90-11.4%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.80+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Under
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Ynyshir Albions over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 5.10-7.7%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.12+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.10
Under
1xBet
1.12
Ynyshir Albions over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 11.00-7.3%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.01+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Afan LidoAfan Lido

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W10W10W21W03L14L40W02L10W12LH·LLA20/03A·TRE23/03A·ABE28/03H·CWM03/04A·CAR18/04H·ABE01/08H·LLA07/08A·CAR14/08H·PON21/08A·TRE28/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.171.180.940.381.46
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (19)1.001.051.600.700.331.44
vs Weaker (10)0.501.300.571.290.331.33
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ynyshir Albions) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D13L01L01L00D10W11D11D10WH·NEW14/03A·CAR21/03A·CAR24/03H·TRE28/03A·CAE04/04H·ABE18/04H·CAR01/08A·CAE07/08A·CAE22/08A·NEW28/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.830.360.860.750.81
vs Stronger (6)0.331.000.001.000.501.00
vs Similar (17)0.710.760.330.891.120.62
vs Weaker (7)0.430.860.670.670.251.00
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Afan Lido) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
77.5%
@ 1.15-1.9%
Under 0.5
22.5%
@ 4.42+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.15
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.9%
@ 1.83-3.6%
Under 1.5
53.1%
@ 1.86+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Under
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.2%
@ 3.40-7.5%
Under 2.5
80.8%
@ 1.24+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.23

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Afan Lido over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
56.4%
@ 1.64+0.2%
Under
43.6%
@ 2.10-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.63
Under
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.08
Afan Lido over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.1%
@ 3.90-0.4%
Under
76.9%
@ 1.20+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.20
Afan Lido over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.2%
@ 9.10-1.0%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.03+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.03
Ynyshir Albions over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
44.8%
@ 1.63-11.6%
Under
55.2%
@ 2.10+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Under
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.09
Ynyshir Albions over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.1%
@ 3.90-10.5%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.20+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.20
Ynyshir Albions over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 9.10-7.1%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.03+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.03

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.9%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+7.3%✓ Hit
Under 6.597.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.0%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+7.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.9%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+5.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.592.9%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+3.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals90.8%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+1.0%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals90.5%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals89.7%1.12
1xBet
1.12
----+7.7%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals88.9%1.17
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
---+11.3%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals88.7%1.11
1xBet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10
--+6.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals86.9%1.20
1xBet
1.20
----+10.5%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals86.2%1.12
1xBet
1.12
----+4.2%✓ Hit
Under 4.583.7%1.14
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
--+4.2%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals82.0%1.20
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
---+5.9%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals80.8%1.24
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
---+7.5%✓ Hit
Over 1.579.2%1.15
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
--+0.4%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals77.5%1.15
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
----1.9%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals76.9%1.20
1xBet
1.20
----+0.4%✓ Hit
Home or Draw75.4%1.46
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
+12.9%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap75.4%1.44
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
---+14.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals75.3%1.16
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
----2.8%✓ Hit
Home or Away73.9%1.23
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-0.4%✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap72.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (12)
€1m
NC (4)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (4)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (6)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
AL wins
0
Draws
2
YA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Afan Lido vs Ynyshir Albions · H/A from AL
DateH/AGameScore
16/12/25HAL Vs Ynyshir Albions0-2
06/09/25AYnyshir Albions Vs AL1-2
22/04/23AYnyshir Albions Vs AL2-1
06/12/22HAL Vs Ynyshir Albions1-0

Afan LidoAfan Lido

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26ATrethomas Bluebirds Vs AL5-2
21/08/26HAL Vs Pontardawe Town1-0
14/08/26ACarmarthen Town Vs AL3-1
07/08/26HAL Vs Llantwit Major5-0
01/08/26HAL Vs Aberystwyth Town2-5
18/04/26ACardiff Draconians Vs AL4-1
03/04/26HAL Vs Cwmbran Celtic4-1
28/03/26AAberystwyth Town Vs AL0-1
23/03/26ATreowen Stars Vs AL0-1
20/03/26HAL Vs Llantwit Major4-1

Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26ANewport City Vs YA0-1
22/08/26ACaerphilly Athletic Vs YA2-1
07/08/26ACaerau (Ely) Vs YA1-1
01/08/26HYA Vs Cardiff Draconians1-0
18/04/26HYA Vs Aberystwyth Town0-0
04/04/26ACaerau (Ely) Vs YA2-0
28/03/26HYA Vs Trethomas Bluebirds2-2
24/03/26ACardiff Draconians Vs YA4-1
21/03/26ACarmarthen Town Vs YA0-0
14/03/26HYA Vs Newport City4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Afan Lido
Afan Lido
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.12
HomeWWLWW1.46
AwayWWLLL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%46%19%
AVG goals3.203.043.35
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %56%54%58%
Over 3.5 %50%46%54%
Scored1.281.501.08
Conceded1.921.542.27
BTTS56%46%65%
Clean Sheet16%21%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Ynyshir Albions
Ynyshir Albions
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW0.94
HomeDWDDW1.24
AwayLLDLW0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%32%16%
AVG goals2.922.723.12
Over 1.5 %78%68%88%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.001.120.88
Conceded1.921.602.24
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet24%36%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.7
-
2Swansea UniversitySwansea University513
80%
2.6
185+13
4.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.0
-
3Newtown AFCNewtown AFC513
80%
2.6
141+13
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.2
-
4Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town513
80%
2.6
1610+6
5.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
5Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra613
67%
2.2
126+6
3.0
67%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town512
80%
2.4
165+11
4.2
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.21.0
-
7Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC612
67%
2.0
148+6
3.7
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
8Bala TownBala Town512
80%
2.4
104+6
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
9PorthmadogPorthmadog611
50%
1.8
119+2
3.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10CaerswsCaersws510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
11Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town610
50%
1.7
1514+1
4.8
100%
100%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.52.3
-
12Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons610
50%
1.7
55+0
1.7
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
13Treowen StarsTreowen Stars59
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.8
-
14GuilsfieldGuilsfield69
33%
1.5
129+3
3.5
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
15Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds68
33%
1.3
1211+1
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.8
-
16Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions58
40%
1.6
43+1
1.4
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.6
-
17RhylRhyl57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
18Afan LidoAfan Lido67
33%
1.2
1113-2
4.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
19Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)67
33%
1.2
1317-4
5.0
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.8
-
20Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic57
40%
1.4
37-4
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
21Newport CityNewport City56
40%
1.2
95+4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
22LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn56
40%
1.2
515-10
4.0
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
23Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
24Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
25Denbigh TownDenbigh Town64
17%
0.7
1114-3
4.2
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
26Buckley TownBuckley Town64
17%
0.7
711-4
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
27Ruthin TownRuthin Town64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
28Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town53
20%
0.6
59-4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
29llanelli AFCllanelli AFC62
0%
0.3
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
30PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch51
0%
0.2
316-13
3.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
31Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major40
0%
0.0
114-13
3.8
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.23.5
-
32Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic50
0%
0.0
014-14
2.8
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.8
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

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