PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Akhmat vs FC Krasnodar Result & Analysis

Date: 02/10/2024
Time: 18:15
Final 3-0
Akhmat
Akhmat
Vs
29%
28%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar
Russia: Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akhmat win✓ Hit
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar win✗ Miss
43.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AkhmatAkhmat

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L01L33D02L00D24L21W11D03LA·SPA11/08A·FC 15/08A·DIN19/08H·KHI24/08H·CSK27/08H·AKR31/08A·DYN15/09A·NIZ19/09H·KRY23/09A·CSK28/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.631.331.930.801.33
vs Stronger (14)0.712.070.672.670.751.62
vs Similar (15)1.271.131.621.250.861.00
vs Weaker (1)3.003.003.003.00--
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W10W21W10W10W30W20W02L52W20WH·CSK10/08H·AKH15/08H·NIZ18/08A·DYN25/08A·NIZ28/08A·LOK01/09H·FC 14/09A·CSK18/09A·AKR21/09H·ZEN28/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.901.400.601.471.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.170.671.330.501.000.83
vs Weaker (18)1.611.061.440.671.781.44
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.3%
Under 1.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.6%
Under 2.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.5%
Under 3.5
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.4%
No
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
8.0%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
Akhmat goals ↓
FC Krasnodar goals →
01234
08.0%8.9%7.6%3.8%1.4%
16.9%13%9.1%4.5%1.7%
24.8%7.2%5.4%2.7%1.0%
31.9%2.9%2.2%1.1%0.4%
40.6%0.9%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Akhmat goals (down), columns = FC Krasnodar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Chayka
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Tver
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Orel
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Kompozit
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Zenit Penza
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Baltika
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Znamya Truda
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
Pskov 747
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Murom
1.00
Kvant
1.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Khimki
0.71
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
FC UFA
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Fakel
0.50
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Lada Tolyatti
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
KAMAZ
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
KDV
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Enisey
0.00
ZOV
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Akhmat is 0.05 points worse than FC Krasnodar in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Chernomorets
3.00
Amkal
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Orel
2.67
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
FC Sochi
2.50
Forte Taganrog
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Ryazan
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Murom
2.00
KDV
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
ZOV
2.00
Kristall
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Baltika
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Chayka
1.67
Tver
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Lada Tolyatti
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
Kompozit
1.25
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
KAMAZ
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC Orenburg
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Zenit Penza
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Biolog
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Khimki
0.86
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Enisey
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Akhmat is 0.30 goals better than FC Krasnodar in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Chayka
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Tver
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Kompozit
0.50
Baltika
0.67
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Amkal
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
FC Sochi
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Pskov 747
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Akhmat
1.40
Amkar
1.40
Ryazan
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Fakel
1.67
Orel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
KAMAZ
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Murom
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Zenit Penza
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Sakhalin
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Veles
2.00
Khimki
2.43
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
Lada Tolyatti
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Chernomorets
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
ZOV
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
KDV
5.00
Urozhay
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
Akhmat is 0.10 goals better than FC Krasnodar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AkhmatAkhmat

For 5.3 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

14063635748104534846465599121214812101010A·CSKH·KRYA·DYNH·AKRH·KHIA·DINA·SPAH·LOKA·FC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

8021343123222442532143733548755A·CSKH·KRYA·DYNH·AKRH·KHIA·DINA·SPAH·LOKA·FC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 14.4 · Total 26.2

⚠️ Fouls

32012911217961314181814171113161014101921321619323228292429A·CSKH·KRYA·DYNH·AKRH·KHIA·DINA·SPAH·LOKA·FC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

For 5.0 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

160748222282763522111555111041099731610H·ZENA·AKRH·FC A·LOKA·DYNH·NIZH·CSKA·FAKH·DINA·AKH
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

80231215444111112223415368522455H·ZENA·AKRH·FC A·LOKA·DYNH·NIZH·CSKA·FAKH·DINA·AKH
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.7 · Total 22.0

⚠️ Fouls

29011109949614188131311121312910191021181320262623251929H·ZENA·AKRH·FC A·LOKA·DYNH·NIZH·CSKA·FAKH·DINA·AKH
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AkhmatAkhmat

