PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Akron vs Krylia Sovetov Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026
Time: 10:00
Final 0-3
Akron
Akron
Vs
37%
29%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov
Russia: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

This match between Akron and Krylia Sovetov in the Russia: Premier League is finely balanced, with Akron coming off a draw against Rodina Moskva and Krylia Sovetov having suffered a defeat against Baltika. The model predicts a home win for Akron, with a 37% chance of victory, 29% chance of a draw, and 34% chance of an away win. The expected total goals is 2.6, with the most likely total goals being 2.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 13.7%. Akron has scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded 1.6 goals at home, while Krylia Sovetov has scored 0.4 goals and conceded 2.2 goals away from home against similar opponents. The model's selection is a home win, with suggested picks including Over 21.5 fouls (85.6%), Over 1.5 (75.3% with a 2% edge), and Under 3.5 (72.7% with a 2% edge).

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, a home win for Akron, did not materialise as the match ended 0-3 in favour of Krylia Sovetov, extending their recent win streak. The model had pegged a 37 % chance for a home victory, yet this was wrong. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.4 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4 %, Under 6.5 at 98.2 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.7 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.9 % and Home under 3.5 goals at 95.1 %. The final score confirmed the model’s low-scoring predictions, with the total of three goals falling well below the expected 2.6.

šŸŽÆ 1. Model Analysis

Akron wināœ— Miss
37.4%
Avg Implied 33.4% · @ 2.83
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.96
Marathonbet
2.93
Dafabet
2.80
Superbet
2.75
Drawāœ— Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.36
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.48
Pinnacle
3.42
Dafabet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
Superbet
3.30
Krylia Sovetov wināœ“ Hit
34.0%
Avg Implied 38.4% · @ 2.47
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.52
Dafabet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
Superbet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.46

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AkronAkron

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L14L20W01L05L12L04L00D33D10WH·FC 11/05A·KRY17/05A·ROT20/05H·ROT23/05H·ZEN25/07H·RUB01/08H·FC 04/08A·LOK08/08A·ROD15/08A·CSK18/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.900.932.071.191.75
vs Stronger (13)1.082.150.832.171.292.14
vs Similar (17)1.061.711.002.001.111.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Krylia Sovetov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W21W01L41W00D11D21W02L14L00DH·LOK25/04H·SPA01/05A·FC 10/05H·AKR17/05A·DYN25/07A·CSK01/08A·DIN04/08H·BAL08/08H·DIN16/08H·ZEN19/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.631.501.250.432.07
vs Stronger (14)0.861.931.431.430.292.43
vs Similar (16)1.121.381.561.110.571.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.2%
@ 1.22-1.0%
Under 1.5
24.8%
@ 3.94+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
4.28
Superbet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.78
1xBet
3.78
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.1%
@ 1.78-4.7%
Under 2.5
50.9%
@ 2.07+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.78
SBO
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.75
Under
1xBet
2.13
Pinnacle
2.10
SBO
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
Superbet
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.3%
@ 2.81-6.0%
Under 3.5
72.7%
@ 1.40+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.94
Superbet
2.82
1xBet
2.73
Marathonbet
2.73
Under
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.9%
@ 1.59-3.3%
No
45.1%
@ 2.22+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
No
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.21
Superbet
2.20

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 6.05+6.4%
1-0
8.4%@ 9.90+4.0%
2-1
8.4%@ 9.78+3.9%
0-0
8.4%@ 12.35+4.8%
1-2
8.0%@ 9.02+3.1%
0-1
7.9%@ 9.12+3.1%
2-0
6.6%@ 14.81+3.6%
0-2
5.9%@ 12.75+2.4%
Akron goals ↓
Krylia Sovetov goals →
01234
08.4%7.9%5.9%2.5%0.8%
18.4%14%8.0%3.4%1.1%
26.6%8.4%5.4%2.3%0.7%
33.0%3.8%2.4%1.0%0.3%
41.0%1.3%0.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Akron goals (down), columns = Krylia Sovetov goals (across).

šŸ’Ŗ 3. Team Strengths Analysis

šŸ† Total PPG

Points / game
FC Krasnodar
3.00
Spartak Moscow
2.17
CSKA Moscow
2.00
Zenit
2.00
Dynamo
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Orenburg
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.00
Akhmat
1.00
FC Rostov
0.83
Rodina Moskva
0.67
Akron
0.50
Lokomotiv
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Akron is 0.50 points worse than Krylia Sovetov in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.00).

āš”ļø Attack

Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.17
Spartak Moscow
1.83
FC Krasnodar
1.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
Baltika
1.67
CSKA Moscow
1.50
Akhmat
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.33
FC Rostov
1.17
Akron
1.00
Lokomotiv
0.83
FC Orenburg
0.83
Fakel
0.50
Akron is 0.33 goals worse than Krylia Sovetov in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.33).

šŸ›”ļø Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Krasnodar
0.67
Zenit
0.67
Spartak Moscow
0.83
CSKA Moscow
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Fakel
1.17
Dynamo
1.17
FC Orenburg
1.17
Akhmat
1.33
Lokomotiv
1.33
Rubin
1.33
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
FC Rostov
1.67
Akron
2.50
Rodina Moskva
2.83
Akron is 0.83 goals worse than Krylia Sovetov in terms of goals conceded per game (2.50 vs 1.67).

ā±ļø Possession

Avg possession %
Dynamo
63%
Spartak Moscow
62%
Zenit
60%
CSKA Moscow
57%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Akron
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
49%
Fakel
48%
Akhmat
47%
Rubin
47%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Rodina Moskva
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
40%
FC Orenburg
39%
Baltika
36%
Akron is 8.3 percentage points better than Krylia Sovetov in terms of average possession (54% vs 46%).

šŸŽ² 4. Props Analysis

AkronAkron

For 4.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 7.9

🚩 Corners

14051625395362116152223688149137743A·RODA·LOKH·RUBH·ZENH·ROTA·ROTA·KRYH·FC H·FC A·BAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

6031114123221133124150353163A·CSKA·RODA·LOKH·FC H·RUBH·ZENH·ROTA·ROTA·KRYH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.3 · Total 25.0

āš ļø Fouls

31013161714127119141313171117131081151929311920273028231924A·RODA·LOKH·RUBH·ZENH·ROTA·ROTA·KRYH·FC H·FC A·BAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov

For 4.3 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

150952552261653103857114147787810111215H·DINH·BALA·CSKA·DYNH·AKRA·FC H·SPAH·LOKA·FC H·CSK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

10043113333421234824371436637107H·DINH·BALA·DINA·CSKH·AKRA·FC H·SPAH·LOKA·FC H·CSK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 12.8 · Total 26.7

āš ļø Fouls

330146101618151415171116171215981513141220263329283327172826H·DINH·BALA·CSKA·DYNH·AKRA·FC H·SPAH·LOKA·FC H·CSK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AkronAkron

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.39.13.83.24.427.427.727.1
vs Stronger (22)9.89.110.43.73.34.126.627.225.9
vs Similar (28)8.89.58.23.83.14.627.927.927.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line41%43%40%48%27%71%88%86%90%
% under line59%57%60%52%73%29%12%14%10%
This opponent (Krylia Sovetov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.510.58.54.03.44.626.825.827.8
vs Stronger (23)10.611.99.43.52.74.525.123.926.2
vs Similar (27)8.79.57.84.44.24.728.127.229.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line47%68%26%52%42%62%87%74%100%
% under line53%32%74%48%58%38%13%26%0%
This opponent (Akron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Rodina Moskva
11.8
CSKA Moscow
10.3
FC Orenburg
10.1
Dynamo
10.0
Zenit
9.7
Akhmat
9.4
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akron
9.2
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.2
Lokomotiv
9.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Rubin
8.6
FC Krasnodar
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.2
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
5.0
FC Rostov
4.8
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.6
Krylia Sovetov
4.6
FC Orenburg
4.6
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
Akhmat
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.4
Fakel
4.1
Zenit
4.0
Akron
3.9
Rodina Moskva
3.2

āš ļø Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Baltika
30.3
Spartak Moscow
29.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
29.5
FC Krasnodar
29.1
FC Rostov
28.8
Rubin
28.8
Akhmat
28.7
FC Orenburg
28.6
Fakel
28.0
Dynamo
27.6
Rodina Moskva
27.5
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.3
Zenit
27.2
CSKA Moscow
26.6
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.4%
@ 1.81-12.0%
Under 9.5
60.6%
@ 1.92+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
1.95
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.4%
Under 3.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
85.6%
Under 21.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ”€ 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Akron or Drawāœ— Miss
66.0%
Avg Implied 60.9% · @ 1.55
Edge
+5.1%
37%
29%
34%
covers Akron + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.58
SBO
1.54
Superbet
1.50
Akron or Krylia Sovetovāœ“ Hit
71.4%
Avg Implied 72.3% · @ 1.31
Edge
-0.9%
37%
29%
34%
covers Akron + Krylia Sovetov
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.30
SBO
1.24
Draw or Krylia Sovetovāœ“ Hit
62.6%
Avg Implied 66.8% · @ 1.42
Edge
-4.2%
37%
29%
34%
covers Draw + Krylia Sovetov
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.42
SBO
1.37

šŸ„… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Akron over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
74.2%
@ 1.27+0.8%
Under
25.8%
@ 3.52-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Under
Pinnacle
3.76
Superbet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Akron over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.3%
@ 2.37-0.6%
Under
60.7%
@ 1.57+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.45
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.36
Superbet
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Akron over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.6%
@ 5.27-2.0%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.12+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.35
Superbet
5.10
Under
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Akron over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 11.50-3.3%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.03+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
11.00
Under
Superbet
1.03
Krylia Sovetov over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.3%
@ 1.22-4.0%
Under
27.7%
@ 3.94+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
4.34
1xBet
3.92
Superbet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.72
Krylia Sovetov over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
36.7%
@ 2.14-7.4%
Under
63.3%
@ 1.69+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.16
Superbet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
1xBet
2.13
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Superbet
1.65
Krylia Sovetov over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
13.9%
@ 4.58-6.4%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.17+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.55
Under
Marathonbet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Krylia Sovetov over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 10.67-4.7%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.03+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
10.50
Under
Superbet
1.03

āš–ļø 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Akron, so a minus line means Akron give that many goals of a start and Krylia Sovetov receive them. At -1, Akron must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Akron win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Akron)Actual: Krylia Sovetov
Akron -2
6.4%
@ 6.70-5.4%
Draw -2
11.3%
@ 4.75-5.3%
Krylia Sovetov +2
82.3%
@ 1.10+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.70
Draw
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Akron)Actual: Krylia Sovetov
Akron -1
17.7%
@ 5.60+1.3%
Draw -1
19.7%
@ 4.70+0.2%
Krylia Sovetov +1
62.6%
@ 1.43-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.60
Draw
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.43
Handicap +1 (Akron)Actual: Krylia Sovetov
Akron +1
66.0%
@ 1.55+7.6%
Draw +1
18.6%
@ 4.20-3.0%
Krylia Sovetov -1
15.4%
@ 4.53-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.58
Superbet
1.52
Draw
Marathonbet
4.25
Superbet
4.15
Away
Superbet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.50
Handicap +2 (Akron)Actual: Krylia Sovetov
Akron +2
84.6%
@ 1.16+7.3%
Draw +2
10.1%
@ 6.80-3.0%
Krylia Sovetov -2
5.3%
@ 9.25-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
Draw
Marathonbet
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Away
Superbet
9.40
Marathonbet
9.10

ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AkronAkron

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L04L10W00D03L12L02L00D02L10WH·FC 11/05A·KRY17/05A·ROT20/05H·ROT23/05H·ZEN25/07H·RUB01/08H·FC 04/08A·LOK08/08A·ROD15/08A·CSK18/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.230.431.290.251.19
vs Stronger (13)0.461.380.501.170.431.57
vs Similar (17)0.241.120.381.380.110.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Krylia Sovetov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W01L40W00D01L10W01L12L00DH·LOK25/04H·SPA01/05A·FC 10/05H·AKR17/05A·DYN25/07A·CSK01/08A·DIN04/08H·BAL08/08H·DIN16/08H·ZEN19/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.810.560.141.00
vs Stronger (14)0.290.710.570.430.001.00
vs Similar (16)0.690.811.000.670.291.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.0%
@ 1.36-2.2%
Under 0.5
33.0%
@ 3.05+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.15
Superbet
3.10
Marathonbet
2.98
1xBet
2.98
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.5%
@ 2.62-4.4%
Under 1.5
68.5%
@ 1.47+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.76
1xBet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.60
Superbet
2.52
Under
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.0%
@ 6.10-6.1%
Under 2.5
91.0%
@ 1.09+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.20
1xBet
6.20
Superbet
5.90
Under
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08

šŸ„… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Akron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.3%
@ 2.09-0.3%
Under
55.7%
@ 1.69+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.18
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Superbet
2.02
Under
Superbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Akron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 6.63-2.9%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.08+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.90
Marathonbet
6.90
Superbet
6.10
Under
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Akron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 20.00-98.1%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Krylia Sovetov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
39.9%
@ 1.96-7.7%
Under
60.1%
@ 1.78+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Superbet
1.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.80
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Krylia Sovetov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 5.90-5.7%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.10+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.05
Marathonbet
6.05
Superbet
5.60
Under
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Krylia Sovetov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 18.00-3.7%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Under
Superbet
1.01

ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AkronAkron

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W01L02L00D02L00D31W00DH·FC 11/05A·KRY17/05A·ROT20/05H·ROT23/05H·ZEN25/07H·RUB01/08H·FC 04/08A·LOK08/08A·ROD15/08A·CSK18/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.670.500.790.940.56
vs Stronger (13)0.620.770.331.000.860.57
vs Similar (17)0.820.590.620.621.000.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Krylia Sovetov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D00D01L00D10W11D01L02L00DH·LOK25/04H·SPA01/05A·FC 10/05H·AKR17/05A·DYN25/07A·CSK01/08A·DIN04/08H·BAL08/08H·DIN16/08H·ZEN19/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.870.690.690.291.07
vs Stronger (14)0.571.210.861.000.291.43
vs Similar (16)0.440.560.560.440.290.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.4%
@ 1.19-3.8%
Under 0.5
25.6%
@ 4.27+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Superbet
4.15
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.8%
@ 1.96-7.3%
Under 1.5
59.2%
@ 1.82+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.96
Under
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Superbet
1.77
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.4%
@ 3.92-7.3%
Under 2.5
83.6%
@ 1.22+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.88
1xBet
3.88
Under
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22

šŸ„… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Akron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.0%
@ 1.73-0.6%
Under
47.0%
@ 2.00+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Under
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Akron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.2%
@ 4.65-3.7%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.15+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.50
Under
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Akron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 14.00-3.5%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Under
Superbet
1.01
Krylia Sovetov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.5%
@ 1.67-8.2%
Under
52.5%
@ 2.10+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Under
1xBet
2.12
Superbet
2.07
Krylia Sovetov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
13.9%
@ 4.20-8.1%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.18+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.25
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Under
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Krylia Sovetov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 12.00-5.0%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Under
Superbet
1.02

šŸ”„ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.4%-------āœ“ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.4%1.01
Superbet
1.01
----+3.7%āœ“ Hit
Under 6.598.2%1.01
Superbet
1.01
----+3.0%āœ“ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.1%-------āœ“ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.1%1.02
Superbet
1.02
----+5.0%āœ“ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.7%1.01
Superbet
1.01
----+3.5%āœ“ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals95.9%1.03
Superbet
1.03
----+4.7%āœ“ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals95.1%1.03
Superbet
1.03
----+3.3%āœ“ Hit
Under 5.594.8%1.04
Superbet
1.04
----+4.8%āœ“ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls93.1%-------āœ“ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals91.0%1.09
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
--+6.1%āœ“ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.0%1.10
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
--+5.7%āœ“ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals88.9%1.08
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
--+2.9%āœ“ Hit
Under 4.587.2%1.13
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-+5.1%āœ“ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals86.1%1.18
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
--+8.1%āœ— Miss
Away under 2.5 goals86.1%1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
--+6.4%āœ— Miss
Over 21.5 fouls85.6%-------āœ“ Hit
Home +2 handicap84.6%1.16
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
---+7.3%āœ— Miss
Home under 2.5 goals84.4%1.12
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
--+2.0%āœ“ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals83.8%1.15
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
--+3.7%āœ“ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals83.6%1.22
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
--+7.3%āœ“ Hit
Away +2 handicap82.3%1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
----+10.7%āœ“ Hit
Under 11.5 corners81.6%1.32
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
--+12.6%āœ“ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.5%-------āœ— Miss
Over 1.575.2%1.22
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
--1.0%āœ“ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.2%-------āœ“ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals74.4%1.19
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
---3.8%āœ“ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls74.4%1.35
1xBet
1.35
----+6.9%āœ“ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals74.2%1.27
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
-+0.8%āœ— Miss
Under 3.572.7%1.40
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
-+6.0%āœ“ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals72.3%1.22
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
--4.0%āœ“ Hit
Under 10.5 corners72.2%1.56
Superbet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
-+12.9%āœ“ Hit
Home or Away71.4%1.31
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.30
SBO
1.24
--0.9%āœ“ Hit

šŸŽ½ 13. Player market rates

Akron
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gilson Tavares33%
Yomar Rocha20%
Kevin Arevalo20%
Stefan Lončar17%
Arseniy Dmitriev17%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Roberto FernƔndez0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Dudu0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristijan Bistrović50%
Joao Escoval40%
Arseniy Dmitriev33%
Dudu25%
Nikita Bazilevskiy25%
Roberto FernƔndez20%
Stefan Lončar17%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin17%
Gilson Tavares17%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Kevin Arevalo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dudu25%
Roberto FernƔndez20%
Konstantin Maradishvili17%
Stefan Lončar17%
Gilson Tavares17%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
Kevin Arevalo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefan Lončar33%
Gilson Tavares33%
Kevin Arevalo20%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Roberto FernƔndez0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Dudu0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
Krylia Sovetov
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikita Chernov50%
Ivan Oleynikov33%
Vladislav Shitov33%
Dominik Oroz17%
Maksim Vityugov17%
Nikolay Rasskazov0%
Kirill Pechenin0%
Fernando Costanza0%
Thomas Galdames0%
Yuriy Gorshkov0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Mihajlo Banjac0%
Sergey Pesyakov0%
Amar Rahmanović0%
Martin Kramarič0%
Denis Makarov0%
Dani FernƔndez0%
Sergey Babkin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Denis Makarov40%
Dominik Oroz33%
Kirill Pechenin33%
Thomas Galdames33%
Maksim Vityugov33%
Nikita Chernov25%
Sergey Babkin25%
Fernando Costanza20%
Nikolay Rasskazov0%
Yuriy Gorshkov0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Ivan Oleynikov0%
Mihajlo Banjac0%
Sergey Pesyakov0%
Amar Rahmanović0%
Martin Kramarič0%
Dani FernƔndez0%
Vladislav Shitov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yuriy Gorshkov67%
Mihajlo Banjac25%
Maksim Vityugov17%
Martin Kramarič17%
Nikita Chernov0%
Nikolay Rasskazov0%
Dominik Oroz0%
Kirill Pechenin0%
Fernando Costanza0%
Thomas Galdames0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Ivan Oleynikov0%
Sergey Pesyakov0%
Amar Rahmanović0%
Denis Makarov0%
Dani FernƔndez0%
Vladislav Shitov0%
Sergey Babkin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Oleynikov33%
Mihajlo Banjac25%
Fernando Costanza20%
Maksim Vityugov17%
Nikita Chernov0%
Nikolay Rasskazov0%
Dominik Oroz0%
Kirill Pechenin0%
Thomas Galdames0%
Yuriy Gorshkov0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Sergey Pesyakov0%
Amar Rahmanović0%
Martin Kramarič0%
Denis Makarov0%
Dani FernƔndez0%
Vladislav Shitov0%
Sergey Babkin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

šŸ’° 14. Squad value

šŸ’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
Akron and Krylia Sovetov have a similar squad value (both €25m).

āš”ļø Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
FAK (10)
€5m
Akron's attack is €1m more valuable than Krylia Sovetov's (€11m vs €9m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
Akron and Krylia Sovetov have a similar midfield value (both €6m).

šŸ›”ļø Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
AKH (10)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
Akron's defence is €2m less valuable than Krylia Sovetov's (€8m vs €11m).

šŸ¤ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
AKR wins
1
Draws
1
KS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Akron vs Krylia Sovetov · H/A from AKR
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26AKrylia Sovetov Vs AKR4-1
19/07/25HAKR Vs Krylia Sovetov1-1
09/03/25AKrylia Sovetov Vs AKR0-2
03/11/24HAKR Vs Krylia Sovetov2-0

AkronAkron

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/08/26ACSKA Moscow Vs AKR0-1
15/08/26ARodina Moskva Vs AKR3-3
08/08/26ALokomotiv Vs AKR0-0
04/08/26HAKR Vs FC Rostov0-4
01/08/26HAKR Vs Rubin1-2
25/07/26HAKR Vs Zenit0-5
23/05/26HAKR Vs Rotor Volgograd0-1
20/05/26ARotor Volgograd Vs AKR0-2
17/05/26AKrylia Sovetov Vs AKR4-1
11/05/26HAKR Vs FC Rostov1-3

Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/26HKS Vs Zenit0-0
16/08/26HKS Vs Dinamo Makhachkala1-4
08/08/26HKS Vs Baltika0-2
04/08/26ADinamo Makhachkala Vs KS1-2
01/08/26ACSKA Moscow Vs KS1-1
25/07/26ADynamo Vs KS0-0
17/05/26HKS Vs Akron4-1
10/05/26AFC Orenburg Vs KS1-0
01/05/26HKS Vs Spartak Moscow2-1
25/04/26HKS Vs Lokomotiv2-0

šŸ“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Akron
Akron
Russia: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW0.92
HomeLLLLL0.77
AwayLWDDW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%15%29%
AVG goals3.043.083.00
Over 1.5 %84%88%79%
Over 2.5 %56%58%54%
Over 3.5 %36%38%33%
Scored1.161.121.21
Conceded1.881.961.79
BTTS64%77%50%
Clean Sheet16%4%29%
Corners9.209.339.05
Cards3.923.464.38
Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov
Russia: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLD1.00
HomeWWLLD1.31
AwayLLDDW0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%31%12%
AVG goals2.902.922.88
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %32%35%29%
Scored1.141.380.88
Conceded1.761.542.00
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet20%35%4%
Corners9.5010.538.47
Cards4.654.055.29

šŸ† 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar618
100%
3.0
114+7
2.5
50%
50%
33%
8.7
50%
4.5
83%
25.2
67%
114
3435451.80.7
57%
2Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow613
67%
2.2
115+6
2.7
100%
67%
0%
10.5
50%
6.5
83%
30.3
100%
129
5937341.80.8
62%
3ZenitZenit612
67%
2.0
134+9
2.8
83%
67%
17%
9.8
33%
5.0
83%
26.3
67%
182
10031502.20.7
60%
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow612
50%
2.0
96+3
2.5
67%
50%
33%
7.3
17%
3.8
33%
26.8
83%
111
3748261.51.0
57%
5BaltikaBaltika610
50%
1.7
106+4
2.7
100%
67%
0%
8.8
33%
3.5
33%
27.3
83%
30
106151.71.0
36%
6DynamoDynamo610
50%
1.7
87+1
2.5
67%
67%
33%
7.0
17%
4.4
80%
27.2
100%
110
4524421.31.2
63%
7RubinRubin69
33%
1.5
98+1
2.8
100%
50%
33%
7.7
17%
3.7
33%
24.3
67%
45
812251.51.3
47%
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala69
50%
1.5
1010+0
3.3
83%
83%
50%
9.5
67%
4.5
50%
23.7
67%
20
9381.71.7
40%
9FC OrenburgFC Orenburg67
17%
1.2
57-2
2.0
83%
33%
0%
8.5
33%
5.7
67%
30.7
100%
18
8370.81.2
39%
10AkhmatAkhmat66
17%
1.0
98+1
2.8
67%
50%
33%
7.8
17%
3.8
50%
25.5
83%
30
17491.51.3
47%
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov66
17%
1.0
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
8.5
17%
5.0
60%
27.3
83%
26
96111.31.7
46%
12FC RostovFC Rostov65
17%
0.8
710-3
2.8
67%
50%
33%
7.7
33%
4.5
33%
27.7
83%
32
145131.21.7
49%
13Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva64
17%
0.7
817-9
4.2
100%
100%
50%
10.2
50%
3.8
33%
28.2
83%
17
7371.32.8
44%
14LokomotivLokomotiv63
0%
0.5
58-3
2.2
67%
33%
17%
7.0
17%
3.5
33%
27.2
83%
68
218400.81.3
51%
15AkronAkron63
0%
0.5
615-9
3.5
83%
83%
50%
8.5
17%
4.7
67%
26.7
67%
25
11681.02.5
54%
16FakelFakel62
0%
0.3
37-4
1.7
33%
33%
17%
9.8
67%
3.7
67%
25.3
83%
14
5270.51.2
48%
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →

šŸ‘„ 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches