PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Ajka vs Soroksar Result & Analysis

Date: 27/04/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
Ajka
Ajka
Vs
49%
30%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Soroksar
Soroksar
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ajka win✗ Miss
49.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Soroksar win✗ Miss
21.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AjkaAjka

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L20W20W04L23L21W00D01L11DA·SZE09/02H·BEK16/02A·SZE23/02H·BUD02/03A·KIS09/03H·VAS16/03A·BUD30/03H·TAT06/04A·KOZ13/04A·KAZ20/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.501.121.251.361.79
vs Stronger (3)1.332.331.002.002.003.00
vs Similar (27)1.221.411.141.141.311.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Soroksar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SoroksarSoroksar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L11D24L11D23L12L02L32W00D31WA·GYI09/02H·SZE16/02A·BEK23/02H·SZE02/03A·BUD09/03H·KIS16/03A·VAS31/03H·BUD06/04A·TAT13/04H·KOZ20/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.501.931.140.941.81
vs Stronger (5)1.601.803.002.001.251.75
vs Similar (25)1.361.441.851.080.831.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.0%
Under 1.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.0%
Under 2.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.0%
Under 3.5
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.2%
No
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
13.6%
0-0 ✓
11.8%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
Ajka goals ↓
Soroksar goals →
01234
012%7.6%3.7%1.0%0.2%
114%14%5.3%1.5%0.3%
210%8.8%3.7%1.0%0.2%
34.9%4.1%1.7%0.5%0.1%
41.7%1.5%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ajka goals (down), columns = Soroksar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kisvarda FC
1.93
Kazincbarcikai
1.77
Vasas
1.73
Kozarmisleny FC
1.57
Szentlőrinc SE
1.57
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Szeged 2011
1.40
Budapest Honved
1.33
BVSC
1.27
Csakvar
1.20
Budafoki LC
1.17
Soroksar
1.17
Ajka
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.10
Gyirmot SE
1.03
Tatabánya
0.80
Ajka and Soroksar are level in average points per game (both 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kisvarda FC
1.90
Kazincbarcikai
1.70
Vasas
1.57
Kozarmisleny FC
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.47
Szentlőrinc SE
1.47
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Soroksar
1.40
Gyirmot SE
1.37
Csakvar
1.37
Budapest Honved
1.37
Szeged 2011
1.20
Ajka
1.03
BVSC
1.03
Bekescsaba 1912
1.00
Tatabánya
0.93
Ajka is 0.37 goals worse than Soroksar in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kazincbarcikai
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.07
BVSC
1.07
Szentlőrinc SE
1.07
Vasas
1.17
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.27
Ajka
1.27
Budapest Honved
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.40
Kisvarda FC
1.47
Gyirmot SE
1.53
Soroksar
1.57
Csakvar
1.67
Budafoki LC
1.77
Tatabánya
2.00
Ajka is 0.30 goals better than Soroksar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AjkaAjka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D20W20W02L21W20W00D01L10WA·SZE09/02H·BEK16/02A·SZE23/02H·BUD02/03A·KIS09/03H·VAS16/03A·BUD30/03H·TAT06/04A·KOZ13/04A·KAZ20/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.750.500.861.00
vs Stronger (3)1.000.671.001.001.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.780.740.710.430.851.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Soroksar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SoroksarSoroksar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W14L01L01L02L01L22D00D00DA·GYI09/02H·SZE16/02A·BEK23/02H·SZE02/03A·BUD09/03H·KIS16/03A·VAS31/03H·BUD06/04A·TAT13/04H·KOZ20/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.930.430.500.94
vs Stronger (5)1.001.202.001.000.751.25
vs Similar (25)0.640.600.850.380.420.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ajka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soroksar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soroksar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soroksar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AjkaAjka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D00D02L02L01L00D00D01LA·SZE09/02H·BEK16/02A·SZE23/02H·BUD02/03A·KIS09/03H·VAS16/03A·BUD30/03H·TAT06/04A·KOZ13/04A·KAZ20/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.770.380.750.500.79
vs Stronger (3)0.331.670.001.001.003.00
vs Similar (27)0.440.670.430.710.460.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Soroksar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SoroksarSoroksar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L10W10W22D10W01L10W00D31WA·GYI09/02H·SZE16/02A·BEK23/02H·SZE02/03A·BUD09/03H·KIS16/03A·VAS31/03H·BUD06/04A·TAT13/04H·KOZ20/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.801.000.710.440.88
vs Stronger (5)0.600.601.001.000.500.50
vs Similar (25)0.720.841.000.690.421.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ajka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soroksar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soroksar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Soroksar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Ajka and Soroksar have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KF (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Ajka and Soroksar have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
Ajka and Soroksar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Ajka and Soroksar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
AJK wins
1
Draws
2
SOR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ajka vs Soroksar · H/A from AJK
DateH/AGameScore
27/10/24ASoroksar Vs AJK3-1
14/02/24ASoroksar Vs AJK1-3
30/07/23HAJK Vs Soroksar1-1
02/04/23HAJK Vs Soroksar2-0
05/10/22ASoroksar Vs AJK2-0

AjkaAjka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/25AKazincbarcikai Vs AJK1-1
13/04/25AKozarmisleny FC Vs AJK1-0
06/04/25HAJK Vs Tatabánya0-0
30/03/25ABudafoki LC Vs AJK1-2
16/03/25HAJK Vs Vasas2-3
09/03/25AKisvarda FC Vs AJK4-0
02/03/25HAJK Vs Budapest Honved2-0
23/02/25ASzeged 2011 Vs AJK0-2
16/02/25HAJK Vs Bekescsaba 19120-1
09/02/25ASzentlőrinc SE Vs AJK2-0

SoroksarSoroksar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/25HSOR Vs Kozarmisleny FC3-1
13/04/25ATatabánya Vs SOR0-0
06/04/25HSOR Vs Budafoki LC3-2
31/03/25AVasas Vs SOR2-0
16/03/25HSOR Vs Kisvarda FC1-2
09/03/25ABudapest Honved Vs SOR3-2
02/03/25HSOR Vs Szeged 20111-1
23/02/25ABekescsaba 1912 Vs SOR4-2
16/02/25HSOR Vs Szentlőrinc SE1-1
09/02/25AGyirmot SE Vs SOR4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ajka
Ajka
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLD1.38
HomeWLWLD1.48
AwayWLWLD1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%36%
AVG goals2.382.202.56
Over 1.5 %64%52%76%
Over 2.5 %42%32%52%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.181.161.20
Conceded1.201.041.36
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Soroksar
Soroksar
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW1.30
HomeDDLWW1.84
AwayLLLLD0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%52%16%
AVG goals2.722.922.52
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.321.760.88
Conceded1.401.161.64
BTTS62%76%48%
Clean Sheet24%20%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kisvarda FCKisvarda FC3058
57%
1.9
5744+13
3.4
87%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.91.5
-
2KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3053
47%
1.8
5130+21
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.0
-
3VasasVasas3052
53%
1.7
4735+12
2.7
70%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.61.2
-
4Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3047
40%
1.6
4432+12
2.5
77%
40%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.1
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3047
43%
1.6
4542+3
2.9
83%
40%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.51.4
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3044
40%
1.5
4435+9
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
7Szeged 2011Szeged 20113042
33%
1.4
3632+4
2.3
70%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.1
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3040
37%
1.3
4139+2
2.7
77%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.41.3
-
9BVSCBVSC3038
27%
1.3
3132-1
2.1
57%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.1
-
10CsakvarCsakvar3036
33%
1.2
4150-9
3.0
87%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
11SoroksarSoroksar3035
30%
1.2
4247-5
3.0
80%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.6
-
12AjkaAjka3035
27%
1.2
3138-7
2.3
67%
40%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
13Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3035
30%
1.2
4453-9
3.2
87%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
14Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123033
27%
1.1
3038-8
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
15Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3031
23%
1.0
4146-5
2.9
83%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
16TatabányaTatabánya3024
20%
0.8
2860-32
2.9
73%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

← all matches