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Ajka vs Vasas Result & Analysis

Date: 03/09/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Ajka
Ajka
Vs
42%
29%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vasas
Vasas
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ajka win✗ Miss
41.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vasas win✓ Hit
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AjkaAjka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L30W21W11D02L00D20W02L01LA·MTK30/04H·SZE07/05A·DOR14/05H·BEK21/05H·SOR30/07A·BUD06/08H·SZE13/08A·MTE16/08H·PÉC19/08A·KAZ27/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.801.210.931.440.69
vs Stronger (4)1.001.251.002.001.000.50
vs Similar (26)1.380.731.250.751.500.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VasasVasas

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D11D12L00D01L34L51W00D22D40WA·UJP06/05H·ZAL13/05A·KIS19/05H·FEH27/05H·BUD30/07A·SZE05/08H·MTE13/08A·PÉC16/08H·KAZ19/08H·SIO27/08← NB INB II →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.331.381.250.931.43
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)1.001.481.231.380.751.58
vs Weaker (3)3.330.673.000.504.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.8%
Under 2.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
1-2 ✓
7.1%
0-2
5.1%
Ajka goals ↓
Vasas goals →
01234
09.4%7.9%5.1%1.9%0.5%
110%14%7.1%2.6%0.7%
27.9%8.8%4.9%1.8%0.5%
33.6%4.1%2.3%0.8%0.2%
41.3%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ajka goals (down), columns = Vasas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nyiregyhaza
2.32
Gyori ETO FC
2.03
Vasas
1.97
Szeged 2011
1.76
Kozarmisleny FC
1.53
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Soroksar
1.32
Kazincbarcikai
1.29
Budafoki LC
1.29
Budapest Honved
1.29
Csakvar
1.26
Ajka
1.26
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.12
BVSC
1.12
Pécsi MFC
1.06
Tiszakecske FC
1.00
Siofok
0.91
MTE 1904
0.62
Ajka is 0.71 points worse than Vasas in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
2.12
Nyiregyhaza
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.91
Kozarmisleny FC
1.62
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.24
Csakvar
1.15
Soroksar
1.15
Budapest Honved
1.15
Kazincbarcikai
1.09
Budafoki LC
1.09
Siofok
1.06
Szeged 2011
1.03
Tiszakecske FC
0.97
Ajka
0.88
MTE 1904
0.85
BVSC
0.79
Pécsi MFC
0.59
Ajka is 1.24 goals worse than Vasas in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 2.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Szeged 2011
0.68
Nyiregyhaza
0.79
Vasas
0.97
Ajka
0.97
Budapest Honved
1.06
Gyori ETO FC
1.09
Pécsi MFC
1.15
Tiszakecske FC
1.18
BVSC
1.18
Kazincbarcikai
1.21
Budafoki LC
1.29
Soroksar
1.29
Gyirmot SE
1.32
Csakvar
1.32
Kozarmisleny FC
1.32
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.53
Siofok
1.76
MTE 1904
2.03
Ajka and Vasas are level in goals conceded per game (both 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AjkaAjka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W20W10W02L00D20W01L00DA·MTK30/04H·SZE07/05A·DOR14/05H·BEK21/05H·SOR30/07A·BUD06/08H·SZE13/08A·MTE16/08H·PÉC19/08A·KAZ27/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.400.570.430.940.38
vs Stronger (4)0.500.750.501.000.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.810.350.580.331.000.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VasasVasas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L11D00D01L02L30W00D01L20WA·UJP06/05H·ZAL13/05A·KIS19/05H·FEH27/05H·BUD30/07A·SZE05/08H·MTE13/08A·PÉC16/08H·KAZ19/08H·SIO27/08← NB INB II →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.500.620.430.79
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.320.800.310.770.330.83
vs Weaker (3)2.000.332.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ajka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AjkaAjka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L20W01L01L00D00D00D01L01LA·MTK30/04H·SZE07/05A·DOR14/05H·BEK21/05H·SOR30/07A·BUD06/08H·SZE13/08A·MTE16/08H·PÉC19/08A·KAZ27/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.400.640.500.500.31
vs Stronger (4)0.500.500.501.000.500.00
vs Similar (26)0.580.380.670.420.500.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VasasVasas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W01L00D00D32W21W00D21W20WA·UJP06/05H·ZAL13/05A·KIS19/05H·FEH27/05H·BUD30/07A·SZE05/08H·MTE13/08A·PÉC16/08H·KAZ19/08H·SIO27/08← NB INB II →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.880.620.500.64
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.680.680.920.620.420.75
vs Weaker (3)1.330.331.000.502.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ajka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (28)
€16m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Ajka's squad is €5m less valuable than Vasas's (€2m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (10)
€7m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
BH (6)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Ajka's attack is €2m less valuable than Vasas's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (6)
€4m
VAS (7)
€2m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
Ajka's midfield is €2m less valuable than Vasas's (€0m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (12)
€5m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SOR (6)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Ajka and Vasas have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AJK wins
0
Draws
0
VAS wins

Head-to-head

Ajka vs Vasas · H/A from AJK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

AjkaAjka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/23AKazincbarcikai Vs AJK1-0
19/08/23HAJK Vs Pécsi MFC0-2
16/08/23AMTE 1904 Vs AJK0-2
13/08/23HAJK Vs Szeged 20110-0
06/08/23ABudafoki LC Vs AJK2-0
30/07/23HAJK Vs Soroksar1-1
21/05/23HAJK Vs Bekescsaba 19122-1
14/05/23ADorogi FC Vs AJK0-3
07/05/23HAJK Vs Szentlőrinc SE0-2
30/04/23AMTK Budapest Vs AJK1-1

VasasVasas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/23HVAS Vs Siofok4-0
19/08/23HVAS Vs Kazincbarcikai2-2
16/08/23APécsi MFC Vs VAS0-0
13/08/23HVAS Vs MTE 19045-1
05/08/23ASzeged 2011 Vs VAS4-3
30/07/23HVAS Vs Budafoki LC0-1
27/05/23HVAS Vs Fehérvár FC0-0
19/05/23AKisvarda FC Vs VAS2-1
13/05/23HVAS Vs Zalaegerszegi TE1-1
06/05/23AUjpest Vs VAS1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ajka
Ajka
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.66
HomeLWDDL1.73
AwayDWLWL1.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%50%45%
AVG goals2.272.452.09
Over 1.5 %66%68%64%
Over 2.5 %34%36%32%
Over 3.5 %20%23%18%
Scored1.301.411.18
Conceded0.981.050.91
BTTS45%50%41%
Clean Sheet34%32%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Vasas
Vasas
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDW0.87
HomeDLWDW0.95
AwayWDLLD0.78
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%19%11%
AVG goals2.412.572.22
Over 1.5 %69%67%72%
Over 2.5 %41%48%33%
Over 3.5 %26%33%17%
Scored1.101.290.89
Conceded1.311.291.33
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet23%19%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza3479
71%
2.3
6927+42
2.8
82%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.00.8
-
2Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3469
65%
2.0
6537+28
3.0
71%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7451.91.1
-
3VasasVasas3467
56%
2.0
7233+39
3.1
79%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.11.0
-
4Szeged 2011Szeged 20113460
44%
1.8
3523+12
1.7
53%
15%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.00.7
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3452
44%
1.5
5545+10
2.9
85%
56%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.61.3
-
6Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3449
35%
1.4
4945+4
2.8
74%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7SoroksarSoroksar3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.3
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3444
32%
1.3
3936+3
2.2
65%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.11.1
-
9KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3444
32%
1.3
3741-4
2.3
65%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
10Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3444
35%
1.3
3744-7
2.4
71%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
11AjkaAjka3443
38%
1.3
3033-3
1.9
53%
26%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.0
-
12CsakvarCsakvar3443
35%
1.3
3945-6
2.5
68%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
13Szombathelyi HaladasSzombathelyi Haladas3438
26%
1.1
4252-10
2.8
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
14BVSCBVSC3438
29%
1.1
2740-13
2.0
62%
29%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.2
-
15Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC3436
24%
1.1
2039-19
1.7
44%
29%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
16Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3434
21%
1.0
3340-7
2.1
71%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.2
-
17SiofokSiofok3431
24%
0.9
3660-24
2.8
74%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
18MTE 1904MTE 19043421
15%
0.6
2969-40
2.9
74%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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