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Aktobe Jas vs Arys Result & Analysis

Date: 20/09/2024
Time: 11:00
Final 0-1
Aktobe Jas
Aktobe Jas
Vs
44%
24%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arys
Arys
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe Jas win✗ Miss
44.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arys win✓ Hit
31.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-630W12L02L24L06L02L12L12L16L04LH·AKZ12/07A·ZHE19/07H·ALT26/07H·EKI02/08A·ULY08/08H·KHA16/08A·YAS23/08H·OKZ30/08A·KAS05/09A·SD 13/09
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
3.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.072.631.332.070.803.20
vs Stronger (22)0.912.731.172.080.603.50
vs Similar (8)1.502.382.002.001.202.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArysArys

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-703L16L01L17L11D03L21W23L12L32WA·EKI05/07A·SD 11/07H·ALT19/07A·OKZ25/07H·YAS02/08A·TAR08/08H·KAI16/08A·KHA23/08H·EKI30/08H·SD 06/09
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.131.131.671.202.60
vs Stronger (6)0.832.671.001.000.753.50
vs Similar (24)1.252.001.151.771.362.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
87.2%
Under 1.5
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
67.6%
Under 2.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.0%
Under 3.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.5%
No
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
5.5%
2-0
5.5%
1-0
4.9%
3-2
4.4%
Aktobe Jas goals ↓
Arys goals →
01234
04.0%3.9%3.9%2.0%0.8%
14.9%10%7.3%3.9%1.5%
25.5%8.8%7.0%3.7%1.5%
33.5%5.5%4.4%2.3%0.9%
41.7%2.6%2.1%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aktobe Jas goals (down), columns = Arys goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Okzhetpes
2.28
Ulytau
2.17
Kaspiy
2.10
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.82
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.46
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.36
SD Family
1.11
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.79
Yassy Turkistan
0.76
Arys
0.68
Kyran
0.43
Aktobe Jas
0.41
Aktobe Jas is 0.26 points worse than Arys in terms of average points per game (0.41 vs 0.68).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sport Academy Kairat
2.66
Ulytau
2.41
Kaspiy
2.28
Okzhetpes
2.14
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.93
SD Family
1.89
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.32
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.11
Arys
1.00
Yassy Turkistan
0.97
Aktobe Jas
0.86
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.82
Kyran
0.57
Aktobe Jas is 0.14 goals worse than Arys in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Okzhetpes
0.55
Ulytau
1.00
Kaspiy
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.07
Taraz
1.21
Zhetisay
1.28
Ekibastuz
1.29
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.32
Sport Academy Kairat
1.52
Akzhayik
1.71
Kaisar II
2.00
Arys
2.29
SD Family
2.29
Yassy Turkistan
2.45
Kyran
2.57
Aktobe Jas
2.59
Aktobe Jas is 0.30 goals worse than Arys in terms of goals conceded per game (2.59 vs 2.29).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D02L12L03L00D01L01L04L03LH·KAS03/07A·ZHE19/07H·ALT26/07H·EKI02/08A·ULY08/08H·KHA16/08A·YAS23/08H·OKZ30/08A·KAS05/09A·SD 13/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.200.331.130.331.27
vs Stronger (23)0.351.220.421.080.271.36
vs Similar (7)0.291.140.001.330.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArysArys

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D02L00D01L10W12L00D12LA·EKI05/07A·SD 11/07H·ALT19/07A·OKZ25/07H·YAS02/08A·TAR08/08H·KAI16/08A·KHA23/08H·EKI30/08H·SD 06/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.830.330.600.471.07
vs Stronger (6)0.170.670.500.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.460.880.310.690.641.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aktobe Jas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L00D12L03L02L11D11D12L01LH·KAS03/07A·ZHE19/07H·ALT26/07H·EKI02/08A·ULY08/08H·KHA16/08A·YAS23/08H·OKZ30/08A·KAS05/09A·SD 13/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.530.871.270.471.80
vs Stronger (23)0.481.650.581.420.361.91
vs Similar (7)1.291.142.000.670.751.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Arys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArysArys

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L14L01L15L11D02L11D11D12L20WA·EKI05/07A·SD 11/07H·ALT19/07A·OKZ25/07H·YAS02/08A·TAR08/08H·KAI16/08A·KHA23/08H·EKI30/08H·SD 06/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.300.801.070.731.53
vs Stronger (6)0.672.000.501.000.752.50
vs Similar (24)0.791.120.851.080.731.18
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aktobe Jas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arys over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (23)
€5m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (8)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
AJ wins
0
Draws
1
ARY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aktobe Jas vs Arys · H/A from AJ
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/24AArys Vs AJ2-3
07/10/23AArys Vs AJ2-1
30/06/23HAJ Vs Arys5-1

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/24ASD Family Vs AJ4-0
05/09/24AKaspiy Vs AJ6-1
30/08/24HAJ Vs Okzhetpes1-2
23/08/24AYassy Turkistan Vs AJ2-1
16/08/24HAJ Vs Khan Tengri0-2
08/08/24AUlytau Vs AJ6-0
02/08/24HAJ Vs Ekibastuz2-4
26/07/24HAJ Vs Altay (Kazakhstan)0-2
19/07/24AZhetisay Vs AJ2-1
12/07/24HAJ Vs Akzhayik3-0

ArysArys

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/09/24HARY Vs SD Family3-2
30/08/24HARY Vs Ekibastuz1-2
23/08/24AKhan Tengri Vs ARY3-2
16/08/24HARY Vs Kaisar II2-1
08/08/24ATaraz Vs ARY3-0
02/08/24HARY Vs Yassy Turkistan1-1
25/07/24AOkzhetpes Vs ARY7-1
19/07/24HARY Vs Altay (Kazakhstan)0-1
11/07/24ASD Family Vs ARY6-1
05/07/24AEkibastuz Vs ARY3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aktobe Jas
Aktobe Jas
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.54
HomeWLLLL0.80
AwayLLLLL0.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%24%8%
AVG goals3.883.684.08
Over 1.5 %92%96%88%
Over 2.5 %74%72%76%
Over 3.5 %48%44%52%
Scored1.061.320.80
Conceded2.822.363.28
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet8%12%4%
Corners---
Cards---
Arys
Arys
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.02
HomeLDWLW1.04
AwayLLLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%28%32%
AVG goals3.543.044.04
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %64%52%76%
Over 3.5 %38%32%44%
Scored1.301.241.36
Conceded2.241.802.68
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2966
72%
2.3
6216+46
2.7
69%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2112.10.6
-
2UlytauUlytau2963
69%
2.2
7029+41
3.4
90%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.0
-
3KaspiyKaspiy2961
66%
2.1
6629+37
3.3
83%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.31.0
-
4Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2960
66%
2.1
7744+33
4.2
83%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.71.5
-
5Khan TengriKhan Tengri2855
61%
2.0
5530+25
3.0
68%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
6EkibastuzEkibastuz2851
57%
1.8
5436+18
3.2
89%
82%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
7ZhetisayZhetisay2951
52%
1.8
5137+14
3.0
76%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.3
-
8TarazTaraz2841
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.5
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
9Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2838
39%
1.4
3137-6
2.4
71%
54%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.3
-
10SD FamilySD Family2831
32%
1.1
5364-11
4.2
96%
89%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.3
-
11AkzhayikAkzhayik2824
25%
0.9
2448-24
2.6
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
12Kaisar IIKaisar II2822
18%
0.8
2356-33
2.8
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.0
-
13Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2922
17%
0.8
2871-43
3.4
97%
66%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
14ArysArys2819
18%
0.7
2864-36
3.3
82%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.3
-
15Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2912
10%
0.4
2575-50
3.4
90%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
16KyranKyran73
14%
0.4
418-14
3.1
57%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.6
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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