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Aktobe Jas vs Khan Tengri Result & Analysis

Date: 16/08/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 0-2
Aktobe Jas
Aktobe Jas
Vs
24%
25%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Khan Tengri
Khan Tengri
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Aktobe Jas face Khan Tengri in a match the model favours for an away win, with a 51% chance of Khan Tengri taking the victory, 25% for a draw and 24% for Aktobe Jas. The expected total goals hover at 3.0, yet the most likely total is 2 goals, a 24% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with an 11.9% chance. Aktobe Jas, playing at home against a stronger side, average 1.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. Khan Tengri, on a two-game winning run, last beat Astana II 3-0. The model’s selection list includes Over 1.5 goals, with an 80.6% probability of hitting. All figures are presented as percentages, and no other outcomes are highlighted.

Results analysis

The match saw Aktobe Jas continue a 2-game winning streak at home, yet Khan Tengri, also on a 2-game winning run, edged them 0-2. The model’s favourite was an away win, with a 51% probability, and it proved correct. The predicted total of 3.0 goals fell short, but the Over 1.5 selection, at 80.6%, hit. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 (11.9%) and the 1-2 (9.7%) were not realised, and the 0-2 (8.3%) outcome matched the actual result. Overall, the model’s call and its single suggested pick both came through, confirming its accuracy for this fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe Jas win✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri win✓ Hit
50.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L03L01L02L31W30W12L02L24L06LH·ZHE07/06H·ULY13/06A·OKZ20/06A·TAR27/06H·KAS03/07H·AKZ12/07A·ZHE19/07H·ALT26/07H·EKI02/08A·ULY08/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.531.442.250.862.86
vs Stronger (23)1.002.651.332.330.643.00
vs Similar (7)1.712.141.752.001.672.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-662W53W21W20W03L42W10W12L23L03LH·AKT31/05A·KAS06/06H·EKI13/06A·ULY21/06A·SD 28/06H·KAI04/07A·TAR17/07A·EKI25/07H·ULY02/08H·OKZ09/08
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.401.531.601.271.20
vs Stronger (2)0.501.50--0.501.50
vs Similar (26)1.311.381.231.621.381.15
vs Weaker (2)3.501.503.501.50--
Clean sheet %37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.8%
Under 2.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.4%
Under 3.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-2 ✓
8.3%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
Aktobe Jas goals ↓
Khan Tengri goals →
01234
06.3%8.2%8.3%5.0%2.2%
15.0%12%9.7%5.8%2.6%
23.5%6.3%5.7%3.4%1.5%
31.4%2.5%2.2%1.3%0.6%
40.4%0.7%0.6%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aktobe Jas goals (down), columns = Khan Tengri goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Okzhetpes
2.28
Ulytau
2.17
Kaspiy
2.10
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.82
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.46
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.36
SD Family
1.11
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.79
Yassy Turkistan
0.76
Arys
0.68
Kyran
0.43
Aktobe Jas
0.41
Aktobe Jas is 1.55 points worse than Khan Tengri in terms of average points per game (0.41 vs 1.96).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sport Academy Kairat
2.66
Ulytau
2.41
Kaspiy
2.28
Okzhetpes
2.14
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.93
SD Family
1.89
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.32
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.11
Arys
1.00
Yassy Turkistan
0.97
Aktobe Jas
0.86
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.82
Kyran
0.57
Aktobe Jas is 1.10 goals worse than Khan Tengri in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 1.96).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Okzhetpes
0.55
Ulytau
1.00
Kaspiy
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.07
Taraz
1.21
Zhetisay
1.28
Ekibastuz
1.29
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.32
Sport Academy Kairat
1.52
Akzhayik
1.71
Kaisar II
2.00
Arys
2.29
SD Family
2.29
Yassy Turkistan
2.45
Kyran
2.57
Aktobe Jas
2.59
Aktobe Jas is 1.51 goals worse than Khan Tengri in terms of goals conceded per game (2.59 vs 1.07).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L01L01L00D00D11D11D02L12L03LA·KHA31/05H·ZHE07/06H·ULY13/06A·OKZ20/06A·TAR27/06H·KAS03/07A·ZHE19/07H·ALT26/07H·EKI02/08A·ULY08/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.130.561.120.501.14
vs Stronger (24)0.581.250.751.170.421.33
vs Similar (6)0.330.670.001.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W31W10W10W01L21W00D01L11D02LH·AKT31/05A·KAS06/06H·EKI13/06A·ULY21/06A·SD 28/06H·KAI04/07A·TAR17/07A·EKI25/07H·ULY02/08H·OKZ09/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.670.930.530.53
vs Stronger (2)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.580.690.540.920.620.46
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.501.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aktobe Jas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L02L01L02L20W01L00D12L03LA·KHA31/05H·ZHE07/06H·ULY13/06A·OKZ20/06A·TAR27/06H·KAS03/07A·ZHE19/07H·ALT26/07H·EKI02/08A·ULY08/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.530.811.120.362.00
vs Stronger (24)0.381.580.501.170.252.00
vs Similar (6)1.501.331.751.001.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Khan Tengri) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W22D11D10W02L21W10W11D12L01LH·AKT31/05A·KAS06/06H·EKI13/06A·ULY21/06A·SD 28/06H·KAI04/07A·TAR17/07A·EKI25/07H·ULY02/08H·OKZ09/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.670.870.670.730.67
vs Stronger (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.730.690.690.690.770.69
vs Weaker (2)2.000.502.000.50--
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe Jas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aktobe Jas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe Jas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khan Tengri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (23)
€5m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (8)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
AJ wins
1
Draws
2
KT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aktobe Jas vs Khan Tengri · H/A from AJ
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/24AKhan Tengri Vs AJ6-2
14/09/23AKhan Tengri Vs AJ1-1
26/05/23HAJ Vs Khan Tengri0-3

Aktobe JasAktobe Jas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/24AUlytau Vs AJ6-0
02/08/24HAJ Vs Ekibastuz2-4
26/07/24HAJ Vs Altay (Kazakhstan)0-2
19/07/24AZhetisay Vs AJ2-1
12/07/24HAJ Vs Akzhayik3-0
03/07/24HAJ Vs Kaspiy3-1
27/06/24ATaraz Vs AJ2-0
20/06/24AOkzhetpes Vs AJ1-0
13/06/24HAJ Vs Ulytau0-3
07/06/24HAJ Vs Zhetisay0-2

Khan TengriKhan Tengri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/24HKT Vs Okzhetpes0-3
02/08/24HKT Vs Ulytau2-3
25/07/24AEkibastuz Vs KT2-1
17/07/24ATaraz Vs KT0-1
04/07/24HKT Vs Kaisar II4-2
28/06/24ASD Family Vs KT3-0
21/06/24AUlytau Vs KT0-2
13/06/24HKT Vs Ekibastuz2-1
06/06/24AKaspiy Vs KT3-5
31/05/24HKT Vs Aktobe Jas6-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aktobe Jas
Aktobe Jas
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL0.70
HomeLWWLL0.96
AwayLLLLL0.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%29%13%
AVG goals3.893.754.04
Over 1.5 %91%96%87%
Over 2.5 %74%75%74%
Over 3.5 %49%46%52%
Scored1.171.420.91
Conceded2.722.333.13
BTTS57%54%61%
Clean Sheet9%12%4%
Corners---
Cards---
Khan Tengri
Khan Tengri
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.37
HomeWWWLL1.38
AwayWWLWL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%38%40%
AVG goals2.782.792.76
Over 1.5 %69%71%68%
Over 2.5 %57%54%60%
Over 3.5 %31%29%32%
Scored1.451.541.36
Conceded1.331.251.40
BTTS47%42%52%
Clean Sheet33%33%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2966
72%
2.3
6216+46
2.7
69%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2112.10.6
-
2UlytauUlytau2963
69%
2.2
7029+41
3.4
90%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.0
-
3KaspiyKaspiy2961
66%
2.1
6629+37
3.3
83%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.31.0
-
4Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2960
66%
2.1
7744+33
4.2
83%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.71.5
-
5Khan TengriKhan Tengri2855
61%
2.0
5530+25
3.0
68%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
6EkibastuzEkibastuz2851
57%
1.8
5436+18
3.2
89%
82%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
7ZhetisayZhetisay2951
52%
1.8
5137+14
3.0
76%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.3
-
8TarazTaraz2841
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.5
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
9Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2838
39%
1.4
3137-6
2.4
71%
54%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.3
-
10SD FamilySD Family2831
32%
1.1
5364-11
4.2
96%
89%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.3
-
11AkzhayikAkzhayik2824
25%
0.9
2448-24
2.6
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
12Kaisar IIKaisar II2822
18%
0.8
2356-33
2.8
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.0
-
13Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2922
17%
0.8
2871-43
3.4
97%
66%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
14ArysArys2819
18%
0.7
2864-36
3.3
82%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.3
-
15Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2912
10%
0.4
2575-50
3.4
90%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
16KyranKyran73
14%
0.4
418-14
3.1
57%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.6
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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