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Ajka vs Csakvar Result & Analysis

Date: 14/04/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Ajka
Ajka
Vs
38%
31%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Csakvar
Csakvar
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ajka win✗ Miss
38.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Csakvar win✓ Hit
30.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AjkaAjka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W20W31W10W10W10W00D11D10W20WH·BUD04/02A·SZE11/02A·SOR14/02H·MTE18/02A·PÉC25/02H·KAZ03/03A·VAS10/03A·SIO17/03H·GYI31/03A·BVS07/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.930.931.071.070.80
vs Stronger (3)0.331.001.002.000.000.50
vs Similar (27)1.070.930.931.001.230.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CsakvarCsakvar

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D22D12L12L21W01L10W10W11D23LA·BUD10/12A·SZO04/02A·GYO11/02H·SOR18/02A·BUD25/02H·SZE03/03A·MTE10/03H·PÉC17/03A·KAZ31/03H·VAS07/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.331.121.441.291.21
vs Stronger (10)1.302.001.402.601.201.40
vs Similar (20)1.151.001.000.911.331.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.6%
Under 1.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.7%
Under 2.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.5%
Under 3.5
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.2%
No
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.6%
1-0
11.2%
0-1 ✓
9.6%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.8%
Ajka goals ↓
Csakvar goals →
01234
012%9.6%5.8%2.1%0.5%
111%15%7.0%2.5%0.7%
27.6%8.0%4.3%1.5%0.4%
33.1%3.2%1.7%0.6%0.2%
40.9%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ajka goals (down), columns = Csakvar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nyiregyhaza
2.32
Gyori ETO FC
2.03
Vasas
1.97
Szeged 2011
1.76
Kozarmisleny FC
1.53
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Soroksar
1.32
Kazincbarcikai
1.29
Budafoki LC
1.29
Budapest Honved
1.29
Csakvar
1.26
Ajka
1.26
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.12
BVSC
1.12
Pécsi MFC
1.06
Tiszakecske FC
1.00
Siofok
0.91
MTE 1904
0.62
Ajka and Csakvar are level in average points per game (both 1.26).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
2.12
Nyiregyhaza
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.91
Kozarmisleny FC
1.62
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.24
Csakvar
1.15
Soroksar
1.15
Budapest Honved
1.15
Kazincbarcikai
1.09
Budafoki LC
1.09
Siofok
1.06
Szeged 2011
1.03
Tiszakecske FC
0.97
Ajka
0.88
MTE 1904
0.85
BVSC
0.79
Pécsi MFC
0.59
Ajka is 0.26 goals worse than Csakvar in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Szeged 2011
0.68
Nyiregyhaza
0.79
Vasas
0.97
Ajka
0.97
Budapest Honved
1.06
Gyori ETO FC
1.09
Pécsi MFC
1.15
Tiszakecske FC
1.18
BVSC
1.18
Kazincbarcikai
1.21
Budafoki LC
1.29
Soroksar
1.29
Gyirmot SE
1.32
Csakvar
1.32
Kozarmisleny FC
1.32
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.53
Siofok
1.76
MTE 1904
2.03
Ajka is 0.35 goals better than Csakvar in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AjkaAjka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W10W00D00D00D00D01L00D10WH·BUD04/02A·SZE11/02A·SOR14/02H·MTE18/02A·PÉC25/02H·KAZ03/03A·VAS10/03A·SIO17/03H·GYI31/03A·BVS07/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.430.470.530.470.33
vs Stronger (3)0.330.671.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.480.410.430.430.540.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CsakvarCsakvar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W22D11D11D00D00D10W00D00D22DA·BUD10/12A·SZO04/02A·GYO11/02H·SOR18/02A·BUD25/02H·SZE03/03A·MTE10/03H·PÉC17/03A·KAZ31/03H·VAS07/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.470.620.560.500.36
vs Stronger (10)0.501.000.601.400.400.60
vs Similar (20)0.600.200.640.180.560.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ajka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AjkaAjka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W21W10W10W10W00D10W10W10WH·BUD04/02A·SZE11/02A·SOR14/02H·MTE18/02A·PÉC25/02H·KAZ03/03A·VAS10/03A·SIO17/03H·GYI31/03A·BVS07/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.500.470.530.600.47
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (27)0.590.520.500.570.690.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CsakvarCsakvar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D01L01L21W01L00D10W11D01LA·BUD10/12A·SZO04/02A·GYO11/02H·SOR18/02A·BUD25/02H·SZE03/03A·MTE10/03H·PÉC17/03A·KAZ31/03H·VAS07/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.870.500.880.790.86
vs Stronger (10)0.801.000.801.200.800.80
vs Similar (20)0.550.800.360.730.780.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ajka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (28)
€16m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Ajka and Csakvar have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (10)
€7m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
BH (6)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Ajka and Csakvar have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (6)
€4m
VAS (7)
€2m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
Ajka and Csakvar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (12)
€5m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SOR (6)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Ajka and Csakvar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
AJK wins
1
Draws
1
CSA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ajka vs Csakvar · H/A from AJK
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/23ACsakvar Vs AJK1-0
19/02/23ACsakvar Vs AJK1-1
21/08/22HAJK Vs Csakvar1-0

