Akritas’ defensive record at home - conceding 1.33 goals per game - sets the tone for a tight affair. The model favours a home win, with a 55% probability, followed by a 29% chance of a draw and a 16% chance of an Enosis victory. The expected total goals is 2.2, centring on a 2-goal match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Akritas, a 15.5% chance. Akritas averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.33 conceded against similar opposition, while Enosis, playing away, averages 1.25 goals scored but 2.75 conceded to comparable teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.4%), Under 6.5 (99.3%), Under 5.5 (97.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (96.6%), Home +2 handicap (95.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.6%), and Under 4.5 (92.9%). Akritas’ recent form of LLWWW, after two straight defeats, and Enosis’ DLLLL, coming off a draw, suggest a cautious, low-scoring contest.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Akritas win
54.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Enosis win
16.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Akritas
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.83
0.73
1.87
1.27
1.80
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
2.91
0.33
2.67
0.40
3.20
vs Similar (19)
1.37
1.21
1.00
1.33
1.70
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Enosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Enosis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
2.47
0.33
2.07
0.40
2.87
vs Stronger (19)
0.16
2.58
0.25
2.12
0.09
2.91
vs Similar (11)
0.73
2.27
0.43
2.00
1.25
2.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-27pp vs league)
This opponent (Akritas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
65.3%
Under 1.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
37.3%
Under 2.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
17.7%
Under 3.5
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
40.1%
No
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.5%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
Akritas goals ↓
Enosis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
6.7%
2.8%
0.6%
0.1%
1
16%
13%
4.1%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
8.7%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
3
6.1%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
4
2.3%
1.6%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Akritas goals (down), columns = Enosis goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.66
Akritas
2.54
Enosis
2.44
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Ermis
1.37
Polemidion
1.37
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.37
Digenis Morphou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Akritas is 0.10 points better than Enosis in terms of average points per game (2.54 vs 2.44).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.62
Akritas
2.50
Enosis
2.40
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Akritas is 0.10 goals better than Enosis in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 2.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ethnikos Achna
0.70
Akritas
0.73
Enosis
0.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
Ayia Napa
1.48
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
Akritas is 0.03 goals better than Enosis in terms of goals conceded per game (0.73 vs 0.76).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Akritas or Draw
83.6%
Avg Implied -
55%
29%
16%
covers Akritas + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Akritas or Enosis
71.3%
Avg Implied -
55%
29%
16%
covers Akritas + Enosis
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Enosis
45.1%
Avg Implied -
55%
29%
16%
covers Draw + Enosis
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Akritas over/under 0.5
Over
77.3%
Under
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 1.5
Over
43.7%
Under
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 2.5
Over
18.7%
Under
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 3.5
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 0.5
Over
50.4%
Under
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 1.5
Over
15.6%
Under
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 2.5
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 3.5
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Akritas, so a minus line means Akritas give that many goals of a start and Enosis receive them. At -1, Akritas must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Akritas win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Akritas)
Akritas -2
11.7%
Draw -2
17.3%
Enosis +2
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Akritas)
Akritas -1
29.0%
Draw -1
25.9%
Enosis +1
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Akritas)
Akritas +1
83.6%
Draw +1
11.6%
Enosis -1
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Akritas)
Akritas +2
95.2%
Draw +2
3.9%
Enosis -2
1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Akritas
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.80
0.47
0.80
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
1.36
0.17
1.00
0.20
1.80
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.47
0.67
0.67
0.40
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Enosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Enosis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.17
0.93
0.13
0.80
0.20
1.07
vs Stronger (19)
0.11
0.95
0.25
0.88
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.27
0.91
0.00
0.71
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Akritas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Akritas over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Akritas
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.03
0.27
1.07
0.93
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
1.55
0.17
1.67
0.20
1.40
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.74
0.33
0.67
1.30
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Enosis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Enosis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
1.53
0.20
1.27
0.20
1.80
vs Stronger (19)
0.05
1.63
0.00
1.25
0.09
1.91
vs Similar (11)
0.45
1.36
0.43
1.29
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Akritas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Akritas over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Enosis over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Akritas · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
José Romo25%
Ioannis Chatzivasilis22%
Stefanos Miller22%
Alberto Fernández10%
Nearchos Zinonos9%
Thomas Ioannou0%
Pavel Zabelin0%
Christos Hadjipaschalis0%
Kyriakos Antoniou0%
Anthony Limbombe Ekango0%
Emanuel Taffertshofer0%
Braydon Manu0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Benito0%
Chris Kablan0%
Izuchukwu Jude Anthony0%
Benson Anang0%
Kleton Perntreou0%
Adrián Riera0%
Yair Castro0%
Carlitos0%
Thierno Barry0%
Giorgos Vasiliou0%
Andreas Athanasiou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chris Kablan67%
Alberto Fernández50%
Adrián Riera50%
Pavel Zabelin33%
Carlitos33%
Emanuel Taffertshofer29%
Nearchos Zinonos27%
Izuchukwu Jude Anthony25%
Giorgos Vasiliou22%
Ioannis Chatzivasilis11%
Stefanos Miller11%
Thomas Ioannou10%
Kyriakos Antoniou10%
Yair Castro9%
Christos Hadjipaschalis0%
Anthony Limbombe Ekango0%
Braydon Manu0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Benito0%
Benson Anang0%
José Romo0%
Kleton Perntreou0%
Thierno Barry0%
Andreas Athanasiou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Braydon Manu20%
Anthony Limbombe Ekango17%
Carlitos17%
Alberto Fernández10%
Thomas Ioannou0%
Pavel Zabelin0%
Christos Hadjipaschalis0%
Kyriakos Antoniou0%
Ioannis Chatzivasilis0%
Emanuel Taffertshofer0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Benito0%
Chris Kablan0%
Izuchukwu Jude Anthony0%
Benson Anang0%
José Romo0%
Kleton Perntreou0%
Adrián Riera0%
Yair Castro0%
Thierno Barry0%
Stefanos Miller0%
Nearchos Zinonos0%
Giorgos Vasiliou0%
Andreas Athanasiou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yair Castro9%
Nearchos Zinonos9%
Thomas Ioannou0%
Pavel Zabelin0%
Christos Hadjipaschalis0%
Kyriakos Antoniou0%
Ioannis Chatzivasilis0%
Anthony Limbombe Ekango0%
Emanuel Taffertshofer0%
Braydon Manu0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Benito0%
Chris Kablan0%
Izuchukwu Jude Anthony0%
Benson Anang0%
José Romo0%
Kleton Perntreou0%
Alberto Fernández0%
Adrián Riera0%
Carlitos0%
Thierno Barry0%
Stefanos Miller0%
Giorgos Vasiliou0%
Andreas Athanasiou0%
Enosis · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Demir Imeri33%
João Cesco17%
André Jordy Ella14%
Marco Krainz0%
Panagiotis Panagiotou0%
Loizos Kosmas0%
Spyros Risvanis0%
Emanuel Šakić0%
Marko Simonovski0%
Alen Kozar0%
Gal Kurež0%
Adebayo Adeleye0%
Emmanuel Okeke0%
Antonis Katsiaris0%
Dimitris Solomou0%
Zurab Museliani0%
Symeon Solomou0%
Christos Kyzas0%
Michalis Charalampous0%
Sean Ioannou0%
Jimmy Kazan0%
Jonas Goldschadt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marco Krainz75%
Loizos Kosmas57%
Antonis Katsiaris43%
Panagiotis Panagiotou40%
Demir Imeri33%
Alen Kozar25%
Emmanuel Okeke25%
Jonas Goldschadt25%
Emanuel Šakić17%
João Cesco17%
Symeon Solomou17%
Christos Kyzas17%
André Jordy Ella14%
Michalis Charalampous14%
Jimmy Kazan14%
Spyros Risvanis0%
Marko Simonovski0%
Gal Kurež0%
Adebayo Adeleye0%
Dimitris Solomou0%
Zurab Museliani0%
Sean Ioannou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marco Krainz25%
Panagiotis Panagiotou0%
Loizos Kosmas0%
Spyros Risvanis0%
Emanuel Šakić0%
Marko Simonovski0%
Demir Imeri0%
Alen Kozar0%
Gal Kurež0%
Adebayo Adeleye0%
Emmanuel Okeke0%
Antonis Katsiaris0%
João Cesco0%
Dimitris Solomou0%
Zurab Museliani0%
Symeon Solomou0%
Christos Kyzas0%
André Jordy Ella0%
Michalis Charalampous0%
Sean Ioannou0%
Jimmy Kazan0%
Jonas Goldschadt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marco Krainz0%
Panagiotis Panagiotou0%
Loizos Kosmas0%
Spyros Risvanis0%
Emanuel Šakić0%
Marko Simonovski0%
Demir Imeri0%
Alen Kozar0%
Gal Kurež0%
Adebayo Adeleye0%
Emmanuel Okeke0%
Antonis Katsiaris0%
João Cesco0%
Dimitris Solomou0%
Zurab Museliani0%
Symeon Solomou0%
Christos Kyzas0%
André Jordy Ella0%
Michalis Charalampous0%
Sean Ioannou0%
Jimmy Kazan0%
Jonas Goldschadt0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
Akritas and Enosis have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
Akritas and Enosis have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
Akritas and Enosis have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
Akritas and Enosis have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Cyprus: 2. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ethnikos Achna
Anagennisi Deryneia
Doxa
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Ayia Napa
Halkanoras
Polemidion
APEA
ASIL Lysi
Ermis
Digenis Morphou
Spartakos Kitiou
PAEEK
MEAP Nisou