This opponent (FC Astana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Astana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.30
1.60
1.20
0.93
1.40
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
3.40
1.00
1.50
0.67
4.67
vs Similar (15)
1.53
1.13
1.88
1.50
1.14
0.71
vs Weaker (10)
1.10
0.50
1.40
0.60
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.3%
Under 1.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.3%
Under 2.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.2%
Under 3.5
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.8%
No
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
2-0 â
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.5%
Aktobe goals ↓
FC Astana goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.4%
5.5%
1.9%
0.5%
1
12%
15%
6.7%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.0%
8.2%
4.2%
1.4%
0.4%
3
3.3%
3.4%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aktobe goals (down), columns = FC Astana goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Ordabasy
2.23
FC Astana
2.04
Aktobe
1.92
Kairat Almaty
1.69
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.50
Kaisar
1.38
Atyrau
1.31
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.31
Zhetysu
1.12
Maqtaaral
1.12
Shakhter Karagandy
1.12
Okzhetpes
1.04
Kaspiy
0.77
FK Aksu
0.69
Aktobe is 0.12 points worse than FC Astana in terms of average points per game (1.92 vs 2.04).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ordabasy
1.85
Aktobe
1.69
Kairat Almaty
1.65
FC Astana
1.38
Shakhter Karagandy
1.19
Kaisar
1.19
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.15
Maqtaaral
1.12
Kaspiy
1.08
Zhetysu
1.04
Okzhetpes
1.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.96
Atyrau
0.92
FK Aksu
0.88
Aktobe is 0.31 goals better than FC Astana in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 1.38).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ordabasy
0.81
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.88
Aktobe
0.88
FC Astana
0.92
Atyrau
1.04
Kaisar
1.15
Maqtaaral
1.23
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.23
Kairat Almaty
1.27
Shakhter Karagandy
1.38
Okzhetpes
1.42
Zhetysu
1.46
Kaspiy
1.69
FK Aksu
1.73
Aktobe is 0.04 goals better than FC Astana in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 0.92).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Aktobe
For 4.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 14.7 · Total 27.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Astana
For 3.4 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.0
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 10.5 · Total 23.7
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aktobe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.7
8.3
1.0
0.9
1.2
27.0
26.0
29.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
10.0
10.7
9.0
1.7
1.8
1.6
27.0
26.0
29.0
vs Weaker (28)
7.0
-
7.0
0.5
0.0
0.9
-
-
-
% over line
50%
67%
33%
16%
12%
20%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
33%
67%
84%
88%
80%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (FC Astana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Astana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.8
9.0
1.0
0.9
1.0
23.7
19.5
25.8
vs Stronger (5)
10.2
12.0
9.0
3.8
3.5
4.0
24.0
24.0
24.0
vs Similar (23)
7.5
4.5
10.5
1.1
1.1
1.2
23.0
15.0
31.0
vs Weaker (22)
8.5
11.0
6.0
0.1
0.3
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
55%
60%
50%
14%
12%
16%
67%
50%
75%
% under line
45%
40%
50%
86%
88%
84%
33%
50%
25%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Okzhetpes
13.0
Kairat Almaty
11.0
Shakhter Karagandy
11.0
Aktobe
9.5
FK Tobol Kostanay
9.4
FC Astana
8.9
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Ordabasy
8.3
Zhetysu
6.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kaisar
7.0
Ordabasy
5.8
Aktobe
5.8
Zhetysu
5.8
FK Tobol Kostanay
5.6
Kairat Almaty
3.8
Shakhter Karagandy
3.7
Kyzyl-Zhar
3.5
FC Astana
3.0
Okzhetpes
2.5
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
30.9
Ordabasy
30.0
Aktobe
27.0
FC Astana
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
33.3%
Under 9.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.5%
Under 3.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
74.6%
Under 21.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aktobe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.37
1.07
0.53
0.67
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.06
0.50
1.12
0.75
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
0.21
1.00
0.29
0.29
0.14
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Astana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Astana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.93
0.40
0.27
0.47
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.40
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.38
0.29
0.29
vs Weaker (10)
0.60
0.10
1.00
0.20
0.20
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aktobe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aktobe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.63
1.00
0.53
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.06
0.81
1.00
0.38
1.12
1.25
vs Weaker (14)
0.79
0.43
1.00
0.71
0.57
0.14
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Astana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Astana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.67
0.80
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
2.00
0.50
0.50
0.33
3.00
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.80
0.88
1.12
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (10)
0.50
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aktobe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 3.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 10.5 corners
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
FC Astana
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kamo Hovhannisyan29%
Abzal Beysebekov17%
Marin Tomasov14%
DuÅĄan JovanÄiÄ0%
Max Ebong0%
Å―arko TomaÅĄeviÄ0%
Stjepan LonÄar0%
Josip ÄondriÄ0%
Fabien Ourega0%
Aleksa AmanoviÄ0%
Varazdat Haroyan0%
Islambek Kuat0%
Yan Vorogovskiy0%
Aleksandr Marochkin0%
Abat Aimbetov0%
Timur Dosmagambetov0%
Elkhan Astanov0%
Dembo Darboe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Varazdat Haroyan75%
Aleksa AmanoviÄ60%
Abzal Beysebekov50%
Islambek Kuat33%
Kamo Hovhannisyan29%
DuÅĄan JovanÄiÄ20%
Max Ebong20%
Stjepan LonÄar20%
Yan Vorogovskiy20%
Å―arko TomaÅĄeviÄ17%
Aleksandr Marochkin17%
Dembo Darboe14%
Marin Tomasov0%
Josip ÄondriÄ0%
Fabien Ourega0%
Abat Aimbetov0%
Timur Dosmagambetov0%
Elkhan Astanov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Max Ebong20%
Timur Dosmagambetov17%
Marin Tomasov14%
Dembo Darboe14%
DuÅĄan JovanÄiÄ0%
Abzal Beysebekov0%
Å―arko TomaÅĄeviÄ0%
Stjepan LonÄar0%
Josip ÄondriÄ0%
Fabien Ourega0%
Aleksa AmanoviÄ0%
Varazdat Haroyan0%
Islambek Kuat0%
Yan Vorogovskiy0%
Kamo Hovhannisyan0%
Aleksandr Marochkin0%
Abat Aimbetov0%
Elkhan Astanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dembo Darboe14%
DuÅĄan JovanÄiÄ0%
Abzal Beysebekov0%
Marin Tomasov0%
Max Ebong0%
Å―arko TomaÅĄeviÄ0%
Stjepan LonÄar0%
Josip ÄondriÄ0%
Fabien Ourega0%
Aleksa AmanoviÄ0%
Varazdat Haroyan0%
Islambek Kuat0%
Yan Vorogovskiy0%
Kamo Hovhannisyan0%
Aleksandr Marochkin0%
Abat Aimbetov0%
Timur Dosmagambetov0%
Elkhan Astanov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
OKZ (23)
€5m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
Aktobe and FC Astana have a similar squad value (both €10m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
Aktobe's attack is €2m more valuable than FC Astana's (€5m vs €3m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
Aktobe and FC Astana have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
Aktobe's defence is €2m less valuable than FC Astana's (€3m vs €5m).
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ordabasy
Kairat Almaty
Kyzyl-Zhar
Kaisar
FK Tobol Kostanay
Atyrau
Maqtaaral
Shakhter Karagandy
Zhetysu
Okzhetpes
Kaspiy
FK Aksu