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Aktobe Jas vs Arys Result & Analysis

Date: 30/06/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 5-1
Aktobe Jas
Aktobe Jas
Vs
24%
19%
57%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arys
Arys
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe Jas win✓ Hit
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arys win✗ Miss
56.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-721W17L16L05L05L03L03L12L13L25LH·JAS13/04A·TAR21/04H·TUR27/04A·YAS04/05H·YEL14/05A·EKI19/05H·KHA26/05A·ZHE02/06H·KYR09/06A·AKA23/06
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
4.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.003.820.803.601.174.00
vs Stronger (8)0.754.250.504.251.004.25
vs Similar (3)1.672.672.001.001.503.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-24pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArysArys

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-810W20W52W10W10W30W18L13L23L35LA·ZHE14/04H·KYR21/04A·AKA27/04H·SPO10/05A·AKZ14/05H·AST20/05A·JAS25/05H·TAR02/06A·TUR11/06H·YAS22/06
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.831.361.791.621.88
vs Stronger (10)1.701.601.331.502.251.75
vs Similar (20)1.401.951.382.001.421.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%2%04%113%218%319%417%528%6+
The model estimates around 4.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.8%
Under 1.5
6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
81.2%
Under 2.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.7%
Under 3.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
77.0%
No
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
7.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-3
5.8%
2-1
5.0%
1-4
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
Aktobe Jas goals ↓
Arys goals →
01234
01.8%2.8%4.4%3.9%2.6%
11.6%6.3%7.6%6.7%4.5%
21.9%5.0%6.6%5.8%3.9%
31.1%2.9%3.8%3.4%2.2%
40.5%1.2%1.6%1.5%1.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aktobe Jas goals (down), columns = Arys goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Yelimay Semey
2.71
Turan Turkistan
2.46
Zhenys
2.07
Akzhayik
1.93
Kyran
1.79
Sport Academy Kairat
1.25
Khan Tengri
1.25
Arys
1.18
Yassy Turkistan
1.14
Ekibastuz
1.14
Jas Qyran
1.14
Taraz
1.11
Aktobe Jas
0.82
Akademiya Ontustik
0.75
Astana II
0.68
Aktobe Jas is 0.36 points worse than Arys in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 1.18).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Turan Turkistan
3.07
Yelimay Semey
2.71
Zhenys
2.21
Akzhayik
2.21
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Kyran
1.96
Jas Qyran
1.79
Yassy Turkistan
1.68
Taraz
1.68
Ekibastuz
1.68
Akademiya Ontustik
1.64
Arys
1.46
Khan Tengri
1.39
Aktobe Jas
1.32
Astana II
1.14
Aktobe Jas is 0.14 goals worse than Arys in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.46).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Yelimay Semey
0.61
Turan Turkistan
1.00
Akzhayik
1.04
Zhenys
1.21
Khan Tengri
1.36
Jas Qyran
1.86
Sport Academy Kairat
1.89
Taraz
2.04
Kyran
2.04
Yassy Turkistan
2.07
Ekibastuz
2.21
Arys
2.25
Akademiya Ontustik
2.68
Aktobe Jas
2.75
Astana II
3.04
Aktobe Jas is 0.50 goals worse than Arys in terms of goals conceded per game (2.75 vs 2.25).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L03L02L03L02L02L12L12L02LH·JAS13/04A·TAR21/04H·TUR27/04A·YAS04/05H·YEL14/05A·EKI19/05H·KHA26/05A·ZHE02/06H·KYR09/06A·AKA23/06
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.202.100.202.200.202.00
vs Stronger (8)0.252.250.252.500.252.00
vs Similar (2)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-24pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArysArys

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D32W00D00D10W12L01L11D32WA·ZHE14/04H·KYR21/04A·AKA27/04H·SPO10/05A·AKZ14/05H·AST20/05A·JAS25/05H·TAR02/06A·TUR11/06H·YAS22/06
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.670.500.711.060.62
vs Stronger (10)0.800.600.000.502.000.75
vs Similar (20)0.800.700.880.880.750.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aktobe Jas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W15L13L03L02L01L01L00D01L23LH·JAS13/04A·TAR21/04H·TUR27/04A·YAS04/05H·YEL14/05A·EKI19/05H·KHA26/05A·ZHE02/06H·KYR09/06A·AKA23/06
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.900.601.400.602.40
vs Stronger (8)0.502.000.251.750.752.25
vs Similar (2)1.001.502.000.000.003.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArysArys

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D20W20W10W10W20W06L12L12L03LA·ZHE14/04H·KYR21/04A·AKA27/04H·SPO10/05A·AKZ14/05H·AST20/05A·JAS25/05H·TAR02/06A·TUR11/06H·YAS22/06
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.170.861.070.561.25
vs Stronger (10)0.901.001.331.000.251.00
vs Similar (20)0.601.250.501.120.671.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aktobe Jas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.593.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.581.2%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes77.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (23)
€8m
ZHE (18)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (11)
€4m
ZHE (6)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (10)
€3m
ZHE (9)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AJ wins
0
Draws
0
ARY wins

Head-to-head

Aktobe Jas vs Arys · H/A from AJ
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/06/23AAkademiya Ontustik Vs AJ5-2
09/06/23HAJ Vs Kyran1-3
02/06/23AZhenys Vs AJ2-1
26/05/23HAJ Vs Khan Tengri0-3
19/05/23AEkibastuz Vs AJ3-0
14/05/23HAJ Vs Yelimay Semey0-5
04/05/23AYassy Turkistan Vs AJ5-0
27/04/23HAJ Vs Turan Turkistan1-6
21/04/23ATaraz Vs AJ7-1
13/04/23HAJ Vs Jas Qyran2-1

ArysArys

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/06/23HARY Vs Yassy Turkistan3-5
11/06/23ATuran Turkistan Vs ARY3-2
02/06/23HARY Vs Taraz1-3
25/05/23AJas Qyran Vs ARY8-1
20/05/23HARY Vs Astana II3-0
14/05/23AAkzhayik Vs ARY0-1
10/05/23HARY Vs Sport Academy Kairat1-0
27/04/23AAkademiya Ontustik Vs ARY2-5
21/04/23HARY Vs Kyran2-0
14/04/23AZhenys Vs ARY0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aktobe Jas
Aktobe Jas
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.55
HomeWLLLL0.60
AwayLLLLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%20%17%
AVG goals4.824.405.17
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %100%100%100%
Over 3.5 %64%60%67%
Scored1.000.801.17
Conceded3.823.604.00
BTTS64%60%67%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Arys
Arys
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.24
HomeWWWLL1.00
AwayWWWLL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%21%44%
AVG goals2.842.373.33
Over 1.5 %70%63%78%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %35%32%39%
Scored1.241.001.50
Conceded1.591.371.83
BTTS43%37%50%
Clean Sheet38%42%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2876
86%
2.7
7617+59
3.3
86%
68%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4032.70.6
-
2Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan2869
79%
2.5
8628+58
4.1
79%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.11.0
-
3ZhenysZhenys2858
64%
2.1
6234+28
3.4
93%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2022.21.2
-
4AkzhayikAkzhayik2854
61%
1.9
6229+33
3.2
82%
64%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5KyranKyran2850
57%
1.8
5557-2
4.0
89%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
6Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2835
36%
1.2
5853+5
4.0
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.9
-
7Khan TengriKhan Tengri2835
36%
1.2
3938+1
2.8
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8ArysArys2833
36%
1.2
4163-22
3.7
86%
64%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
9Jas QyranJas Qyran2832
32%
1.1
5052-2
3.6
86%
61%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.9
-
10Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2832
32%
1.1
4758-11
3.8
71%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.1
-
11EkibastuzEkibastuz2832
29%
1.1
4762-15
3.9
96%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12TarazTaraz2831
32%
1.1
4757-10
3.7
89%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.0
-
13Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2823
25%
0.8
3777-40
4.1
89%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.8
-
14Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2821
18%
0.8
4675-29
4.3
93%
86%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.7
-
15Astana IIAstana II2819
21%
0.7
3285-53
4.2
100%
89%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.0
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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