The model rates CSKA Moscow the clear favourite, assigning a 65 % chance of victory, 22 % for a draw and 13 % for an Akron win. This preference stems from CSKA’s strong away form, averaging 1.22 goals scored and only 0.89 conceded against weaker opponents, while Akron struggles at home, conceding 2.17 on average to stronger teams. The predicted outcome is an away win, with the most likely scoreline 0-2 at a 12.4 % probability, and an expected total of 2.8 goals, though the most probable total is 2 goals at 25 %. Akron’s recent home form is shaky, coming off a 0-3 loss, whereas CSKA’s away run includes a recent 3-2 win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.2 %), Home under 3.5 goals (99.2 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.2 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.0 %), Under 6.5 (97.6 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.3 %), Away +2 handicap (96.1 %), and Home under 2.5 goals (95.6 %) with a 7 % edge.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, CSKA Moscow, did not deliver. Akron and CSKA Moscow finished 2-2, a draw that snapped both sides’ recent streaks of draws. The model had picked an away win with a 65% probability, but that call was wrong. The model’s selections performed well: Under 7.5 hit at 99.2%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 99.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.1%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.3%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.7%, Away +2 handicap hit at 96.2%, Home under 2.5 goals hit at 95.7%, and Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.4%. The most likely scoreline was 0-2, a 25% chance, yet the match settled at a 2-2 draw.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Akron win✗ Miss
12.5%
Avg Implied 21.2% · @ 4.48
Edge
-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.80
Pinnacle
4.64
1xBet
4.46
Superbet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.35
Draw✓ Hit
22.2%
Avg Implied 23.4% · @ 4.06
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.20
Dafabet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.06
Superbet
4.00
CSKA Moscow win✗ Miss
65.3%
Avg Implied 55.3% · @ 1.72
Edge
+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.74
Superbet
1.69
Dafabet
1.67
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Akron
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.90
0.87
2.13
1.27
1.67
vs Stronger (13)
1.08
2.15
0.83
2.17
1.29
2.14
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.71
0.89
2.11
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA Moscow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.20
1.56
1.12
1.00
1.29
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.44
2.00
2.50
2.00
0.60
2.00
vs Weaker (20)
1.25
0.75
1.27
0.64
1.22
0.89
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.4%
@ 1.17-2.6%
Under 1.5
22.6%
@ 4.67+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Under
Pinnacle
4.76
Superbet
4.70
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.4%
@ 1.62-6.7%
Under 2.5
47.6%
@ 2.35+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.62
Superbet
1.56
Under
1xBet
2.41
Pinnacle
2.34
Marathonbet
2.32
Superbet
2.32
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.2%
@ 2.48-7.5%
Under 3.5
69.8%
@ 1.50+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.66
Marathonbet
2.44
1xBet
2.44
Superbet
2.37
Under
Superbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.4%
@ 1.57-11.6%
No
52.6%
@ 2.26+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
No
1xBet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
12.5%@ 9.15+7.7%
0-1
11.5%@ 8.66+6.4%
1-1
10.6%@ 7.21+4.5%
1-2
9.7%@ 7.68+3.9%
0-3
8.4%@ 14.06+5.2%
0-0
7.2%@ 16.54+4.5%
1-3
6.4%@ 11.94+2.7%
0-4
4.2%@ 25.09+2.4%
Akron goals ↓
CSKA Moscow goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
12%
13%
8.4%
4.2%
1
3.8%
11%
9.7%
6.4%
3.2%
2
1.9%
3.7%
3.7%
2.5%
1.2%
3
0.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Akron goals (down), columns = CSKA Moscow goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
3.00
Spartak Moscow
2.17
CSKA Moscow
2.00
Zenit
2.00
Dynamo
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Orenburg
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.00
Akhmat
1.00
FC Rostov
0.83
Rodina Moskva
0.67
Akron
0.50
Lokomotiv
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Akron is 1.50 points worse than CSKA Moscow in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.17
Spartak Moscow
1.83
FC Krasnodar
1.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
Baltika
1.67
CSKA Moscow
1.50
Akhmat
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.33
FC Rostov
1.17
Akron
1.00
Lokomotiv
0.83
FC Orenburg
0.83
Fakel
0.50
Akron is 0.50 goals worse than CSKA Moscow in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Krasnodar
0.67
Zenit
0.67
Spartak Moscow
0.83
CSKA Moscow
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Fakel
1.17
Dynamo
1.17
FC Orenburg
1.17
Akhmat
1.33
Lokomotiv
1.33
Rubin
1.33
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
FC Rostov
1.67
Akron
2.50
Rodina Moskva
2.83
Akron is 1.50 goals worse than CSKA Moscow in terms of goals conceded per game (2.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Dynamo
63%
Spartak Moscow
62%
Zenit
60%
CSKA Moscow
57%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Akron
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
49%
Fakel
48%
Akhmat
47%
Rubin
47%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Rodina Moskva
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
40%
FC Orenburg
39%
Baltika
36%
Akron is 2.8 percentage points worse than CSKA Moscow in terms of average possession (54% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Akron
For 4.6 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
CSKA Moscow
For 4.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 13.2 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Akron
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.4
9.1
3.8
3.2
4.4
27.1
27.1
27.1
vs Stronger (21)
10.1
9.7
10.4
3.5
2.8
4.1
25.7
25.4
25.9
vs Similar (29)
8.8
9.3
8.2
4.0
3.4
4.6
27.9
28.0
27.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
41%
43%
40%
48%
27%
71%
88%
86%
90%
% under line
59%
57%
60%
52%
73%
29%
12%
14%
10%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA Moscow
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.5
10.7
4.2
3.9
4.5
26.6
26.6
26.7
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
9.0
10.0
4.0
5.0
3.0
26.0
23.0
29.0
vs Similar (15)
9.7
10.0
9.2
4.5
4.4
4.6
25.3
25.4
25.2
vs Weaker (33)
11.0
10.8
11.4
4.0
3.6
4.5
27.2
27.2
27.1
% over line
58%
57%
60%
50%
42%
58%
86%
81%
93%
% under line
42%
43%
40%
50%
58%
42%
14%
19%
7%
This opponent (Akron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rodina Moskva
10.8
CSKA Moscow
10.3
FC Orenburg
10.1
Dynamo
9.9
Zenit
9.7
Krylia Sovetov
9.5
Akhmat
9.4
Fakel
9.2
Akron
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.0
Lokomotiv
9.0
FC Krasnodar
8.5
Rubin
8.5
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.3
Baltika
4.9
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.6
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.6
FC Orenburg
4.6
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
Akhmat
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
Fakel
4.1
Zenit
4.1
Akron
4.0
Rodina Moskva
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Baltika
30.1
Spartak Moscow
30.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
29.0
FC Rostov
28.8
Akhmat
28.7
Rubin
28.6
FC Orenburg
28.6
FC Krasnodar
28.5
Fakel
28.0
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.5
Dynamo
27.4
Zenit
27.3
CSKA Moscow
26.6
Rodina Moskva
26.6
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.4%
@ 2.11+1.3%
Under 9.5
54.6%
@ 1.66-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.16
Marathonbet
2.09
1xBet
2.08
Under
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.0%
Under 3.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.9%
Under 21.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Akron or Draw✓ Hit
34.7%
Avg Implied 44.2% · @ 2.14
Edge
-9.5%
12%
22%
65%
covers Akron + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.23
Marathonbet
2.12
1xBet
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Akron or CSKA Moscow✗ Miss
77.8%
Avg Implied 77.0% · @ 1.23
Edge
+0.8%
12%
22%
65%
covers Akron + CSKA Moscow
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.22
SBO
1.17
Draw or CSKA Moscow✓ Hit
87.5%
Avg Implied 78.8% · @ 1.20
Edge
+8.7%
12%
22%
65%
covers Draw + CSKA Moscow
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Superbet
1.19
SBO
1.13
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Akron over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
53.7%
@ 1.38-14.0%
Under
46.3%
@ 2.90+14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
2.99
Marathonbet
2.89
1xBet
2.89
Superbet
2.85
Akron over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
18.1%
@ 2.94-13.9%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.39+13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.12
Marathonbet
2.90
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.85
Under
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
Akron over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 7.47-8.1%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.06+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
7.70
Superbet
7.00
Under
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Akron over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.8%
@ 19.00-4.2%
Under
99.2%
@ 1.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Under
Superbet
1.01
CSKA Moscow over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.5%
@ 1.10+2.0%
Under
13.5%
@ 6.03-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Under
1xBet
6.05
Superbet
6.00
CSKA Moscow over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
59.5%
@ 1.65+2.1%
Under
40.5%
@ 2.23-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.59
Under
Superbet
2.27
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.19
Marathonbet
2.19
CSKA Moscow over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
32.4%
@ 2.98+1.0%
Under
67.6%
@ 1.37-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.18
1xBet
2.98
Marathonbet
2.98
Superbet
2.80
Under
Superbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
CSKA Moscow over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 6.17-0.6%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.08+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.45
Marathonbet
6.45
Superbet
5.60
Under
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Akron, so a minus line means Akron give that many goals of a start and CSKA Moscow receive them. At -1, Akron must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Akron win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Akron)Actual: CSKA Moscow
Akron -2
0.8%
@ 20.00-3.7%
Draw -2
3.0%
@ 12.00-4.6%
CSKA Moscow +2
