This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rubin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.43
1.57
0.71
1.06
2.06
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
2.27
1.00
1.20
0.67
3.17
vs Similar (13)
1.31
0.85
1.60
0.20
1.12
1.25
vs Weaker (6)
2.17
1.17
2.25
0.75
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.7%
Under 2.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.9%
Under 3.5
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.2%
No
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
2-0 ✓
8.5%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
Akhmat goals ↓
Rubin goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
6.7%
4.3%
1.6%
0.4%
1
9.9%
13%
6.6%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.5%
9.3%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
3
4.3%
4.7%
2.6%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.7%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Akhmat goals (down), columns = Rubin goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Chayka
2.33
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Tver
2.00
Orel
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Zenit Penza
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Baltika
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Znamya Truda
1.25
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
PSK Dinskaya
1.06
Shumbrat
1.06
Fankom
1.06
Kristall MEZ
1.06
Znamya Noginsk
1.06
RWChallenge
1.06
Buryatia
1.06
Murom
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
Fakel
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
KDV
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Veles
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
KAMAZ
0.00
Enisey
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Akhmat is 0.09 points better than Rubin in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Amkal
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Chernomorets
3.00
Orel
2.67
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
FC Sochi
2.50
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Murom
2.00
KDV
2.00
Kristall
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Ryazan
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Chayka
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Tver
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
PSK Dinskaya
1.23
Shumbrat
1.23
Fankom
1.23
Kristall MEZ
1.23
Znamya Noginsk
1.23
RWChallenge
1.23
Buryatia
1.23
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
Zenit Penza
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
FC Orenburg
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Veles
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Enisey
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Akhmat is 0.52 goals better than Rubin in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 0.78).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
Chayka
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Tver
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Baltika
0.67
Amkal
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
FC Sochi
0.75
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Amkar
1.40
Akhmat
1.40
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Orel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Fakel
1.67
PSK Dinskaya
1.67
Shumbrat
1.67
Fankom
1.67
Kristall MEZ
1.67
Znamya Noginsk
1.67
RWChallenge
1.67
Buryatia
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
Zenit Penza
2.00
Murom
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Veles
2.00
KAMAZ
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Chernomorets
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
KDV
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Urozhay
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
Akhmat is 0.51 goals worse than Rubin in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 0.89).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Akhmat
For 4.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 14.8 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rubin
For 4.6 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 13.0 · Total 29.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Akhmat
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
11.1
8.9
4.4
4.5
4.3
28.9
29.5
28.4
vs Stronger (23)
11.0
11.7
10.3
3.1
3.1
3.1
28.6
30.3
27.0
vs Similar (25)
9.3
10.4
8.2
5.4
5.8
5.1
29.0
28.8
29.2
vs Weaker (2)
11.0
14.0
8.0
6.5
5.0
8.0
30.5
32.0
29.0
% over line
55%
74%
37%
66%
67%
65%
87%
95%
79%
% under line
45%
26%
63%
34%
33%
35%
13%
5%
21%
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rubin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.0
10.0
3.9
4.2
3.7
27.0
26.5
27.6
vs Stronger (17)
8.5
9.0
8.0
3.3
3.4
3.2
25.7
26.7
24.7
vs Similar (22)
9.0
8.1
10.2
4.5
4.8
4.1
26.8
26.8
26.8
vs Weaker (11)
11.9
11.2
12.5
3.7
3.8
3.6
29.4
25.2
33.5
% over line
41%
33%
50%
58%
62%
54%
85%
86%
83%
% under line
59%
67%
50%
42%
38%
46%
15%
14%
17%
This opponent (Akhmat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Arsenal Tula
12.5
Chernomorets
11.2
FC Orenburg
11.1
Lokomotiv
10.8
Ural
10.8
Dynamo
10.7
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.6
Akron
10.5
KAMAZ
10.2
Nizhny Novgorod
10.2
FK Sokol Saratov
10.0
Akhmat
9.8
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.8
Zenit
9.8
Baltika
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Krylia Sovetov
9.6
Spartak Moscow
9.6
Veles
9.4
Rodina Moskva
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
Rubin
9.3
Fakel
9.2
CSKA Moscow
9.2
FC Sochi
8.8
FC Rostov
8.8
FC Krasnodar
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Leningradets
8.4
FK Neftekhimik
8.0
Tyumen
7.4
Enisey
7.0
Torpedo Moskva
6.8
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fakel
5.2
Akhmat
5.2
Spartak Moscow
5.1
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.8
Rubin
4.7
Veles
4.7
FC Orenburg
4.7
FC Rostov
4.7
FC Krasnodar
4.6
Lokomotiv
4.6
KAMAZ
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Krylia Sovetov
4.4
FC UFA
4.4
Nizhny Novgorod
4.4
Dynamo
4.4
Urozhay
4.3
FC Sochi
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Baltika
4.1
Volgar Astrakhan
4.1
Ural
4.1
Rotor Volgograd
3.9
Chernomorets
3.9
Chayka
3.8
Enisey
3.8
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Chelyabinsk
3.5
Ska-khabarovsk
3.5
Akron
3.4
Rodina Moskva
3.3
Spartak Kostroma
3.3
Leningradets
3.3
Tyumen
3.3
FK Sokol Saratov
3.3
Arsenal Tula
3.2
FK Neftekhimik
3.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
Luki-Energiya
1.0
Chertanovo Moscow
0.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.9
Spartak Moscow
27.9
Fakel
27.5
Akhmat
27.3
Rubin
26.4
FC Krasnodar
26.2
Nizhny Novgorod
26.2
FC Rostov
26.0
Dynamo
25.3
Ural
25.1
Lokomotiv
24.7
FC Orenburg
24.6
Zenit
24.3
Baltika
24.1
CSKA Moscow
23.9
Akron
23.8
FC Sochi
23.6
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Krylia Sovetov
22.8
Enisey
14.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.4%
Under 9.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.0%
Under 3.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
83.6%
Under 21.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Akhmat or Draw✓ Hit
74.1%
Avg Implied -
46%
28%
26%
covers Akhmat + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Akhmat or Rubin✓ Hit
72.0%
Avg Implied -
46%
28%
26%
covers Akhmat + Rubin
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Rubin✗ Miss
53.8%
Avg Implied -
46%
28%
26%
covers Draw + Rubin
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Akhmat over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.3%
Under
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.2%
Under
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.9%
Under
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
66.4%
Under
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.8%
Under
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.8%
Under
90.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Akhmat, so a minus line means Akhmat give that many goals of a start and Rubin receive them. At -1, Akhmat must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Akhmat win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Akhmat)Actual: Draw
Akhmat -2
9.7%
Draw -2
14.4%
Rubin +2
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Akhmat)Actual: Akhmat
Akhmat -1
24.0%
Draw -1
22.2%
Rubin +1
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Akhmat)Actual: Akhmat
Akhmat +1
74.1%
Draw +1
15.5%
Rubin -1
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Akhmat)Actual: Akhmat
Akhmat +2
89.6%
Draw +2
7.3%
Rubin -2
3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Akhmat
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.80
0.43
0.64
0.38
0.94
vs Stronger (14)
0.50
1.07
0.57
0.86
0.43
1.29
vs Similar (15)
0.33
0.60
0.29
0.43
0.38
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rubin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.71
0.43
0.50
1.06
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
1.09
0.60
0.60
0.33
1.50
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.46
0.60
0.00
0.62
0.75
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.83
1.00
0.75
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Akhmat
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.79
0.36
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (14)
0.36
0.57
0.29
0.29
0.43
0.86
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.67
1.29
0.43
0.50
0.88
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rubin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.86
0.29
0.56
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
1.18
0.40
0.60
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.38
1.00
0.20
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.33
1.25
0.00
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Akhmat
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Egas Cacintura30%
Georgiy Melkadze26%
Galymzhan Kenzhebek17%
Maksim Samorodov14%
Ousmane N’Dong9%
Brian Mansilla9%
Mohamed Konaté5%
Maksim Sidorov4%
Manuel Keliano4%
Ismael Silva Lima4%
Lechi Sadulaev4%
Rifat Zhemaletdinov0%
Darko Todorović0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Klisman Cake0%
Nader Ghandri0%
Giorgi Shelia0%
Daniil Khlusevich0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Abakar Gadzhiev0%
Sergey Pryakhin0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Anas El Mahraoui0%
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov0%
Mehdi Zare0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Darko Todorović33%
Ismael Silva Lima24%
Nader Ghandri24%
Sergey Pryakhin22%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev19%
Lechi Sadulaev19%
Ousmane N’Dong18%
Manuel Keliano17%
Galymzhan Kenzhebek17%
Abakar Gadzhiev17%
Maksim Sidorov13%
Mehdi Zare12%
Georgiy Melkadze11%
Papa Amady Gadio10%
Klisman Cake9%
Vadim Ulyanov8%
Giorgi Shelia6%
Mohamed Konaté5%
Brian Mansilla4%
Egas Cacintura4%
Maksim Samorodov4%
Miroslav Bogosavac3%
Rifat Zhemaletdinov0%
Daniil Khlusevich0%
Anas El Mahraoui0%
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maksim Samorodov18%
Egas Cacintura15%
Mohamed Konaté10%
Lechi Sadulaev7%
Giorgi Shelia6%
Brian Mansilla4%
Manuel Keliano4%
Georgiy Melkadze4%
Rifat Zhemaletdinov0%
Darko Todorović0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Klisman Cake0%
Nader Ghandri0%
Daniil Khlusevich0%
Ismael Silva Lima0%
Maksim Sidorov0%
Ousmane N’Dong0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Galymzhan Kenzhebek0%
Abakar Gadzhiev0%
Sergey Pryakhin0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Anas El Mahraoui0%
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov0%
Mehdi Zare0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Georgiy Melkadze22%
Lechi Sadulaev11%
Mohamed Konaté10%
Maksim Samorodov7%
Brian Mansilla4%
Ismael Silva Lima4%
Egas Cacintura4%
Rifat Zhemaletdinov0%
Darko Todorović0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Klisman Cake0%
Nader Ghandri0%
Giorgi Shelia0%
Daniil Khlusevich0%
Maksim Sidorov0%
Ousmane N’Dong0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Galymzhan Kenzhebek0%
Abakar Gadzhiev0%
Sergey Pryakhin0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Anas El Mahraoui0%
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov0%
Mehdi Zare0%
Rubin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mirlind Daku33%
Daniil Kuznetsov12%
Jacques Siwe11%
Veldin Hodža10%
Nazmi Gripshi9%
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj9%
Aleksandar Jukić8%
Nikita Lobov8%
Ruslan Bezrukov8%
Konstantin Nizhegorodov6%
Dmitriy Kabutov5%
Anderson Arroyo5%
Igor Vujačić4%
Daler Kuzyaev0%
Ignacio Saavedra0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Nikola Čumić0%
Oleg Ivanov0%
Aleksey Gritsaenko0%
Aleksandr Zotov0%
Ugochukwu Iwu0%
Evgeniy Staver0%
Bogdan Jočić0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Ilya Rozhkov0%
Daniil Motorin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ignacio Saavedra45%
Mirlind Daku33%
Egor Teslenko33%
Jacques Siwe26%
Bogdan Jočić25%
Denil Maldonado22%
Aleksandr Zotov20%
Igor Vujačić20%
Konstantin Nizhegorodov18%
Veldin Hodža17%
Dmitriy Kabutov14%
Nikola Čumić14%
Ugochukwu Iwu14%
Ilya Rozhkov14%
Daler Kuzyaev12%
Oleg Ivanov11%
Nazmi Gripshi9%
Anderson Arroyo9%
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj9%
Aleksandar Jukić8%
Nikita Lobov8%
Ruslan Bezrukov4%
Aleksey Gritsaenko0%
Evgeniy Staver0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Daniil Motorin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nazmi Gripshi27%
Ugochukwu Iwu21%
Bogdan Jočić10%
Dmitriy Kabutov10%
Ilya Rozhkov7%
Jacques Siwe5%
Anderson Arroyo5%
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj5%
Ruslan Bezrukov4%
Veldin Hodža3%
Daler Kuzyaev0%
Aleksandar Jukić0%
Ignacio Saavedra0%
Mirlind Daku0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Nikola Čumić0%
Oleg Ivanov0%
Aleksey Gritsaenko0%
Aleksandr Zotov0%
Igor Vujačić0%
Evgeniy Staver0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Konstantin Nizhegorodov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Daniil Motorin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mirlind Daku25%
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj14%
Igor Vujačić4%
Veldin Hodža3%
Daler Kuzyaev0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Aleksandar Jukić0%
Ignacio Saavedra0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Dmitriy Kabutov0%
Nikola Čumić0%
Oleg Ivanov0%
Aleksey Gritsaenko0%
Aleksandr Zotov0%
Ugochukwu Iwu0%
Evgeniy Staver0%
Anderson Arroyo0%
Bogdan Jočić0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Jacques Siwe0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Konstantin Nizhegorodov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Ilya Rozhkov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Daniil Motorin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Akhmat's squad is €15m less valuable than Rubin's (€30m vs €45m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Akhmat's attack is €10m more valuable than Rubin's (€17m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Akhmat's midfield is €8m less valuable than Rubin's (€4m vs €12m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Akhmat's defence is €17m less valuable than Rubin's (€9m vs €25m).
Russia: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →