AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg Result & Analysis

The encounter between AIK Stockholm and IF Elfsborg is a tightly contested one, with the model pointing to an away win as the most likely outcome. The probabilities are evenly split, with a 30% chance of a home victory, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 40% chance of an away triumph. The expected goal total sits at 2.4, and the most probable total number of goals is two, with a 27% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, carrying a 14.3% probability.

AIK, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages one goal scored and 1.38 conceded per game. IF Elfsborg, on the road, averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded against comparable sides.

The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 92.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 84.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 78.3% (miss), Under 3.5 at 78.1%, Under 5.5 cards at 76.2%, Over 8.5 corners at 73.8% (miss), Over 23.5 fouls at 72.8%, and Over 1.5 at 70.2%. Each pick is presented with its exact probability.

The win for IF Elfsborg extends their unbeaten run, matching the model’s prediction of an away victory. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the favoured outcome, and the model’s pick was correct. The model had given the away side a 40% chance of triumph, while the draw and home win were each 30%. The suggested picks also largely delivered: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 92.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 84.5%, Over 2.5 cards missed at 78.3%, Under 3.5 hit at 78.1%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 76.2%, Over 8.5 corners missed at 73.8%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 72.8%, and Over 1.5 hit at 70.2%. The model’s selections performed well overall.