AjkaAjka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/24ABVSC Vs AJK0-2
31/03/24HAJK Vs Gyirmot SE1-0
17/03/24ASiofok Vs AJK1-1
10/03/24AVasas Vs AJK0-0
03/03/24HAJK Vs Kazincbarcikai1-0
25/02/24APécsi MFC Vs AJK0-1
18/02/24HAJK Vs MTE 19041-0
14/02/24ASoroksar Vs AJK1-3
11/02/24ASzeged 2011 Vs AJK0-2
04/02/24HAJK Vs Budafoki LC3-1

CsakvarCsakvar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/24HCSA Vs Vasas2-3
31/03/24AKazincbarcikai Vs CSA1-1
17/03/24HCSA Vs Pécsi MFC1-0
10/03/24AMTE 1904 Vs CSA0-1
03/03/24HCSA Vs Szeged 20110-1
25/02/24ABudafoki LC Vs CSA1-2
18/02/24HCSA Vs Soroksar1-2
11/02/24AGyori ETO FC Vs CSA2-1
04/02/24ASzombathelyi Haladas Vs CSA2-2
10/12/23ABudapest Honved Vs CSA2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ajka
Ajka
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWW1.72
HomeWWWWW1.75
AwayWWDDW1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%54%50%
AVG goals2.022.121.92
Over 1.5 %58%58%58%
Over 2.5 %30%33%27%
Over 3.5 %14%17%12%
Scored1.181.171.19
Conceded0.840.960.73
BTTS36%38%35%
Clean Sheet40%38%42%
Corners---
Cards---
Csakvar
Csakvar
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.04
HomeLLLWL0.96
AwayDLWWD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%23%25%
AVG goals2.462.382.54
Over 1.5 %72%62%83%
Over 2.5 %42%38%46%
Over 3.5 %20%19%21%
Scored1.060.921.21
Conceded1.401.461.33
BTTS58%50%67%
Clean Sheet22%27%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza3479
71%
2.3
6927+42
2.8
82%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.00.8
-
2Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3469
65%
2.0
6537+28
3.0
71%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7451.91.1
-
3VasasVasas3467
56%
2.0
7233+39
3.1
79%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.11.0
-
4Szeged 2011Szeged 20113460
44%
1.8
3523+12
1.7
53%
15%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.00.7
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3452
44%
1.5
5545+10
2.9
85%
56%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.61.3
-
6Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3449
35%
1.4
4945+4
2.8
74%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7SoroksarSoroksar3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.3
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3444
32%
1.3
3936+3
2.2
65%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.11.1
-
9KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3444
32%
1.3
3741-4
2.3
65%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
10Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3444
35%
1.3
3744-7
2.4
71%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
11AjkaAjka3443
38%
1.3
3033-3
1.9
53%
26%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.0
-
12CsakvarCsakvar3443
35%
1.3
3945-6
2.5
68%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
13Szombathelyi HaladasSzombathelyi Haladas3438
26%
1.1
4252-10
2.8
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
14BVSCBVSC3438
29%
1.1
2740-13
2.0
62%
29%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.2
-
15Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC3436
24%
1.1
2039-19
1.7
44%
29%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
16Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3434
21%
1.0
3340-7
2.1
71%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.2
-
17SiofokSiofok3431
24%
0.9
3660-24
2.8
74%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
18MTE 1904MTE 19043421
15%
0.6
2969-40
2.9
74%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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