96.2%
@ 1.04+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
20.00
Draw
Superbet
12.00
Away
Superbet
1.04
Handicap -1 (Akron)Actual: CSKA Moscow
Akron -1
3.8%
@ 5.20-11.4%
Draw -1
8.6%
@ 3.75-12.4%
CSKA Moscow +1
87.5%
@ 1.24+23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.20
Draw
Marathonbet
3.75
Away
Marathonbet
1.24
Handicap +1 (Akron)Actual: Akron
Akron +1
34.7%
@ 2.12-8.1%
Draw +1
24.0%
@ 3.71-0.4%
CSKA Moscow -1
41.3%
@ 2.77+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.12
Draw
Marathonbet
3.72
Superbet
3.70
Away
Marathonbet
2.88
Superbet
2.65
Handicap +2 (Akron)Actual: Akron
Akron +2
58.7%
@ 1.40-5.8%
Draw +2
20.4%
@ 5.00+2.3%
CSKA Moscow -2
20.9%
@ 5.20+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.37
Draw
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
4.70
Away
Marathonbet
5.55
Superbet
4.85
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Akron
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
1.23
0.40
1.27
0.27
1.20
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.38
0.50
1.17
0.43
1.57
vs Similar (17)
0.24
1.12
0.33
1.33
0.12
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA Moscow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.56
0.69
0.36
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.89
0.50
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (20)
0.45
0.45
0.55
0.55
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.5%
@ 1.28-3.7%
Under 0.5
30.5%
@ 3.49+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Under
Superbet
3.55
1xBet
3.48
Marathonbet
3.44
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
30.6%
@ 2.37-9.2%
Under 1.5
69.4%
@ 1.56+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.45
Marathonbet
2.38
1xBet
2.38
Superbet
2.25
Under
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.1%
@ 5.33-6.2%
Under 2.5
88.9%
@ 1.12+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.55
Superbet
4.90
Under
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Akron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
35.8%
@ 2.35-4.0%
Under
64.2%
@ 1.55+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.47
1xBet
2.32
Superbet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Akron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 8.33-3.8%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.04+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.00
1xBet
8.30
Superbet
7.70
Under
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Akron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 29.00-99.1%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
52.6%
@ 1.62-5.1%
Under
47.4%
@ 2.21+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.57
Under
Superbet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.14
CSKA Moscow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.0%
@ 3.98-6.2%
Under
83.0%
@ 1.21+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.33
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.70
Under
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
CSKA Moscow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 9.90-4.8%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.03+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.90
Under
Superbet
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Akron
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
0.47
0.87
1.00
0.47
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
0.77
0.33
1.00
0.86
0.57
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.59
0.56
0.78
1.12
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA Moscow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
1.00
0.44
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.00
1.11
2.00
1.00
0.20
1.20
vs Weaker (20)
0.80
0.30
0.73
0.09
0.89
0.56
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.4%
@ 1.15-4.7%
Under 0.5
23.6%
@ 4.92+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Superbet
4.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.5%
@ 1.82-9.3%
Under 1.5
57.5%
@ 1.96+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Superbet
1.78
Under
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.96
Superbet
1.95
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.3%
@ 3.49-9.3%
Under 2.5
82.7%
@ 1.27+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.54
1xBet
3.54
Superbet
3.40
Under
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Akron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
41.4%
@ 1.93-6.6%
Under
58.6%
@ 1.78+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Under
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Superbet
1.78
Akron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.7%
@ 6.02-5.7%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.10+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.20
Marathonbet
6.20
Superbet
5.65
Under
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Akron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 19.00-3.4%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Under
Superbet
1.01
CSKA Moscow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
58.2%
@ 1.41-7.5%
Under
41.8%
@ 2.71+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Under
Superbet
2.72
1xBet
2.69
CSKA Moscow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
24.2%
@ 2.99-6.8%
Under
75.8%
@ 1.34+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.04
Marathonbet
3.04
Superbet
2.90
Under
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