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.810.09.64.54.74.223.524.023.0
vs Stronger (22)9.49.09.94.54.54.524.224.623.8
vs Similar (26)9.810.49.34.34.54.122.522.822.3
vs Weaker (2)13.513.5-6.56.5-28.028.0-
% over line58%65%50%60%72%48%61%74%48%
% under line42%35%50%40%28%52%39%26%52%
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.99.28.64.03.84.122.822.723.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)9.910.89.04.24.34.023.423.623.2
vs Weaker (32)8.48.48.43.83.54.222.522.222.8
% over line39%38%41%52%54%50%59%58%59%
% under line61%62%59%48%46%50%41%42%41%
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lokomotiv
11.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.8
FC Orenburg
10.7
Arsenal Tula
10.7
Dynamo
10.7
Khimki
10.6
Ural
10.4
Baltika
10.1
FK Neftekhimik
10.1
Spartak Moscow
10.0
Akron
9.9
Chernomorets
9.9
Zenit
9.8
Akhmat
9.8
Nizhny Novgorod
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Fakel
9.5
FC Rostov
9.5
Veles
9.4
Enisey
9.4
Krylia Sovetov
9.3
Urozhay
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
CSKA Moscow
9.2
FK Sokol Saratov
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.1
Rubin
9.1
Rodina Moskva
9.0
FC Krasnodar
8.8
KAMAZ
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.7
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Leningradets
8.4
Tyumen
8.3
Torpedo Moskva
7.9
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
5.6
FC UFA
5.4
Fakel
5.1
Spartak Moscow
5.0
Lokomotiv
5.0
Akhmat
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Veles
4.7
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.6
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.6
Rodina Moskva
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Dynamo
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.4
Rubin
4.4
Khimki
4.4
FC Krasnodar
4.3
Urozhay
4.3
Volgar Astrakhan
4.2
CSKA Moscow
4.2
Torpedo Moskva
4.1
Enisey
4.0
Ural
4.0
Zenit
3.9
FK Neftekhimik
3.9
FC Sochi
3.8
Chayka
3.8
Baltika
3.8
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.8
Tyumen
3.7
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Chernomorets
3.5
Rotor Volgograd
3.5
Akron
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
Arsenal Tula
3.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.0
FK Sokol Saratov
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
28.5
Fakel
26.8
Khimki
25.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
25.7
Nizhny Novgorod
24.6
Spartak Moscow
24.4
Rubin
24.3
Akhmat
23.8
Torpedo Moskva
23.7
Lokomotiv
23.6
Arsenal Tula
23.5
FC Orenburg
23.2
Ural
23.2
Krylia Sovetov
23.1
Dynamo
22.9
FC Krasnodar
22.9
FC Rostov
22.8
CSKA Moscow
22.3
Baltika
22.3
FC Sochi
22.0
Zenit
21.4
Akron
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.4%
Under 9.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.5%
Under 3.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
73.8%
Under 21.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Akhmat or Draw✓ Hit
56.9%
Avg Implied -
29%
28%
43%
covers Akhmat + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Akhmat or FC Krasnodar✓ Hit
72.1%
Avg Implied -
29%
28%
43%
covers Akhmat + FC Krasnodar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Krasnodar✗ Miss
71.0%
Avg Implied -
29%
28%
43%
covers Draw + FC Krasnodar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Akhmat over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.7%
Under
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
33.6%
Under
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
12.0%
Under
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
77.7%
Under
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.3%
Under
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.1%
Under
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Akhmat, so a minus line means Akhmat give that many goals of a start and FC Krasnodar receive them. At -1, Akhmat must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Akhmat win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Akhmat)Actual: Akhmat
Akhmat -2
4.0%
Draw -2
8.4%
FC Krasnodar +2
87.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Akhmat)Actual: Akhmat
Akhmat -1
12.4%
Draw -1
16.6%
FC Krasnodar +1
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Akhmat)Actual: Akhmat
Akhmat +1
56.9%
Draw +1
21.2%
FC Krasnodar -1
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Akhmat)Actual: Akhmat
Akhmat +2
78.1%
Draw +2
13.3%
FC Krasnodar -2
8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AkhmatAkhmat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D01L00D00D01L11D00D02LA·SPA11/08A·FC 15/08A·DIN19/08H·KHI24/08H·CSK27/08H·AKR31/08A·DYN15/09A·NIZ19/09H·KRY23/09A·CSK28/09
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.830.531.130.130.53
vs Stronger (14)0.210.930.501.500.000.50
vs Similar (15)0.470.730.620.880.290.57
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L10W10W20W10W01L20W00DH·CSK10/08H·AKH15/08H·NIZ18/08A·DYN25/08A·NIZ28/08A·LOK01/09H·FC 14/09A·CSK18/09A·AKR21/09H·ZEN28/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.300.400.070.800.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.500.170.330.000.670.33
vs Weaker (18)0.670.390.440.110.890.67
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AkhmatAkhmat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L32W02L00D23L10W11D01LA·SPA11/08A·FC 15/08A·DIN19/08H·KHI24/08H·CSK27/08H·AKR31/08A·DYN15/09A·NIZ19/09H·KRY23/09A·CSK28/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.800.800.800.670.80
vs Stronger (14)0.501.140.171.170.751.12
vs Similar (15)0.800.401.000.380.570.43
vs Weaker (1)3.002.003.002.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Krasnodar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W20W00D00D10W10W01L32W20WH·CSK10/08H·AKH15/08H·NIZ18/08A·DYN25/08A·NIZ28/08A·LOK01/09H·FC 14/09A·CSK18/09A·AKR21/09H·ZEN28/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.601.000.530.670.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.670.501.000.500.330.50
vs Weaker (18)0.940.671.000.560.890.78
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Krasnodar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals96.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.594.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals93.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals88.0%-------✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap87.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.586.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls85.7%--------
Over 2.5 cards85.0%--------
Away under 2.5 goals80.9%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap78.1%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals77.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.576.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.9%--------
Over 21.5 fouls73.8%--------
Home or Away72.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.5%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away71.0%-------✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap71.0%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Akhmat
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Georgi Melkadze29%
Maksim Samorodov23%
Felippe Cardoso17%
Daniil Zorin17%
Lucas Lovat14%
Amine Talal10%
Aleksandr Zhirov10%
Nader Ghandri9%
Mauro Luna Diale7%
Lechi Sadulaev7%
Daniil Utkin6%
Vladislav Kamilov4%
Arsen Adamov3%
Darko Todorović0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Svetoslav Kovachev0%
Giorgi Shelia0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Miloš Šatara0%
Bernard Berisha0%
Anton Shvets0%
Ismael Silva Lima0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Camilo0%
Zaim Divanović0%
Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nader Ghandri45%
Camilo38%
Gamid Agalarov33%
Svetoslav Kovachev30%
Lucas Lovat29%
Georgi Melkadze29%
Ismael Silva Lima26%
Felippe Cardoso25%
Darko Todorović24%
Anton Shvets20%
Vladislav Kamilov19%
Lechi Sadulaev17%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev16%
Daniil Utkin12%
Amine Talal10%
Aleksandr Zhirov10%
Daniil Zorin8%
Bernard Berisha8%
Maksim Samorodov8%
Mauro Luna Diale7%
Miloš Šatara6%
Giorgi Shelia4%
Arsen Adamov3%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Zaim Divanović0%
Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Georgi Melkadze21%
Maksim Samorodov15%
Lechi Sadulaev13%
Daniil Utkin12%
Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz8%
Bernard Berisha8%
Mauro Luna Diale7%
Amine Talal5%
Vladislav Kamilov4%
Giorgi Shelia4%
Darko Todorović3%
Arsen Adamov3%
Lucas Lovat0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Nader Ghandri0%
Felippe Cardoso0%
Svetoslav Kovachev0%
Aleksandr Zhirov0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Miloš Šatara0%
Anton Shvets0%
Ismael Silva Lima0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Camilo0%
Zaim Divanović0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Daniil Zorin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Felippe Cardoso33%
Georgi Melkadze29%
Lechi Sadulaev23%
Maksim Samorodov19%
Svetoslav Kovachev10%
Nader Ghandri9%
Mauro Luna Diale7%
Anton Shvets7%
Daniil Utkin6%
Amine Talal5%
Aleksandr Zhirov5%
Arsen Adamov3%
Darko Todorović0%
Lucas Lovat0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Giorgi Shelia0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Vladislav Kamilov0%
Miloš Šatara0%
Bernard Berisha0%
Ismael Silva Lima0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Camilo0%
Zaim Divanović0%
Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Daniil Zorin0%
FC Krasnodar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jhon Córdoba40%
Yuriy Gazinskiy33%
Eduard Spertsyan32%
Nikita Krivtsov19%
João Batxi17%
Victor Sá16%
Moses David Cobnan12%
Kevin Lenini10%
Vítor Tormena9%
Danila Kozlov9%
Kaio8%
Aleksandr Chernikov7%
Kevin Castaño7%
Fedor Smolov6%
Olakunle Olusegun6%
Lucas Olaza4%
Diego Costa4%
Sergey Petrov0%
Giovanni González0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandr Chernikov33%
Jhon Córdoba28%
Diego Costa21%
Kevin Lenini21%
Giovanni González19%
Vítor Tormena17%
Victor Sá16%
Lucas Olaza15%
Danila Kozlov13%
Moses David Cobnan12%
Sergey Petrov11%
João Batxi10%
Kaio8%
Nikita Krivtsov8%
Eduard Spertsyan7%
Stanislav Agkatsev7%
Kevin Castaño7%
Fedor Smolov6%
Olakunle Olusegun6%
Yuriy Gazinskiy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eduard Spertsyan21%
Kevin Castaño20%
João Batxi17%
Jhon Córdoba16%
Victor Sá12%
Lucas Olaza7%
Fedor Smolov6%
Vítor Tormena4%
Moses David Cobnan4%
Sergey Petrov4%
Aleksandr Chernikov4%
Kevin Lenini3%
Yuriy Gazinskiy0%
Giovanni González0%
Kaio0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
Diego Costa0%
Nikita Krivtsov0%
Olakunle Olusegun0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jhon Córdoba52%
Eduard Spertsyan21%
Fedor Smolov12%
Victor Sá12%
Aleksandr Chernikov11%
João Batxi7%
Kevin Castaño7%
Nikita Krivtsov4%
Sergey Petrov0%
Yuriy Gazinskiy0%
Giovanni González0%
Kaio0%
Vítor Tormena0%
Lucas Olaza0%
Stanislav Agkatsev0%
Kevin Lenini0%
Diego Costa0%
Olakunle Olusegun0%
Moses David Cobnan0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Akhmat's squad is €84m less valuable than FC Krasnodar's (€30m vs €114m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Akhmat's attack is €17m less valuable than FC Krasnodar's (€17m vs €34m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Akhmat's midfield is €30m less valuable than FC Krasnodar's (€4m vs €35m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Akhmat's defence is €36m less valuable than FC Krasnodar's (€9m vs €45m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
AKH wins
3
Draws
1
FK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Akhmat vs FC Krasnodar · H/A from AKH
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/24AFC Krasnodar Vs AKH1-0
21/07/24HAKH Vs FC Krasnodar1-1
04/05/24AFC Krasnodar Vs AKH0-1
16/09/23HAKH Vs FC Krasnodar1-1
03/06/23HAKH Vs FC Krasnodar2-2
15/10/22AFC Krasnodar Vs AKH2-3

AkhmatAkhmat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24ACSKA Moscow Vs AKH3-0
23/09/24HAKH Vs Krylia Sovetov1-1
19/09/24ANizhny Novgorod Vs AKH1-2
15/09/24ADynamo Vs AKH4-2
31/08/24HAKH Vs Akron0-0
27/08/24HAKH Vs CSKA Moscow0-2
24/08/24HAKH Vs Khimki3-3
19/08/24ADinamo Makhachkala Vs AKH1-0
15/08/24AFC Krasnodar Vs AKH1-0
11/08/24ASpartak Moscow Vs AKH0-0

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24HFK Vs Zenit2-0
21/09/24AAkron Vs FK2-5
18/09/24ACSKA Moscow Vs FK2-0
14/09/24HFK Vs FC Rostov2-0
01/09/24ALokomotiv Vs FK0-3
28/08/24ANizhny Novgorod Vs FK0-1
25/08/24ADynamo Vs FK0-1
18/08/24HFK Vs Nizhny Novgorod2-1
15/08/24HFK Vs Akhmat1-0
10/08/24HFK Vs CSKA Moscow2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Akhmat
Akhmat
Russia: Cup
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDL1.14
HomeLDLDD1.16
AwayLLLWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%28%32%
AVG goals2.783.202.36
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %26%40%12%
Scored1.241.441.04
Conceded1.541.761.32
BTTS50%60%40%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners9.8210.049.59
Cards4.965.094.82
FC Krasnodar
FC Krasnodar
Russia: Cup
Recent: 9 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.98
HomeWWWWW2.38
AwayWWWLW1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%73%38%
AVG goals2.362.122.62
Over 1.5 %70%69%71%
Over 2.5 %38%35%42%
Over 3.5 %20%8%33%
Scored1.521.541.50
Conceded0.840.581.12
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet44%54%33%
Corners8.939.218.64
Cards4.304.124.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar3067
67%
2.2
5923+36
2.7
77%
60%
27%
8.8
41%
4.4
62%
26.2
70%
114
3435452.00.8
57%
2ZenitZenit3066
67%
2.2
5818+40
2.5
70%
50%
27%
9.5
50%
4.3
60%
25.4
60%
182
10031501.90.6
61%
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow3059
57%
2.0
4721+26
2.3
70%
43%
17%
8.9
33%
4.7
65%
23.6
70%
111
3748261.60.7
54%
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow3057
57%
1.9
5625+31
2.7
83%
60%
23%
9.6
47%
5.5
73%
29.8
87%
129
5937341.90.8
63%
5DynamoDynamo3056
53%
1.9
6135+26
3.2
87%
60%
47%
10.9
67%
4.3
57%
26.1
83%
110
4524422.01.2
52%
6LokomotivLokomotiv3053
50%
1.8
5141+10
3.1
80%
53%
40%
10.7
61%
4.4
66%
25.2
79%
68
218401.71.4
50%
7RubinRubin3045
43%
1.5
4245-3
2.9
80%
57%
33%
9.8
50%
4.8
73%
26.9
80%
45
812251.41.5
43%
8FC RostovFC Rostov3039
33%
1.3
4143-2
2.8
83%
50%
33%
8.4
34%
4.3
69%
26.7
76%
32
145131.41.4
52%
9AkronAkron3035
33%
1.2
3955-16
3.1
83%
63%
40%
10.9
69%
3.7
41%
23.2
62%
25
11681.31.8
47%
10Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov3031
27%
1.0
3651-15
2.9
87%
50%
37%
9.4
37%
4.2
60%
21.8
60%
26
96111.21.7
49%
11Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod3230
25%
0.9
3058-28
2.8
81%
59%
25%
10.0
47%
4.4
57%
26.6
88%
18
6390.91.8
43%
12Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala3029
20%
1.0
2735-8
2.1
63%
30%
17%
10.0
52%
4.9
66%
28.2
93%
20
9380.91.2
43%
13KhimkiKhimki3029
20%
1.0
3556-21
3.0
80%
50%
47%
10.9
73%
3.6
52%
24.6
73%
0
0001.21.9
47%
14AkhmatAkhmat3228
16%
0.9
3050-20
2.5
75%
44%
22%
10.6
62%
5.2
78%
29.5
88%
30
17490.91.6
48%
15FC OrenburgFC Orenburg3019
13%
0.6
2856-28
2.8
73%
53%
30%
11.8
73%
5.0
80%
24.3
77%
18
8370.91.9
51%
16FakelFakel3018
7%
0.6
1442-28
1.9
57%
27%
17%
8.8
40%
5.5
83%
28.3
100%
14
5270.51.4
42%
17FC SochiFC Sochi23
50%
1.5
43+1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
5.0
100%
25.0
100%
15
5192.01.5
44%
18UralUral23
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
9.5
50%
6.0
100%
29.0
100%
11
4241.01.5
46%
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches