Akron’s recent draw against CSKA Moscow and Lokomotiv’s three-game losing streak set the stage for a cautious encounter. The model favours a home win at 38%, with a draw at 31% and an away win at 30%. The expected total is 2.2 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1 with a 14.6% probability. Akron, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.33 conceded, while Lokomotiv, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.5 scored and 1.38 conceded. The model’s selections highlight a strong edge on the “Away under 3.5 goals” pick, with a 97.9% probability and a 9% edge. Other picks include “Under 7.5” (99.8%), “Under 11.5 corners” (99.6%), “Under 6.5” (99.2%), “Under 10.5 corners” (98.9%), “Under 9.5 corners” (97.4%), “Under 5.5” (97.3% with a 7% edge), and “Home under 3.5 goals” (96.6%). These figures suggest a low-scoring, tightly contested match with Akron holding a slight advantage.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Akron, failed to deliver as the match ended 0-0, a draw that left the model’s prediction wrong. Akron’s recent form, a draw against Lokomotiv, had them on the brink of a better run, yet the away side, Lokomotiv, also finished on a draw after a similar run. The model had given a 38% chance to a home win, but the result was a stalemate. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.9%), Under 5.5 (97.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.6%), Under 4.5 (92.4%), Away under 2.5 goals (91.3%), and Home under 2.5 goals (88.0%). The game’s low-scoring nature matched the model’s expectation of a single goal, but the final score remained 0-0.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Akron win✗ Miss
38.3%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.42
Edge
+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.58
Pinnacle
3.56
Marathonbet
3.55
Dafabet
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Draw✓ Hit
31.4%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.61
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.86
Marathonbet
3.85
Pinnacle
3.80
Dafabet
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Lokomotiv win✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied 46.7% · @ 2.00
Edge
-16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Dafabet
2.01
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Akron
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.93
0.93
2.20
1.27
1.67
vs Stronger (13)
1.15
2.23
1.00
2.33
1.29
2.14
vs Similar (17)
1.06
1.71
0.89
2.11
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.40
1.29
0.93
1.25
1.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (13)
1.08
1.77
1.00
1.17
1.14
2.29
vs Weaker (15)
1.60
1.13
1.71
0.86
1.50
1.38
Clean sheet %
17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.7%
@ 1.19-12.0%
Under 1.5
33.3%
@ 4.37+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.21
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Under
Pinnacle
4.52
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.35
Superbet
4.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.6%
@ 1.66-18.2%
Under 2.5
61.4%
@ 2.19+18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Superbet
1.64
SBO
1.64
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
SBO
2.16
Superbet
2.12
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.7%
@ 2.60-17.1%
Under 3.5
81.3%
@ 1.45+17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.65
Marathonbet
2.59
1xBet
2.59
Superbet
2.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.49
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.4%
@ 1.56-13.0%
No
53.6%
@ 2.28+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.56
Superbet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
No
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
Superbet
2.27
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%@ 6.49+7.9%
0-0 ✓
12.0%@ 14.49+9.0%
1-0
11.5%@ 11.85+7.8%
0-1
9.8%@ 8.56+4.6%
2-1
8.0%@ 11.03+4.0%
2-0
7.7%@ 19.41+5.4%
1-2
6.9%@ 7.88+1.3%
0-2
5.8%@ 10.37+1.5%
Akron goals ↓
Lokomotiv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.8%
5.8%
2.0%
0.5%
1
11%
15%
6.9%
2.4%
0.6%
2
7.7%
8.0%
4.1%
1.4%
0.4%
3
3.1%
3.2%
1.6%
0.6%
0.1%
4
0.9%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Akron goals (down), columns = Lokomotiv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.55
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Irkutsk
2.25
Broke Boys
2.25
Cherepovets
2.25
Kristall MEZ
2.25
Veles
2.25
Spartak Moscow
2.08
KDV
2.00
Dinamo Vologda
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Arsenal Tula
2.00
Enisey
2.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.00
FC Krasnodar
1.92
CSKA Moscow
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.70
Lokomotiv
1.70
Chelyabinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.58
Zenit Penza
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
FK Spartak Tambov
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Chayka
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ilpar
1.50
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
KAMAZ
1.50
Ural
1.50
Fakel
1.33
FC Rostov
1.25
Krylia Sovetov
1.10
FC 10
1.04
Metallurg Asha
1.04
Chita
1.04
Izberbash
1.04
Iskra Smolensk
1.04
Bomik
1.04
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.04
FC Tosno
1.04
SKA Rostov
1.04
Izhevsk
1.04
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.04
Anzhi
1.04
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Dinamo Bryansk
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Tver
1.00
Torpedo Miass
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.00
Baltika
0.88
Rubin
0.86
FC Orenburg
0.78
FK Neftekhimik
0.75
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.67
Akron
0.67
Akhmat
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.50
Mashuk-KMV
0.50
Nizhny Novgorod
0.50
FC Sochi
0.33
Murom
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Chertanovo Moscow
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Kvant
0.00
Shumbrat
0.00
Kristall
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Orel
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Rotor Volgograd
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Akron is 1.03 points worse than Lokomotiv in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 1.70).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Irkutsk
3.75
Zvezda St. Petersburg
2.50
Cherepovets
2.50
Tyumen
2.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.50
KDV
2.33
Luki-Energiya
2.33
Zenit
2.09
FC Krasnodar
2.08
Murom
2.00
Orel
2.00
Salyut-Belgorod
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Kristall MEZ
2.00
Nosta
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Veles
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
1.85
Broke Boys
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Arsenal Tula
1.60
Dynamo
1.58
CSKA Moscow
1.58
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Enisey
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Volgar Astrakhan
1.33
Akhmat
1.33
Fakel
1.33
FC Sochi
1.33
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.30
FC 10
1.10
Metallurg Asha
1.10
Chita
1.10
Izberbash
1.10
Iskra Smolensk
1.10
Bomik
1.10
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.10
FC Tosno
1.10
SKA Rostov
1.10
Izhevsk
1.10
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.10
Anzhi
1.10
Dinamo Stavropol
1.00
Avangard Kursk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Shumbrat
1.00
Kristall
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Chayka
1.00
Akron
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
FK Sokol Saratov
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Ural
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
FC Orenburg
0.78
Rubin
0.71
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.33
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Tver
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Mashuk-KMV
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Akron is 0.70 goals worse than Lokomotiv in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.70).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Tver
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Rodina Moskva
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
Dinamo Vologda
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FK Sokol Saratov
0.50
KAMAZ
0.50
Volgar Astrakhan
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Zenit
0.73
Irkutsk
0.75
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Arsenal Tula
0.80
Dynamo
0.92
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
KDV
1.00
Temp Barnaul
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Salyut-Belgorod
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Tyumen
1.00
Torpedo Vladimir
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Znamya Noginsk
1.00
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.00
Ural
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.08
Broke Boys
1.25
Baltika
1.25
CSKA Moscow
1.25
Veles
1.25
Rubin
1.29
Lokomotiv
1.30
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.33
Astrakhan
1.33
Fakel
1.33
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
Mashuk-KMV
1.50
FC Rostov
1.50
Chayka
1.50
Kristall MEZ
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
FC 10
1.50
Metallurg Asha
1.50
Chita
1.50
Izberbash
1.50
Iskra Smolensk
1.50
Bomik
1.50
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.50
FC Tosno
1.50
SKA Rostov
1.50
Izhevsk
1.50
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.50
Anzhi
1.50
Luki-Energiya
1.67
Akhmat
1.67
Cherepovets
1.75
Krylia Sovetov
1.90
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2.00
Chertanovo Moscow
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Rotor Volgograd
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Akron
2.17
Nizhny Novgorod
2.17
Leningradets
2.50
FC Orenburg
2.56
Murom
3.00
Kvant
3.00
Shumbrat
3.00
Kristall
3.00
Orel
3.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
3.00
Nosta
3.00
Ilpar
3.00
Ryazan
3.00
Ska-khabarovsk
3.00
FC Sochi
3.00
Anri Vladivostok
4.00
Akron is 0.87 goals worse than Lokomotiv in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 1.30).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
CSKA Moscow
64%
Baltika
36%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Akron
For 4.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 12.9 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lokomotiv
For 4.1 · Against 3.8 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 11.7 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Akron
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.4
9.0
3.8
3.3
4.3
27.1
27.4
26.8
vs Stronger (22)
9.9
9.5
10.4
3.6
3.1
4.1
26.1
26.2
25.9
vs Similar (28)
8.7
9.3
8.0
3.9
3.4
4.5
27.8
28.0
27.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
39%
41%
37%
48%
30%
70%
88%
86%
89%
% under line
61%
59%
63%
52%
70%
30%
12%
14%
11%
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.0
8.9
4.3
4.4
4.2
27.6
28.3
26.9
vs Stronger (2)
7.0
6.0
8.0
7.5
12.0
3.0
28.5
29.0
28.0
vs Similar (25)
8.1
7.3
8.9
4.0
3.8
4.3
27.6
27.9
27.2
vs Weaker (23)
8.9
8.9
9.0
4.3
4.5
4.1
27.6
28.7
26.6
% over line
41%
32%
50%
48%
54%
42%
84%
84%
83%
% under line
59%
68%
50%
52%
46%
58%
16%
16%
17%
This opponent (Akron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
CSKA Moscow
10.2
Rodina Moskva
10.2
FC Orenburg
9.9
Dynamo
9.7
Zenit
9.6
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Krylia Sovetov
9.5
Akhmat
9.4
Arsenal Tula
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Akron
9.1
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
Lokomotiv
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Ural
8.4
Rubin
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
Tyumen
7.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
KDV
4.0
Novosibirsk
4.0
Dinamo Bryansk
3.0
Znamya Noginsk
3.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Broke Boys
7.0
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.0
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.6
FC Orenburg
4.6
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
Dynamo
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Fakel
4.1
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Akron
4.0
Volgar Astrakhan
4.0
FK Sokol Saratov
4.0
Chayka
3.9
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Rodina Moskva
3.4
Leningradets
3.3
Tyumen
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
KDV
3.0
Novosibirsk
3.0
Irkutsk
3.0
Mashuk-KMV
1.0
Luki-Energiya
1.0
Dinamo Bryansk
0.0
Znamya Noginsk
0.0
Chertanovo Moscow
0.0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
28.9
FC Rostov
28.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.8
Rubin
28.7
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.3
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.5
Zenit
27.4
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Ural
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Enisey
23.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
2.6%
@ 2.20-39.1%
Under 9.5
97.4%
@ 1.58+39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.17
Under
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.9%
@ 1.68-10.4%
Under 3.5
56.1%
@ 2.00+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.68
Under
Superbet
2.00
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.0%
Under 21.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Akron or Draw✓ Hit
69.7%
Avg Implied 51.8% · @ 1.81
Edge
+17.9%
38%
31%
30%
covers Akron + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
SBO
1.80
Superbet
1.71
Akron or Lokomotiv✗ Miss
68.6%
Avg Implied 75.0% · @ 1.25
Edge
-6.4%
38%
31%
30%
covers Akron + Lokomotiv
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.26
SBO
1.18
Draw or Lokomotiv✓ Hit
61.7%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.28
Edge
-11.5%
38%
31%
30%
covers Draw + Lokomotiv
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.27
SBO
1.20
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Akron over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
69.8%
@ 1.32-1.1%
Under
30.2%
@ 3.21+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.33
Marathonbet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
1xBet
3.14
Akron over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.6%
@ 2.56-3.1%
Under
66.4%
@ 1.49+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.67
Marathonbet
2.62
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Under
1xBet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Akron over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.0%
@ 6.30-2.8%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.10+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.60
1xBet
6.60
Superbet
5.70
Under
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
Akron over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
64.5%
@ 1.17-16.1%
Under
35.5%
@ 4.85+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Under
1xBet
5.10
Superbet
4.60
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
27.8%
@ 1.84-23.7%
Under
72.2%
@ 1.95+23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.96
Superbet
1.88
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.7%
@ 3.63-17.1%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.26+17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.70
Pinnacle
3.68
Marathonbet
3.65
Superbet
3.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Lokomotiv over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 8.60-8.7%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.04+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.80
Marathonbet
8.40
Under
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Akron, so a minus line means Akron give that many goals of a start and Lokomotiv receive them. At -1, Akron must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Akron win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Akron)Actual: Lokomotiv
Akron -2
5.6%
Draw -2
11.4%
Lokomotiv +2
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Akron)Actual: Lokomotiv
Akron -1
17.0%
@ 7.30+4.3%
Draw -1
21.3%
@ 5.35+3.9%
Lokomotiv +1
61.7%
@ 1.33-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.30
Draw
Marathonbet
5.35
Away
Marathonbet
1.33
Handicap +1 (Akron)Actual: Akron
Akron +1
69.7%
@ 1.85+20.1%
Draw +1
18.2%
@ 3.82-5.8%
Lokomotiv -1
12.0%
@ 3.48-14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.85
Draw
Marathonbet
3.82
Away
Marathonbet
3.48
Handicap +2 (Akron)Actual: Akron
Akron +2
88.0%
@ 1.26+15.8%
Draw +2
8.5%
@ 5.95-6.7%
Lokomotiv -2
3.5%
@ 7.20-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw
Marathonbet
5.95
Away
Marathonbet
7.20
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Akron
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
1.23
0.40
1.27
0.27
1.20
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.38
0.50
1.17
0.43
1.57
vs Similar (17)
0.24
1.12
0.33
1.33
0.12
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
0.79
0.50
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.69
0.50
0.67
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (15)
1.07
0.60
1.14
0.43
1.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.29
Under
1xBet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
Superbet
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.48
Marathonbet
2.48
1xBet
2.48
Superbet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.90
1xBet
5.90
Superbet
5.35
Under
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Akron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Superbet
2.15
Under
1xBet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.62
Akron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.00
1xBet
7.20
Under
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Akron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.07
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.99
Superbet
1.97
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
1xBet
4.60
Under
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Akron
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.53
0.93
1.00
0.47
vs Stronger (13)
0.69
0.85
0.50
1.17
0.86
0.57
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.59
0.56
0.78
1.12
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.77
0.50
0.43
0.50
1.06
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.54
1.08
0.50
0.50
0.57
1.57
vs Weaker (15)
0.53
0.53
0.57
0.43
0.50
0.62
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Under
Marathonbet
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Superbet
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.91
Superbet
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.82
Marathonbet
3.82
Superbet
3.65
Under
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Akron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
Akron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.20
Under
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Akron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.51
Superbet
1.51
Under
1xBet
2.45
Superbet
2.40
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Under
1xBet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.9%
1.04
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
-
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.3%
1.02
-
-
-
-
-
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
92.4%
1.15
Pinnacle
1.19
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+12.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.3%
1.26
Pinnacle
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
-
+17.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
88.0%
1.10
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.0%
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
-
-
-
-
+15.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
81.3%
1.45
Pinnacle
1.49
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
-
+17.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Akron
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gilson Tavares33%
Yomar Rocha20%
Kevin Arevalo20%
Stefan Lončar17%
Arseniy Dmitriev17%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Dudu0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristijan Bistrović50%
Joao Escoval40%
Arseniy Dmitriev33%
Dudu25%
Nikita Bazilevskiy25%
Roberto Fernández20%
Stefan Lončar17%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin17%
Gilson Tavares17%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Kevin Arevalo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dudu25%
Roberto Fernández20%
Konstantin Maradishvili17%
Stefan Lončar17%
Gilson Tavares17%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
Kevin Arevalo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefan Lončar33%
Gilson Tavares33%
Kevin Arevalo20%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Dudu0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
Lokomotiv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksey Batrakov25%
Zelimkhan Bakaev17%
Aleksandr Silyanov17%
Sergey Pinyaev17%
Vadim Rakov17%
Georgi Dzhikiya0%
Gerzino Nyamsi0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Aleksandr Rudenko0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Ilya Eremeev0%
Vladislav Golubev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksey Batrakov75%
Gerzino Nyamsi40%
Maksim Nenakhov33%
Ilya Lantratov33%
Vladislav Golubev25%
Ilya Eremeev20%
Zelimkhan Bakaev17%
Lucas Fasson17%
Vadim Rakov17%
Georgi Dzhikiya0%
Aleksandr Rudenko0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Aleksandr Silyanov0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Sergey Pinyaev0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksey Batrakov25%
Zelimkhan Bakaev17%
Aleksandr Silyanov17%
Vadim Rakov17%
Georgi Dzhikiya0%
Gerzino Nyamsi0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Aleksandr Rudenko0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Sergey Pinyaev0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Ilya Eremeev0%
Vladislav Golubev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gerzino Nyamsi40%
Vadim Rakov33%
Aleksey Batrakov25%
Georgi Dzhikiya0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Aleksandr Rudenko0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Zelimkhan Bakaev0%
Aleksandr Silyanov0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Sergey Pinyaev0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Ilya Eremeev0%
Vladislav Golubev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Akron's squad is €43m less valuable than Lokomotiv's (€25m vs €68m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Akron's attack is €10m less valuable than Lokomotiv's (€11m vs €21m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Akron's midfield is €2m less valuable than Lokomotiv's (€6m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Akron's defence is €31m less valuable than Lokomotiv's (€8m vs €40m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
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FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
Dynamo
Rubin
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
Fakel