This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nizhny Novgorod
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
3.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.90
1.38
1.81
0.71
2.00
vs Stronger (18)
0.94
2.00
1.30
2.50
0.50
1.38
vs Similar (12)
1.25
1.75
1.50
0.67
1.00
2.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.6%
Under 1.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.9%
Under 2.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.4%
Under 3.5
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.8%
No
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.3%
Akhmat goals ↓
Nizhny Novgorod goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.0%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
6.0%
1.9%
0.4%
2
9.4%
8.8%
4.1%
1.3%
0.3%
3
4.3%
4.0%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.5%
1.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Akhmat goals (down), columns = Nizhny Novgorod goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Chayka
2.33
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Spartak Moscow
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Orel
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Tver
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Kompozit
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Zenit Penza
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Baltika
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Znamya Truda
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Murom
1.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Khimki
0.71
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Fakel
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Lada Tolyatti
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
Enisey
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
KAMAZ
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
KDV
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Nosta
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
ZOV
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Akhmat is 0.53 points better than Nizhny Novgorod in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Chernomorets
3.00
Amkal
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
Orel
2.67
FC Sochi
2.50
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
Forte Taganrog
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
Kristall
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
KDV
2.00
Ryazan
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Murom
2.00
ZOV
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Baltika
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Chayka
1.67
Lada Tolyatti
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Tver
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
Kompozit
1.25
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
FC Orenburg
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Zenit Penza
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Biolog
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
Khimki
0.86
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
FC UFA
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Enisey
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Akhmat is 0.47 goals better than Nizhny Novgorod in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 0.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Chayka
0.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Kompozit
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Tver
0.50
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Baltika
0.67
FC Sochi
0.75
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
Amkal
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Akhmat
1.40
Amkar
1.40
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Fakel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Orel
1.67
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
KAMAZ
2.00
Veles
2.00
Zenit Penza
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Murom
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Sakhalin
2.00
Khimki
2.43
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Lada Tolyatti
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
Chernomorets
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
ZOV
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
Urozhay
5.00
KDV
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
Akhmat is 0.43 goals better than Nizhny Novgorod in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Akhmat
For 4.0 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 11.1 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nizhny Novgorod
For 4.7 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.5 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Akhmat
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.9
9.8
5.0
5.1
4.8
23.5
23.5
23.6
vs Stronger (20)
10.1
9.7
10.5
5.1
5.3
4.9
24.4
24.7
24.2
vs Similar (29)
9.6
9.8
9.4
4.8
4.8
4.8
22.9
22.6
23.1
vs Weaker (1)
13.0
13.0
-
8.0
8.0
-
24.0
24.0
-
% over line
57%
60%
54%
68%
76%
60%
66%
80%
52%
% under line
43%
40%
46%
32%
24%
40%
34%
20%
48%
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nizhny Novgorod
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.4
9.8
4.0
3.5
4.4
24.1
23.5
24.8
vs Stronger (26)
10.2
10.6
9.9
3.5
2.7
4.3
23.3
21.5
24.8
vs Similar (24)
9.0
8.4
9.7
4.4
4.3
4.6
25.1
25.3
24.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
50%
50%
56%
50%
62%
60%
54%
67%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
44%
50%
38%
40%
46%
33%
This opponent (Akhmat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokomotiv
11.2
Dynamo
11.0
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.8
FC Orenburg
10.8
Arsenal Tula
10.7
Ural
10.4
Spartak Moscow
10.2
Baltika
10.1
FK Neftekhimik
10.0
Zenit
10.0
Chernomorets
9.9
Akhmat
9.9
FC Rostov
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Nizhny Novgorod
9.6
Khimki
9.6
Enisey
9.5
Akron
9.5
CSKA Moscow
9.4
Veles
9.4
Fakel
9.4
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
Rubin
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
FK Sokol Saratov
9.1
FC Krasnodar
9.1
Rodina Moskva
8.9
KAMAZ
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Leningradets
8.4
Tyumen
8.3
Torpedo Moskva
8.0
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
5.9
FC UFA
5.3
Lokomotiv
5.3
Fakel
5.1
Akhmat
5.1
FC Rostov
5.1
Spartak Moscow
5.0
Krylia Sovetov
4.9
FC Krasnodar
4.8
Rubin
4.7
Veles
4.7
FC Orenburg
4.6
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.6
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.6
Rodina Moskva
4.5
Dynamo
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Khimki
4.4
Urozhay
4.3
Enisey
4.2
Nizhny Novgorod
4.2
Volgar Astrakhan
4.2
Ural
4.2
Torpedo Moskva
4.1
Akron
4.0
FK Neftekhimik
4.0
FC Sochi
3.9
Baltika
3.8
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.8
Chernomorets
3.8
Tyumen
3.7
Zenit
3.5
Ska-khabarovsk
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
Arsenal Tula
3.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
FK Sokol Saratov
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
28.5
Fakel
26.5
Khimki
26.5
Rubin
24.2
Nizhny Novgorod
24.1
Akhmat
23.5
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Torpedo Moskva
23.3
Lokomotiv
23.2
FC Orenburg
23.2
FC Krasnodar
23.1
Krylia Sovetov
23.1
Ural
22.8
Spartak Moscow
22.8
FC Rostov
22.6
CSKA Moscow
22.4
Baltika
22.3
Dynamo
22.2
FC Sochi
21.5
Akron
21.2
Dinamo Makhachkala
21.0
Zenit
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.0%
Under 9.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.6%
Under 3.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
74.4%
Under 21.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Akhmat or Draw✓ Hit
75.7%
Avg Implied -
46%
30%
24%
covers Akhmat + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Akhmat or Nizhny Novgorod✓ Hit
70.1%
Avg Implied -
46%
30%
24%
covers Akhmat + Nizhny Novgorod
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Nizhny Novgorod✗ Miss
54.3%
Avg Implied -
46%
30%
24%
covers Draw + Nizhny Novgorod
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Akhmat over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.8%
Under
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.1%
Under
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
16.1%
Under
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
60.9%
Under
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
24.2%
Under
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Akhmat, so a minus line means Akhmat give that many goals of a start and Nizhny Novgorod receive them. At -1, Akhmat must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Akhmat win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Akhmat)Actual: Akhmat
Akhmat -2
8.4%
Draw -2
14.1%
Nizhny Novgorod +2
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Akhmat)Actual: Akhmat
Akhmat -1
22.5%
Draw -1
23.2%
Nizhny Novgorod +1
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Akhmat)Actual: Akhmat
Akhmat +1
75.7%
Draw +1
15.4%
Nizhny Novgorod -1
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Akhmat)Actual: Akhmat
Akhmat +2
91.1%
Draw +2
6.6%
Nizhny Novgorod -2
2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Akhmat
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.87
0.86
1.00
0.31
0.75
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.83
0.83
1.17
0.17
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.89
0.88
0.88
0.40
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nizhny Novgorod
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.62
0.94
0.43
0.79
vs Stronger (18)
0.50
0.94
0.60
1.10
0.38
0.75
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.75
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Akhmat
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.50
0.50
0.57
0.44
0.44
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.67
0.17
0.67
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.39
0.75
0.50
0.30
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nizhny Novgorod
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.03
0.75
0.88
0.29
1.21
vs Stronger (18)
0.44
1.06
0.70
1.40
0.12
0.62
vs Similar (12)
0.67
1.00
0.83
0.00
0.50
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Akhmat
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Georgi Melkadze29%
Maksim Samorodov23%
Felippe Cardoso17%
Daniil Zorin17%
Lucas Lovat14%
Amine Talal10%
Aleksandr Zhirov10%
Nader Ghandri9%
Mauro Luna Diale7%
Lechi Sadulaev7%
Daniil Utkin6%
Vladislav Kamilov4%
Arsen Adamov3%
Darko Todorović0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Svetoslav Kovachev0%
Giorgi Shelia0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Miloš Šatara0%
Bernard Berisha0%
Anton Shvets0%
Ismael Silva Lima0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Camilo0%
Zaim Divanović0%
Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nader Ghandri45%
Camilo38%
Gamid Agalarov33%
Svetoslav Kovachev30%
Lucas Lovat29%
Georgi Melkadze29%
Ismael Silva Lima26%
Felippe Cardoso25%
Darko Todorović24%
Anton Shvets20%
Vladislav Kamilov19%
Lechi Sadulaev17%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev16%
Daniil Utkin12%
Amine Talal10%
Aleksandr Zhirov10%
Daniil Zorin8%
Bernard Berisha8%
Maksim Samorodov8%
Mauro Luna Diale7%
Miloš Šatara6%
Giorgi Shelia4%
Arsen Adamov3%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Zaim Divanović0%
Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Georgi Melkadze21%
Maksim Samorodov15%
Lechi Sadulaev13%
Daniil Utkin12%
Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz8%
Bernard Berisha8%
Mauro Luna Diale7%
Amine Talal5%
Vladislav Kamilov4%
Giorgi Shelia4%
Darko Todorović3%
Arsen Adamov3%
Lucas Lovat0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Nader Ghandri0%
Felippe Cardoso0%
Svetoslav Kovachev0%
Aleksandr Zhirov0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Miloš Šatara0%
Anton Shvets0%
Ismael Silva Lima0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Camilo0%
Zaim Divanović0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Daniil Zorin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Felippe Cardoso33%
Georgi Melkadze29%
Lechi Sadulaev23%
Maksim Samorodov19%
Svetoslav Kovachev10%
Nader Ghandri9%
Mauro Luna Diale7%
Anton Shvets7%
Daniil Utkin6%
Amine Talal5%
Aleksandr Zhirov5%
Arsen Adamov3%
Darko Todorović0%
Lucas Lovat0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Giorgi Shelia0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Vladislav Kamilov0%
Miloš Šatara0%
Bernard Berisha0%
Ismael Silva Lima0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Camilo0%
Zaim Divanović0%
Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Daniil Zorin0%
Nizhny Novgorod
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vyacheslav Grulev29%
Juan Manuel Boselli29%
Aleksandr Koksharov20%
Valeriy Tsarukyan15%
Zé Turbo14%
Ognjen Ožegović12%
Thiago Vecino9%
Aleksandr Troshechkin8%
Sven Karič4%
Viktor Aleksandrov4%
Nikolay Kalinskiy4%
Aleksandr Ektov4%
Nikita Medvedev0%
Mateo Stamatov0%
Nikita Kakkoev0%
Kirill Gotsuk0%
Dmitri Tikhiy0%
Kirill Bozhenov0%
Ilya Agapov0%
Dan Glazer0%
Stanislav Magkeev0%
Luka Tičić0%
Danila Vedernikov0%
Nikoloz Kutateladze0%
Vladislav Karapuzov0%
Juan Castillo0%
Mamadou Maiga0%
Nikita Ermakov0%
Maksim Shnaptsev0%
Yaroslav Krashevskiy0%
Anton Mukhin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mateo Stamatov33%
Ilya Agapov33%
Dmitri Tikhiy25%
Ognjen Ožegović25%
Nikita Kakkoev22%
Aleksandr Ektov20%
Danila Vedernikov20%
Mamadou Maiga20%
Anton Mukhin20%
Thiago Vecino18%
Juan Manuel Boselli18%
Vladislav Karapuzov18%
Viktor Aleksandrov17%
Nikolay Kalinskiy17%
Juan Castillo15%
Kirill Bozhenov14%
Zé Turbo14%
Luka Tičić14%
Aleksandr Troshechkin12%
Dan Glazer10%
Sven Karič9%
Vyacheslav Grulev7%
Nikita Medvedev7%
Valeriy Tsarukyan5%
Nikita Ermakov4%
Kirill Gotsuk4%
Stanislav Magkeev0%
Nikoloz Kutateladze0%
Aleksandr Koksharov0%
Maksim Shnaptsev0%
Yaroslav Krashevskiy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksandr Koksharov20%
Mateo Stamatov17%
Ilya Agapov17%
Nikolay Kalinskiy12%
Maksim Shnaptsev12%
Juan Manuel Boselli11%
Aleksandr Ektov8%
Nikita Kakkoev7%
Nikita Medvedev7%
Valeriy Tsarukyan5%
Luka Tičić5%
Nikita Ermakov4%
Aleksandr Troshechkin4%
Kirill Gotsuk0%
Dmitri Tikhiy0%
Kirill Bozhenov0%
Ognjen Ožegović0%
Vyacheslav Grulev0%
Dan Glazer0%
Stanislav Magkeev0%
Zé Turbo0%
Sven Karič0%
Danila Vedernikov0%
Thiago Vecino0%
Nikoloz Kutateladze0%
Vladislav Karapuzov0%
Juan Castillo0%
Mamadou Maiga0%
Viktor Aleksandrov0%
Yaroslav Krashevskiy0%
Anton Mukhin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksandr Koksharov60%
Juan Manuel Boselli25%
Vyacheslav Grulev14%
Valeriy Tsarukyan10%
Thiago Vecino9%
Zé Turbo7%
Nikita Ermakov4%
Nikita Medvedev0%
Mateo Stamatov0%
Nikita Kakkoev0%
Nikolay Kalinskiy0%
Kirill Gotsuk0%
Aleksandr Troshechkin0%
Dmitri Tikhiy0%
Kirill Bozhenov0%
Ognjen Ožegović0%
Ilya Agapov0%
Dan Glazer0%
Stanislav Magkeev0%
Sven Karič0%
Aleksandr Ektov0%
Luka Tičić0%
Danila Vedernikov0%
Nikoloz Kutateladze0%
Vladislav Karapuzov0%
Juan Castillo0%
Mamadou Maiga0%
Viktor Aleksandrov0%
Maksim Shnaptsev0%
Yaroslav Krashevskiy0%
Anton Mukhin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Akhmat's squad is €13m more valuable than Nizhny Novgorod's (€30m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Akhmat's attack is €11m more valuable than Nizhny Novgorod's (€17m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Akhmat's midfield is €2m more valuable than Nizhny Novgorod's (€4m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Akhmat and Nizhny Novgorod have a similar defence value (both €9m).
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
Rubin
FC Rostov
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
Dinamo Makhachkala
Khimki
FC Orenburg
Fakel
FC Sochi
Ural