CSKA Moscow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 7.53-5.8%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.05+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.15
Superbet
6.90
Under
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.2%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.3%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.7%
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
96.2%
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
-
-
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
95.7%
1.06
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.4%
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.7%
1.03
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.6%
1.05
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.8%
1.04
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
90.3%
1.10
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.12
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
87.5%
1.20
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Superbet
1.19
SBO
1.13
-
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
86.5%
1.10
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
-
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
85.6%
1.08
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.2%
1.18
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
83.0%
1.21
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.7%
1.27
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
-
-
+9.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
81.9%
1.39
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
-
+13.9%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.8%
1.23
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.22
SBO
1.17
-
+0.8%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
77.4%
1.17
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-
-2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.2%
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.4%
1.15
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
-4.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
75.8%
1.34
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
-
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
73.4%
1.35
1xBet
1.35
-
-
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Akron
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gilson Tavares33%
Yomar Rocha20%
Kevin Arevalo20%
Stefan Lončar17%
Arseniy Dmitriev17%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Dudu0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristijan Bistrović50%
Joao Escoval40%
Arseniy Dmitriev33%
Dudu25%
Nikita Bazilevskiy25%
Roberto Fernández20%
Stefan Lončar17%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin17%
Gilson Tavares17%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Kevin Arevalo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dudu25%
Roberto Fernández20%
Konstantin Maradishvili17%
Stefan Lončar17%
Gilson Tavares17%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
Kevin Arevalo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefan Lončar33%
Gilson Tavares33%
Kevin Arevalo20%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Dudu0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
CSKA Moscow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luciano Gondou33%
Henrique Carmo25%
Matheus Alves20%
Ivan Oblyakov17%
Kirill Danilov17%
Kirill Glebov17%
Matija Popović17%
Milan Gajić0%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
Moisés0%
João Victor0%
Danil Krugovoy0%
Vladislav Torop0%
Tamerlan Musaev0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Matvey Kislyak0%
Imran Firov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luciano Gondou33%
Imran Firov25%
Matheus Alves20%
João Victor17%
Vladislav Torop17%
Kirill Danilov17%
Milan Gajić0%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
Ivan Oblyakov0%
Moisés0%
Danil Krugovoy0%
Tamerlan Musaev0%
Kirill Glebov0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Matvey Kislyak0%
Matija Popović0%
Henrique Carmo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Milan Gajić25%
Matheus Alves20%
Danil Krugovoy17%
Luciano Gondou17%
Kirill Glebov17%
Matvey Kislyak17%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
Ivan Oblyakov0%
Moisés0%
João Victor0%
Vladislav Torop0%
Tamerlan Musaev0%
Kirill Danilov0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Imran Firov0%
Matija Popović0%
Henrique Carmo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luciano Gondou33%
Ivan Oblyakov17%
Kirill Danilov17%
Matija Popović17%
Milan Gajić0%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
Moisés0%
João Victor0%
Danil Krugovoy0%
Vladislav Torop0%
Tamerlan Musaev0%
Kirill Glebov0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Matvey Kislyak0%
Matheus Alves0%
Imran Firov0%
Henrique Carmo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
Akron's squad is €86m less valuable than CSKA Moscow's (€25m vs €111m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
FAK (10)
€5m
Akron's attack is €26m less valuable than CSKA Moscow's (€11m vs €37m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
Akron's midfield is €42m less valuable than CSKA Moscow's (€6m vs €48m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
AKH (10)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
Akron's defence is €17m less valuable than CSKA Moscow's (€8m vs €26m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
Baltika
Dynamo
Rubin
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Fakel