Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Yarud Mariupol' Result & Analysis

Ahrobiznes Volochysk's recent 2-game winning streak is a notable storyline heading into their match against Yarud Mariupol'. The home side has been defensively solid at home, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per match against weaker opponents. Conversely, Yarud Mariupol' has struggled to score on the road, averaging just 0.75 goals per match against stronger opponents.

The model predicts a low-scoring match, with an expected total of 2.1 goals and a most likely score of 1-1. The model's selection is the home win, with a probability of 37%. The away win probability stands at 30%, while the draw is 33% likely. The most likely score of 1-1 carries a 14.8% probability.

The home side's home scoring average is 1.2 goals per match, while they concede 1.1 goals. The away side's away scoring average is 0.75 goals, with a conceding average of 1.5 goals. The model's selection, Under 3.5, is a hit, with an 84.5% probability.

The win extends Ahrobiznes Volochysk's run to three games, following a 2-1 victory over Kolos Kovalivka II. The 2-0 final score confirmed the home team's success, as predicted by the Pythia model, which correctly identified the home win as the most likely outcome. The model's selection, Home win, was the favourite with a pre-match probability of 37%. The model's call was correct, as the actual result matched the prediction. The suggested picks largely came in, with Under 3.5 goals hitting at 84.5% probability, while the most likely score, 1-1, missed at 14.8% probability.