This opponent (FC Astana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Astana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.40
1.29
1.07
0.94
1.69
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
3.00
0.75
1.75
0.50
4.25
vs Similar (12)
1.42
1.08
1.67
1.00
1.17
1.17
vs Weaker (10)
1.10
0.50
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.9%
Under 1.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.7%
Under 2.5
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.1%
Under 3.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.3%
No
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 â
14.6%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
12.3%
0-1
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.3%
Aktobe goals ↓
FC Astana goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.5%
5.3%
1.7%
0.4%
1
12%
15%
6.5%
2.1%
0.5%
2
8.3%
8.1%
4.0%
1.3%
0.3%
3
3.4%
3.3%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aktobe goals (down), columns = FC Astana goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Kairat Almaty
1.96
FC Astana
1.92
Aktobe
1.79
Ordabasy
1.75
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.62
Yelimay Semey
1.54
Atyrau
1.46
Kaisar
1.42
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.21
Zhenys
1.00
Zhetysu
0.96
Turan Turkistan
0.83
Shakhter Karagandy
0.42
Aktobe is 0.12 points worse than FC Astana in terms of average points per game (1.79 vs 1.92).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Astana
1.62
Kairat Almaty
1.62
Aktobe
1.62
Ordabasy
1.50
Yelimay Semey
1.46
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.38
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.21
Atyrau
1.17
Kaisar
1.17
Zhenys
0.75
Zhetysu
0.71
Turan Turkistan
0.67
Shakhter Karagandy
0.50
Aktobe and FC Astana are level in goals scored per game (both 1.62).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Astana
0.79
Atyrau
0.83
Kairat Almaty
0.88
FK Tobol Kostanay
0.96
Ordabasy
1.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.08
Aktobe
1.08
Kaisar
1.21
Yelimay Semey
1.33
Zhenys
1.33
Zhetysu
1.38
Turan Turkistan
1.62
Shakhter Karagandy
1.88
Aktobe is 0.29 goals worse than FC Astana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 0.79).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Aktobe
For 4.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.2
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 14.7 · Total 27.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Astana
For 3.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.7
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 11.2 · Total 25.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aktobe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.7
8.3
1.4
1.4
1.3
27.0
26.0
29.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
10.0
10.7
9.0
2.1
2.5
1.7
27.0
26.0
29.0
vs Weaker (28)
7.0
-
7.0
0.8
0.5
1.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
67%
33%
20%
20%
20%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
33%
67%
80%
80%
80%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (FC Astana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Astana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.3
9.4
1.5
1.7
1.3
25.2
24.6
25.7
vs Stronger (8)
9.2
9.5
9.0
4.4
5.0
3.8
25.6
26.7
24.8
vs Similar (20)
8.4
4.5
11.0
1.5
1.1
2.0
24.5
21.5
27.5
vs Weaker (22)
8.5
11.0
6.0
0.4
1.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
47%
43%
50%
20%
21%
19%
82%
80%
83%
% under line
53%
57%
50%
80%
79%
81%
18%
20%
17%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kairat Almaty
11.0
Shakhter Karagandy
11.0
Aktobe
9.5
FK Tobol Kostanay
9.4
FC Astana
8.9
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Ordabasy
8.3
Zhetysu
6.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
6.1
Aktobe
5.7
FK Tobol Kostanay
5.4
Ordabasy
5.1
Kaisar
5.0
Kairat Almaty
3.8
FC Astana
3.5
Kyzyl-Zhar
3.2
Shakhter Karagandy
2.3
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
30.9
Ordabasy
30.0
Aktobe
27.0
FC Astana
25.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
34.0%
Under 9.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.7%
Under 3.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
73.4%
Under 21.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aktobe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.37
0.87
0.40
0.53
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.50
0.57
0.57
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (16)
0.75
0.25
1.12
0.25
0.38
0.25
Clean sheet %
73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Astana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Astana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.43
0.64
0.21
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.88
0.25
0.50
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.42
1.00
0.17
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (10)
0.40
0.10
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.17
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aktobe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aktobe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
0.67
0.40
1.00
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.07
0.71
0.86
0.43
1.29
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
0.62
0.38
0.50
0.38
0.75
0.38
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Astana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Astana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.97
0.64
0.86
0.56
1.06
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
2.12
0.50
1.25
0.25
3.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.83
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.40
0.75
0.50
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aktobe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Astana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
FC Astana
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kipras Kazukolovas50%
Marin Tomasov25%
Branimir Kalaica25%
Ramazan Karimov0%
Karlo Bartolec0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Max Ebong0%
Josip ÄondriÄ0%
Barnes Osei0%
Aleksa AmanoviÄ0%
Ousmane Camara0%
Islambek Kuat0%
Yan Vorogovskiy0%
Aleksandr Marochkin0%
Geoffrey Chinedu Charles0%
Elkhan Astanov0%
Nnamdi Ahanonu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josip ÄondriÄ67%
Max Ebong50%
Aleksa AmanoviÄ50%
Islambek Kuat33%
Karlo Bartolec25%
Geoffrey Chinedu Charles25%
Barnes Osei20%
Elkhan Astanov20%
Ramazan Karimov17%
Marin Tomasov0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Branimir Kalaica0%
Ousmane Camara0%
Yan Vorogovskiy0%
Aleksandr Marochkin0%
Kipras Kazukolovas0%
Nnamdi Ahanonu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Karlo Bartolec50%
Marin Tomasov25%
Yan Vorogovskiy25%
Ramazan Karimov0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Max Ebong0%
Josip ÄondriÄ0%
Barnes Osei0%
Branimir Kalaica0%
Aleksa AmanoviÄ0%
Ousmane Camara0%
Islambek Kuat0%
Aleksandr Marochkin0%
Geoffrey Chinedu Charles0%
Elkhan Astanov0%
Kipras Kazukolovas0%
Nnamdi Ahanonu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nnamdi Ahanonu33%
Geoffrey Chinedu Charles25%
Marin Tomasov0%
Ramazan Karimov0%
Karlo Bartolec0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Max Ebong0%
Josip ÄondriÄ0%
Barnes Osei0%
Branimir Kalaica0%
Aleksa AmanoviÄ0%
Ousmane Camara0%
Islambek Kuat0%
Yan Vorogovskiy0%
Aleksandr Marochkin0%
Elkhan Astanov0%
Kipras Kazukolovas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
YS (23)
€8m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
Aktobe and FC Astana have a similar squad value (both €10m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
YS (11)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ZHE (8)
€1m
Aktobe's attack is €2m more valuable than FC Astana's (€5m vs €3m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
Aktobe and FC Astana have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
Aktobe's defence is €2m less valuable than FC Astana's (€3m vs €5m).
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Kairat Almaty
Ordabasy
FK Tobol Kostanay
Yelimay Semey
Atyrau
Kaisar
Kyzyl-Zhar
Zhenys
Zhetysu
Turan Turkistan
Shakhter Karagandy
FK Aksu