The match is set to be a low-scoring affair, with the model projecting an average of 1.9 goals, most likely a 1-0 result for the home side, a 17.8% chance. The home team, Ahrobiznes Volochysk, has been struggling defensively, conceding an average of one goal per game, while their offensive output sits at just 0.33 goals per match. Their opponents are weaker, which slightly cushions their defensive woes. In contrast, Probiy Horodenka, playing away, has been more prolific, scoring 1.25 goals on average against stronger opposition, yet their defense is porous, conceding 1.75 goals per game. The model favours a home win, with a 50% chance, a draw at 32%, and an away win at 18%. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.6%), Under 5.5 (98.7%), Away under 2.5 goals (97.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.1%), Under 4.5 (95.7%), and Home +2 handicap (95.1%). The game is expected to stay tight, with the home side holding a slight edge.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ahrobiznes Volochysk win
50.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka win
17.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.27
1.13
0.93
1.33
1.60
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
5.00
-
-
1.00
5.00
vs Similar (23)
1.35
1.22
1.33
0.92
1.36
1.55
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.83
0.33
1.00
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Probiy Horodenka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Probiy Horodenka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.30
1.00
1.40
0.73
1.20
vs Stronger (13)
1.08
1.31
0.86
1.29
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.71
1.29
1.12
1.50
0.33
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ahrobiznes Volochysk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
57.5%
Under 1.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
29.3%
Under 2.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
12.3%
Under 3.5
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
34.8%
No
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
17.8%
0-0
16.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
11.9%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
3.8%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk goals ↓
Probiy Horodenka goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
8.4%
3.0%
0.6%
0.1%
1
18%
13%
3.8%
0.8%
0.1%
2
12%
7.5%
2.4%
0.5%
0.1%
3
5.0%
3.2%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
4
1.6%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ahrobiznes Volochysk goals (down), columns = Probiy Horodenka goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
3.00
SK Poltava
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Kulykiv
2.00
Prykarpattia
1.40
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.40
Metal Kharkiv
1.40
Inhulets
1.40
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Nyva Ternopil
1.20
UCSA
1.20
Chernihiv
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.60
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.60
Polissya II
0.40
Probiy Horodenka
0.40
Ahrobiznes Volochysk is 1.00 points better than Probiy Horodenka in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 0.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kulykiv
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.80
Prykarpattia
1.60
SK Poltava
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Inhulets
1.40
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Polissya II
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Chernihiv
1.00
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Probiy Horodenka
0.80
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.60
Ahrobiznes Volochysk is 0.20 goals better than Probiy Horodenka in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Poltava
0.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.20
Oleksandria
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Chernihiv
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.20
Kulykiv
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Lokomotiv Kyiv
1.40
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.60
Yarud Mariupol'
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Polissya II
1.80
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.80
Inhulets
1.80
Probiy Horodenka
2.40
Ahrobiznes Volochysk is 0.60 goals better than Probiy Horodenka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 2.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk or Draw
82.4%
Avg Implied -
50%
32%
18%
covers Ahrobiznes Volochysk + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk or Probiy Horodenka
67.8%
Avg Implied -
50%
32%
18%
covers Ahrobiznes Volochysk + Probiy Horodenka
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Probiy Horodenka
49.8%
Avg Implied -
50%
32%
18%
covers Draw + Probiy Horodenka
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 0.5
Over
71.5%
Under
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 1.5
Over
35.7%
Under
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 2.5
Over
13.2%
Under
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 3.5
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 0.5
Over
47.0%
Under
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 1.5
Over
13.3%
Under
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 2.5
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 3.5
Over
0.4%
Under
99.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ahrobiznes Volochysk, so a minus line means Ahrobiznes Volochysk give that many goals of a start and Probiy Horodenka receive them. At -1, Ahrobiznes Volochysk must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ahrobiznes Volochysk win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ahrobiznes Volochysk)
Ahrobiznes Volochysk -2
8.4%
Draw -2
15.4%
Probiy Horodenka +2
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ahrobiznes Volochysk)
Ahrobiznes Volochysk -1
23.8%
Draw -1
26.4%
Probiy Horodenka +1
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ahrobiznes Volochysk)
Ahrobiznes Volochysk +1
82.4%
Draw +1
12.7%
Probiy Horodenka -1
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ahrobiznes Volochysk)
Ahrobiznes Volochysk +2
95.2%
Draw +2
3.9%
Probiy Horodenka -2
0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.47
0.40
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.57
0.50
0.33
0.82
0.82
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Probiy Horodenka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Probiy Horodenka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.53
0.27
0.53
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.31
0.14
0.43
0.83
0.17
vs Similar (17)
0.29
0.71
0.38
0.62
0.22
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ahrobiznes Volochysk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
65.4%
Under 0.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
30.1%
Under 1.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
8.9%
Under 2.5
91.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.9%
Under
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.1%
Under
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.3%
Under
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.67
0.53
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.65
0.83
0.58
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.33
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Probiy Horodenka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Probiy Horodenka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.77
0.73
0.87
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
1.00
0.71
0.86
0.50
1.17
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.59
0.75
0.88
0.11
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ahrobiznes Volochysk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.5%
Under 0.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.7%
Under 1.5
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.4%
Under 2.5
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.7%
Under
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.5%
Under
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.1%
Under
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 1.5 2H
Over
9.9%
Under
90.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Probiy Horodenka over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (25)
€8m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
PH (20)
€1m
INH (15)
€1m
PI (5)
€1m
KKI (3)
€0m
LK (7)
€0m
Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Probiy Horodenka have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (10)
€3m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
PH (11)
€1m
PI (2)
€0m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (3)
€0m
Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Probiy Horodenka have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YM (7)
€1m
OLE (4)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
PI (1)
€0m
PH (3)
€0m
INH (5)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (0)
€0m
Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Probiy Horodenka have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (11)
€3m
SP (10)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
INH (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
PH (6)
€0m
PI (2)
€0m
LK (4)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
Ahrobiznes Volochysk and Probiy Horodenka have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
SK Poltava
Oleksandria
Kulykiv
Prykarpattia
Metal Kharkiv
Inhulets
UCSA
Nyva Ternopil
Yarud Mariupol'
Chernihiv
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Kolos Kovalivka II
Polissya II