This opponent (Ordabasy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ordabasy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.77
1.80
0.67
1.47
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.15
1.00
1.00
0.86
1.33
1.17
vs Weaker (17)
2.00
0.59
2.50
0.50
1.56
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.6%
Under 1.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.5%
Under 2.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.3%
Under 3.5
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.2%
0-0 â
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
Aktobe goals ↓
Ordabasy goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.8%
7.3%
4.3%
1.4%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.2%
2.1%
0.5%
2
9.1%
9.1%
4.5%
1.5%
0.4%
3
4.4%
4.4%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.6%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aktobe goals (down), columns = Ordabasy goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Kairat Almaty
1.96
FC Astana
1.92
Aktobe
1.79
Ordabasy
1.75
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.62
Yelimay Semey
1.54
Atyrau
1.46
Kaisar
1.42
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.21
Zhenys
1.00
Zhetysu
0.96
Turan Turkistan
0.83
Shakhter Karagandy
0.42
Aktobe is 0.04 points better than Ordabasy in terms of average points per game (1.79 vs 1.75).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Astana
1.62
Kairat Almaty
1.62
Aktobe
1.62
Ordabasy
1.50
Yelimay Semey
1.46
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.38
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.21
Atyrau
1.17
Kaisar
1.17
Zhenys
0.75
Zhetysu
0.71
Turan Turkistan
0.67
Shakhter Karagandy
0.50
Aktobe is 0.12 goals better than Ordabasy in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.50).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Astana
0.79
Atyrau
0.83
Kairat Almaty
0.88
FK Tobol Kostanay
0.96
Ordabasy
1.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.08
Aktobe
1.08
Kaisar
1.21
Yelimay Semey
1.33
Zhenys
1.33
Zhetysu
1.38
Turan Turkistan
1.62
Shakhter Karagandy
1.88
Aktobe is 0.08 goals worse than Ordabasy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.00).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Aktobe
For 4.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.2
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 14.7 · Total 27.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ordabasy
For 3.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 18.0 · Total 30.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aktobe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.7
8.3
1.4
1.4
1.3
27.0
26.0
29.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
10.0
10.7
9.0
2.0
2.5
1.6
27.0
26.0
29.0
vs Weaker (27)
7.0
-
7.0
0.8
0.5
1.1
-
-
-
% over line
50%
67%
33%
20%
20%
20%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
33%
67%
80%
80%
80%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ordabasy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.5
8.0
0.7
0.5
0.9
30.0
-
30.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
10.0
12.0
8.0
1.0
0.7
1.3
30.0
-
30.0
vs Weaker (26)
5.0
5.0
-
0.5
0.4
0.5
-
-
-
% over line
33%
50%
0%
10%
8%
12%
100%
-
100%
% under line
67%
50%
100%
90%
92%
88%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kairat Almaty
11.0
Shakhter Karagandy
11.0
Aktobe
9.5
FK Tobol Kostanay
9.4
FC Astana
8.9
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Ordabasy
8.3
Zhetysu
6.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
6.1
Aktobe
5.7
FK Tobol Kostanay
5.4
Ordabasy
5.1
Kaisar
5.0
Kairat Almaty
3.8
FC Astana
3.5
Kyzyl-Zhar
3.2
Shakhter Karagandy
2.3
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
30.9
Ordabasy
30.0
Aktobe
27.0
FC Astana
25.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
34.0%
Under 9.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.9%
Under 3.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Aktobe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.80
0.47
0.47
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.57
0.50
0.62
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (16)
0.69
0.25
1.14
0.29
0.33
0.22
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ordabasy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.27
0.87
0.27
0.67
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.38
0.43
0.29
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (17)
0.94
0.18
1.25
0.25
0.67
0.11
Clean sheet %
77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aktobe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Aktobe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.37
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.00
0.43
0.88
0.38
1.17
0.50
vs Weaker (16)
0.69
0.31
0.43
0.29
0.89
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ordabasy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
0.93
0.40
0.80
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.62
0.57
0.57
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (17)
1.06
0.41
1.25
0.25
0.89
0.56
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aktobe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 11.5 corners
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
YS (23)
€8m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
Aktobe and Ordabasy have a similar squad value (both €10m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
YS (11)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ZHE (8)
€1m
Aktobe's attack is €2m more valuable than Ordabasy's (€5m vs €3m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
Aktobe and Ordabasy have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
Aktobe's defence is €2m less valuable than Ordabasy's (€3m vs €4m).
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Kairat Almaty
FC Astana
FK Tobol Kostanay
Yelimay Semey
Atyrau
Kaisar
Kyzyl-Zhar
Zhenys
Zhetysu
Turan Turkistan
Shakhter Karagandy
FK Aksu