This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jonkopings Sodra
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.41
1.88
1.78
1.89
1.00
1.88
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.50
2.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (15)
1.33
1.93
1.75
2.00
0.86
1.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
6% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
Under 1.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.2%
Under 2.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.9%
Under 3.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.6%
No
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
AFC Eskilstuna goals ↓
Jonkopings Sodra goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
3.7%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
1
8.2%
11%
5.0%
1.7%
0.5%
2
9.5%
9.9%
5.2%
1.8%
0.5%
3
6.6%
6.9%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
4
3.4%
3.5%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AFC Eskilstuna goals (down), columns = Jonkopings Sodra goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IF Brommapojkarna
2.07
Halmstad
1.87
Osters IF
1.60
Sandviken
1.50
Trelleborg
1.50
Skövde AIK
1.47
Landskrona BoIS
1.47
IK brage
1.40
AFC Eskilstuna
1.33
Vasteras SK FK
1.33
Utsikten
1.23
Orebro SK
1.23
Jonkopings Sodra
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.19
Ostersunds FK
1.09
Norrby IF
1.03
Dalkurd FF
0.97
Falkenbergs FF
0.50
AFC Eskilstuna is 0.13 points better than Jonkopings Sodra in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
IF Brommapojkarna
2.13
Halmstad
1.90
Vasteras SK FK
1.67
AFC Eskilstuna
1.60
Osters IF
1.57
Trelleborg
1.53
Orgryte IS
1.53
Sandviken
1.50
IK brage
1.47
Jonkopings Sodra
1.37
Skövde AIK
1.33
Landskrona BoIS
1.33
Utsikten
1.33
Dalkurd FF
1.23
Norrby IF
1.10
Orebro SK
1.10
Ostersunds FK
1.09
Falkenbergs FF
0.50
AFC Eskilstuna is 0.23 goals better than Jonkopings Sodra in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.37).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Halmstad
1.07
Osters IF
1.17
Orebro SK
1.27
Skövde AIK
1.30
IF Brommapojkarna
1.33
IK brage
1.33
Landskrona BoIS
1.40
Ostersunds FK
1.41
Orgryte IS
1.47
Falkenbergs FF
1.50
AFC Eskilstuna
1.53
Utsikten
1.53
Norrby IF
1.57
Vasteras SK FK
1.63
Trelleborg
1.63
Jonkopings Sodra
1.70
Dalkurd FF
1.83
Sandviken
2.00
AFC Eskilstuna is 0.17 goals better than Jonkopings Sodra in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.70).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Utsikten
54%
Trelleborg
53%
Landskrona BoIS
52%
Vasteras SK FK
52%
Ostersunds FK
52%
Dalkurd FF
51%
Osters IF
51%
AFC Eskilstuna
51%
IF Brommapojkarna
51%
Jonkopings Sodra
50%
IK brage
49%
Halmstad
48%
Orebro SK
48%
Skövde AIK
48%
Norrby IF
47%
Orgryte IS
43%
AFC Eskilstuna is 0.7 percentage points better than Jonkopings Sodra in terms of average possession (51% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AFC Eskilstuna
For 4.7 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 13.3 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Jonkopings Sodra
For 4.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 13.8 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AFC Eskilstuna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
9.6
9.2
10.0
4.1
4.2
3.9
26.6
26.9
25.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
9.6
9.2
10.0
4.1
4.2
3.9
26.6
26.9
25.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
56%
57%
59%
56%
62%
92%
89%
100%
% under line
44%
44%
43%
41%
44%
38%
8%
11%
0%
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jonkopings Sodra
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
9.4
9.5
9.2
3.7
3.4
4.0
26.5
27.5
26.0
vs Stronger (2)
9.0
7.0
11.0
2.5
3.0
2.0
23.0
29.0
17.0
vs Similar (15)
9.4
9.9
9.0
3.9
3.5
4.3
27.3
27.0
27.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
50%
38%
41%
44%
38%
82%
100%
71%
% under line
56%
50%
62%
59%
56%
62%
18%
0%
29%
This opponent (AFC Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Dalkurd FF
11.8
Halmstad
11.8
Skövde AIK
11.2
Utsikten
11.2
Vasteras SK FK
11.1
Ostersunds FK
10.8
Orebro SK
10.7
Landskrona BoIS
10.6
Norrby IF
10.5
Trelleborg
10.3
Osters IF
10.3
IF Brommapojkarna
9.8
Orgryte IS
9.6
AFC Eskilstuna
9.6
Jonkopings Sodra
9.4
IK brage
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.2
Orebro SK
4.8
Ostersunds FK
4.7
Osters IF
4.7
Trelleborg
4.4
Orgryte IS
4.3
AFC Eskilstuna
4.3
Norrby IF
4.2
Jonkopings Sodra
3.9
IK brage
3.8
Landskrona BoIS
3.8
Dalkurd FF
3.7
IF Brommapojkarna
3.6
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
Skövde AIK
3.1
Halmstad
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Utsikten
28.7
Trelleborg
27.2
Orgryte IS
27.0
AFC Eskilstuna
26.6
Ostersunds FK
26.6
Jonkopings Sodra
26.5
IK brage
26.5
Osters IF
26.4
Skövde AIK
26.4
Landskrona BoIS
25.2
Orebro SK
24.8
Norrby IF
23.9
IF Brommapojkarna
23.9
Dalkurd FF
23.4
Halmstad
23.1
Vasteras SK FK
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.3%
Under 9.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.5%
Under 3.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.4%
Under 21.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AFC Eskilstuna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
0.71
0.67
0.67
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.71
0.67
0.67
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jonkopings Sodra
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.71
0.67
0.78
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.67
0.75
0.75
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AFC Eskilstuna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.35
0.88
1.67
0.56
1.00
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.35
0.88
1.67
0.56
1.00
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
29% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jonkopings Sodra
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.88
1.18
1.11
1.11
0.62
1.25
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.73
1.27
1.00
1.25
0.43
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
18% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Sweden: Superettan 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →