Pythia gives Ahironas / Onisilos a 15% win probability against Spartakos Kitiou in the Cyprus: 2. Division on 2026-04-25, with 23% for the draw and 63% for Spartakos Kitiou. The model estimates around 2.9 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (24%) and 0-2 the most likely scoreline (11.2%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (79%).
Results analysis
Ahironas / Onisilos finished 0-2 against Spartakos Kitiou (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 15% home win, 23% draw and 63% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (79%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ahironas / Onisilos win✗ Miss
14.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou win✓ Hit
62.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ahironas / Onisilos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
2.33
0.33
2.07
0.87
2.60
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
2.14
0.43
1.71
1.00
2.57
vs Similar (11)
0.55
2.27
0.17
2.33
1.00
2.20
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
3.00
0.50
2.50
0.33
3.33
Clean sheet %
3% (-27pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartakos Kitiou
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.43
1.40
1.47
1.53
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.70
1.30
1.55
1.18
1.89
1.44
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
1.70
1.00
2.25
1.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ahironas / Onisilos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2 ✓
11.2%
1-1
10.8%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
Ahironas / Onisilos goals ↓
Spartakos Kitiou goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
10%
11%
7.5%
3.8%
1
3.9%
11%
9.9%
6.6%
3.3%
2
2.2%
4.3%
4.4%
2.9%
1.5%
3
0.6%
1.3%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ahironas / Onisilos goals (down), columns = Spartakos Kitiou goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
Ahironas / Onisilos is 1.07 points worse than Spartakos Kitiou in terms of average points per game (0.28 vs 1.34).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
Ahironas / Onisilos is 0.83 goals worse than Spartakos Kitiou in terms of goals scored per game (0.62 vs 1.45).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
Ahironas / Onisilos is 1.10 goals worse than Spartakos Kitiou in terms of goals conceded per game (2.34 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ahironas / Onisilos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
1.03
0.27
0.93
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (14)
0.50
0.86
0.43
0.71
0.57
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.09
1.27
0.00
1.33
0.20
1.20
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartakos Kitiou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartakos Kitiou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.50
0.67
0.60
1.00
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.00
0.45
0.73
0.45
1.33
0.44
vs Weaker (10)
0.50
0.60
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Ahironas / Onisilos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ahironas / Onisilos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahironas / Onisilos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahironas / Onisilos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartakos Kitiou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 10. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 11. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (26)
€4m
O2M (28)
€2m
KAR (27)
€2m
PAE (34)
€0m
DOX (32)
€0m
AN (40)
€0m
HAL (36)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (0)
€0m
NS (0)
€0m
O2M (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (0)
€0m
NS (0)
€0m
O2M (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (0)
€0m
NS (0)
€0m
O2M (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 12. Games History
H2H record
3 previous meetings
1
A/O wins
1
Draws
1
SK wins
Head-to-head
Ahironas / Onisilos vs Spartakos Kitiou · H/A from A/O
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →