PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Akademiya Ontustik vs Ekibastuz Result & Analysis

Date: 28/05/2025
Time: 12:00
Final 0-1
Akademiya Ontustik
Akademiya Ontustik
Vs
55%
23%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Akademiya Ontustik win✗ Miss
55.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz win✓ Hit
22.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W12L22D02L02L13L30W30W42W22DH·IRT21/03H·KYZ14/04A·KAS16/03H·ALT10/04H·TAR18/04A·KAS24/04H·YAS02/05A·SD 08/05H·KHA16/05A·IRT22/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.602.031.751.561.432.57
vs Stronger (4)1.752.251.501.002.003.50
vs Similar (24)1.501.961.541.621.452.36
vs Weaker (2)2.502.505.002.000.003.00
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-732W10W11D04L00D33D07L22D02L01LH·MAQ15/03A·ALT18/03A·KHA22/03A·IRT09/04A·ALT18/04H·AKT24/04A·SPO01/05H·SHA09/05A·AKA15/05H·ZHE23/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.772.331.531.202.00
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (26)1.651.692.231.541.081.85
vs Weaker (3)3.331.673.001.504.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Akademiya Ontustik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%318%412%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.9%
Under 1.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.5%
Under 2.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.6%
Under 3.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.2%
No
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.3%
Akademiya Ontustik goals ↓
Ekibastuz goals →
01234
04.3%3.5%2.8%1.2%0.4%
16.3%10%5.9%2.5%0.8%
27.5%9.6%6.1%2.6%0.8%
35.3%6.7%4.3%1.8%0.6%
42.8%3.5%2.2%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Akademiya Ontustik goals (down), columns = Ekibastuz goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kaspiy
2.62
Irtysh
2.35
Altay (Kazakhstan)
2.08
Shakhter Karagandy
2.00
Zhetisay
1.62
Sport Academy Kairat
1.54
Akademiya Ontustik
1.50
Taraz
1.35
AKAS
1.27
Ekibastuz
1.08
SD Family
0.88
Khan Tengri
0.69
Aktobe Jas
0.52
Yassy Turkistan
0.39
Akademiya Ontustik is 0.42 points better than Ekibastuz in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kaspiy
2.85
Irtysh
2.73
Shakhter Karagandy
2.32
Sport Academy Kairat
2.23
Altay (Kazakhstan)
2.04
Zhetisay
1.69
Akademiya Ontustik
1.69
Taraz
1.65
AKAS
1.62
Ekibastuz
1.38
SD Family
1.27
Aktobe Jas
1.24
Khan Tengri
1.04
Yassy Turkistan
0.70
Akademiya Ontustik is 0.31 goals better than Ekibastuz in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 1.38).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Irtysh
0.77
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.92
Kaspiy
1.04
Zhetisay
1.35
Shakhter Karagandy
1.36
Taraz
1.46
AKAS
1.50
Sport Academy Kairat
1.62
Akademiya Ontustik
1.69
Khan Tengri
2.12
Ekibastuz
2.31
Aktobe Jas
2.60
SD Family
2.88
Yassy Turkistan
3.09
Akademiya Ontustik is 0.62 goals better than Ekibastuz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.69 vs 2.31).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W00D00D00D20W10W30W11DH·IRT21/03H·KYZ14/04A·KAS16/03H·ALT10/04H·TAR18/04A·KAS24/04H·YAS02/05A·SD 08/05H·KHA16/05A·IRT22/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.671.060.500.360.86
vs Stronger (4)0.751.001.000.500.501.50
vs Similar (24)0.710.581.000.540.360.64
vs Weaker (2)1.001.002.000.000.002.00
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D11D01L00D31W03L11D00D00DH·MAQ15/03A·ALT18/03A·KHA22/03A·IRT09/04A·ALT18/04H·AKT24/04A·SPO01/05H·SHA09/05A·AKA15/05H·ZHE23/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.571.000.500.380.62
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.540.540.830.500.290.57
vs Weaker (3)2.000.672.000.502.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Akademiya Ontustik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L12L02L02L13L10W20W12L11DH·IRT21/03H·KYZ14/04A·KAS16/03H·ALT10/04H·TAR18/04A·KAS24/04H·YAS02/05A·SD 08/05H·KHA16/05A·IRT22/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.370.691.061.071.71
vs Stronger (4)1.001.250.500.501.502.00
vs Similar (24)0.791.380.541.081.091.73
vs Weaker (2)1.501.503.002.000.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W10W00D03L00D02L04L11D02L01LH·MAQ15/03A·ALT18/03A·KHA22/03A·IRT09/04A·ALT18/04H·AKT24/04A·SPO01/05H·SHA09/05A·AKA15/05H·ZHE23/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.301.211.210.811.38
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (26)1.001.271.251.250.791.29
vs Weaker (3)1.331.001.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Akademiya Ontustik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akademiya Ontustik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IRT (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
A( (8)
€1m
IRT (6)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
IRT (7)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IRT (13)
€2m
KAS (11)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
AO wins
2
Draws
2
EKI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Akademiya Ontustik vs Ekibastuz · H/A from AO
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/23AEkibastuz Vs AO2-1
06/07/23HAO Vs Ekibastuz1-1
17/09/22AEkibastuz Vs AO2-2
19/06/22HAO Vs Ekibastuz1-2

Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/25AIrtysh Vs AO2-2
16/05/25HAO Vs Khan Tengri4-2
08/05/25ASD Family Vs AO0-3
02/05/25HAO Vs Yassy Turkistan3-0
24/04/25AKaspiy Vs AO3-1
18/04/25HAO Vs Taraz0-2
10/04/25HAO Vs Altay (Kazakhstan)0-2
16/03/25AKaspiy Vs AO2-2
14/04/24HAO Vs Kyzyl-Zhar1-2
21/03/24HAO Vs Irtysh1-0

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/25HEKI Vs Zhetisay0-1
15/05/25AAKAS Vs EKI2-0
09/05/25HEKI Vs Shakhter Karagandy2-2
01/05/25ASport Academy Kairat Vs EKI7-0
24/04/25HEKI Vs Aktobe Jas3-3
18/04/25AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs EKI0-0
09/04/25AIrtysh Vs EKI4-0
22/03/25AKhan Tengri Vs EKI1-1
18/03/25AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs EKI0-1
15/03/25HEKI Vs Maqtaaral3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Akademiya Ontustik
Akademiya Ontustik
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD0.96
HomeLLLWW0.96
AwayWDLWD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%26%22%
AVG goals3.924.073.74
Over 1.5 %90%89%91%
Over 2.5 %80%74%87%
Over 3.5 %58%63%52%
Scored1.541.591.48
Conceded2.382.482.26
BTTS60%56%65%
Clean Sheet18%19%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL1.50
HomeWWDDL1.92
AwayDLDLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%54%31%
AVG goals3.223.463.00
Over 1.5 %86%92%81%
Over 2.5 %72%75%69%
Over 3.5 %32%42%23%
Scored1.602.041.19
Conceded1.621.421.81
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KaspiyKaspiy2668
85%
2.6
7427+47
3.9
88%
81%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.81.0
-
2IrtyshIrtysh2661
73%
2.3
7120+51
3.5
77%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.70.8
-
3Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2552
64%
2.1
5123+28
3.0
84%
64%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.9
-
4Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2550
60%
2.0
5834+24
3.7
96%
80%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5ZhetisayZhetisay2642
50%
1.6
4435+9
3.0
77%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
6Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2640
46%
1.5
5842+16
3.8
85%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
7Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2639
46%
1.5
4444+0
3.4
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8TarazTaraz2635
38%
1.3
4338+5
3.1
88%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9AKASAKAS2633
38%
1.3
4239+3
3.1
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
10EkibastuzEkibastuz2628
31%
1.1
3660-24
3.7
81%
69%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
11SD FamilySD Family2623
27%
0.9
3375-42
4.2
85%
69%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.9
-
12Khan TengriKhan Tengri2618
19%
0.7
2755-28
3.2
85%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.1
-
13Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2513
8%
0.5
3165-34
3.8
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
14Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan239
9%
0.4
1671-55
3.8
83%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.1
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches