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Akademiya Ontustik vs Ekibastuz Result & Analysis

Date: 06/07/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 1-1
Akademiya Ontustik
Akademiya Ontustik
Vs
37%
19%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Akademiya Ontustik win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
19.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz win✗ Miss
43.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-525L11D03L30W54W33D05L23L52W25LH·ARY27/04A·SPO04/05H·AKZ10/05A·AST14/05H·JAS19/05A·TAR26/05H·TUR01/06A·YAS09/06H·AKT23/06A·YEL01/07
Avg total
5.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
3.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.832.631.813.191.862.00
vs Stronger (1)2.005.00--2.005.00
vs Similar (25)1.562.721.573.361.551.91
vs Weaker (4)3.501.503.502.003.501.00
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-720W22D21W11D34L30W07L23L12L12LA·AST21/04H·JAS28/04A·TAR05/05H·TUR10/05A·YAS15/05H·AKT19/05A·YEL26/05H·KHA09/06A·ZHE23/06H·KYR30/06
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.832.371.881.881.792.93
vs Stronger (1)0.007.00--0.007.00
vs Similar (24)1.832.421.772.151.912.73
vs Weaker (5)2.201.202.330.672.002.00
Clean sheet %10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Akademiya Ontustik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

10%19%29%38%1%03%19%214%318%418%538%6+
The model estimates around 5.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (38%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
96.3%
Under 1.5
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
87.4%
Under 2.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
73.3%
Under 3.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
84.5%
No
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-2
6.6%
2-3
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
3-2
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
1-1 ✓
4.7%
3-3
4.5%
Akademiya Ontustik goals ↓
Ekibastuz goals →
01234
01.1%1.3%2.3%2.0%1.3%
11.2%4.7%5.5%4.7%3.1%
22.0%5.1%6.6%5.7%3.7%
31.6%4.1%5.3%4.5%2.9%
40.9%2.4%3.2%2.7%1.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Akademiya Ontustik goals (down), columns = Ekibastuz goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Yelimay Semey
2.71
Turan Turkistan
2.46
Zhenys
2.07
Akzhayik
1.93
Kyran
1.79
Sport Academy Kairat
1.25
Khan Tengri
1.25
Arys
1.18
Yassy Turkistan
1.14
Ekibastuz
1.14
Jas Qyran
1.14
Taraz
1.11
Aktobe Jas
0.82
Akademiya Ontustik
0.75
Astana II
0.68
Akademiya Ontustik is 0.39 points worse than Ekibastuz in terms of average points per game (0.75 vs 1.14).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Turan Turkistan
3.07
Yelimay Semey
2.71
Zhenys
2.21
Akzhayik
2.21
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Kyran
1.96
Jas Qyran
1.79
Yassy Turkistan
1.68
Taraz
1.68
Ekibastuz
1.68
Akademiya Ontustik
1.64
Arys
1.46
Khan Tengri
1.39
Aktobe Jas
1.32
Astana II
1.14
Akademiya Ontustik is 0.04 goals worse than Ekibastuz in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 1.68).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Yelimay Semey
0.61
Turan Turkistan
1.00
Akzhayik
1.04
Zhenys
1.21
Khan Tengri
1.36
Jas Qyran
1.86
Sport Academy Kairat
1.89
Taraz
2.04
Kyran
2.04
Yassy Turkistan
2.07
Ekibastuz
2.21
Arys
2.25
Akademiya Ontustik
2.68
Aktobe Jas
2.75
Astana II
3.04
Akademiya Ontustik is 0.46 goals worse than Ekibastuz in terms of goals conceded per game (2.68 vs 2.21).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L01L02L20W43W21W03L21W20W02LH·ARY27/04A·SPO04/05H·AKZ10/05A·AST14/05H·JAS19/05A·TAR26/05H·TUR01/06A·YAS09/06H·AKT23/06A·YEL01/07
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.230.881.750.930.64
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.841.320.791.930.910.55
vs Weaker (4)1.500.501.500.501.500.50
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W21W00D00D22D20W04L21W01L01LA·AST21/04H·JAS28/04A·TAR05/05H·TUR10/05A·YAS15/05H·AKT19/05A·YEL26/05H·KHA09/06A·ZHE23/06H·KYR30/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.101.000.810.711.43
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (24)0.961.171.001.000.911.36
vs Weaker (5)0.600.201.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Akademiya Ontustik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W01L10W11D12L02L02L32W23LH·ARY27/04A·SPO04/05H·AKZ10/05A·AST14/05H·JAS19/05A·TAR26/05H·TUR01/06A·YAS09/06H·AKT23/06A·YEL01/07
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.400.941.440.931.36
vs Stronger (1)2.003.00--2.003.00
vs Similar (25)0.721.400.791.430.641.36
vs Weaker (4)2.001.002.001.502.000.50
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L21W11D12L10W03L02L11D11DA·AST21/04H·JAS28/04A·TAR05/05H·TUR10/05A·YAS15/05H·AKT19/05A·YEL26/05H·KHA09/06A·ZHE23/06H·KYR30/06
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.270.881.061.071.50
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (24)0.881.250.771.151.001.36
vs Weaker (5)1.601.001.330.672.001.50
Clean sheet %17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Akademiya Ontustik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.596.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.587.4%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes84.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.573.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (23)
€8m
ZHE (18)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (11)
€4m
ZHE (6)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (10)
€3m
ZHE (9)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
AO wins
1
Draws
1
EKI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Akademiya Ontustik vs Ekibastuz · H/A from AO
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/22AEkibastuz Vs AO2-2
19/06/22HAO Vs Ekibastuz1-2

Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/07/23AYelimay Semey Vs AO5-2
23/06/23HAO Vs Aktobe Jas5-2
09/06/23AYassy Turkistan Vs AO3-2
01/06/23HAO Vs Turan Turkistan0-5
26/05/23ATaraz Vs AO3-3
19/05/23HAO Vs Jas Qyran5-4
14/05/23AAstana II Vs AO0-3
10/05/23HAO Vs Akzhayik0-3
04/05/23ASport Academy Kairat Vs AO1-1
27/04/23HAO Vs Arys2-5

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/06/23HEKI Vs Kyran1-2
23/06/23AZhenys Vs EKI2-1
09/06/23HEKI Vs Khan Tengri2-3
26/05/23AYelimay Semey Vs EKI7-0
19/05/23HEKI Vs Aktobe Jas3-0
15/05/23AYassy Turkistan Vs EKI4-3
10/05/23HEKI Vs Turan Turkistan1-1
05/05/23ATaraz Vs EKI1-2
28/04/23HEKI Vs Jas Qyran2-2
21/04/23AAstana II Vs EKI0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Akademiya Ontustik
Akademiya Ontustik
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL1.08
HomeLLWLW0.95
AwayDWDLL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%26%32%
AVG goals4.294.683.89
Over 1.5 %92%89%95%
Over 2.5 %89%89%89%
Over 3.5 %66%74%58%
Scored1.761.741.79
Conceded2.532.952.11
BTTS71%63%79%
Clean Sheet11%5%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.26
HomeDDWLL1.21
AwayWWLLL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%26%37%
AVG goals3.743.324.16
Over 1.5 %89%84%95%
Over 2.5 %76%68%84%
Over 3.5 %50%47%53%
Scored1.711.741.68
Conceded2.031.582.47
BTTS63%58%68%
Clean Sheet16%26%5%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2876
86%
2.7
7617+59
3.3
86%
68%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4032.70.6
-
2Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan2869
79%
2.5
8628+58
4.1
79%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.11.0
-
3ZhenysZhenys2858
64%
2.1
6234+28
3.4
93%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2022.21.2
-
4AkzhayikAkzhayik2854
61%
1.9
6229+33
3.2
82%
64%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5KyranKyran2850
57%
1.8
5557-2
4.0
89%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
6Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2835
36%
1.2
5853+5
4.0
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.9
-
7Khan TengriKhan Tengri2835
36%
1.2
3938+1
2.8
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8ArysArys2833
36%
1.2
4163-22
3.7
86%
64%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
9Jas QyranJas Qyran2832
32%
1.1
5052-2
3.6
86%
61%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.9
-
10Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2832
32%
1.1
4758-11
3.8
71%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.1
-
11EkibastuzEkibastuz2832
29%
1.1
4762-15
3.9
96%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12TarazTaraz2831
32%
1.1
4757-10
3.7
89%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.0
-
13Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2823
25%
0.8
3777-40
4.1
89%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.8
-
14Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2821
18%
0.8
4675-29
4.3
93%
86%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.7
-
15Astana IIAstana II2819
21%
0.7
3285-53
4.2
100%
89%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.0
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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