This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jonkopings Sodra
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.87
1.69
1.38
1.36
2.43
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.33
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (27)
1.56
1.93
1.67
1.40
1.42
2.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.1%
Under 1.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.7%
Under 2.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.6%
Under 3.5
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.2%
2-2 ✓
5.4%
AFC Eskilstuna goals ↓
Jonkopings Sodra goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.6%
6.2%
4.2%
1.6%
0.5%
1
9.2%
13%
6.7%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.3%
9.4%
5.4%
2.0%
0.6%
3
4.4%
5.0%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.8%
2.0%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AFC Eskilstuna goals (down), columns = Jonkopings Sodra goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vasteras SK FK
2.10
Gais
1.90
Utsikten
1.83
Osters IF
1.80
Ostersunds FK
1.40
IK brage
1.37
Landskrona BoIS
1.30
Trelleborg
1.30
Gefle IF
1.23
Orgryte IS
1.19
GIF Sundsvall
1.17
Skövde AIK
1.16
Orebro SK
1.13
Helsingborg
1.10
AFC Eskilstuna
1.03
Jonkopings Sodra
1.03
Falkenbergs FF
0.50
United Nordic
0.00
AFC Eskilstuna and Jonkopings Sodra are level in average points per game (both 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Gais
2.03
Osters IF
1.90
Utsikten
1.67
Vasteras SK FK
1.60
Skövde AIK
1.47
Ostersunds FK
1.47
Jonkopings Sodra
1.43
Orebro SK
1.43
Landskrona BoIS
1.33
Trelleborg
1.33
IK brage
1.30
GIF Sundsvall
1.23
Gefle IF
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.09
Helsingborg
1.07
Falkenbergs FF
1.00
AFC Eskilstuna
0.93
United Nordic
0.00
AFC Eskilstuna is 0.50 goals worse than Jonkopings Sodra in terms of goals scored per game (0.93 vs 1.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.77
Vasteras SK FK
0.80
United Nordic
1.00
Utsikten
1.03
Osters IF
1.17
Helsingborg
1.23
Ostersunds FK
1.30
AFC Eskilstuna
1.40
IK brage
1.40
Orgryte IS
1.47
Gefle IF
1.50
Orebro SK
1.50
Landskrona BoIS
1.63
Skövde AIK
1.69
Trelleborg
1.73
GIF Sundsvall
1.77
Jonkopings Sodra
1.90
Falkenbergs FF
2.50
AFC Eskilstuna is 0.50 goals better than Jonkopings Sodra in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.90).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Osters IF
54%
Gais
53%
Vasteras SK FK
53%
Landskrona BoIS
53%
Jonkopings Sodra
52%
Utsikten
52%
Orebro SK
49%
Orgryte IS
49%
IK brage
49%
Ostersunds FK
49%
AFC Eskilstuna
49%
Helsingborg
48%
GIF Sundsvall
48%
Gefle IF
47%
Trelleborg
47%
Skövde AIK
46%
AFC Eskilstuna is 3.6 percentage points worse than Jonkopings Sodra in terms of average possession (49% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AFC Eskilstuna
For 4.3 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Jonkopings Sodra
For 5.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AFC Eskilstuna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.0
10.2
3.2
3.4
2.9
23.6
23.9
23.1
vs Stronger (2)
13.5
19.0
8.0
3.5
4.0
3.0
21.0
20.0
22.0
vs Similar (48)
10.4
10.6
10.3
3.1
3.4
2.9
23.7
24.2
23.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
59%
63%
55%
46%
50%
42%
67%
68%
65%
% under line
41%
37%
45%
54%
50%
58%
33%
32%
35%
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jonkopings Sodra
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.7
9.8
3.1
2.9
3.3
24.5
24.2
24.8
vs Stronger (5)
10.2
8.5
11.3
3.0
2.0
3.7
20.8
24.0
18.7
vs Similar (45)
9.7
9.8
9.5
3.1
3.0
3.3
25.1
24.2
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
62%
37%
48%
44%
52%
63%
63%
63%
% under line
50%
38%
63%
52%
56%
48%
37%
37%
37%
This opponent (AFC Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Skövde AIK
12.0
Gais
11.7
GIF Sundsvall
11.1
Orebro SK
10.9
Helsingborg
10.9
Orgryte IS
10.8
Vasteras SK FK
10.7
Landskrona BoIS
10.7
Ostersunds FK
10.3
Trelleborg
10.3
Osters IF
10.3
Gefle IF
10.3
AFC Eskilstuna
10.2
Utsikten
9.9
Jonkopings Sodra
9.8
IK brage
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.7
Gais
4.9
Orgryte IS
4.7
Ostersunds FK
4.6
Osters IF
4.6
Falkenbergs FF
4.5
Helsingborg
4.4
Landskrona BoIS
4.4
Gefle IF
4.3
Orebro SK
4.1
Trelleborg
4.0
AFC Eskilstuna
4.0
Jonkopings Sodra
3.8
Skövde AIK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
Vasteras SK FK
3.4
GIF Sundsvall
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Utsikten
29.8
Gefle IF
26.7
Skövde AIK
26.4
Ostersunds FK
25.9
Orgryte IS
25.8
Trelleborg
25.7
Landskrona BoIS
25.1
IK brage
25.0
Osters IF
24.6
Jonkopings Sodra
24.6
Helsingborg
24.3
AFC Eskilstuna
24.2
Orebro SK
24.2
Gais
24.0
Vasteras SK FK
22.8
GIF Sundsvall
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.0%
Under 9.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.4%
Under 3.5
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.9%
Under 21.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AFC Eskilstuna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.77
0.43
0.64
0.12
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.29
0.79
0.46
0.69
0.13
0.87
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jonkopings Sodra
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
0.62
0.38
0.93
1.14
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.81
0.78
0.60
0.40
1.08
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AFC Eskilstuna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.64
0.29
0.50
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.61
0.69
0.31
0.53
0.87
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Jonkopings Sodra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jonkopings Sodra
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.13
1.06
1.00
0.43
1.29
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.74
1.15
1.07
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Eskilstuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Eskilstuna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonkopings Sodra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Sweden: Superettan 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →