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Akademiya Ontustik vs Aktobe Jas Result & Analysis

Date: 23/06/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 5-2
Akademiya Ontustik
Akademiya Ontustik
Vs
43%
20%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aktobe Jas
Aktobe Jas
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Akademiya Ontustik win✓ Hit
42.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas win✗ Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L12L25L11D03L30W54W33D05L23LH·ZHE06/04A·KYR14/04H·ARY27/04A·SPO04/05H·AKZ10/05A·AST14/05H·JAS19/05A·TAR26/05H·TUR01/06A·YAS09/06
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.772.531.603.271.931.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.632.671.573.361.691.92
vs Weaker (3)3.001.332.002.003.501.00
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-732W21W17L16L05L05L03L03L12L13LA·AST07/04H·JAS13/04A·TAR21/04H·TUR27/04A·YAS04/05H·YEL14/05A·EKI19/05H·KHA26/05A·ZHE02/06H·KYR09/06
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
3.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.903.700.803.601.003.80
vs Stronger (7)0.574.140.504.250.674.00
vs Similar (3)1.672.672.001.001.503.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-24pp vs league)
This opponent (Akademiya Ontustik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

8%16%23%31%2%04%111%216%319%417%531%6+
The model estimates around 4.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (31%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
94.8%
Under 1.5
5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
83.6%
Under 2.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.2%
Under 3.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
81.3%
No
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-2
7.0%
2-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
1-1
5.9%
3-2
5.6%
2-3
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
1-3
4.4%
Akademiya Ontustik goals ↓
Aktobe Jas goals →
01234
01.6%1.7%2.5%1.9%1.0%
11.9%5.9%5.9%4.4%2.4%
22.9%6.3%7.0%5.2%2.9%
32.3%5.0%5.6%4.1%2.3%
41.3%3.0%3.3%2.4%1.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Akademiya Ontustik goals (down), columns = Aktobe Jas goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Yelimay Semey
2.71
Turan Turkistan
2.46
Zhenys
2.07
Akzhayik
1.93
Kyran
1.79
Sport Academy Kairat
1.25
Khan Tengri
1.25
Arys
1.18
Yassy Turkistan
1.14
Ekibastuz
1.14
Jas Qyran
1.14
Taraz
1.11
Aktobe Jas
0.82
Akademiya Ontustik
0.75
Astana II
0.68
Akademiya Ontustik is 0.07 points worse than Aktobe Jas in terms of average points per game (0.75 vs 0.82).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Turan Turkistan
3.07
Yelimay Semey
2.71
Zhenys
2.21
Akzhayik
2.21
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Kyran
1.96
Jas Qyran
1.79
Yassy Turkistan
1.68
Taraz
1.68
Ekibastuz
1.68
Akademiya Ontustik
1.64
Arys
1.46
Khan Tengri
1.39
Aktobe Jas
1.32
Astana II
1.14
Akademiya Ontustik is 0.32 goals better than Aktobe Jas in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 1.32).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Yelimay Semey
0.61
Turan Turkistan
1.00
Akzhayik
1.04
Zhenys
1.21
Khan Tengri
1.36
Jas Qyran
1.86
Sport Academy Kairat
1.89
Taraz
2.04
Kyran
2.04
Yassy Turkistan
2.07
Ekibastuz
2.21
Arys
2.25
Akademiya Ontustik
2.68
Aktobe Jas
2.75
Astana II
3.04
Akademiya Ontustik is 0.07 goals better than Aktobe Jas in terms of goals conceded per game (2.68 vs 2.75).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L11D23L01L02L20W43W21W03L21WH·ZHE06/04A·KYR14/04H·ARY27/04A·SPO04/05H·AKZ10/05A·AST14/05H·JAS19/05A·TAR26/05H·TUR01/06A·YAS09/06
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.200.801.870.930.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.811.260.791.930.850.54
vs Weaker (3)1.330.671.001.001.500.50
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L03L02L03L02L02L12L12LH·JAS13/04A·TAR21/04H·TUR27/04A·YAS04/05H·YEL14/05A·EKI19/05H·KHA26/05A·ZHE02/06H·KYR09/06
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.222.110.202.200.252.00
vs Stronger (7)0.292.290.252.500.332.00
vs Similar (2)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-24pp vs league)
This opponent (Akademiya Ontustik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L02L10W01L10W11D12L02L02LH·ZHE06/04A·KYR14/04H·ARY27/04A·SPO04/05H·AKZ10/05A·AST14/05H·JAS19/05A·TAR26/05H·TUR01/06A·YAS09/06
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.330.801.401.001.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.811.410.791.430.851.38
vs Weaker (3)1.670.671.001.002.000.50
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W15L13L03L02L01L01L00D01LH·JAS13/04A·TAR21/04H·TUR27/04A·YAS04/05H·YEL14/05A·EKI19/05H·KHA26/05A·ZHE02/06H·KYR09/06
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.441.780.601.400.252.25
vs Stronger (7)0.291.860.251.750.332.00
vs Similar (2)1.001.502.000.000.003.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %22% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Akademiya Ontustik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.594.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.583.6%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes81.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (23)
€8m
ZHE (18)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (11)
€4m
ZHE (6)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (10)
€3m
ZHE (9)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AO wins
0
Draws
0
AJ wins

Head-to-head

Akademiya Ontustik vs Aktobe Jas · H/A from AO
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/06/23AYassy Turkistan Vs AO3-2
01/06/23HAO Vs Turan Turkistan0-5
26/05/23ATaraz Vs AO3-3
19/05/23HAO Vs Jas Qyran5-4
14/05/23AAstana II Vs AO0-3
10/05/23HAO Vs Akzhayik0-3
04/05/23ASport Academy Kairat Vs AO1-1
27/04/23HAO Vs Arys2-5
14/04/23AKyran Vs AO2-1
06/04/23HAO Vs Zhenys1-3

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/06/23HAJ Vs Kyran1-3
02/06/23AZhenys Vs AJ2-1
26/05/23HAJ Vs Khan Tengri0-3
19/05/23AEkibastuz Vs AJ3-0
14/05/23HAJ Vs Yelimay Semey0-5
04/05/23AYassy Turkistan Vs AJ5-0
27/04/23HAJ Vs Turan Turkistan1-6
21/04/23ATaraz Vs AJ7-1
13/04/23HAJ Vs Jas Qyran2-1
07/04/23AAstana II Vs AJ2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Akademiya Ontustik
Akademiya Ontustik
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.06
HomeLLLWL0.83
AwayLDWDL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%22%33%
AVG goals4.144.563.72
Over 1.5 %92%89%94%
Over 2.5 %89%89%89%
Over 3.5 %64%72%56%
Scored1.671.561.78
Conceded2.473.001.94
BTTS69%61%78%
Clean Sheet11%6%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Aktobe Jas
Aktobe Jas
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.60
HomeWLLLL0.60
AwayWLLLL0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%20%20%
AVG goals4.604.404.80
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %100%100%100%
Over 3.5 %60%60%60%
Scored0.900.801.00
Conceded3.703.603.80
BTTS60%60%60%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2876
86%
2.7
7617+59
3.3
86%
68%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4032.70.6
-
2Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan2869
79%
2.5
8628+58
4.1
79%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.11.0
-
3ZhenysZhenys2858
64%
2.1
6234+28
3.4
93%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2022.21.2
-
4AkzhayikAkzhayik2854
61%
1.9
6229+33
3.2
82%
64%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5KyranKyran2850
57%
1.8
5557-2
4.0
89%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
6Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2835
36%
1.2
5853+5
4.0
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.9
-
7Khan TengriKhan Tengri2835
36%
1.2
3938+1
2.8
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8ArysArys2833
36%
1.2
4163-22
3.7
86%
64%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
9Jas QyranJas Qyran2832
32%
1.1
5052-2
3.6
86%
61%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.9
-
10Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2832
32%
1.1
4758-11
3.8
71%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.1
-
11EkibastuzEkibastuz2832
29%
1.1
4762-15
3.9
96%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12TarazTaraz2831
32%
1.1
4757-10
3.7
89%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.0
-
13Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2823
25%
0.8
3777-40
4.1
89%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.8
-
14Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2821
18%
0.8
4675-29
4.3
93%
86%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.7
-
15Astana IIAstana II2819
21%
0.7
3285-53
4.2
100%
89%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.0
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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