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AKAS vs Altay (Kazakhstan) Result & Analysis

Date: 18/09/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
AKAS
AKAS
Vs
36%
26%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Altay (Kazakhstan)
Altay (Kazakhstan)
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

AKAS win✗ Miss
35.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) win✗ Miss
38.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

AKASAKAS

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L31W20W12L20W25L51W40W03L11DA·AKA03/07H·TAR10/07A·YAS17/07H·SD 25/07A·KHA31/07H·IRT08/08A·EKI14/08H·AKT21/08A·SPO28/08H·SHA11/09
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.621.231.911.181.401.27
vs Stronger (3)1.002.331.503.000.001.00
vs Similar (21)1.521.141.750.881.381.31
vs Weaker (2)3.500.504.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay (Kazakhstan)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W12L21W31W20W60W51W25L12L40WA·KHA27/06H·ZHE04/07A·IRT11/07A·EKI17/07H·TAR25/07A·AKT31/07H·KAS07/08A·SPO15/08A·SHA29/08H·SD 12/09
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.071.470.881.851.31
vs Stronger (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Similar (27)1.521.151.560.941.451.45
vs Weaker (2)3.000.000.000.006.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (AKAS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
Under 1.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.1%
Under 2.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.7%
Under 3.5
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.3%
No
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.0%
1-0
5.7%
0-2
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
AKAS goals ↓
Altay (Kazakhstan) goals →
01234
05.5%6.0%5.6%2.9%1.2%
15.7%12%8.5%4.5%1.8%
25.2%8.2%6.5%3.4%1.4%
32.6%4.2%3.3%1.7%0.7%
41.0%1.6%1.3%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AKAS goals (down), columns = Altay (Kazakhstan) goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kaspiy
2.62
Irtysh
2.35
Altay (Kazakhstan)
2.08
Shakhter Karagandy
2.00
Zhetisay
1.62
Sport Academy Kairat
1.54
Akademiya Ontustik
1.50
Taraz
1.35
AKAS
1.27
Ekibastuz
1.08
SD Family
0.88
Khan Tengri
0.69
Aktobe Jas
0.52
Yassy Turkistan
0.39
AKAS is 0.81 points worse than Altay (Kazakhstan) in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 2.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kaspiy
2.85
Irtysh
2.73
Shakhter Karagandy
2.32
Sport Academy Kairat
2.23
Altay (Kazakhstan)
2.04
Zhetisay
1.69
Akademiya Ontustik
1.69
Taraz
1.65
AKAS
1.62
Ekibastuz
1.38
SD Family
1.27
Aktobe Jas
1.24
Khan Tengri
1.04
Yassy Turkistan
0.70
AKAS is 0.42 goals worse than Altay (Kazakhstan) in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 2.04).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Irtysh
0.77
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.92
Kaspiy
1.04
Zhetisay
1.35
Shakhter Karagandy
1.36
Taraz
1.46
AKAS
1.50
Sport Academy Kairat
1.62
Akademiya Ontustik
1.69
Khan Tengri
2.12
Ekibastuz
2.31
Aktobe Jas
2.60
SD Family
2.88
Yassy Turkistan
3.09
AKAS is 0.58 goals worse than Altay (Kazakhstan) in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.92).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AKASAKAS

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W10W11D00D22D20W20W00D11DA·AKA03/07H·TAR10/07A·YAS17/07H·SD 25/07A·KHA31/07H·IRT08/08A·EKI14/08H·AKT21/08A·SPO28/08H·SHA11/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.960.501.180.450.800.53
vs Stronger (3)1.000.671.501.000.000.00
vs Similar (21)0.860.521.000.380.770.62
vs Weaker (2)2.000.002.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %62% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay (Kazakhstan)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L11D10W10W20W30W11D11D20WA·KHA27/06H·ZHE04/07A·IRT11/07A·EKI17/07H·TAR25/07A·AKT31/07H·KAS07/08A·SPO15/08A·SHA29/08H·SD 12/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.500.710.530.850.46
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.740.520.750.560.730.45
vs Weaker (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (AKAS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AKAS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AKAS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AKAS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AKASAKAS

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L10W01L20W03L31W20W03L00DA·AKA03/07H·TAR10/07A·YAS17/07H·SD 25/07A·KHA31/07H·IRT08/08A·EKI14/08H·AKT21/08A·SPO28/08H·SHA11/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.650.730.730.730.600.73
vs Stronger (3)0.001.670.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.670.620.750.500.620.69
vs Weaker (2)1.500.502.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %46% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay (Kazakhstan)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D10W21W10W40W21W14L01L20WA·KHA27/06H·ZHE04/07A·IRT11/07A·EKI17/07H·TAR25/07A·AKT31/07H·KAS07/08A·SPO15/08A·SHA29/08H·SD 12/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.570.760.351.000.85
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.780.630.810.380.731.00
vs Weaker (2)2.000.000.000.004.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (AKAS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AKAS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AKAS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AKAS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay (Kazakhstan) over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IRT (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
A( (8)
€1m
IRT (6)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
IRT (7)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IRT (13)
€2m
KAS (11)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
AKA wins
0
Draws
0
A( wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AKAS vs Altay (Kazakhstan) · H/A from AKA
DateH/AGameScore
20/06/25AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs AKA1-2

AKASAKAS

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/25HAKA Vs Shakhter Karagandy1-1
28/08/25ASport Academy Kairat Vs AKA3-0
21/08/25HAKA Vs Aktobe Jas4-0
14/08/25AEkibastuz Vs AKA1-5
08/08/25HAKA Vs Irtysh2-5
31/07/25AKhan Tengri Vs AKA0-2
25/07/25HAKA Vs SD Family1-2
17/07/25AYassy Turkistan Vs AKA0-2
10/07/25HAKA Vs Taraz3-1
03/07/25AAkademiya Ontustik Vs AKA2-0

Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/09/25HA( Vs SD Family4-0
29/08/25AShakhter Karagandy Vs A(2-1
15/08/25ASport Academy Kairat Vs A(5-2
07/08/25HA( Vs Kaspiy5-1
31/07/25AAktobe Jas Vs A(0-6
25/07/25HA( Vs Taraz2-0
17/07/25AEkibastuz Vs A(1-3
11/07/25AIrtysh Vs A(1-2
04/07/25HA( Vs Zhetisay1-2
27/06/25AKhan Tengri Vs A(0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AKAS
AKAS
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLD1.58
HomeWLLWD1.64
AwayLWWWL1.53
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%45%47%
AVG goals2.853.092.67
Over 1.5 %81%91%73%
Over 2.5 %50%55%47%
Over 3.5 %31%36%27%
Scored1.621.911.40
Conceded1.231.181.27
BTTS54%64%47%
Clean Sheet27%27%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Altay (Kazakhstan)
Altay (Kazakhstan)
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.60
HomeLLWWW1.56
AwayWWWLL1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%44%52%
AVG goals2.562.402.72
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %56%52%60%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.421.361.48
Conceded1.141.041.24
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet38%36%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KaspiyKaspiy2668
85%
2.6
7427+47
3.9
88%
81%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.81.0
-
2IrtyshIrtysh2661
73%
2.3
7120+51
3.5
77%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.70.8
-
3Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2552
64%
2.1
5123+28
3.0
84%
64%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.9
-
4Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2550
60%
2.0
5834+24
3.7
96%
80%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5ZhetisayZhetisay2642
50%
1.6
4435+9
3.0
77%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
6Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2640
46%
1.5
5842+16
3.8
85%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
7Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2639
46%
1.5
4444+0
3.4
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8TarazTaraz2635
38%
1.3
4338+5
3.1
88%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9AKASAKAS2633
38%
1.3
4239+3
3.1
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
10EkibastuzEkibastuz2628
31%
1.1
3660-24
3.7
81%
69%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
11SD FamilySD Family2623
27%
0.9
3375-42
4.2
85%
69%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.9
-
12Khan TengriKhan Tengri2618
19%
0.7
2755-28
3.2
85%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.1
-
13Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2513
8%
0.5
3165-34
3.8
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
14Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan239
9%
0.4
1671-55
3.8
83%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.1
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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